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市場調查報告書
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1444202

水力發電 - 市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢與統計、成長預測（2024 - 2029）

Hydropower - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2024 - 2029)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 124 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

2024年水力發電市場規模預計為1.40太瓦，預計到2029年將達到1.47太瓦，在預測期內（2024-2029年）CAGR為1.02%。

水力發電-市場

主要亮點

  • 從中期來看，政府支持的新水力發電項目數量不斷增加以及對可靠電力的需求不斷成長等因素預計將在預測期內推動市場發展。
  • 另一方面，水力發電項目的負面環境後果可能會阻礙預測期內的市場成長。
  • 儘管如此，旨在增加水力發電的新興技術趨勢預計將在未來幾年為水力發電市場提供重大機會。

水電市場趨勢

大型水力發電（大於100兆瓦）領域將主導市場

  • 大型水力發電是一種利用流動水來驅動大型水輪機的再生能源發電形式。為了為城市產生大量水力發電，需要湖泊、水庫和水壩來儲存和調節水，以便以後釋放用於發電、灌溉以及家庭或工業用途。由於大型水力發電設施可以輕鬆打開和關閉，因此水力發電比大多數其他能源更可靠，可以滿足全天的高峰電力需求。
  • 傳統水力發電廠大壩、抽水蓄能和徑流式水力發電廠是全球大型水力發電廠的不同類型。
  • 根據國際再生能源機構的數據，2022年全球水力發電投資約為75.5億美元，而2021年投資約為78.3億美元。全球對新增水電產能的持續投資推動了大型水力發電領域的成長。此外，大型水力發電安裝的平均成本相對較低。
  • 中國、巴西、美國、加拿大、印度、日本是全球大型水力發電計畫部署的主要國家。全球所有主要已開發經濟體和新興經濟體轉向清潔能源以及計劃增加再生能源在總發電結構中的佔有率等因素預計將在預測期內推動大型水力發電領域的發展。
  • 除了主要水力發電國家外，東南亞地區的小國也在大水電開發方面快速前進。推動湄公河經濟成長的能源需求不斷增加，吸引了沿岸國家對水力發電開發的濃厚興趣。過去幾十年來，該地區水力發電項目的大量投資證明了這一點。
  • 例如，寮國政府宣布計畫完成12座水力發電大壩項目，總容量1950兆瓦。水力發電開發是寮國政府計畫的核心優先事項，計畫在 2030 年向鄰國出口約 20,000 兆瓦電力。
  • 2022年5月，Drax Group PLC向Cruachan電站投資6.16億美元。該公司計劃為Cruachan電站新增600兆瓦地下抽水蓄能水力發電裝置。該公司計劃在 2030 年將 Cruachan 設施的容量增加一倍，並於 2024 年開始現場施工。該公司計劃在 Ben Cruachan 挖空一個洞穴，並挖掘約 200 萬噸岩石來容納發電站和相關基礎設施。
  • 因此，基於上述因素，預計大型水力發電（大於100兆瓦）領域將在預測期內主導全球水力發電市場。

亞太地區將主導市場

  • 近年來，亞太地區在水力發電市場上佔據主導地位，並且在預測期內很可能會保持其主導地位。根據國際再生能源機構的數據，截至2022年，中國是全球水力發電市場的領導者，裝置容量為413.5吉瓦。
  • 中國宣布計畫在2060年實現碳中和，2025年實現煤炭消費高峰。這促使再生能源領域投資增加，2022年新增水電裝置約22.5吉瓦。
  • 2023年5月，中國國家發展改革委員會（NDRC）宣布批准在西藏自治區建造一座新水力發電廠，資金支持約84.3億美元。電站年均發電量將超過112.8億度。
  • 此外，2023年2月，印度批准國家水力發電公司（NHPC）投資39億美元建設位於阿魯納恰爾邦的2,880兆瓦（MW）迪邦水力發電項目，預計該項目將耗時9年建設。
  • 因此，基於上述因素，亞太地區預計將在預測期內主導全球水力發電市場。

水電產業概況

水電市場是半整合的。一些主要參與者包括（排名不分先後）GE Renewable Energy、Siemens Energy AG、Andritz AG、Voith GmbH & Co. KGaA 和 PJSC RusHydro 等。

2022年3月，安德里茨與泰國發電局（EGAT）簽署了合作備忘錄（MoU），共同探索並擴大泰國及週邊東南亞國家水力發電計畫的商機。

額外的好處：

  • Excel 格式的市場估算 (ME) 表
  • 3 個月的分析師支持

目錄

第 1 章：簡介

  • 研究範圍
  • 市場定義
  • 研究假設

第 2 章：執行摘要

第 3 章：研究方法

第 4 章：市場概覽

  • 介紹
  • 到 2028 年裝置容量和預測（GW）
  • 最新趨勢和發展
  • 政府政策法規
  • 市場動態
    • 促進要素
      • 可靠電力的需求不斷成長
      • 加大政府對水力發電的支持力度
    • 限制
      • 水力發電項目的負面環境影響
  • 供應鏈分析
  • 波特五力分析
    • 供應商的議價能力
    • 消費者的議價能力
    • 新進入者的威脅
    • 替代產品和服務的威脅
    • 競爭激烈程度

第 5 章：市場區隔

  • 尺寸
    • 大型水力發電（大於100兆瓦）
    • 小型水力發電（10兆瓦以下）
    • 其他尺寸（10-100 MW）
  • 地理
    • 北美洲
      • 美國
      • 加拿大
      • 北美其他地區
    • 歐洲
      • 德國
      • 法國
      • 英國
      • 歐洲其他地區
    • 亞太
      • 中國
      • 印度
      • 日本
      • 韓國
      • 亞太其他地區
    • 南美洲
      • 巴西
      • 阿根廷
      • 南美洲其他地區
    • 中東和非洲
      • 沙烏地阿拉伯
      • 阿拉伯聯合大公國
      • 南非
      • 中東和非洲其他地區

第 6 章：競爭格局

  • 併購、合資、合作與協議
  • 領先企業採取的策略
  • 公司簡介
    • GE Renewable Energy
    • Siemens Energy AG
    • Andritz AG
    • Voith GmbH & Co. KGaA
    • China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd
    • PJSC RusHydro
    • Electricite de France SA (EDF)
    • Iberdrola SA

第 7 章：市場機會與未來趨勢

  • 旨在增加水力發電的新興技術趨勢
簡介目錄
Product Code: 53814

The Hydropower Market size is estimated at 1.40 terawatt in 2024, and is expected to reach 1.47 terawatt by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 1.02% during the forecast period (2024-2029).

Hydropower - Market

Key Highlights

  • Over the medium term, gactors such as the increasing number of new hydropower projects backed by government support and the rising demand for reliable electricity are expected to drive the market during the forecast period.
  • On the other hand, negative environmental consequences of hydropower projects are likely to hinder the market growth during the forecast period.
  • Nevertheless, emerging technological trends aimed at increasing hydropower generation are expected to provide significant opportunities for the hydropower market in the coming years.

Hydropower Market Trends

The Large Hydropower (Greater Than 100 MW) Segment to Dominate the Market

  • Large-scale hydropower is a form of renewable energy generation derived from flowing water, which is used to drive large water turbines. In order to generate large amounts of hydroelectricity for cities, lakes, reservoirs, and dams are needed to store and regulate water for later release for power generation, irrigation, and domestic or industrial use. Since large-scale hydropower facilities can easily be turned on and off, hydropower has become more reliable than most other energy sources for meeting peak electricity demands throughout the day.
  • Conventional hydroelectric dams, pumped storage, and run-of-the-river are the different types of large-scale hydropower plants worldwide.
  • As per International Renewable Energy Agency, around USD 7.55 billion was invested in hydropower globally in 2022, whereas around USD 7.83 billion was invested in 2021. The constant investment in new hydropower capacity globally drives growth in large hydropower segments. Also, the average cost of large hydropower installation is comparatively low.
  • China, Brazil, the United States, Canada, India, and Japan are the major countries in the deployment of large-scale hydropower projects across the world. Factors such as a shift towards cleaner energy sources and plans to increase the share of renewable energy in the total power generation mix across all the major developed and emerging economies across the world are expected to drive the large hydropower segment during the forecast period.
  • In addition to the major hydropower countries, smaller countries from the Southeast Asia region are also moving forward rapidly in the large hydropower development. Increasing demand for energy to boost the Mekong economy has attracted riparian countries' keen interest in hydropower development. Over the last few decades, this has been evidenced by extensive investment in hydropower projects across the region.
  • For instance, the Lao government announced that it plans to complete 12 hydropower dam projects with a total capacity of 1,950 MW. Hydropower development is a central priority of the Lao government's plan to export around 20,000 MW of electricity to its neighboring countries by 2030.
  • In May 2022, Drax Group PLC invested USD 616 million in the Cruachan power station. The company planned to add 600 MW of underground pumped storage hydropower capacity to the Cruachan power station. The company plans to double the Cruachan facility's capacity by 2030, and work on-site begins in 2024. The company plans to hollow out a cavern in Ben Cruachan and excavate around two million tons of rock to house the power station and related infrastructure.
  • Therefore, based on the factors mentioned above, the large hydropower (greater than 100 MW) segment is expected to dominate the global hydropower market during the forecast period.

Asia-Pacific to Dominate the Market

  • The Asian-Pacific region has dominated the hydropower market in recent years, and it is likely to maintain its dominance during the forecast period. According to International Renewable Energy Agency, as of 2022, China is the global leader in the hydropower market, with an installed capacity of 413.5 GW.
  • China announced its plan to become carbon neutral by 2060 and peak coal consumption by 2025. This led to increased investment in the renewable sector, and in 2022, around 22.5 GW of new hydropower was installed.
  • In May 2023, the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) of China announced to approval construction of a new hydropower plant in the Xizang Autonomous region which will have capital backing of around USD 8.43 billion. The annual average electricity volume produced by the plant will surpass 11.28 billion kilowatt-hours.
  • Further, in February 2023, India approved a USD 3.9 billion investment for the 2,880 megawatts (MW) Dibang hydropower project in Arunachal Pradesh, National Hydroelectric Power Corporation (NHPC), and it is estimated that this project will take nine years to build.
  • Therefore, based on the factors mentioned above, Asia-Pacific is expected to dominate the global hydropower market during the forecast period.

Hydropower Industry Overview

The hydropower market is semi-consolidated. Some of the major players include (not in particular order) GE Renewable Energy, Siemens Energy AG, Andritz AG, Voith GmbH & Co. KGaA, and PJSC RusHydro, among others.

In March 2022, ANDRITZ and the Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand (EGAT) signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) to jointly explore and expand business opportunities for hydropower projects in Thailand and surrounding Southeast Asian countries.

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Scope of the Study
  • 1.2 Market Definition
  • 1.3 Study Assumptions

2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

4 MARKET OVERVIEW

  • 4.1 Introduction
  • 4.2 Installed Capacity and Forecast in GW, till 2028
  • 4.3 Recent Trends and Developments
  • 4.4 Government Policies and Regulations
  • 4.5 Market Dynamics
    • 4.5.1 Drivers
      • 4.5.1.1 Rising Demand for Reliable Electricity
      • 4.5.1.2 Increasing Government Support for Hydropower Gneeration
    • 4.5.2 Restraints
      • 4.5.2.1 Negative Environmental Consequences of Hydropower Projects
  • 4.6 Supply Chain Analysis
  • 4.7 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
    • 4.7.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Consumers
    • 4.7.3 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitutes Products and Services
    • 4.7.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 MARKET SEGMENTATION

  • 5.1 Size
    • 5.1.1 Large Hydropower (Greater Than 100 MW)
    • 5.1.2 Small Hydropower (Smaller Than 10 MW)
    • 5.1.3 Other Sizes (10-100 MW)
  • 5.2 Geography
    • 5.2.1 North America
      • 5.2.1.1 United States
      • 5.2.1.2 Canada
      • 5.2.1.3 Rest of North America
    • 5.2.2 Europe
      • 5.2.2.1 Germany
      • 5.2.2.2 France
      • 5.2.2.3 United Kingdom
      • 5.2.2.4 Rest of Europe
    • 5.2.3 Asia-Pacific
      • 5.2.3.1 China
      • 5.2.3.2 India
      • 5.2.3.3 Japan
      • 5.2.3.4 South Korea
      • 5.2.3.5 Rest of Asia-Pacific
    • 5.2.4 South America
      • 5.2.4.1 Brazil
      • 5.2.4.2 Argentina
      • 5.2.4.3 Rest of South America
    • 5.2.5 Middle East and Africa
      • 5.2.5.1 Saudi Arabia
      • 5.2.5.2 United Arab Emirates
      • 5.2.5.3 South Africa
      • 5.2.5.4 Rest of Middle East and Africa

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Mergers and Acquisitions, Joint Ventures, Collaborations, and Agreements
  • 6.2 Strategies Adopted by Leading Players
  • 6.3 Company Profiles
    • 6.3.1 GE Renewable Energy
    • 6.3.2 Siemens Energy AG
    • 6.3.3 Andritz AG
    • 6.3.4 Voith GmbH & Co. KGaA
    • 6.3.5 China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd
    • 6.3.6 PJSC RusHydro
    • 6.3.7 Electricite de France SA (EDF)
    • 6.3.8 Iberdrola SA

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS

  • 7.1 Emerging Technological Trends Aimed at Increasing Hydropower Generation