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市場調查報告書

自動駕駛車 - 市場資料:全球消費者及商業市場預測(2021年∼2030年)

Market Data - Automated Vehicles: Global Consumer and Commercial Market Forecasts, 2021-2030

出版商 Guidehouse Insights (formerly Navigant Research) 商品編碼 1011630
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 39 Pages; 58 Tables, Charts & Figures
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自動駕駛車 - 市場資料:全球消費者及商業市場預測(2021年∼2030年) Market Data - Automated Vehicles: Global Consumer and Commercial Market Forecasts, 2021-2030
出版日期: 2021年06月07日內容資訊: 英文 39 Pages; 58 Tables, Charts & Figures
簡介

2020年和2021年發生的COVID-19大流行,給予了世界無數產業影響,不過,自動駕駛車(AV)商務的影響可說是比較少。2020前半年,最初的封鎖影響路上試驗一時中斷之後,各公司調整程序,2021年後半大部分的企業再開始路上試驗。由於模擬普及,技術開發不會大幅推遲。

開發的步調繼續,不過,在商務方面,商用化的計劃延遲的發表,複數的自動駕駛系統(ADS)開發企業的新資金籌措困難,產業的整合等,有各種變化。特別是,領導召車產業的Uber和Lyft,結束各公司內部的ADS開發,將集團賣給Aurora和Toyota。

本報告以自動駕駛車市場上具備先進的自動駕駛功能的消費者及商用的輕型車為焦點,提供世界及地區市場規模和預測,展開,方案等資訊。

目錄

第1章 摘要整理

  • 市場概要
  • 範圍
  • 市場預測

第2章 資料的前提條件

  • 整體預測建模
    • 汽車輛分類法
  • 消費者取向車輛市場
  • 商用車市場

第3章 市場預測

  • 簡介
  • 整體AD市場
    • 全球預測
    • 地區預報

第4章 結論、建議

第5章 簡稱的清單

第6章 目錄

第7章 圖表

第8章 調查範圍,資訊來源與調查手法,註記

目錄
Product Code: MD-ADV-21

Although the COVID-19 pandemic of 2020 and 2021 affected countless industries around the world, it had relatively little impact on the automated vehicle (AV) business. Following a brief interruption in on-road testing during the initial wave of lockdowns in the first half of 2020, companies adapted their procedures, and by the second half of 2021, most were back on the road. Technology development does not appear to have been significantly delayed thanks to the widespread use of simulation.

Although the pace of development has continued, the business side has seen a number of changes with announced program delays for commercial launches and continued consolidation in the industry as several automated driving system (ADS) developers struggle to raise new capital. Some of the smaller players shut their doors while others of various sizes found buyers. Notably, ride-hailing leaders Uber and Lyft both ended internal ADS development and sold their groups to Aurora and Toyota, respectively. Of those remaining in the sector, the trend of shifting to more emphasis on goods delivery has continued, as more consumers have shifted to deliveries of everything from meals to household goods during the pandemic.

This “Guidehouse Insights report” provides projections of the size of global and regional markets for light duty consumer and commercial vehicles with highly automated driving capability. Baseline, conservative, and aggressive scenarios for market deployment are included as well as market splits among consumer, robotaxi, and goods delivery vehicles through 2030. Baseline forecasts for partial AVs are also included.

KEY QUESTIONS ADDRESSED:

  • When are the first AVs expected to come to market?
  • How fast will annual sales likely grow for automated light duty consumer and commercial vehicles?
  • How quickly will world regions adopt AVs?
  • Which market segments are anticipated to see automated driving adoption?
  • How will the automated vehicle market likely be divided between passengers and goods delivery?

WHO NEEDS THIS REPORT:

  • Fleet managers
  • Automotive OEMs
  • Automotive industry suppliers
  • Automated driving developers
  • Mobility and transportation service platform providers and operators
  • Insurance companies
  • Government agencies
  • City managers
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1. Market Overview
  • 1.2. Scope
  • 1.3. Market Forecasts

2. Data Assumptions

  • 2.1. Overall Forecast Modeling
    • 2.1.1. Automated Vehicle Taxonomy
      • 2.1.1.1. ADAS
      • 2.1.1.2. AD Systems
      • 2.1.1.3. Low Speed Automated Delivery Vehicles
      • 2.1.1.4. Full-Speed Automated Delivery Vehicles
      • 2.1.1.5. Low Speed Automated Shuttles
      • 2.1.1.6. Full-Speed Robotaxis
      • 2.1.1.7. Automated Consumer Passenger Vehicles
      • 2.1.1.8. Automated Transit Buses
      • 2.1.1.9. Automated Heavy Duty Trucks
  • 2.2. Consumer Vehicle Market
  • 2.3. Commercial Vehicle Market

3. Market Forecasts

  • 3.1. Introduction
  • 3.2. Total AD Market
    • 3.2.1. Global Forecasts
      • 3.2.1.1. ADS Deployments and Market Penetration
      • 3.2.1.2. Commercial Services Vehicles
        • 3.2.1.2.1. Cargo and Goods Delivery Vehicles
        • 3.2.1.2.2. Passenger-Carrying Robotaxis
    • 3.2.2. Regional Forecasts
      • 3.2.2.1. North America
      • 3.2.2.2. Europe
      • 3.2.2.3. China
      • 3.2.2.4. India
      • 3.2.2.5. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development Asia Pacific
      • 3.2.2.6. Rest of Asia Pacific
      • 3.2.2.7. Latin America
      • 3.2.2.8. Middle East & Africa

4. Conclusions and Recommendations

5. Acronym and Abbreviation List

6. Table of Contents

7. Table of Charts and Figures

8. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

LIST OF CHARTS AND FIGURES

  • Annual LDV Unit Sales by Region After COVID-19 Impact, World Markets: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2021-2030
  • Annual LD AD Vehicle Deployments by Level, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments by Region, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2021-2030
  • Annual LD AD Vehicle Deployments by Use Case, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Cargo Revenue by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Robotaxi Revenue by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, North America: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, Europe: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, China: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, India: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, OECD Asia Pacific: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, Rest of Asia Pacific: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, Latin America: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, Middle East & Africa: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2021-2030
  • SAE J3016 Levels of Driving Automation
  • Examples of ADAS
  • Waymo L4 Robotaxi Prototype
  • Yandex Rover Low Speed Automated Delivery Vehicle
  • Gatik Full-Speed Automated Delivery Vehicles
  • Baidu Low Speed Automated Shuttle
  • Zoox Full-Speed Robotaxi
  • TuSimple Automated Heavy Duty Truck

LIST OF TABLES

  • Annual LDV Unit Sales by Region, World Markets: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Cargo Deployments by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Robotaxi Deployments by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Consumer Deployments by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Cargo Revenue by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Robotaxi Revenue by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Cargo VMT by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Robotaxi VMT by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L2 LDV Sales by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L3 LDV Sales by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD Level 0-1 LDV Sales by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments by Region, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Region, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, North America: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Scenario, North America: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, Europe: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Scenario, Europe: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, China: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Scenario, China: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, OECD Asia Pacific: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Scenario, OECD Asia Pacific: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, Rest of Asia Pacific: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Scenario, Rest of Asia Pacific: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, Latin America: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Scenario, Latin America: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, India: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Scenario, India: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, Middle East & Africa: 2021-2030
  • Annual AD L4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Scenario, Middle East & Africa: 2021-2030