市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1466313
永續航空燃料市場:按燃料類型、混合能力、製造技術、營運、最終用途 - 全球預測,2024-2030 年Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market by Fuel Type (Biofuel, Gas to Liquid Fuel, Hydrogen Fuel), Blending Capacity (30% to 50%, Above 50%, Below 30%), Manufacturing Technology, Operation, End-Use - Global Forecast 2024-2030 |
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預計2023年永續航空燃油市場規模為38.8億美元,2024年達50.1億美元,預計2030年將達到274.5億美元,複合年成長率為32.24%。
永續航空燃料(SAF)是一種用於民航機和軍用飛機的環保替代燃料。 SAF 由廢油、農業殘留物、非作物等可再生資源以及藻類生質燃料和合成石蠟煤油 (SPK) 等先進生質燃料技術製成。主要最終用戶包括希望減少與傳統噴射機燃料相關的溫室氣體排放的航空公司、貨運公司、政府和國防機構。監管機構制定更嚴格的排放標準,採取綠色舉措和稅額扣抵和津貼等可用獎勵,將鼓勵 SAF 技術的研究和開發,並增加永續航空燃料的使用。全球空中交通量的增加和石油價格的持續上漲正在增加對清潔替代燃料的需求,以減少整個航空業對環境的影響。生產永續航空燃料的高成本阻礙了市場成長。將廢棄物轉化為有價值燃料的新途徑的開拓預計將創造市場成長機會。
主要市場統計 | |
---|---|
基準年[2023] | 38.8億美元 |
預測年份 [2024] | 50.1億美元 |
預測年份 [2030] | 274.5億美元 |
複合年成長率(%) | 32.24% |
燃料類型:更多採用生質燃料以使航空業脫碳
由廢棄物和植物等有機材料製成的生質燃料是傳統噴射機燃料的永續替代品。它的溫室氣體(GHG)排放低於石化燃料,並有可能為航空業的脫碳做出貢獻。氫燃料也是無排放氣體航空旅行的一種有前景的解決方案。用於燃料電池或在引擎和發電機裝置中燃燒的氫氣可產生水作為產品,從而顯著減少溫室氣體排放。電轉液(PtL)燃料利用可再生電力將水和二氧化碳轉化為液態碳氫化合物,以合成液態碳氫化合物燃料,例如噴射機燃料。 PtL 燃料的優勢在於其與現有噴射引擎和燃料基礎設施的兼容性,使其成為減少飛機碳排放的可行解決方案。 GTL 燃料的化學性質與傳統噴射機燃料相似,但它是透過合成過程由天然氣生產的。它與現有航空燃料基礎設施和引擎的兼容性使其成為立即部署的有吸引力的選擇。此外,GTL燃料具有更高的能量密度,並且比傳統噴射機燃料具有更高的燃料效率的潛力。
混合能力:擴大永續航空燃料的使用,經濟高效的混合效率達到 30% 至 50%。
對於一些航空公司來說,30% 至 50% 範圍內的混合效率代表了環境效益和成本效益之間的最佳平衡。 SAF 的這種混合效率水準有效減少了溫室氣體排放,同時保持與現有飛機引擎和燃料基礎設施的兼容性。 SAF的混合效率超過50%,可顯著減少溫室氣體排放。然而,這將需要在引擎改進和先進燃料基礎設施方面進行額外投資。儘管存在潛在的成本負擔,但旨在快速脫碳的航空公司更喜歡這一類別。 SAF 的混合效率低於 30%,非常適合逐漸過渡到永續航空解決方案或面臨預算限制的航空公司。此外,與更有效的選擇相比,這一類別代表了在減少排放的進展,但環境效益有限。
製造技術:增加使用費托合成石蠟煤油(FT-SPK)以提供更乾淨的燃燒燃料
酒精噴射 SPK (ATJ-SPK) 技術涉及多種原料的利用,包括農業殘留物、城市固態廢棄物和專用能源作物。催化水熱熱解噴氣機 (CHJ) 透過催化水熱熱解和加氫處理,將從植物油和廢脂肪中獲得的脂質轉化為可再生噴射機燃料。費托合成石蠟煤油(FT-SPK)技術透過將生質能和天然氣等碳基原料轉化為合成氣,然後再轉化為液態碳氫化合物來合成燃料。水解脂肪酸酯和脂肪酸合成石蠟煤油 (HEFA-SPK) 是用於生產 SAF 的重要技術。此製程將主要源自廢油、動物脂肪和非食用植物油的生物基原料轉化為適合飛機使用的先進生質燃料。 HEFA-SPK 燃料的主要優勢在於,與傳統噴射機燃料相比,它可以減少溫室氣體排放,同時保持高性能以及與現有飛機引擎和基礎設施的兼容性。發酵氫化糖合成異烷烴(HFS-SIP)是透過發酵糖產生法呢烯,然後透過加水轉化為異烷烴。所得燃料具有高能量密度和優異的低溫流動性。
最終用途:SAF 在民用航空領域減少環境影響的新可能性
商務和通用航空部門包括私人飛機營運商、包機航班和小型支線航空公司。企業社會責任目標、環境法規和客戶對綠色出行選擇的需求推動了該行業對永續航空燃料 (SAF) 的需求。民航部門已開始使用 SAF 來實現國際民航組織 (ICAO) 等組織所製定的國際排放目標。軍用航空領域包括世界各地尋求透過使用 SAF 來減少碳排放和對石化燃料依賴的軍隊。無人機 (UAV) 用於多種行業,包括航空攝影、監視、農業和運輸。 SAF 擴大用於無人機,以盡量減少對環境的影響。
營運:在有人駕駛飛機碳減排方面增加使用 SAF
載人飛行器(MAV),包括民航機飛機和私人飛機,是最重要的航空業類別。 MAV 是航空燃油的主要消耗者,並且在使用 SAF 時處於最前沿。營運商開始將 SAF 納入其燃料混合物中,顯著減少與航空燃料相關的排放和其他排放。在國際上,機場和航空公司開始將 SAF 納入其供應鏈。例如,航空巨頭波音公司承諾在 2030 年確保商用飛機能夠達到 100% SAF 的性能和認證。其他行業公司,例如聯合航空和Delta航空,也在採取逐步措施來採用 SAF。無人機因其用途廣泛(從送貨到監視再到娛樂)而變得越來越受歡迎。儘管這些設備的燃料需求低於微型飛行器,但將 SAF 整合到無人機中非常重要。這些無人機使用 SAF 來減少碳排放並實現全球永續性目標。
區域洞察
根據國際貿易管理局 (ITA) 的數據,美國是世界上最大的航空客運和貨運市場之一,每天運輸的貨物超過 58,000 噸。根據美國聯邦航空管理局(FAA)預測,隨著航空貨運量的持續成長,預計2037年民航機總數將達到8,270架。在巴西、加拿大、美國和智利,由於地面車輛擁擠嚴重、流通係數低,飛機在貨運、最後一哩配送、緊急醫療、空中接駁車和個人運輸等領域的使用量不斷增加。 ,創造了美洲對永續航空燃料的需求。亞太地區航空公司擴大採用各種永續航空燃料,預計將為亞太地區市場成長奠定基礎。 2021 年 12 月,印度靛藍航空與位於德拉敦的印度石油研究所科學與工業研究委員會 (CSIR-IIP) 簽署協議,在全球開發和供應 SAF。 2021 年 6 月,日本航空 (JAL) 完成了日本生產的兩種永續航空燃料的混合測試。擴大 SAF 製造規模的稅額扣抵和津貼等政府支持的增加預計將成為歐洲、中東和非洲市場成長的基礎。
FPNV定位矩陣
FPNV定位矩陣對於評估永續航空燃油市場至關重要。我們檢視與業務策略和產品滿意度相關的關鍵指標,以對供應商進行全面評估。這種深入的分析使用戶能夠根據自己的要求做出明智的決策。根據評估,供應商被分為四個成功程度不同的像限。最前線 (F)、探路者 (P)、利基 (N) 和重要 (V)。
市場佔有率分析
市場佔有率分析是一種綜合工具,可對永續航空燃料市場供應商的現狀進行深入而深入的研究。全面比較和分析供應商在整體收益、基本客群和其他關鍵指標方面的貢獻,以便更好地了解公司的績效及其在爭奪市場佔有率時面臨的挑戰。此外,該分析也為此細分市場的競爭特徵提供了寶貴的見解,包括在研究基準年觀察到的累積、分散主導地位和合併特徵等因素。詳細程度的提高使供應商能夠做出更明智的決策並制定有效的策略,從而在市場上獲得競爭優勢。
1. 市場滲透率:提供有關主要企業所服務的市場的全面資訊。
2. 市場開拓:我們深入研究利潤豐厚的新興市場,並分析其在成熟細分市場的滲透率。
3. 市場多元化:包括新產品發布、開拓地區、最新發展和投資的詳細資訊。
4. 競爭評估和情報:對主要企業的市場佔有率、策略、產品、認證、監管狀況、專利狀況和製造能力進行全面評估。
5. 產品開發與創新:包括對未來技術、研發活動和突破性產品開發的見解。
1.永續航空燃油市場的市場規模與預測是多少?
2.在永續航空燃料市場的預測期內,我們應該考慮投資哪些產品和應用?
3.永續航空燃油市場的技術趨勢和法規結構是什麼?
4.永續航空燃料市場主要供應商的市場佔有率為何?
5. 進入永續航油市場的適當型態和策略手段是什麼?
[188 Pages Report] The Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market size was estimated at USD 3.88 billion in 2023 and expected to reach USD 5.01 billion in 2024, at a CAGR 32.24% to reach USD 27.45 billion by 2030.
Sustainable aviation fuels (SAF) are eco-friendly alternative fuels used in commercial and military aircraft. SAFs are made from renewable resources such as waste oils, agricultural residues, non-food crops, and advanced biofuel technologies, including algae-derived biofuels and synthetic paraffinic kerosene (SPK). The primary end-users include airlines, cargo carriers, governments, and defense organizations, aiming to reduce greenhouse gas emissions associated with conventional jet fuel. Stricter emission standards set by regulatory bodies to adopt green initiatives and the availability of incentives such as tax credits and grants encourage research and development in SAF technology, elevating the usage of sustainable aviation fuels. Rising air traffic globally and continuous upsurge in crude oil prices are increasing the need for cleaner alternatives across the aviation sector to mitigate environmental impacts. High production costs associated with sustainable aviation fuels hampers market growth. The growing development of novel pathways to convert waste materials into valuable fuels is expected to create opportunities for market growth.
KEY MARKET STATISTICS | |
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Base Year [2023] | USD 3.88 billion |
Estimated Year [2024] | USD 5.01 billion |
Forecast Year [2030] | USD 27.45 billion |
CAGR (%) | 32.24% |
Fuel Type: Growing adoption of biofuels to decarbonize the aviation sector
Biofuels, derived from organic matter such as waste materials and plants, are a sustainable alternative to traditional jet fuels. They emit fewer greenhouse gases (GHGs) compared to fossil fuels and potentially contribute to the decarbonization of the aviation industry. Hydrogen fuel is another promising solution for achieving emissions-free air travel. Hydrogen used in a fuel cell or burned in an engine-generator set-up produces water as a byproduct, significantly reducing GHG emissions. Power-to-liquid (PtL) fuels involve synthesizing liquid hydrocarbon fuels such as jet fuel by using renewable electricity to convert water and carbon dioxide into liquid hydrocarbons. The advantage of PtL fuels lies in their compatibility with existing jet engines and fuel infrastructure, making them a feasible solution for reducing the carbon footprint of aviation. GTL fuel is chemically similar to conventional jet fuel but is produced from natural gas through a synthetic process. Its compatibility with existing aviation fuel infrastructure and engines makes it an attractive option for immediate implementation. Additionally, GTL fuel has a higher energy density, potentially offering better fuel efficiency than traditional jet fuel.
Blending Capacity: Expanding usage of sustainable aviation fuel with blending efficiency of 30% to 50% owing to its cost-effectiveness
A blending efficiency range of 30% to 50% represents an optimal balance between environmental benefits and cost-effectiveness for several airlines. SAF, with this efficiency level, effectively reduces greenhouse gas emissions while maintaining compatibility with existing aircraft engines and fuel infrastructure. SAF, with a blending efficiency above 50%, offers substantial reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. However, it requires additional investment in engine modifications and advanced fuel infrastructure. Airlines focusing on rapid decarbonization prefer this category despite potential cost implications. SAF, with a blending efficiency below 30%, is ideal for airlines that are gradually transitioning toward sustainable aviation solutions or facing budget constraints. Moreover, this category offers limited environmental benefits compared to higher-efficiency options and represents progress in reducing emissions.
Manufacturing Technology: Increasing usage of Fischer Tropsch Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene (FT-SPK) that provides cleaner-burning fuel
Alcohol to Jet SPK (ATJ-SPK) technology involves the utilization of various feedstocks, including agricultural residues, municipal solid waste, and dedicated energy crops. Catalytic hydrothermolysis jet (CHJ) converts lipids sourced from vegetable oils and waste fats into renewable jet fuel through catalytic hydrothermolysis, followed by hydrotreatment. Fischer Tropsch Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene (FT-SPK) technology synthesizes fuel by converting carbon-based feedstocks, such as biomass and natural gas, into synthetic gas and then transforming it into liquid hydrocarbons. Hydroprocessed fatty acid esters and fatty acids - synthetic paraffinic kerosene (HEFA-SPK) is a prominent technology utilized in the production of SAF. The process involves converting bio-based feedstocks, primarily derived from waste oils, animal fats, and non-edible plant oils, into advanced biofuels suitable for use in aviation. The key advantage of HEFA-SPK fuels is their ability to lower greenhouse gas emissions compared to conventional jet fuel while maintaining high performance and compatibility with existing aircraft engines and infrastructure. Synthetic Iso-paraffin from Fermented Hydroprocessed Sugar (HFS-SIP) involves fermenting sugar into farnesene and then converting it into iso-paraffin through hydroprocessing. The resulting fuel has high energy density and excellent cold-flow properties.
End-Use: Emerging potential of SAFs across commercial aviation to reduce environmental impact
The business & general aviation sector encompasses private jet operators, charter flights, and smaller regional airlines. The need for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) in this sector is driven by corporate social responsibility goals, environmental regulations, and customer demand for greener travel options. The commercial aviation sector started using SAFs to meet international emission reduction targets set by organizations such as the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO). Military aviation includes armed forces worldwide seeking to lower their carbon footprint and dependency on fossil fuels through the use of SAFs. Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) are used across various industries for applications such as aerial photography, surveillance, agriculture, and transportation. The use of SAFs is increasing in UAVs to minimize their environmental impact.
Operation: Increasing utilization of SAF in manned aerial vehicles carbon reduction
Manned aerial vehicles (MAVs), including commercial and private aircraft, are the most significant aviation sector category. MAVs are the chief consumers of aviation fuel and are at the forefront when using SAF. Operators have started introducing SAF into their fuel mix, significantly reducing the carbon footprint and other emissions associated with aviation fuel. Internationally, airports and airlines have begun incorporating SAF into their supply chains. For instance, the aviation behemoth Boeing has committed to ensuring its commercial planes are capable and certified to fly on 100% SAF by 2030. Other industry players, such as United Airlines and Delta Air Lines, are taking progressive steps toward adopting SAF. UAVs, colloquially known as drones, are rising in popularity due to their diverse applications ranging from delivery to surveillance and entertainment. These devices have a lesser fuel demand than MAVs; however, incorporating SAF in UAVs is significant. These drones reduce their carbon footprint using SAF, aligning with global sustainability goals.
Regional Insights
The United States has one of the largest air passenger and freight markets globally, and as per the International Trade Administration (ITA), over 58,000 tons of cargo are transported daily. According to the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), the total commercial aircraft fleet is estimated to reach 8,270 in 2037, owing to a continuous increase in air cargo. The usage of aircraft for cargo transportation, last-mile delivery, medical emergencies, air shuttle, private transport, and other areas has been increasing in Brazil, Canada, the U.S., and Chile due to high congestion and the indirect nature of routes with higher circuity factors for ground-based vehicles, creating a demand for sustainable aviation fuels in Americas. The ongoing adoption of various sustainable aviation fuels by airlines across Asia-Pacific is expected to create a platform for the growth of the market in Asia-Pacific. In December 2021, Indigo Airlines, India, signed an agreement with the Dehradun-based Council of Scientific and Industrial Research-Indian Institute of Petroleum (CSIR-IIP) to develop and supply SAF at the global level. Japan Airlines (JAL), in June 2021, completed the test of a mixture of two different types of sustainable aviation fuel produced domestically in Japan. The rising availability of government support in terms of tax credits and grants to expand the manufacturing of SAFs is expected to create a platform for market growth in EMEA.
FPNV Positioning Matrix
The FPNV Positioning Matrix is pivotal in evaluating the Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market. It offers a comprehensive assessment of vendors, examining key metrics related to Business Strategy and Product Satisfaction. This in-depth analysis empowers users to make well-informed decisions aligned with their requirements. Based on the evaluation, the vendors are then categorized into four distinct quadrants representing varying levels of success: Forefront (F), Pathfinder (P), Niche (N), or Vital (V).
Market Share Analysis
The Market Share Analysis is a comprehensive tool that provides an insightful and in-depth examination of the current state of vendors in the Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market. By meticulously comparing and analyzing vendor contributions in terms of overall revenue, customer base, and other key metrics, we can offer companies a greater understanding of their performance and the challenges they face when competing for market share. Additionally, this analysis provides valuable insights into the competitive nature of the sector, including factors such as accumulation, fragmentation dominance, and amalgamation traits observed over the base year period studied. With this expanded level of detail, vendors can make more informed decisions and devise effective strategies to gain a competitive edge in the market.
Key Company Profiles
The report delves into recent significant developments in the Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, highlighting leading vendors and their innovative profiles. These include Abu Dhabi National Oil Company, Aemetis, Inc., Amyris, Inc., Axens SA, BP PLC, Chevron Corporation, China National Petroleum Corporation, CleanJoule, DGFuels, LLC, ENEOS Group, Enertrag SE, Eni S.p.A., Exxon Mobil Corporation, Fulcrum BioEnergy, Inc., Gevo, Inc., HIF Global, Honeywell International Inc., Indian Oil Corporation Limited, INERATEC GmbH, KBR, Inc., LanzaTech Global, Inc., Linde PLC, Lummus Technology LLC, Maire Tecnimont S.p.A., Mitsubishi Corporation, Montana Renewables, LLC by Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P., Neste Corporation, Norsk e-Fuel AS, Nova Pangaea Technologies Ltd, ORLEN S.A., OxCCU Tech Limited, Phillips 66, Praj industries Ltd., Preem Holdings AB, Raven SR Inc., Red Rock Biofuels Holdings, RWE AG, Sasol Limited, Saudi Arabian Oil Company, Shell PLC, Siemens Energy AG, SkyNRG B.V., Sumitomo Heavy Industries, Ltd., Sunfire GmbH, Swedish Biofuels AB, Synhelion SA, Technip Energies N.V., Topsoe A/S, TotalEnergies SE, Twelve Benefit Corporation, World Energy, LLC, Yokogawa Electric Corporation, and Zero Petroleum Limited.
Market Segmentation & Coverage
1. Market Penetration: It presents comprehensive information on the market provided by key players.
2. Market Development: It delves deep into lucrative emerging markets and analyzes the penetration across mature market segments.
3. Market Diversification: It provides detailed information on new product launches, untapped geographic regions, recent developments, and investments.
4. Competitive Assessment & Intelligence: It conducts an exhaustive assessment of market shares, strategies, products, certifications, regulatory approvals, patent landscape, and manufacturing capabilities of the leading players.
5. Product Development & Innovation: It offers intelligent insights on future technologies, R&D activities, and breakthrough product developments.
1. What is the market size and forecast of the Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market?
2. Which products, segments, applications, and areas should one consider investing in over the forecast period in the Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market?
3. What are the technology trends and regulatory frameworks in the Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market?
4. What is the market share of the leading vendors in the Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market?
5. Which modes and strategic moves are suitable for entering the Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market?