市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1351052
2030年電動公車市場預測:依推進類型、電池類型、組件、自動駕駛水平、續航里程、電池容量、車型、總長度、座位數、用途和地區分析Electric Bus Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Propulsion Type, Battery Type, Component, Level of Autonomy, Range, Battery Capacity, Vehicle Type, Length, Seating Capacity, Application and By Geography |
根據Stratistics MRC預測,2023年全球電動客車市場規模將達589億美元,預計2030年將達到7,452億美元,預測期內年複合成長率為43.7%。
電動公車,稱為E-bus,是僅依靠電力而不是傳統內燃機運行的公車。車載電動馬達由車載電池或電池組合供電。據說電動公車對環境有益,因為它們不排放污染物,而且比傳統汽油或柴油公車更具成本效益。此外,電動客車的市佔率幾乎佔電動商用車整體產業貢獻的80%。
據聯合國環境規劃署(UNEP)稱,公共交通巴士是交通運輸部門大量黑碳排放的罪魁禍首。因此,環境署正在向亞洲、拉丁美洲和非洲的 20 個城市提供技術和政策支持,為公眾開發和繪製低排放交通路線,包括電動巴士。
使用電動公車是因為它們比傳統公車更具成本效益,而且不需要汽油。電動公車可以將超過 50% 的電網電能轉化為車輪上的電能,而汽油公車只能將儲存在燃料中的能量轉化為約 17-21%。近年來,隨著汽油和柴油價格的急劇上升,節能公車的需求也隨之增加。這是由於化石燃料蘊藏量的枯竭以及公司越來越傾向於從這些蘊藏量中獲得最大利潤。因此,需要使用尖端的節油技術,從而增加了對電動公車的需求。
由於這些先進系統的高生產成本和複雜的機制,汽車行業向電動的轉型以及將最尖端科技融入汽車可能會受到市場擴張的阻礙。汽車的大部分研究工作都致力於創造新穎的公車技術。汽車製造成本最終是由高資本支出、軟體安裝以及公車使用的鋰離子電池的高成本推高的。這些設備可能會增加計算出的故障和故障風險,由於這些要素,它們可能會阻礙預測年的市場擴張,但在預測期內,電動公車市場將在該行業繼續成長,預計將大幅成長。
汽車排放是空氣污染、臭氧層消耗和破壞氣候的排放的唯一來源。由於汽油價格急劇上升和原油消耗,使用電能且對環境危害較小的汽車變得越來越受歡迎。電動巴士的推出是為了減少對化石燃料的依賴。此外,電動車比傳統交通途徑更輕、更有效率,因為它們的移動零件更少。因此,它需要較少的維護並且對環境友好。
電動公車中使用的大多數電動車(EV) 電池在使用前都經過了廣泛的測試,因此被認為是安全的。該組織還表示,過度充電、極端降雨和溫度變化是電動車電池起火的主要原因。許多國家(包括美國、中國、日本和歐盟)要求製造商優先考慮對電池安全、健康和性能的持續監控。限制電池中化學物質的逸出、事故發生後保護電池以及將底盤和高電壓系統分開以防止觸電是電動公車的主要法規。
汽車部門投資和需求大幅下降。汽車產業也遭受了經濟活動突然大規模停擺的影響,包括要求工人留在家中、供應鏈崩壞和工廠關閉。 2020年和2021年,由於電動車的全球擴張,全球電動汽車趨勢增加。因此,疫情對這個產業的影響不大。同樣,電動公車的需求也在2020年上半年下降,然後又上升。
預計純電動車(BEV)細分市場在預測期內將出現良好成長。這主要是由於鋰離子電池的有效性已得到證實。該類別正在不斷成長,因為許多OEM正在資助研發以創造創新的高性能電池技術。支持純電動車的政府政策也可能對市場產生正面影響。
隨著都市化的不斷加快,清潔交通解決方案變得至關重要,預計內城區部分在預測期內將出現最高的年複合成長率。對廣泛的城市交通的需求為電動交通帶來了巨大的希望,而電動交通將受到城市人口成長的推動。此外,各大主要原始OEM現在都將城市電動公車涵蓋其產品組合中。該地區許多國家已決定將永續交通整合其公共交通系統。例如,馬哈拉施特拉邦道路運輸公司是印度採用電動公車的城市之一。在預測期內,該領域的此類配合措施預計將推動市場擴張。
由於亞太地區以 167,000 輛的銷量在全球市場佔據主導地位,預計在預測期內將佔據最大的市場佔有率。中國是銷量最大的市場,在區域和全球市場均處於領先地位。該型公車可在中國政府設立的公共運輸區域內使用。政府配合措施正在增加該地區電池供電公車的使用。此外,市場領導者比亞迪在該領域的存在也有助於市場擴張。此外,該地區充電基礎設施的快速擴張也對該地區市場有利。韓國和日本也是該地區公車銷售創紀錄的主要要素。
由於政府對汽車排放氣體的嚴格法規,預計歐洲在預測期內將經歷最高的年複合成長率。在該地區,許多政府啟動了旨在引入清潔和綠色交通技術的計劃,以確保公共交通的永續性。該地區對燃料電池公車的需求也在增加。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Electric Bus Market is accounted for $58.9 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $745.2 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 43.7% during the forecast period. An electric bus, often known as an e-bus, is a bus that runs entirely on electricity rather than a conventional internal combustion engine. An on-board electric motor that runs on either on-board batteries or a combination of batteries powers an e-bus. Electric buses are said to be environmentally beneficial because they don't emit any pollutants and are more cost-effective than conventional gasoline or diesel buses. In addition, the market share of electric buses accounts for almost 80% of the total industry contribution of electric commercial vehicles.
According to the United Nations Environment Program (UNEP), city buses are the cause of large amounts of black carbon emissions in the transportation sector. Therefore, the UNEP is providing technical and policy support to 20 cities in Asia, Latin America, and Africa to develop and map low-emission transportation routes for the public by including e-buses
Electric buses are utilized since they are more cost-effective than traditional buses and don't require gasoline. Gas-powered buses can only convert roughly 17-21% of the energy stored in fuel, whereas electric buses can convert more than 50% of the electrical energy from the grid into electricity at their wheels. Because the cost of gasoline and diesel oil has been rising recently, there has been a greater need for fuel-efficient buses. The depletion of fossil fuel reserves and the growing inclination of firms to maximize profits from these oil reserves are the causes of this. Consequently, these factors raise the need for electric coaches by necessitating the use of cutting-edge fuel-saving technologies.
The automobile industry's transition to electrification and the incorporation of cutting-edge technologies in cars may impede market expansion due to the high production costs and intricate workings of these sophisticated systems. The majority of automakers' research efforts are directed toward creating novel bus technologies. The cost of manufacturing vehicles is ultimately driven up by substantial capital expenditures, software installs, and the high cost of lithium-ion batteries used in buses. These devices may increase the calculated risk of malfunction or failure, which may impede market expansion in the year of forecast because of these factors, the industry is anticipated to increase significantly during the course of the electric bus market projection period.
The only source of air pollution, ozone depletion, and climate-damaging material emissions is automobile exhaust. Vehicles that use electrical energy and are less hazardous to the environment are becoming more and more popular due to the rising costs of gasoline and the consumption of crude petroleum. In an effort to lessen reliance on fossil fuels, more of these e-buses are being introduced. Furthermore, compared to conventional forms of transportation, electric cars are lighter and more efficient due to their reduced number of moving parts. Because of this, cars need less maintenance and are generally better for the environment.
Because they go through numerous testing before being utilized, the majority of electric vehicle (EV) batteries used in electric buses are regarded as safe. The group has also said that overcharging, extreme rain, and temperature swings were the main causes of the EV battery fire. Manufacturing firms are required to prioritize ongoing observation of battery safety, health, and performance in a number of nations, including the US, China, Japan, and the EU. Limiting chemical spillage from batteries, securing batteries after an accident, and separating the chassis from the high-voltage system to prevent electric shock are the main regulations particular to electric buses.
The automotive sector experienced a precipitous decline in investment and demand. A sudden and widespread cessation of economic activity, including orders for workers to stay at home, a breakdown in supply networks, and factory closures, also plagued the car industry. Sales of electric vehicles rose globally in 2020 and 2021 as a result of the expanding global trend of vehicle electrification. Thus, the pandemic had less of an impact on this industry. In a similar vein, the demand for electric buses declined during the first half of 2020 before rising again.
The battery electric vehicle (BEV) segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth, due to over the course of the projection period; BEVs are anticipated to dominate the electric bus market. This is primarily due to the effectiveness of lithium-ion batteries being demonstrated. This category is growing because many OEMs are funding research and development efforts to create innovative, high-performing battery technologies. Government policies that support BEVs would also have a favourable effect on the market. Many countries intend to switch to electric public fleets from the current ones. Different governments are likely to offer attractive subsidies and tax breaks, which would cause the sales volume of sophisticated pure electric buses to expand tremendously.
The intracity segment is anticipated to witness the highest CAGR growth during the forecast period, as clean mobility solutions are now essential due to the increase in urbanization. The requirement for widespread urban transportation-which has enormous promise for electric mobility would be driven by the expanding urban population. Moreover, a wide range of top OEMs now include electric buses in their product lineup for intracity use. Many nations in the area have made the decision to integrate sustainable mobility into their public transportation systems. For instance, the Maharashtra State Road Transport Corporation is one of the Indian cities that have used electric buses. Over the course of the forecast period, the market's expansion is anticipated to be propelled by such initiatives in this area.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period owing to the dominant position in the global market, with a valuation of 167,000 units. Because it has the largest market in terms of quantity, China is leading both the regional and worldwide markets. These kinds of buses can be used in the public transit zones that the Chinese government has established. The government's initiatives have increased the region's use of battery-operated buses. In addition, the market leader BYD's presence in this area is contributing to the market's expansion. Furthermore, the rapidly expanding charging infrastructure in this area bodes well for the local market. South Korea and Japan are also major factors in the region's record-breaking bus sales.
Europe is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period, owing to the strict government regulations pertaining to vehicle emissions. In this region, a number of governments have initiated programs aimed at implementing clean and green transportation technology to ensure the sustainability of public transportation. In this area, there is also an increasing need for fuel cell buses.
Some of the key players profiled in the Electric Bus Market include: NFI Group Inc., Daimler AG, Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, AB Volvo, VDL Groep BV, Anhui Ankai Automobile Co.,Ltd, Zhongtog Bus Holding, Proterra, YUTONG, CAF, Ashok Leyland, King Long United Automotive Industry Co. Ltd., Tata Motors Limited, Scania AB, New Flyer Industries and Iveco
In August 2023, NFI Group Inc. announces delivery of the 1,500th electric bus from the BYD-Alexander Dennis partnership, The 1,500th BYD-Alexander Dennis electric bus is one of nearly 300 joining Go-Ahead London this year for routes in the capital. Allocated to Merton Garage with fleet number SEe199, it has been in service on Transport for London routes 163 and 164 since May.
In June 2023, Volvo Group partners with Heidelberg Materials to reduce emissions in construction industry, the partnership will see several Volvo Group's customized electric product and service solutions put to work across much of Heidelberg Materials' Northern European operations, starting this year.
In June 2023, Volvo Autonomous Solutions expands its footprint and starts operations in Texas,t o prepare for commercial launch, V.A.S. has also started to haul loads with trucks using drivers for key customers like DHL and Uber Freight to test aspects of the transport solution and establish frameworks and procedures for safe and reliable operations.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.