This report covers the CMP Consumables market (specifically CMP slurry and pads) and supply-chain for those consumables used in semiconductor device fabrication. The report contains data and analysis from TECHCET's data base and Sr. Analyst experience, as well as that developed from primary and secondary market research. CMP slurries and pads are a critical in semiconductor manufacturing as process integration requires the fabrication of thin and uniformly flat layers to build up device structures across the semiconductor wafers. The number of CMP process steps continue to increase with each generation of new device technology. New device technology is characterized by more layers, new materials, tighter process control requirements, and new techniques for advanced packaging. These manufacturing challenges require new developments in CMP slurries and pads. This report looks at the market drivers, slurry and pad forecasts by application, market shares, abrasive suppliers, and includes a special focus on advanced packaging.
This report comes with 3 Quarterly Updates featuring updated market information and forecasting from the report analyst.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- 1.1. CMP CONSUMABLES MARKET OVERVIEW
- 1.2. CMP CONSUMABLES REVENUE TRENDS
- 1.3. MARKET TRENDS IMPACTING CMP CONSUMABLES OUTLOOK
- 1.4. YEAR 2022 IN REVIEW
- 1.5. CMP CONSUMABLES FORECASTS BY MATERIAL SEGMENT
- 1.5.1. CMP SLURRIES 5-YEAR REVENUE FORECAST
- 1.5.2. CMP PADS 5-YEAR REVENUE FORECAST
- 1.6. TECHNOLOGY TRENDS
- 1.6.1. BACKSIDE TECHNOLOGY TRENDS
- 1.7. SLURRY SUPPLIER COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
- 1.8. PAD SUPPLIER COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
- 1.9. ANALYST ASSESSMENT
2. SCOPE, PURPOSE AND METHODOLOGY
- 2.1. SCOPE
- 2.2. PURPOSE
- 2.3. METHODOLOGY
- 2.4. OVERVIEW OF OTHER TECHCET CMR™ REPORTS
3. SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRY MARKET STATUS & OUTLOOK
- 3.1. WORLDWIDE ECONOMY
- 3.1.1. SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES TIES TO THE GLOBAL ECONOMY
- 3.1.2. SEMICONDUCTOR SALES GROWTH
- 3.1.3. TAIWAN MONTHLY SALES TRENDS
- 3.1.4. UNCERTAINTY ABOUNDS ESPECIALLY FOR 2023-SLOWER TO NEGATIVE SEMICONDUCTOR REVENUE GROWTH EXPECTED
- 3.2. CHIPS SALES BY ELECTRONIC GOODS SEGMENT
- 3.2.1. SMARTPHONES
- 3.2.2. PC UNIT SHIPMENTS
- 3.2.3. SERVERS / IT MARKET
- 3.3. SEMICONDUCTOR FABRICATION GROWTH & EXPANSION
- 3.3.1. FAB EXPANSION ANNOUNCEMENT SUMMARY
- 3.3.2. WW FAB EXPANSION DRIVING GROWTH
- 3.3.3. EQUIPMENT SPENDING TRENDS
- 3.3.4. TECHNOLOGY ROADMAPS
- 3.3.5. FAB INVESTMENT ASSESSMENT
- 3.4. POLICY & TRADE TRENDS AND IMPACT
- 3.5. SEMICONDUCTOR MATERIALS OVERVIEW
- 3.5.1. COULD MATERIALS CAPACITY LIMIT CHIP PRODUCTION SCHEDULES?
- 3.5.2. LOGISTICS ISSUES EASED DOWN
- 3.5.3. TECHCET WAFER STARTS FORECAST THROUGH 2027
- 3.5.4. TECHCET'S MATERIAL FORECAST
4. CMP CONSUMABLES MARKET TRENDS
- 4.1. CMP CONSUMABLES MARKET TRENDS
- 4.2. TECHNICAL DRIVERS / MATERIAL CHANGES AND TRANSITIONS
- 4.2.1. 3D NAND ROADMAP
- 4.2.2. 3D NAND STACKING
- 4.2.3. TECHNICAL TRENDS IN ADVANCED PACKAGING
- 4.2.4. CMP FOR TSV
- 4.3. TECHNICAL TRENDS IN COMPOUND SEMICONDUCTOR
- 4.3.1. CMP OF SILICON CARBIDE
- 4.3.2. SILICON CARBIDE DEFECTS
- 4.3.3. CMP CHALLENGES IN SILICON CARBIDE
- 4.4. REGIONAL TRENDS
- 4.4.1. REGIONAL TRENDS AND DRIVERS
- 4.5. EHS AND LOGISTIC ISSUES
- 4.5.1. EHS ISSUES FOR NEW MATERIALS
- 4.5.2. LOGISTIC ISSUES
- 4.5.3. EHS ISSUES FOR SLURRY DISPOSAL, RECYCLING AND RECLAIM
5. CMP SLURRY SUPPLIER MARKET SHARES
- 5.1. CMP SLURRIES 5-YEAR REVENUE FORECAST
- 5.2. CMP SLURRIES 5-YEAR FORECAST BY UNITS
- 5.3. CMP SLURRY MARKET LEADERS
- 5.3.1. TOTAL SLURRY MARKET SHARE
- 5.3.2. OXIDE (CERIA) SLURRY MARKET
- 5.3.3. HKMG SLURRY MARKET
- 5.3.4. POLYSILICON SLURRY MARKET
- 5.3.5. OXIDE (SILICA) SLURRY MARKET
- 5.3.6. TUNGSTEN SLURRY MARKET
- 5.3.7. CU BULK SLURRY MARKET
- 5.3.8. COPPER BARRIER SLURRY MARKET
- 5.3.9. NEW METALS SLURRY MARKET
- 5.3.10. CU BURIED POWER RAIL (BPR) SLURRY MARKET
- 5.4. CMP SLURRY M&A ACTIVITY, ANNOUNCEMENTS AND PARTNERSHIPS
- 5.5. CMP SLURRY PLANT CLOSURES
- 5.6. NEW ENTRANTS
- 5.7. SUPPLIERS OR PARTS/PRODUCT LINE THAT ARE AT RISK OF DISCONTINUATIONS
- 5.8. CMP SLURRY PRICING TRENDS
- 5.9. TECHCET ANALYST ASSESSMENT OF CMP SLURRY MARKET
6. CMP PAD MARKET STATISTICS & FORECASTS
- 6.1. CMP PADS 5-YEAR REVENUE FORECAST
- 6.1.1. CMP PADS 5-YEAR REVENUE FORECAST
- 6.2. CMP PADS 5-YEAR FORECAST BY UNITS
- 6.3. CMP PAD PLANT CLOSURES
- 6.4. NEW ENTRANTS
- 6.5. SUPPLIERS OR PARTS/PRODUCT LINE THAT ARE AT RISK OF DISCONTINUATIONS
- 6.6. CMP PAD M&A ACTIVITY, ANNOUNCEMENTS AND PARTNERSHIPS
- 6.7. CMP PAD PRICING TRENDS
- 6.8. TECHCET ANALYST ASSESSMENT
7. MATERIAL SUB-TIER SUPPLY
- 7.1. ABRASIVE SUPPLIERS
- 7.2. VERTICALLY INTEGRATED SUPPLIERS
- 7.3. RAW SUPPLY CHAIN DISRUPTORS
- 7.4. RAW MATERIALS M&A ACTIVITY
- 7.5. ABRASIVE SUPPLY-CHAIN EHS AND LOGISTICS ISSUES
- 7.6. ABRASIVE SUPPLY CHAIN "NEW" ENTRANTS
- 7.7. ABRASIVE SUPPLY-CHAIN PLANTS UPDATES-NEW
- 7.8. ABRASIVE SUPPLY-CHAIN PLANT CLOSURES
- 7.9. ABRASIVE SUPPLY-CHAIN PRICING TRENDS
- 7.10. SUB-TIER SUPPLY-CHAIN TECHCET ANALYST ASSESSMENT
8. SUPPLIER PROFILES
- NANOPHASE TECHNOLOGIES CORPORATION
- 3M COMPANY
- ABRASIVE TECHNOLOGY
- ACE NANOCHEM
- ANJI MICRO SHANGHAI
- ASAHI GLASS
- ...and 20+ more
9. APPENDIX
- APPENDIX A: CMP CONSUMABLES OVERVIEW
- APPENDIX B: TECHNICAL TRENDS IN SIC
- APPENDIX C: PAD MANUFACTURING COST DRIVERS
TABLE OF FIGURES
- FIGURE 1: FORECASTED 2023 MARKET SIZE
- FIGURE 2: CMP CONSUMABLES FORECAST
- FIGURE 3: CMP STEPS FOR ADVANCED DEVICES
- FIGURE 4: 2022 CMP CONSUMABLES REVENUE
- FIGURE 5: CMP CONSUMABLES REVENUE BY APPLICATION
- FIGURE 6: CMP SLURRY REVENUE BY APPLICATION
- FIGURE 7: CMP PAD REVENUE BY APPLICATION
- FIGURE 8: CMOS TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP
- FIGURE 9: LIMITATIONS OF FS-PDN
- FIGURE 10: 2D DEVICE ARCHITECTURE EVOLUTION
- FIGURE 11: 2022 SLURRY SUPPLIER MARKET SHARES
- FIGURE 12: 2022 PAD SUPPLIER MARKET SHARES
- FIGURE 13: GLOBAL ECONOMY AND THE ELECTRONICS SUPPLY CHAIN (2022)
- FIGURE 14: WORLDWIDE SEMICONDUCTOR SALES
- FIGURE 15: TECHCET'S TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRY INDEX (TTSI)*
- FIGURE 16: 2023 SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRY REVENUE GROWTH FORECASTS
- FIGURE 17: 2022 SEMICONDUCTOR CHIP APPLICATIONS
- FIGURE 18: MOBILE PHONE SHIPMENTS WW ESTIMATES
- FIGURE 19: WORLDWIDE PC AND TABLET FORECAST
- FIGURE 20: ELECTRIFICATION TREND BY WORLD REGION
- FIGURE 21: SEMICONDUCTOR AUTOMOTIVE PRODUCTION
- FIGURE 22: TSMC PHOENIX INVESTMENT ESTIMATED WILL BE US $40 B
- FIGURE 23: CHIP EXPANSIONS 2022-2027 US$366 B
- FIGURE 24: SEMICONDUCTOR CHIP MANUFACTURING REGIONS OF THE WORLD
- FIGURE 25: GLOBAL TOTAL EQUIPMENT SPENDING BY SEGMENT (US$ B)
- FIGURE 26: OVERVIEW OF ADVANCED LOGIC DEVICE TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP
- FIGURE 27: INTEL OHIO PLANT SITE FEB. 2023 AND ARTIST RENDERING (ON BOTTOM)
- FIGURE 28: EUROPE CHIP EXPANSION UPSIDE
- FIGURE 29: PORT OF LA
- FIGURE 30: TECHCET WAFER START FORECAST BY NODE SEGMENTS**
- FIGURE 31: GLOBAL SEMICONDUCTOR MATERIALS OUTLOOK
- FIGURE 32: CMP CONSUMABLES REVENUE FOR 2022
- FIGURE 33: NUMBER OF CMP STEPS FOR ADVANCED TECHNOLOGY NODES
- FIGURE 34: COMPARISON OF METALS RESISTIVITIES BY DIMENSION
- FIGURE 35: 14NM VS. 7NM METALLIZATION TECHNIQUES
- FIGURE 36: 3D NAND ROADMAP BY NODE
- FIGURE 37: STACKING FOR 3D NAND
- FIGURE 38: CMP OPPORTUNITIES IN ADVANCED PACKAGING
- FIGURE 39: KEY TRENDS IN ADVANCED PACKAGING
- FIGURE 40: CMP OPPORTUNITIES IN ADVANCED PACKAGING
- FIGURE 41: SILICON CARBIDE-BASED POWER DEVICE
- FIGURE 42: DEFECTS IN SILICON CARBIDE SUBSTRATES AND EPI WAFERS
- FIGURE 43: SILICON CARBIDE DEFECTS
- FIGURE 44: BATCH POLISH VS. CMP
- FIGURE 45: SLURRY AND PAD REVENUE BY HQ REGION
- FIGURE 46: CMP SLURRY REVENUE BY APPLICATION
- FIGURE 47: FORECASTED SLURRY VOLUME DEMAND
- FIGURE 48: SLURRY SUPPLIER MARKET SHARES IN 2022
- FIGURE 49: OXIDE (CERIA) SLURRY MARKET SHARES
- FIGURE 50: STI CMP PROCESS
- FIGURE 51: HKMG/FRONT-END SLURRY MARKET SHARES
- FIGURE 52: POLYSILICON SLURRY MARKET SHARES
- FIGURE 53: MEMS CMP CROSS SECTION
- FIGURE 54: OXIDE (SILICA) SLURRY MARKET SHARES
- FIGURE 55: TUNGSTEN SLURRY MARKET SHARES
- FIGURE 56: CU-BULK SLURRY MARKET SHARES
- FIGURE 57: CU-BARRIER CMP SLURRY MARKET SHARE
- FIGURE 58: NEW METALS SLURRY MARKET SHARES
- FIGURE 59: CU BPR SLURRY MARKET SHARES
- FIGURE 60: CMP PAD REVENUE BY APPLICATION
- FIGURE 61: CMP PAD REVENUE BY WAFER SIZE
- FIGURE 62: FORECASTED PAD USAGE
- FIGURE 63: CMP FOR IC MANUFACTURING PROCESS
- FIGURE 64: IC1000 LIKE PAD CROSS-SECTION
- FIGURE 65: IC1000 SEM CROSS-SECTION
TABLES
- TABLE 1: GLOBAL GDP AND SEMICONDUCTOR REVENUES*
- TABLE 2: IMF ECONOMIC OUTLOOK*
- TABLE 3: DATA CENTER SYSTEMS AND COMMUNICATION SERVICES MARKET SPENDING 2022
- TABLE 4 & 5: SILICON CARBIDE WAFER MANUFACTURERS AND CONSUMABLES SUPPLIERS
- TABLE 6: REGIONAL WAFER MARKETS
- TABLE 7: REGIONAL WAFER MARKETS BY SUPPLIER HEADQUARTER REGION
- TABLE 8: 2022 SLURRY MARKET LEADERS AND TAM BY APPLICATION
- TABLE 9: PAD SUPPLIERS
- TABLE 10: ABRASIVE SUPPLIERS
- TABLE 11: VERTICALLY INTEGRATED SUPPLIERS
- TABLE 12: PHYSICAL AND ELECTRICAL PROPERTY COMPARISON OF SI AND SIC