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1347946

全球核反應堆退役市場 - 2023-2030

Global Nuclear Reactor Decommissioning Market - 2023-2030

出版日期: 2023年09月11日 | 出版商:

DataM Intelligence | 英文 211 Pages | 商品交期: 約2個工作天內

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簡介目錄

概述

2022年，全球核反應堆退役市場規模達到765億美元，預計到2030年將達到943億美元，2023-2030年預測期間年複合成長率為2.7%。

全球眾多核反應堆和設施的運行壽命即將達到頂峰，預計將推動核反應堆退役市場的成長，這些設施的安全和高效退役預計將在未來幾年成為一個顯著成長的領域。原子能機構會議是在全球對退役的興趣日益濃厚的背景下召開的。各國正在尋求退役老化的核設施並採用新的核技術來應對可靠和低碳能源生產等挑戰，以應對氣候變化。

法國原子能委員會副首席執行官勞倫斯·皮凱蒂表示，預計到2050 年，全球現有400 多座動力反應堆中近一半將退役。現有核電站的很大一部分（約50%）預計將在2050 年退役。 2050年，超過200座核反應堆已經退役，許多研究堆和燃料循環設施也可能被關閉。

北美是核反應堆退役市場最大的地區，在核管理委員會等政府法規的推動下，對核電站退役實施了嚴格的規定，以確保退役過程中和之後工人和公眾的安全。美國核工業面臨著獨特的挑戰，約有 90 座反應堆的運行許可證有效期長達 60 年。值得注意的是，由於經濟考慮等多種因素，一些反應堆已經在其指定運行壽命之前退役。

動力學

先進技術推動核反應堆退役行業發展

核反應堆退役市場預計將受到不斷發展的技術和進步的推動。國際原子能機構發起了一項全球努力，以加強新興技術在退役過程中的作用。隨著超過 200 座核電反應堆即將退役，還有幾座運行中的核反應堆預計將在未來幾十年內逐步淘汰，該行業正在尋求簡化和改進這一流程。

這項工作旨在深入了解用於數據管理、規劃、許可和退役實施的新數位工具和技術。核反應堆退役行業正在通過人工智慧、自動化、數位化等前沿創新實現技術突破。這些技術預計將提高退役項目的效率、安全性和成本效益。預計到 2030 年，很大一部分核電發電能力將退役，這一事實凸顯了這些進步的重要性。

健康和環境問題推動核反應堆退役

核反應堆退役市場預計將受到日益成長的健康風險和環境影響的推動。電離輻射是核反應的副產品，對工人和普通民眾都構成健康風險。接觸電離輻射的潛在健康危害包括直接損害、放射病和癌症、心血管疾病和白內障等長期影響。對健康風險的了解導致人們越來越重視核反應堆在其使用壽命結束時退役。

此外，向更清潔和更永續的能源過渡的需要促使核電站退役以及隨後這些設施的退役。隨著人們越來越關注減少碳排放和應對氣候變化，舊核反應堆的退役和這些設施的適當退役有助於打造更加環保的能源格局。

核設施關閉即將激增

預計到2050 年，核設施永久關閉數量即將大幅增加，這對核反應堆退役市場產生了重大影響。這種激增需要大量資源，包括財政和人力方面的資源，才能成功執行複雜的退役計劃，這些計劃可能會延伸到整個核反應堆退役計劃。下個世紀。雖然商業設施的退役費用資金通常是在營運階段指定的，但很大一部分設施直接或間接依賴國家資源來資助退役工作。

在這種情況下，能否獲得足夠的資金成為一個關鍵因素，可能會導致這些關鍵退役項目的執行出現延誤。退役計劃的複雜性需要具有跨領域專業知識的專業人員，包括核工程和放射性廢物管理。吸引年輕有才華的勞動力從事退役和放射性廢物管理職業正在成為該行業面臨的最重要的障礙之一。

Overview

Global Nuclear Reactor Decommissioning Market reached US$ 76.5 billion in 2022 and is expected to reach US$ 94.3 billion by 2030, growing with a CAGR of 2.7% during the forecast period 2023-2030.

The nuclear reactor decommissioning market is expected to be driven by growing by the approaching culmination of operational lifespans for numerous nuclear reactors and facilities worldwide, the safe and efficient decommissioning of these facilities is expected to become a significant growth sector in the coming years. The IAEA conference took place amid increasing global interest in decommissioning. Countries are looking to retire aging nuclear facilities and adopt new nuclear technologies to address challenges like reliable and low-carbon energy production to combat climate change.

Laurence Piketty, Deputy CEO of the French Atomic Energy Commission said, almost half of the current 400 + power reactors worldwide are projected to undergo decommissioning by 2050. A substantial portion of the existing nuclear fleet, around 50%, is expected to be retired by 2050. Over 200 nuclear power reactors have already been retired and numerous research reactors and fuel cycle facilities are likely to be shut down as well.

North America is the largest region in the nuclear reactor decommissioning market driven by government regulations such as Nuclear Regulatory Commission imposes stringent regulations governing nuclear power plant decommissioning to ensure the safety of workers and the public throughout and after the decommissioning process. With approximately 90 reactors operating under licenses that extend up to 60 years, U.S. nuclear industry faces unique challenges. Notably, several reactors have already been retired before their designated operational lifespan due to various factors, including economic considerations.

Dynamics

Advancing Technology Drives Nuclear Reactor Decommissioning Industry Evolution

The nuclear reactor decommissioning market is expected to be driven by growing technology and advancements. International Atomic Energy Agency has initiated a global effort to enhance the role of new and emerging technologies in the decommissioning process. With over two-hundred nuclear power reactors undergoing decommissioning and several operating ones expected to phase out in the coming decades, the industry is seeking to streamline and improve the process.

This effort aims to provide insights into new digital tools and technologies used for data management, planning, licensing and implementation of decommissioning. The nuclear reactor decommissioning industry is experiencing a technological breakthrough through cutting-edge innovations such as artificial intelligence, automation and digitalization. The technologies are expected to enhance efficiency, safety and cost-effectiveness in decommissioning projects. The importance of these advancements is highlighted by the fact that a significant portion of nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to be retired by 2030.

Health and Environmental Concerns Drive Nuclear Reactor Decommissioning

The nuclear reactor decommissioning market is expected to be driven by growing health risks and environmental impacts. Ionizing radiation, a byproduct of nuclear reactions, poses health risks to both workers and the general population. The potential health hazards of exposure to ionizing radiation include immediate damage, radiation sickness and long-term effects such as cancer, cardiovascular disease and cataracts. The understanding of the health risks has led to a growing emphasis on decommissioning nuclear reactors as they reach the end of their operational lifetimes.

Moreover, the need to transition to cleaner and more sustainable energy sources has prompted the retirement of nuclear power plants and the subsequent decommissioning of these facilities. With the increasing focus on reducing carbon emissions and addressing climate change, the retirement of older nuclear reactors and the proper decommissioning of these facilities contribute to a more environmentally friendly energy landscape.

Impending Surge of Nuclear Facility Shutdowns

The nuclear reactor decommissioning market is significantly impacted by the impending surge in permanent shutdowns of nuclear facilities projected to occur by 2050. The surge necessitates substantial resources, encompassing both financial and human aspects, to successfully execute the complex decommissioning initiatives that could extend well into the next century. While funds for decommissioning costs have generally been earmarked during the operational phase for commercial facilities, a notable proportion of facilities rely on state resources, either directly or indirectly, to finance decommissioning endeavor.

The availability of adequate funding in such cases becomes a critical factor that could potentially introduce delays to the execution of these crucial decommissioning projects. The intricate nature of decommissioning programs necessitates professionals with expertise spanning various domains, including nuclear engineering and radioactive waste management. Engaging and attracting a young and talented workforce to embrace careers in decommissioning and radioactive waste management is emerging as one of the foremost obstacles confronting the industry.

Segment Analysis

The global nuclear reactor decommissioning market is segmented based on technology, reactor size, type, reactor type, phase and region.

DECON Dominance for Efficient and Swift Nuclear Reactor Decommissioning

DECON holds the largest share of decommissioning industry driven by it's immediate dismantling feature further enhances its efficiency by initiating the facility's deconstruction promptly after the removal of nuclear fuel rods and equipment, ultimately contributing to potential cost savings. DECON mitigates radiation hazards and prioritizes worker safety. Also, this process demands less long-term monitoring compared to other methods like Safstor, as the facility's prompt dismantling after material removal diminishes the need for prolonged oversight, making it a well-rounded and expedient choice for nuclear reactor decommissioning.

Moreover, DECON's primary focus on the removal of fuel and equipment translates into a reduction of potential radiation exposure for workers engaged in subsequent decommissioning activities. By prioritizing immediate dismantling and decontamination, the DECON process proves pivotal in swiftly managing a potential nuclear crisis, ensuring worker safety, minimizing radiation hazards and facilitating efficient disaster response coordination.

Geographical Penetration

North America Drives Nuclear Reactor Decommissioning Market Amid Energy Transition

North America is the largest region in the nuclear reactor decommissioning market driven by the need to address the challenges posed by early retirements, economic viability and the transition to cleaner energy sources while ensuring a sustainable and reliable energy future in the region. The region's pursuit of a sustainable and reliable energy future has led to its prominent position within this sector. The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 introduced in U.S. has significantly enhanced the economic landscape of nuclear power generation. The legislation establishes a tax credit aimed at promoting zero-emission nuclear power, thereby intensifying the need for decommissioning existing nuclear reactors within the region.

The dismantling market in U.S. holds substantial potential due to the closure of multiple reactors. The projected increase in the number of nuclear facilities slated for permanent shutdown by 2050 underscores the demand for considerable resources, both financial and human, to effectively execute the complex decommissioning processes. As the energy landscape evolves, these specialized services become vital for ensuring safe, efficient and cost-effective decommissioning, contributing to the broader transition toward cleaner and more sustainable energy sources.

Competitive Landscape

The major global players in the market include: SNC-Lavalin Group, Westinghouse Electric Company, AECOM orano, Studsvik, Babcock International Group, Bechtel Corporation, EnergySolutions, Magnox Ltd and NorthStar Group Services.

COVID-19 Impact Analysis

COVID-19 made a significant impact on the nuclear reactor industry by inducing temporary shutdowns of some nuclear facilities to prevent the spread of the virus among workers and to protect their safety. The disruption in operations affected various stages of decommissioning, including planned outages and maintenance schedules. The reallocation of resources and manpower to manage pandemic-related challenges could have diverted attention and resources from decommissioning projects.

The pandemic disrupted global supply chains, affecting the availability of components and materials required for nuclear reactor construction, operation and decommissioning. It further contributed to delays in projects and operations. Governments and organizations prioritized pandemic response and safety, potentially affecting the pace of decommissioning efforts.

Russia-Ukraine War Impact

The Russia-Ukraine war made a significant impact on the nuclear reactor industry, the conflict has substantially disrupted decommissioning processes and cast a shadow of concern over nuclear facility safety and security. The immediate proximity of military actions to nuclear power plants has instigated fears of infrastructure damage, potential radiation leaks and even severe nuclear accidents.

The International Atomic Energy Agency has responded by closely monitoring the situation, providing technical support and underscoring the significance of international collaboration during times of turmoil. However, the conflict's ongoing nature has exacerbated uncertainty regarding the future of Ukraine's nuclear facilities. Decisions concerning reactor operation, decommissioning or potential closure are entwined with the geopolitical context and the resolution of the conflict.

By Technology

Safe Storage (SAFSTOR)
Decontamination (DECON)
Other

By Reactor Size

Large Reactors
Small Reactors

By Type

Immediate Dismantling
Safe Enclosure
Entombment

By Reactor Type

Pressurized Water Reactor
Gas-Cooled Reactor
Fast Neutron Reactor
Boiling Water Reactor
Others

By Phase

Pre-Decommissioning
Decontamination & Dismantling (D&D)
Waste Management
Site Restoration
Defueling & Storage
Other

By Region

North America
- U.S.
- Canada
- Mexico

Europe
- Germany
- UK
- France
- Italy
- Russia
- Rest of Europe

South America
- Brazil
- Argentina
- Rest of South America

Asia-Pacific
- China
- India
- Japan
- Australia
- Rest of Asia-Pacific

Middle East and Africa

Key Developments

On January 11, 2023, Westinghouse Electric Company made a significant stride in the field of nuclear decommissioning by entering an agreement with Ignalinos Atomine Elektrine (IAE) to lead the decommissioning project of two RBMK-1500 nuclear power reactors at Ignalina Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) in Lithuania's Visaginas Municipality. The venture stands as a historic milestone as it marks the first-ever decommissioning of an RBMK reactor.
In March 2023, orano Decommissioning Services (Orano DS) showcased an innovative approach to swift reactor dismantling at unit 3 of the Crystal River Nuclear Power Plant (CR3) in U.S. The method, known as the Optimised Segmentation process, is aimed at minimizing waste volume for disposal and reducing the amount of segmentation work on reactor structures. The process involves underwater segmentation, extraction and separation of reactor internals into categories, namely Greater-than-Class C (GTCC) waste and highly contaminated internal structures.
In July 2023, a significant development occurred in the field of nuclear decommissioning as Cavendish Nuclear, along with joint venture partners Amentum and Fluor, secured the Portsmouth Gaseous Diffusion Plant Decontamination and Decommissioning Contract in Piketon, Ohio. The contract entails the demolition, disposal and decommissioning of facilities associated with the gaseous diffusion plant. Beyond facility dismantling, the joint venture aims to implement established technologies for water treatment and soil remediation, furthering the environmental cleanup process.

Why Purchase the Report?

To visualize the global nuclear reactor decommissioning market segmentation based on technology, reactor size, type, reactor type, phase and region, as well as understand key commercial assets and players.
Identify commercial opportunities by analyzing trends and co-development.
Excel data sheet with numerous data points of nuclear reactor decommissioning market-level with all segments.
PDF report consists of a comprehensive analysis after exhaustive qualitative interviews and an in-depth study.
Product mapping available as excel consisting of key products of all the major players.

The global nuclear reactor decommissioning market report would provide approximately 77 tables, 81 figures and 211 Pages.

Target Audience 2023

Manufacturers/ Buyers
Industry Investors/Investment Bankers
Research Professionals
Emerging Companies

1. Methodology and Scope

1.1. Research Methodology
1.2. Research Objective and Scope of the Report

2. Definition and Overview

3. Executive Summary

3.1. Snippet By Technology
3.2. Snippet By Reactor Size
3.3. Snippet By Type
3.4. Snippet By Reactor type
3.5. Snippet By Phase
3.6. Snippet by Region

4. Dynamics

4.1. Impacting Factors
- 4.1.1. Drivers
  - 4.1.1.1. Advancing technology drives nuclear reactor decommissioning industry evolution
  - 4.1.1.2. Health and environmental concerns drive nuclear reactor decommissioning
- 4.1.2. Restraints
  - 4.1.2.1. Impending surge of nuclear facility shutdowns
- 4.1.3. Opportunity
- 4.1.4. Impact Analysis

5. Industry Analysis

5.1. Porter's Five Force Analysis
5.2. Supply Chain Analysis
5.3. Pricing Analysis
5.4. Regulatory Analysis

6. COVID-19 Analysis

6.1. Analysis of COVID-19
- 6.1.1. Scenario Before COVID
- 6.1.2. Scenario During COVID
- 6.1.3. Scenario Post COVID
6.2. Pricing Dynamics Amid COVID-19
6.3. Demand-Supply Spectrum
6.4. Government Initiatives Related to the Market During Pandemic
6.5. Manufacturers Strategic Initiatives
6.6. Conclusion

7. By Technology

7.1. Introduction
- 7.1.1. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Technology
- 7.1.2. Market Attractiveness Index, By Technology
7.2. Decontamination (DECON)*
- 7.2.1. Introduction
- 7.2.2. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%)
7.3. Safe Storage (SAFSTOR)
7.4. Other

8. By Reactor Size

8.1. Introduction
- 8.1.1. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Reactor Size
- 8.1.2. Market Attractiveness Index, By Reactor Size
8.2. Large Reactors*
- 8.2.1. Introduction
- 8.2.2. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%)
8.3. Small Reactors

9. By Type

9.1. Introduction
- 9.1.1. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Type
- 9.1.2. Market Attractiveness Index, By Type
9.2. Immediate Dismantling*
- 9.2.1. Introduction
- 9.2.2. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%)
9.3. Safe Enclosure
9.4. Entombment

10. By Reactor Type

10.1. Introduction
- 10.1.1. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Reactor Type
- 10.1.2. Market Attractiveness Index, By Reactor Type
10.2. Pressurized Water Reactor*
- 10.2.1. Introduction
- 10.2.2. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%)
10.3. Gas-Cooled Reactor
10.4. Fast Neutron Reactor
10.5. Boiling Water Reactor
10.6. Others

11. By Phase

11.1. Introduction
- 11.1.1. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Phase
- 11.1.2. Market Attractiveness Index, By Phase
11.2. Pre-Decommissioning*
- 11.2.1. Introduction
- 11.2.2. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%)
11.3. Decontamination & Dismantling (D&D)
11.4. Waste Management
11.5. Site Restoration
11.6. Defueling & Storage
11.7. Other

12. By Region

12.1. Introduction
- 12.1.1. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Region
- 12.1.2. Market Attractiveness Index, By Region
12.2. North America
- 12.2.1. Introduction
- 12.2.2. Key Region-Specific Dynamics
- 12.2.3. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Technology
- 12.2.4. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Reactor Size
- 12.2.5. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Type
- 12.2.6. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Reactor Type
- 12.2.7. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Phase
- 12.2.8. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Country
  - 12.2.8.1. U.S.
  - 12.2.8.2. Canada
  - 12.2.8.3. Mexico
12.3. Europe
- 12.3.1. Introduction
- 12.3.2. Key Region-Specific Dynamics
- 12.3.3. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Technology
- 12.3.4. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Reactor Size
- 12.3.5. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Type
- 12.3.6. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Reactor Type
- 12.3.7. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Phase
- 12.3.8. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Country
  - 12.3.8.1. Germany
  - 12.3.8.2. UK
  - 12.3.8.3. France
  - 12.3.8.4. Italy
  - 12.3.8.5. Russia
  - 12.3.8.6. Rest of Europe
12.4. South America
- 12.4.1. Introduction
- 12.4.2. Key Region-Specific Dynamics
- 12.4.3. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Technology
- 12.4.4. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Reactor Size
- 12.4.5. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Type
- 12.4.6. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Reactor Type
- 12.4.7. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Phase
- 12.4.8. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Country
  - 12.4.8.1. Brazil
  - 12.4.8.2. Argentina
  - 12.4.8.3. Rest of South America
12.5. Asia-Pacific
- 12.5.1. Introduction
- 12.5.2. Key Region-Specific Dynamics
- 12.5.3. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Technology
- 12.5.4. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Reactor Size
- 12.5.5. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Type
- 12.5.6. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Reactor Type
- 12.5.7. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Phase
- 12.5.8. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Country
  - 12.5.8.1. China
  - 12.5.8.2. India
  - 12.5.8.3. Japan
  - 12.5.8.4. Australia
  - 12.5.8.5. Rest of Asia-Pacific
12.6. Middle East and Africa
- 12.6.1. Introduction
- 12.6.2. Key Region-Specific Dynamics
- 12.6.3. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Technology
- 12.6.4. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Reactor Size
- 12.6.5. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Type
- 12.6.6. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Reactor Type
- 12.6.7. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Phase

13. Competitive Landscape

13.1. Competitive Scenario
13.2. Market Positioning/Share Analysis
13.3. Mergers and Acquisitions Analysis

14. Company Profiles

14.1. SNC-Lavalin Group*
- 14.1.1. Company Overview
- 14.1.2. Product Portfolio and Description
- 14.1.3. Financial Overview
- 14.1.4. Key Developments
14.2. Westinghouse Electric Company
14.3. AECOM
14.4. Orano
14.5. Studsvik
14.6. Babcock International Group
14.7. Bechtel Corporation
14.8. Energy Solutions
14.9. Magnox Ltd
14.10. NorthStar Group Services

LIST NOT EXHAUSTIVE