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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1066915

自動化卡車和客車市場:全球 4 級中型和重型商用車部署預測

Market Data - Automated Trucks and Buses: Global Deployment Forecasts for Level 4 Medium and Heavy Duty Commercial Vehicles

出版日期: | 出版商: Guidehouse Insights (formerly Navigant Research) | 英文 25 Pages; 31 Tables, Charts & Figures | 訂單完成後即時交付

價格
  • 全貌
  • 簡介
  • 目錄
簡介

幾乎所有自動駕駛系統 (ADS) 開發人員都將重點放在一個相對狹窄的操作設計區域 (ODD) 上,該區域可以證明自動駕駛系統 (ADS) 安全可靠地工作。渴望更窄的操作設計區域(ODD)的原因之一是該技術已經商業化,並且在過去十年已經投資於自動駕駛系統(ADS)的數百億美元取得了一些回報。

在過去的兩年中,有幾家小型自動駕駛系統(ADS)開發商被停職或收購,但剩下的開發商才是真正將這項技術商業化的人,這表明了這種可能性。一些已經開始了無人駕駛示範實驗,並正在從試點客戶那裡賺錢。預計從 2024 年左右開始更廣泛的商業化。

本報告調查全球自動化卡車和客車市場,並提供有關市場預測、市場問題、市場驅動因素和挑戰的信息。

目錄

第 1 章執行摘要

  • 市場概況
  • 範圍
  • 市場預測

第二章市場問題

  • 卡車和公共汽車分類
    • 貨運麵包車
    • 剛性卡車
    • 牽引車
    • 中轉巴士/長途巴士
    • 穿梭巴士
  • 技術
  • 市場促進因素
  • 市場挑戰

第三章市場預測

  • 簡介
  • 數據前提和調查方法
  • 全球中重型汽車市場
  • 自動卡車和公共汽車預測
    • 貨運麵包車
    • 剛性卡車
    • 牽引車
    • 中轉巴士/長途巴士
    • 穿梭巴士
  • 結論和建議

第4章首字母縮略語列表

第5章目錄

第6章圖表

第七章調查範圍、來源和調查方法、備忘

目錄
Product Code: MD-AUTR-22

Significant progress continues to be made year-over-year in the maturation of automated driving systems (ADS). However, the challenge of developing ADS that can operate safely, in all the same conditions that human drivers do every day, remains incomplete and is extremely difficult to validate. As a result, virtually all ADS developers are focused on relatively narrow operational design domains (ODD) in which an ADS can be demonstrated to function safely and reliably. Part of the drive for narrower ODDs is so that the technology can start to be commercialized and start realizing some return on the tens of billions of dollars that have already been invested in ADS over the past decade.

A key ODD that many feel can be reliably commercialized, relatively soon, is commercial vehicles, particularly those that carry goods in the middle-mile and long-haul domain. Recruiting human drivers for what is an often grueling and tedious job has become increasingly difficult. The nature of the ODD, with its generally predictable routes, also makes it well suited to automation with little risk of running the deadhead miles that are inherent in passenger-carrying robotaxis. While some of the smaller ADS developers have shut down or been acquired over the past two years, those that remain have demonstrated real potential for commercializing this technology. Some have already begun driver-out demonstrations and are generating revenue from pilot customers. Broader commercialization is expected from around 2024.

This Guidehouse Insights report provides projections of the size of global and regional markets for medium- and heavy-duty commercial vehicles in various segments with highly automated driving capability.

KEY QUESTIONS ADDRESSED

  • When will the first automated driving commercial vehicles come to market?
  • How fast will annual sales grow for automated medium- and heavy-duty commercial vehicles?
  • How quickly will world regions adopt automated driving commercial vehicles?
  • Which market segments will see automated driving adoption?
  • Which types of commercial vehicles are most likely to see market adoption of ADS?

WHO NEEDS THIS REPORT

  • Fleet managers
  • Truck and bus OEMs
  • Automotive industry suppliers
  • Automated driving developers
  • Mobility and transportation service platform providers and operators
  • Insurance companies
  • Government agencies
  • City managers
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1. Market Overview
  • 1.2. Scope
  • 1.3. Market Forecasts

2. Market Issues

  • 2.1. Truck and Bus Classifications
    • 2.1.1. Goods Delivery Vans
    • 2.1.2. Rigid Trucks
    • 2.1.3. Tractor Trucks
    • 2.1.4. Transit and Coach Buses
    • 2.1.5. Shuttle Buses
  • 2.2. Technology
  • 2.3. Market Drivers
  • 2.4. Market Challenges

3. Market Forecasts

  • 3.1. Introduction
  • 3.2. Data Assumptions and Methodology
  • 3.3. Global Medium and Heavy-Duty Vehicle Market
  • 3.4. Automated Truck and Bus Forecasts
    • 3.4.1. Goods Delivery Vans
    • 3.4.2. Rigid Trucks
    • 3.4.3. Tractor Trucks
    • 3.4.4. Transit and Coach Buses
    • 3.4.5. Shuttle Buses
  • 3.5. Conclusions and Recommendations

4. Acronym and Abbreviation List

5. Table of Contents

6. Table of Charts and Figures

7. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

LIST OF CHARTS AND FIGURES

  • Automated Truck and Bus Deployments by Region, World Markets: 2022-2032
  • MHCV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2022-2032
  • Automated Truck and Bus Market Share by Region, World Markets: 2022-2032
  • Goods Delivery Van AV Deployments by Region, World Markets: 2022-2032
  • Rigid Truck AV Deployments by Region, World Markets: 2022-2032
  • Tractor Truck AV Deployments by Region, World Markets: 2022-2032
  • Transit and Coach Bus AV Deployments by Region, World Markets: 2022-2032
  • Shuttle Bus AV Deployments by Region, World Markets: 2022-2032
  • Udelv Transporter
  • Prototype Isuzu Box Truck Equipped with Gatik ADS
  • TuSimple Automated Tractor Truck
  • New Flyer Excelsior AV Automated transit bus
  • Regional Forecast Segmentations

LIST OF TABLES

  • MHCV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2022-2032
  • Goods Delivery Van Sales by Region, World Markets: 2022-2032
  • Rigid Truck Sales by Region, World Markets: 2022-2032
  • Tractor Truck Sales by Region, World Markets: 2022-2032
  • Transit and Coach Bus Sales by Region, World Markets: 2022-2032
  • Shuttle Bus Sales by Region, World Markets: 2022-2032
  • Goods Delivery Van AV Deployments by Region, World Markets: 2022-2032
  • Rigid Truck AV Deployments by Region, World Markets: 2022-2032
  • Tractor Truck AV Deployments by Region, World Markets: 2022-2032
  • Transit and Coach Bus AV Deployments by Region, World Markets: 2022-2032
  • Shuttle Bus AV Deployments by Region, World Markets: 2022-2032
  • Goods Delivery Van Market Share by Region, World Markets: 2022-2032
  • Rigid Truck Market Share by Region, World Markets: 2022-2032
  • Tractor Truck Market Share by Region, World Markets: 2022-2032
  • Transit and Coach Bus Market Share by Region, World Markets: 2022-2032
  • Shuttle Bus Market Share by Region, World Markets: 2022-2032
  • Automated Truck and Bus Deployments by Region, World Markets: 2022-2032
  • Automated Truck and Bus Market Share by Region, World Markets: 2022-2032