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市場調查報告書

NSR的非地球星座分析工具包

NSR'S Non-Geo Constellations Analysis Toolkit

出版商 Northern Sky Research, LLC 商品編碼 953672
出版日期 內容資訊 英文
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
價格
NSR的非地球星座分析工具包 NSR'S Non-Geo Constellations Analysis Toolkit
出版日期: 2020年08月04日內容資訊: 英文
簡介

此報告對LEO/MEO HTS星座進行了全面評估,包括星座衛星圖,軌道路線和足跡,基準圖,信息圖,可導出的數據表等。包括豐富的輸出,包括可視化。

目錄

工具包用戶指南(PDF)

  • 執行摘要
  • 工具包摘要表
  • 非GEO HTS因素
  • 工作流程和流程圖符號
  • 工具包先決條件
  • 工具快速用戶指南
  • 輸入和輸出
  • 過濾器
  • 樣本輸出,圖形,數據

工具包(9個Excel文件)

  • 工具1:常規和計算
    • 具有軌道路線和衛星足蹟的地圖
    • 比較視場圖,到達緯度,軌道傾角和高度,衛星傳輸時間,切換/時間,鏈路延遲,傾角範圍
    • 包含每個星座殼的計算的輸出表:軌道週期,飛行速度,緯度範圍,衛星越區切換,地球覆蓋率,坡距,延遲
    • 軌道動力學計算器
    • 價格轉換器,從Mbps(CIR)到GB(使用)
  • 工具2:衛星和軌道路線
    • 顯示每個星座殼和最終複雜系統的所有衛星和軌道路線的地圖
  • 工具3:衛星追蹤器
    • 基於站點位置的地圖,其中包含可見的衛星和所選砲彈的路線
    • Sat Tracker圖表,顯示可見路徑天線的視角(方位角和仰角)
    • 天線仰角分佈直方圖
    • 確定站點位置的視線(LOS)衛星的計算
  • 工具4:視線衛星(LOS)
    • 圖形和表格顯示了所有緯度在視線內的最小,平均和最大衛星數量
    • 運行默認星座圖外殼之前的表和圖形結果
  • 工具5:吞吐量和鏈接分配
    • 每個系統的鏈接預算工具
    • 上下行頻率規劃
    • 在波束和衛星級別比較星座圖頻譜與IP吞吐量的圖表
    • 比較星座圖覆蓋範圍和波束寬度的地圖
    • FCC備案信息
  • 工具6:可尋址性地圖
    • 可尋址人口和表面積分析
    • 目標人群和目標地區的密度圖和表格
  • 工具7:光纖與SAT延遲
    • 使用光纖(FO)和LEO衛星(SAT)進行的端到端鏈路傳播延遲分析
    • 考慮使用星際鏈路(ISL),地面互連和網關中繼站的四種可能的SAT方案的基準
    • SAT與FO方案的信息圖輸出
  • 工具8:光纖與SAT商業案例
    • 光纖(FO)與衛星(SAT)項目評估的財務案例敏感性分析
    • 結果EBITDA,FCF,NPV和獲利能力圖,包括預期結果的直方圖分佈
    • 散點圖,顯示模型輸入和BC輸出之間的相關性
  • 工具9:非GEO商業案例
    • 發展和可用Mbps/月的資本成本和帶寬收支平衡的價格敏感性分析
    • 概率圖
    • 散點圖,顯示模型輸入和BC輸出之間的相關性
    • 信息圖匯總工具分析,頻譜使用情況以及星座的架構方面
目錄

Report Summary:

NSR's ‘Non-GEO Constellations Analysis Toolkit’ is an assembly of 9 flexible, configurable and easy-to-use quantitative models that x-ray and benchmark leading LEO/MEO high-throughput initiatives at architectural and business layers. The NSR toolkit provides a data-driven, unbiased vehicle for deep-diving into the inexorably intertwined technical and business aspects driving bandwidth supply, addressability and feasibility of leading mega-constellations, and their competitive standing versus terrestrial networks.

The toolkit is meant for both business and technical professionals alike seeking in-depth understanding of Non-GEO high-throughput SATCOM. With pre-loaded data, configurable filters, inputs and visualizations, the toolkit is a standalone NSR product that may also be used in combination with market data and insight extracted from relevant NSR research studies.

Constellations of thousands of Non-GEO (NGSO) satellites beaming tens of Terabits per second have the potential to forever transform the space industry, making it imperative for decision makers across the telecom value chain to visualize possible "down-to-earth" impacts at granularly defined levels.

NSR's Non-GEO Constellations Analysis Toolkit answers key questions:

  • What are the technical differences among the leading Non-GEO-HTS initiatives?
  • What is the forward and return link capacity (spectrum, bandwidth and throughput) per gateway/user beam, satellite and constellation?
  • How can breakeven capital cost per usable Mbps/Month be inferred for each constellation shell? What is the sensitivity to key cost and performance elements?
  • What is the maximum latitude reached by each constellation shell and how many satellites are visible based on terminal location?
  • Under what conditions can mega-constellations become a more competitive option than fiber-optics to reach unserved communities? How sensitive is the business case?
  • How do fiber costs and latency compare with LEO architectures, with and without Inter-Satellite Links and ground relay stations?
  • What are satellite "pass time" and handoffs per hour, per system?
  • How distributed are antenna "look angles" pointing at visible satellites based on terminal location?
  • What is the regulatory status of each major initiative and proposed modifications?

The NSR ‘Non-GEO Constellations Analysis Toolkit’ provides clients with the same set of analytical instruments that NSR leverages internally to holistically assess LEO/MEO HTS constellations in support of focused research studies and consulting projects. The Non-GEO Constellations Analysis Toolkit includes a rich output set including maps of constellation satellites, orbital routes and footprints, benchmark charts, infographics, exportable data tables and other visualizations.

Bottom Line: Clients can easily conduct their own assessment of Non-GEO Constellations supported by NSR-developed tools.

Key Features:

NSR's ‘Non-GEO Constellations Analysis Toolkit’ includes a multiplicity of analytical tools distributed across 9 Excel files. Each tool has its own set of input variables and logic that drive output conclusions, charts, maps and visualizations.

Toolkit Elements Include:

  • Sophisticated but easy-to-use analytical models driven by auto-populated or manually set inputs and filters
  • Output-rich set of technical and business metrics benchmarking constellations performance
  • Useful visualizations including comparison charts, maps with satellites, orbital routes, footprints per constellation and infographics.
  • Detailed input and output data tables with information per shell
  • Bandwidth supply and addressability assessments for geographic-based SWOT and TAM analysis.
  • Examination of line-of-sight satellites and gateway/terminal beam IP throughput
  • Estimator of the breakeven capital cost per deployed and usable Mbps of capacity
  • Business case sensitivity analysis via configurable Monte Carlo simulation
  • Business-case scenario and sensitivity models for comparing NGSO versus terrestrial networks
  • Other models and calculators included: Satellites' visibility cone and beam-covered areas, shells' latitude reach, % of World surface and population addressed, orbital period, satellite handoff time, slant range, satellite vs. terrestrial latency, upstream and downstream spectrum and throughput, spectral efficiency, fiber-vs. satellite NPV, profitability, etc.

Who Should Purchase the Non-GEO Constellations Analysis Toolkit:

  • Traditional and Emerging Satellite Operators
  • Fixed and Wireless Telecom Network Operators including Telcos, MNOs, Wireless Local-Loop players and MSOs
  • Satellite Service Providers and System Integrators
  • Distributors and Resellers of Satellite Services and Capacity
  • Managed Services and IP Transit Network Operators
  • Equipment Vendors Developing Solutions for Non-GEO Satcom, including Terminals, Antennae, Broadband Hub/Modems and RF Subsystems
  • Regulators and Spectrum Utilization Agencies
  • End Users of Satellite Bandwidth and Services; both Commercial and Government/Mil Satcom
  • Space Agencies and First Responder Organizations
  • Financial Institutions

Non-GEO Systems Analyzed and Benchmarked:

Amazon Project Kuiper, OneWeb, SES O3B, Starlink, SpaceX VLEO, Telesat, and ViaSat.

Table of Contents

Toolkit User Guide (PDF)

  • Executive Summary
  • Toolkit Summary Table
  • Non-GEO HTS Factors
  • Workflow & Flowchart Symbols
  • Toolkit Assumptions
  • Quick User Guide, by Tool
  • Inputs & Output
  • Filters
  • Sample Output, Charts and Data

Toolkit (9 Excel files)

  • Tool 1: General & Calcs
    • Maps with orbital routes and satellite footprint
    • Comparison charts for field of view, latitudes reached, orbital inclination and altitude, satellite pass time, handoffs/hour, link delay and slant range
    • Output Table with calculations per constellation shell: Orbital period, flight velocity, latitude reach, satellite handoffs, Earth' coverage, slant range and delay
    • Orbital Dynamics Calculators
    • Mbps (CIR) to GByte (Usage) Pricing Converter
  • Tool 2: Sats & Orbital Routes
    • Maps displaying all satellites and orbital routes for each constellation shell and for final combined system
  • Tool 3: Sat Tracker
    • Map with visible sats and routes for selected shell based on site location
    • "Sat Tracker" chart showing antenna's look angles (azimuth & elevation) for visible routes
    • Distribution histogram for the antenna elevation angle
    • Calculation of satellites in Line of Sight (LOS) for the defined site location
  • Tool 4: Sats in Line of Sight (LOS)
    • Chart and table with the minimum, average and maximum number of satellites in Line of Sight across all latitudes
    • Pre-ran table and chart results for the default constellation shells
  • Tool 5: Throughput & Link Budgeting
    • Link Budgeting tools per system
    • Uplink and downlink Frequency Plans
    • Charts comparing constellations' spectrum and IP throughput at beam and satellite levels
    • Maps comparing constellations coverage and beamwidth
    • FCC filing information
  • Tool 6: Addressability Map
    • Analysis of addressable population and surface area
    • Density maps and tables for the targeted population and target areas
  • Tool 7: Fiber Optic vs. SAT Delay
    • Analysis of propagation latency for end-to-end link using Fiber Optics (FO) and LEO Satellite (SAT)
    • Benchmark of four possible SAT scenarios considering use of Inter-satellite Links (ISLs), terrestrial interconnections and gateway relay stations
    • Infographics output for SAT vs. FO scenarios
  • Tool 8: Fiber Optic vs. SAT Business Case
    • Business-Case sensitivity analysis for Fiber Optics (FO) versus Satellite (SAT) project evaluation
    • Charts with resulting EBITDA, FCF, NPV and Profitability including histogram distribution of possible outcomes
    • Scatter plots illustrating correlations between model inputs and BC output
  • Tool 9: Non-GEO Business Case
    • Sensitivity analysis for the capital cost of deployed and usable Mbps/Month and bandwidth breakeven price
    • Probability charts
    • Scatter plots illustrating correlations between model inputs and BC output
    • Infographics summarizing tool's analysis, use of spectrum and constellation's architectural aspects

List of Exhibits

Charts

  • Non-GEO-HTS Orbital Routes
  • Relative Size of Field of View (FoV) & Latitude Reached
  • Orbital Inclination & Altitude
  • Maximum Satellite Pass Time
  • Satellite Handoffs per Hour
  • Maximum Latitude Reached and Satellite FoV Map
  • Maximum and Minimum Link Delay
  • Single-Shell Maps of Satellites and Orbital Routes
  • Full- Constellation Maps of Satellites and Orbital Routes
  • Visibility Cone of Satellites and Routes
  • "Sat Tracker" of antenna elevation and azimuth
  • Elevation Angle Distribution Histogram
  • Satellites in Line of Sight
  • Uplink & Downlink Frequency Plans
  • Preferred DVB-S2X ModCods
  • Gateway Beams " Spectrum
  • User Beams " Spectrum
  • Gateway Beams " Reuse Factor
  • User Beams " Reuse Factor
  • Gateway Beams " Bandwidth
  • User Beams " Bandwidth
  • Gateway Beams " Throughput
  • User Beams " Throughput
  • Number of Gateway Beams and Type
  • Number of User Beams and Type
  • Global Aggregate Forward and Return IP Throughput
  • Satellite Footprint
  • Satellite FWD/RTN Capacity Averaged per Sq. Km of Coverage Area
  • Satellite FoV and Single Beam at Sub-Satellite Point
  • Individual Beam Footprints at Sub-Satellite Point
  • World Population Distribution
  • Addressable Population
  • Addressable Surface Area
  • Addressable Population Map
  • Fiber Optics Delay -Infographic
  • LEO with ISL Delay -Infographic
  • Hybrid LEO-FO Delay -Infographic
  • LEO with Gateway Stations Delay -Infographic
  • LEO with Relay Stations Delay -Infographic
  • Animated Clip Samples
  • EBITDA Probability Charts
  • FCF Probability Charts
  • NPV Probability Charts
  • PV of FCF as Growing Perpetuity Probability Charts
  • NPV Profitability Index Probability Charts
  • Satellite NPV vs. Bandwidth Cost Scatter Plot
  • Satellite NPV vs. GW Hosting Revenues Scatter Plot
  • Satellite NPV vs. StatMuxing Savings Scatter Plot
  • Satellite NPV vs. Terminal CAPEX Scatter Plot
  • PV of FCF as Growing Perpetuity vs. FCF Growth Rate Scatter Plot
  • Probability Charts for Breakeven Price per Usable Mbps per Month, considering all addressable area
  • Probability Charts for Breakeven Price per Usable Mbps per Month for Projected Captured Market
  • Scatter Plot for Breakeven Cost per Usable Mbps per Month; considering all addressable area
  • Scatter Plot for Breakeven Price per Usable Mbps; for estimated market capture
  • Infographic for Estimated Capital Cost per Usable Mbps
  • Infographic for Main Architectural Aspects
  • Infographic for Spectrum & Bandwidth

Tables

  • Orbital Dynamics Data
  • Spectrum, Bandwidth and Throughput Data
  • Data table with elevation angle distribution
  • Satellites in LOS
  • Link Budget
  • Transmit and Receive Frequency Bands
  • Link Budget Summary
  • Satellite Spectrum and TX/RX Channels
  • Satellite and Forward/Return IP Throughput
  • Preferred DVB-S2X ModCods
  • FCC Filings Technical Data
  • Atmospheric Loss Assumptions
  • Population Distribution Data Set
  • Addressable Population Distribution Data
  • Addressable Surface Area Data
  • Fiber and Satellite Delay
  • Fiber vs. Satellite Business Case Sensitivity Analysis
  • EBITDA Output of Sensitivity Analysis
  • FCF Output of Sensitivity Analysis
  • NPV Output of Sensitivity Analysis
  • PV of FCF as Growing Perpetuity Output of Sensitivity Analysis
  • NPV Profitability Index Output of Sensitivity Analysis
  • Sensitivity Analysis Monte Carlo samples
  • Sensitivity Analysis Histogram Data
  • FO CAEX Debt Financing Repayment Schedule
  • SAT CAPEX Debt Financing Repayment Schedule
  • Capital Cost per Mbps Analysis Table.