市場調查報告書
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2030 年軌道運輸和太空旅遊市場預測 - 按車輛類型、用途、最終用戶和地區進行的全球分析Sub-Orbital Transportation and Space Tourism Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Vehicle Type, Application, End User and By Geography |
據Stratistics MRC預測,2023年全球軌道交通和太空旅遊市場規模將達7.2858億美元,預測期內年複合成長率為19.3%,預計到2030年將達到25.0589億美元。
亞軌道飛行涉及不到達地球軌道的短途旅行,但可以讓乘客體驗失重並見證地球的曲率。隨著私人太空公司的出現,對於尋求太空旅遊的個人來說,太空旅行的刺激正在成為現實。這些公司開發可重複使用的火箭和航太飛機,以在亞軌道飛行中運送小群付費乘客。
據瑞銀估計,到 2030 年,僅太空旅遊市場的價值就可能達到 30 億美元。
據預測,在多雲的天空期間,太空旅遊將變得更加重要和受歡迎。太空旅遊讓普通大眾可以安排太空旅遊,只是為了休閒。維珍銀河和藍色起源等公司正在拓展太空旅遊的疆域。更多市場參與企業參與的項目,如Space Adventures的繞月飛行“DSE Alpha”項目,也有望刺激市場擴張。
由於太空旅遊的最新發展以及各大航太之間的激烈競爭,太空旅遊的成本很高。預計這一要素將成為全球軌道交通和太空旅遊市場的主要限制要素。例如,維珍銀河出售的太空旅遊初始票價在20萬美元至25萬美元之間,預計未來還會增加。
億萬富翁正在花費數百萬美元來開發和測試可用於太空旅遊的太空船。太空旅遊和亞軌道旅遊市場將進一步受益於此。例如,藍色起源公司剛剛完成了新謝潑德號 (NS-17) 的第二次飛行,該飛行器搭載了美國宇航局的月球著陸器。作為火箭和太空艙系統,New Shepard 是完全獨立的,不需要內部手動控制。在不久的將來,這些進步可能會為太空旅遊開闢新的選擇並刺激行業擴張。
太空旅遊航班延誤是軌道交通和太空旅遊市場的主要威脅。由於商業航太業的目標是讓個人能夠進行太空旅遊,推遲太空旅遊飛行可能會產生一些負面後果。首先,延誤會削弱客戶的信心和熱情,導致對太空旅遊體驗的需求下降。由於太空旅遊時間的不確定性,潛在客戶可能會失去興趣或選擇其他體驗。
COVID-19 大流行的意外出現極大地擾亂了幾乎所有行業,軌道交通和太空旅遊領域也不例外。停工擾亂了藥品和疫苗以外的其他領域的發展,並對世界各地的亞軌道運輸和太空旅遊產業產生了毀滅性影響。為了保護太空人的安全,衛星發射活動和測試也被暫停,阻礙了市場擴張。
由於市場上營運的公司不斷努力開發更便宜的太空旅遊解決方案,太空旅遊市場佔據了最大的佔有率。太空旅遊預計將在政府擁有的太空船(包括俄羅斯聯盟號和國際太空站(ISS))或其他私營公司擁有的太空船上進行。由於世界上第一位太空旅遊、美國商人的旅程,太空旅遊重新流行起來。
在預測期內,由於越來越多的公司強調通過高空氣球將客戶運送到平流層,預計高空氣球領域的年複合成長率最高。例如,太空視角致力於將付費客戶送到太空邊緣,在那裡他們可以獲得地球曲率的罕見景觀。顧客可以乘坐名為“海王星”的球形白色太空艙進入平流層。太空艙類似於一個旋轉的陀螺,有一個大玻璃窗,據說可以提供更好的視野。推進劑將是一個充滿氫氣的大型半透明氣球。
預計在預測期內,北美區域市場將佔全球軌道交通和太空旅遊市場的最高佔有率。在這一領域,大公司成功的演示實驗和火箭發射的數量正在不斷增加,為這些公司和其他希望進入該領域的公司創造了新的、有利的和巨大的潛力,一個隱藏的視角正在出現。此外,此類試驗的成功表明這些系統是可行的,可以幫助公司行銷其產品。預計西德克薩斯發射場和美國航太發射場等實現亞軌道航太的航太發射場將增加軌道交通和太空旅遊,推動北美市場的擴張。
預計亞太地區在預測期內將呈現最高成長率。這是因為公司擴大為遊客提供太空乘車服務。 CAS Space 是中國科學院 (CAS) 的一家商業子公司,致力於開發用於商業衛星發射的火箭,並宣布打算將人類送入太空。 CAS Space 正在開發一種單級可重複使用火箭,最多可搭載 7 名乘客,在 62 英里的卡門線(地球大氣層與外太空之間的邊界)上空飛行 10 分鐘。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Sub-Orbital Transportation and Space Tourism Market is accounted for $728.58 million in 2023 and is expected to reach $2505.89 million by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 19.3% during the forecast period. Sub-orbital flights involve brief journeys that do not reach Earth's orbit but still allow passengers to experience weightlessness and witness the curvature of the planet. With the advent of private space companies, it has become a reality for private individuals who seek the thrill of space travel. These companies have developed reusable rockets and spaceplanes that can carry a small number of paying passengers on sub-orbital flights.
According to UBS, the space tourism market alone could be worth $3bn by 2030.
During the overcast period, it is predicted that space tourism would become more significant and well-liked. Space tourism will enable the general public to arrange a trip to space just for leisure. The frontier of space tourism is being expanded by companies like Virgin Galactic and Blue Origin. Projects involving additional market participants, including Space Adventures' "DSE Alpha" project for a circumlunar voyage to the Moon, are also anticipated to spur market expansion.
The cost of space tourism will be high as a result of recent developments in space tourism and stiff competition among leading aerospace companies. This factor is expected to emerge as a leading restrictive factor for the global sub-orbital transportation and space tourism market. For instance, initial ticket costs for space tourism sold by Virgin Galactic are in the range of USD 200,000 to USD 250,000 and are only expected to increase in the future.
The billionaires are spending a lot of money developing and testing spaceships that can be used for space tourism. The markets for space tourism and suborbital travel will benefit even more from this. As an illustration, Blue Origin just flew "New Shepard," or NS-17, which carried NASA's lunar landing hardware for its second trip. The New Shepard, a rocket-and-capsule system, is entirely self-contained and does not require manual control from the inside. In the near future, such advances are likely to open up new options for space tourism, spurring industry expansion.
The delay in space tourism flights poses a significant threat in the sub orbital transportation and space tourism market. As the commercial space industry aims to make space travel accessible to private individuals, postponements in space tourism flights can lead to several negative consequences. First and foremost, delays can erode customer confidence and enthusiasm, potentially leading to a decline in demand for space tourism experiences. Potential customers may lose interest or opt for alternative experiences due to uncertainty surrounding the timing of their space journey.
The COVID-19 pandemic's unexpected emergence severely disrupted practically every industry, and the suborbital travel and space tourism sectors are no exception. The shutdown prevented the development of anything besides drugs and vaccinations, which had a devastating impact on the sub-orbital transportation and space tourism industries worldwide. To protect the safety of the crew, the satellite launch activities and tests were also put on hold, which hindered the market's expansion.
The space tourism segment held the largest share in the market owing to the increasing initiatives by companies operating in the market for development of more affordable solutions for space travel. Space tourism is expected to take place either on established government-owned spacecraft, including the Russian Soyuz, as well as the International Space Station (ISS) or other private-company-owned vehicles. Space tourism has gained new popularity after journey of the world's first space traveler, who was an American businessman.
During the projection period, the high-altitude balloon segment is expected to have the greatest CAGR due to businesses' growing emphasis on transporting clients in high-altitude balloons to the stratosphere. For instance, Space Perspective is focusing on sending paying customers to the edge of space, where they may get a rare view of the Earth's curvature. Customers will be able to travel to the stratosphere in a spherical white capsule named Neptune, which resembles a spinning top and has big glass windows that would provide a better view. The propellant will be a large, hydrogen-filled, translucent balloon.
The North America region market is estimated to witness the highest share of the global Sub-Orbital Transportation and Space Tourism market during the forecast period. A growing number of successful demonstrations and rocket launches by large corporations in this sector have created new, lucrative, and high-potential prospects for both those companies and other companies looking to enter the field. Additionally, these successful testing have shown that these systems are feasible and can help businesses market their own products. The space ports that enable sub-orbital spaceflights, like the West Texas Launch Site and the Spaceport America Launch Site, are anticipated to increase sub-orbital transportation and space tourism operations and propel the expansion of the North American market.
The Asia Pacific region is expected to have the highest growth rate over the forecast period. Due to increasing initiatives by companies to offer tourists rides to space. CAS Space, which is a business spinoff of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS), has been developing rockets for commercial satellite launches and declared its intention to take humans into space. CAS Space is developing a single-stage reusable rocket capable of carrying up to seven passengers for a 10-minute flight above the Karman line at 62 miles, which is recognized as the boundary of Earth's atmosphere and outer space.
Some of the key players in Sub-Orbital Transportation and Space Tourism market include Aerostar International, Inc., Blue Origin , Equatorial Space Systems Pte Ltd., Exos Aerospace Systems & Technologies, Inc., Near Space Corporation, Orbspace, PD AeroSpace, Raven Aerostar, Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX), Space Perspective Inc., Swedish Space Corporation, UP Aerospace Inc., Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc., World View Enterprises, Zero 2 Infinity S.L and Zero Gravity Corporation.
In January 2022, Chinese firm Space Transportation announced to have raised more than USD 46.3 million for its hypersonic space plane plans in a new fundraising round. The funding will be used to develop commercial suborbital and hypersonic vehicles.
In August 2021, Virgin Orbit confirmed plans to become a public company by merging with a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC). The combined company is valued at $3.2 billion, and Virgin Orbit will receive $483 million in cash at close, including a $100 million PIPE.
In April 2021, Florida-based space balloon company Space Perspective , which is a business that plans to offer tourists stratospheric balloon flights, officially opened ticket sales just days after its first test flight