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市場調查報告書

市場資料 - 自動駕駛車 (AD) :全球消費者取向、商業取向汽車市場預測:2020年∼2030年

Market Data: Automated Driving Vehicles - Global Consumer and Commercial Market Forecasts: 2020-2030

出版商 Guidehouse Insights (formerly Navigant Research) 商品編碼 934287
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 34 Pages; 52 Tables, Charts & Figures
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價格
市場資料 - 自動駕駛車 (AD) :全球消費者取向、商業取向汽車市場預測:2020年∼2030年 Market Data: Automated Driving Vehicles - Global Consumer and Commercial Market Forecasts: 2020-2030
出版日期: 2020年05月04日內容資訊: 英文 34 Pages; 52 Tables, Charts & Figures
簡介

2020年,長期預計是自動化車輛的普及與引進開始的轉換期,不過,實際上,自動駕駛 (AD) 技術的開發與檢驗證實困難度超過預想。AD關聯的重大技術課題,加上世界經濟,起因於新型冠狀病毒感染疾病 (COVID-19)的大流行,進入嚴重長期的景氣低迷狀態。到2020年的前半,世界經濟多為停止著。

本報告提供具備先進的自動駕駛功能的消費者取向、商業取向汽車市場相關調查分析,市場規模的預測相關的系統性資訊。

目錄

第1章 摘要整理

第2章 資料的前提條件

  • 預測整體建模
  • 消費者取向汽車市場
  • 商業服務市場

第3章 市場預測

  • 簡介
  • AD全體
    • 全球預測
    • 地區的預測
  • 結論與建議

第4章 縮寫和簡稱清單

第5章 目錄

第6章 圖表

第7章 調查範圍,資訊來源、 調查手法,註記

目錄
Product Code: MD-ADV-20

Although 2020 has long been projected as the turning point when automated vehicles start to be widely deployed and adopted, the reality is that automated driving (AD) technology has proven far more challenging to develop and validate than anticipated. In the near term, automated driving deployment will remain very limited to specific locales where it has been demonstrated to work safely and reliably and there is a demonstrated market willing to adopt the technology.

In addition to the significant technical challenges associated with AD, the global economy entered what is likely to be a severe and protracted economic downturn at the beginning of 2020 resulting from the global coronavirus pandemic. With much of the global economy shut down through the first half of 2020, companies are reevaluating their investment priorities and AD is likely to lose out to electrification. With consumers having less disposable income for the foreseeable future, buying vehicles or using ride-hailing services will also likely take a significant hit. However, even before the global health crisis, companies in the AD sector were rethinking go-to-market strategy and turning toward goods delivery rather than carrying passengers.

This Guidehouse Insights report provides projections of the size of global and regional markets for light duty consumer and commercial vehicles with highly automated driving capability. Baseline, conservative, and aggressive scenarios for market deployment are included as well as market splits among consumer, robotaxi and goods delivery vehicles. Forecasts for partially automated vehicles are also included.

KEY QUESTIONS ADDRESSED:

  • When will the first automated driving (AD) vehicles come to market?
  • How fast will annual sales grow for automated light duty consumer and commercial vehicles?
  • What effect will different levels of AD have on the global vehicle population?
  • How quickly will world regions adopt AD vehicles?
  • Which market segments will see AD adoption?

WHO NEEDS THIS REPORT:

  • Fleet managers
  • Automotive OEMs
  • Automotive industry suppliers
  • Automated driving developers
  • Mobility and transportation service platform providers and operators
  • Insurance companies
  • Government agencies
  • City managers
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1. Market Overview
  • 1.2. Scope
  • 1.3. Market Forecasts

2. Data Assumptions

  • 2.1. Overall Forecast Modeling
  • 2.2. Consumer Vehicle Market
  • 2.3. Commercial Services Market

3. Market Forecasts

  • 3.1. Introduction
  • 3.2. Total AD
    • 3.2.1. Global Forecasts
      • 3.2.1.1. Effects of Remote Work
      • 3.2.1.2. Deployments and Market Penetration
      • 3.2.1.3. Commercial Services Vehicles
        • 3.2.1.3.1. Cargo and Goods Delivery Vehicles
        • 3.2.1.3.2. Passenger-Carrying Robotaxis
    • 3.2.2. Regional Forecasts
      • 3.2.2.1. North America
      • 3.2.2.2. Europe
      • 3.2.2.3. China
      • 3.2.2.4. India
      • 3.2.2.5. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development Asia Pacific
      • 3.2.2.6. Rest of Asia Pacific
      • 3.2.2.7. Latin America
      • 3.2.2.8. Middle East & Africa
  • 3.3. Conclusions and Recommendations

4. Acronym and Abbreviation List

5. Table of Contents

6. Table of Charts and Figures

7. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

LIST OF CHARTS AND FIGURES

  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual LDV Unit Sales by Region After COVID-19 Impact, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual LDV Population by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual LD AD Vehicle Deployments by Level, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Region, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual LD AD Vehicle Deployments by Use Case, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Cargo Revenue by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Robotaxi Revenue by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, Europe: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, China: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, India: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, OECD Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, Rest of Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, Latin America: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, Middle East & Africa: 2020-2030

LIST OF TABLES

  • Annual LDV Unit Sales by Region After COVID-19 Impact, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual LDV Sales by Region Before COVID-19 Impact, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual LDV Population by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Cargo Deployments by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Robotaxi Deployments by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Consumer Deployments by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Cargo Revenue by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Robotaxi Revenue by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Cargo VMT by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 2 LDV Sales by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Robotaxi VMT by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 3 LDV Sales by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 0-1 LDV Sales by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Region, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Region, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, Europe: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Scenario, Europe: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, China: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Scenario, China: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, OECD Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Scenario, OECD Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, Rest of Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Scenario, Rest of Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, Latin America: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Scenario, Latin America: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, India: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Scenario, India: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, Middle East & Africa: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Scenario, Middle East & Africa: 2020-2030