巴士市場 - COVID-19 的增長、趨勢、影響和預測 (2023-2028)
市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1190166

巴士市場 - COVID-19 的增長、趨勢、影響和預測 (2023-2028)

Bus Market - Growth, Trends, and Forecasts (2023 - 2028)

出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 129 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

客車市場預計到 2021 年將達到 414.4 億美元,到 2027 年將達到 640.7 億美元,預測期內復合年增長率為 7.58%。

COVID-19 大流行促使世界各國政府和當局以前所未有的規模實施交通和行動限制。 身體距離對旅行行為和偏好有重大影響。 因此,在疫情期間,很多人選擇了乘坐私家車出行,以降低感染風險。 在此期間,私家車的使用有所增加,但那些依賴公共交通工具的人轉而使用其他交通方式,例如騎自行車或步行。

從中期來看,對污染的日益關注和更嚴格的廢氣法規正在推動各國在現有公交車隊中增加電動公交車,從而促進整個公交車市場的增長。 同時,城市人口的不斷增長促使政府設計BRT系統,將地鐵的容量和速度、公交系統的靈活性、低成本和便利性有效地結合起來。 預計在預測期內,不斷增長的城市人口和對高效快速公交系統 (BRT) 發展的關注將推動公交市場。

北美,其次是亞太地區,由於需求和人口不斷增長,預計將佔據很大的市場份額。 預計這些地區的需求將受到對公共交通(例如公共汽車,尤其是雙層和鉸接式公共汽車)不斷增長的需求的支持。

客車市場趨勢

電動公交車普及拉動市場需求

燃料是車輛運行成本的很大一部分。 不斷上漲的燃料成本推動了公共交通對電動巴士的需求。 這是因為電動公交車可以降低初始成本,例如燃料成本和總擁有成本。 到 2030 年,電動公交車的價格有望下降並達到柴油公交車的水平。 與柴油發動機公交車相比,電動公交車有助於將維護和運營成本降低 81-83%。

由於世界各地嚴格的排放法規,電池電動公交車市場在研究期間穩步增長。 例如,2019 年純電動公交車數量為 69.961 輛,到 2020 年增長 11.5% 至 78,032 輛。 這一增長是由於政府向購買者和車隊所有者提供了多項激勵措施。

由於重型運輸領域的銷售額預計會上升,電動汽車的需求也會增加,一些原始設備製造商正在向全球市場推出新的電動產品,以滿足不斷增長的需求。 例如:

  • 2021 年 9 月,沃爾沃客車推出了一項新的全球電動汽車產品。 隨著沃爾沃 BZL 電動底盤的推出,沃爾沃客車為世界各地城市的可持續高效公共交通設施提供了堅實的平台。
  • 該公司已收到一份訂單,將在瑞典部署 60 輛純電動公交車,使用沃爾沃 7900 電動鉸接模型以滿足零排放區的城市公共交通需求和嚴格的噪音和排放法規。對應於該地區。

這些新興國家的市場發展和因素預計將在預測期內促進市場發展。

北美預計在預測期內增長最快

截至 2020 年 12 月,美國擁有近 2,800 輛零排放公交車(已部署併計劃交付),其中 2,700 多輛據信是電動的。 儘管與政府機構競爭提供交通服務,但私人和個人車主正在獲得幫助,將他們的公交車隊轉變為零排放車輛。 例如:

  • 2022 年 3 月,作為新基礎設施一攬子計劃的一部分,美國政府宣布提供約 15 億美元的補貼,用於對其公交車隊進行現代化和電氣化改造。 該倡議將幫助運輸機構和運營商購買或租賃無污染車輛。
  • 加利福尼亞目前擁有最大的零排放巴士車隊 (1,016),超過 200 輛電動巴士投入使用,還有許多其他訂單積壓。 芝加哥交通管理局 (CTA) 宣布推出一款新的電動公交車作為該市環保工作的一部分,並已與製造商簽訂了 17 輛電動公交車的合同。

在美國,由於實施嚴格的尾氣法規,電動巴士市場有望復蘇。 許多美國城市現在要求他們的公共汽車車隊中有一定比例是電動或混合動力的,並且還對新的內燃機公共汽車招標施加了限制。 例如,費城交通管理局 SEPTA 已承諾到 2021 年將柴油公交車的比例限制在不超過 5%,並逐步過渡到純電動公交車。 全國各州已經開始交付新型電動校車,一些州還計劃在未來引入更多的電動公交車。 例如:

  • 2020 年 12 月,德克薩斯州的一個學區收到了該州首次交付的三輛電動校車。 Everman 獨立學區 (ISD) 在本學年開始使用 Bluebird Vision 電動巴士運送學生。 在當地經銷商、拉什巴士中心和德克薩斯州環境質量委員會的幫助下,該地區能夠在大眾汽車 (VW) 和解基金的資助下採購巴士和充電站。
  • 2021 年 4 月,鹽湖城學區 (SLCSD) 部署了四輛 Microbird 電動校車,以更換部分老化的柴油公交車。 部分電動校車的資金來自猶他州環境質量部 (DEQ) 大眾安置計劃和猶他州清潔柴油計劃 (UCDP)。 DEQ 已授予 SLCSD 兩筆總計 150 萬美元的贈款,用於購買這些電動巴士。

此類新興市場的發展預計將在預測期內對市場產生重大影響。

客車市場競爭分析

客車市場適度整合,主要參與者憑藉其發達的產品和多元化的經銷商網絡佔據了很大的市場份額。 主要參與者包括鄭州宇通客車有限公司、廈門金龍聯盟、戴姆勒股份公司、沃爾沃、Traton(Man、Scania 等)、塔塔汽車和 Ashok Leyland。

公交車市場的特點是各種製造商合併、收購和合作,以期開拓潛在市場。 由於電動客車市場預計在預測期內將顯著增長,因此客車製造商正在大力投資研發以增強其產品組合以包含更多電動車型。

  • 2021 年 2 月,安徽安凱汽車與 Idealomics Inc. 簽約。 該合作夥伴關係擴大了 Ideanomics 最近成立的 NETS Group 的產品範圍。 它將為公共汽車和旅遊巴士運營商提供從工廠和團體購買力到簡化的 ABS 融資服務等一系列好處。 兩家公司已同意在馬來西亞、東盟地區、歐洲和美國開展銷售和營銷活動合作。
  • BYD 是一家全球電動巴士製造商,已收到來自芬蘭 Novina 的零排放電動巴士的大訂單。 北歐地區最大的公共交通運營商 Novina 又訂購了 70 輛最新一代比亞迪電動公交車,這是一項擴大其快速發展的“綠色車隊”的戰略舉措。 來自芬蘭諾維納的訂單涵蓋比亞迪最暢銷的兩款電動巴士車型,包括 42 輛 42 英尺巴士車型和 28 輛比亞迪 50 英尺車型。 這些飛機計劃於 2022 年夏季交付,主要在赫爾辛基市區的城市航線上運營。

其他好處

  • Excel 格式的市場預測 (ME) 表
  • 三個月的分析師支持

內容

第一章介紹

  • 調查先決條件
  • 調查範圍

第二章研究方法論

第 3 章執行摘要

第四章市場動態

  • 市場驅動力
  • 市場製約因素
  • 產業吸引力 - 波特五力分析
    • 新進入者的威脅
    • 買方/消費者議價能力
    • 供應商的議價能力
    • 替代品的威脅
    • 競爭公司之間的敵對關係

第 5 章市場細分(價值基礎市場規模 - 十億美元)

  • 按類型
    • 單層
    • 雙層
  • 通過使用
    • 公交車
    • 城際巴士/長途汽車
    • 其他(校車等)
  • 按燃料
    • 柴油機
    • 電動/混合動力
    • 其他(壓縮天然氣、生物燃料等)
  • 按載客量
    • 15-30 個席位
    • 31個席位以上50個席位以下
    • 50 個或更多席位
  • 按地區細分
    • 北美
      • 美國
      • 加拿大
      • 其他北美地區
    • 歐洲
      • 英國
      • 德國
      • 法國
      • 西班牙
      • 意大利
      • 其他歐洲地區
    • 亞太地區
      • 中國
      • 日本
      • 印度
      • 韓國
      • 其他亞太地區
    • 世界其他地區
      • 南美洲
      • 中東和非洲

第六章競爭格局

  • 供應商市場份額
  • 公司簡介
    • Anhui Ankai Automobile Company
    • Daimler AG
    • NFI Group Inc.
    • Volvo Group
    • Solaris Bus & Coach SA
    • Tata Motors Limited
    • Ashok Leyland
    • Traton Group(Scania, MAN, Etc.)
    • Zhengzhou Yutong Bus Co. Ltd
    • XIAMEN KING LONG MOTOR GROUP CO. LTD
    • BYD Co. Ltd
    • Suzhou Eagle Electric Vehicle Manufacturing Co. Ltd
    • Iveco SpA

第7章 市場機會今後動向

簡介目錄
Product Code: 66199

The bus market registered USD 41.44 billion in 2021, and it is projected to be worth USD 64.07 billion by 2027, registering a CAGR of 7.58% during the forecast period.

The COVID-19 pandemic prompted governments and authorities worldwide to impose restrictions on transport and mobility at an unprecedented scale and magnitude. Physical distancing had a significant impact on mobility behavior and preferences. Therefore, during the pandemic, many people preferred private transport to reduce the risk of infection. The use of private vehicles increased during the period, while those who relied on public transport switched to other modes of transport, such as biking or walking.

Over the medium term, growing concerns over pollution and the rise in stringent emission regulations encouraged countries to include more electric buses in the existing bus fleet, thereby contributing to the overall bus market's growth. The continuous rise in urban population also drove the government to design BRT systems that can effectively combine the capacity and speed of a metro with the flexibility, lower cost, and simplicity of a bus system. The rapidly growing urban population and enhanced focus on developing an efficient bus rapid transit (BRT) system are likely to drive the bus market during the forecast period.

North America, followed by Asia-Pacific, is expected to occupy a significant share in the market due to the increasing demand and population. The demand across these regions is likely to be supported by the growing need for public transportation like buses, particularly double-decker and articulated buses.

Bus Market Trends

Increasing Adoption of Electric Buses Expected to Drive Demand in the Market

Fuel constitutes a major part of the operating cost of any vehicle. With the increasing fuel costs, the demand for an electric bus for public transport is increasing, as an electric can reduce fuel costs and other upfront costs, as well as the total cost of ownership. By 2030, the prices of electric buses are expected to decline and reach the level of diesel fuel buses. Electric buses help reduce 81-83% of the maintenance and operating costs compared to diesel-engine buses.

The battery electric bus market witnessed steady growth over the study period due to the stringent emission norms across several countries of the world. For instance, the number of battery electric buses was 69.961 units in 2019, increasing by 11.5% to 78,032 units in 2020. This increase can be attributed to several government incentives offered to buyers and fleet owners.

Due to the increased sales and the projected increase in demand for electric mobility in the heavy-duty transportation segment, several OEMs are introducing new electric products into the worldwide market to cater to the increasing demand. For instance,

  • In September 2021, Volvo Buses launched the new global electromobility offer. With the launch of the Volvo BZL Electric chassis, Volvo Buses provides a solid platform for sustainable and efficient public transport facilities in cities across the world.
  • The company received an order of 60 battery electric buses to be deployed to Sweden, with Volvo 7900 electric articulated models, to cater to the urban public transport demand and restricted areas with stringent noise and exhaust emission norms in zero-emission zones.

Such developments and factors are anticipated to contribute to the development of the market during the forecast period.

North America is Expected to Witness the Fastest Growth During the Forecast Period

As of December 2020, United States had nearly 2,800 zero-emission buses (deployed and to be delivered), out of which over 2,700 are electric buses. Despite competing with government agencies to provide transit services, private and individual fleet owners have been receiving aid to transition their bus fleets to zero-emission vehicles. For instance,

  • In March 2022, the US government announced that it is awarding nearly USD 1.5 billion in grants to modernize and electrify bus fleets as part of the new infrastructure package. This initiative may help transit agencies and fleet operators purchase or lease no-emission vehicles.
  • Currently, California has the highest number of zero-emission buses (1,016), over 200 electric buses in use, and many other backlogged orders. The Chicago Transit Authority (CTA) unveiled the new electric buses as part of the city's green initiatives, with contracts with manufacturers for additional 17 electric buses.

The implementation of stringent emission laws and regulations is expected to fuel the market for electric buses in United States. Many cities in United States now require a certain fraction of their bus fleet to be electric or hybrid, and they are also pushing the limitations on new IC engine bus tenders. For instance, SEPTA, the transport authority of Philadelphia, is committed to restricting the diesel bus share in its bus fleet to less than 5% by 2021 to gradually make way for battery electric buses. Various states in the country are taking the delivery of new electric school buses, whereas some states are planning to include more electric buses in the coming years. For instance, ​

  • In December 2020, a Texas school district received the first three electric school buses to be deployed in the state. Everman Independent School District (ISD) began transporting students this school year with the Blue Bird Vision Electric buses. With help from a local dealer, Rush Bus Centers, and the Texas Commission for Environmental Quality, the district was able to fund the buses and charging stations with grants from the Volkswagen (VW) settlement funds.​
  • In April 2021, Salt Lake City School District (SLCSD) rolled out four Micro Bird electric school buses to replace some of its aging diesel buses. The electric school buses were partially funded through the Utah Department of Environmental Quality's (DEQ's) Volkswagen settlement program and the Utah Clean Diesel Program (UCDP). The DEQ awarded SLCSD two grants, totaling USD 1.5 million, to purchase these electric buses.

Such developments are expected to significantly impact the market during the forecast period.

Bus Market Competitive Analysis

The market for buses is moderately consolidated, with the major players holding a significant market share due to their developed products and network of various dealers. The major players in the market include Zhengzhou Yutong Bus Co., Xiamen King Long United, Daimler AG, Volvo, Traton (Man, Scania, etc.), Tata Motors, and Ashok Leyland.

The bus market is characterized by mergers, acquisitions, and collaborations between various manufacturers trying to tap into potential markets. Since the market for electric buses is expected to grow significantly over the forecast period, bus manufacturers are investing considerably in R&D and ramping up their portfolios to include more electric models.

  • February 2021: Anhui Ankai Automobile Co. Ltd signed an agreement with Ideanomics Inc. The partnership will extend the service offering of Ideanomics' recently-established NETS Group. It will provide bus and tour bus operators with benefits ranging from factory/group purchasing power to streamlined ABS financing services. The parties have agreed to cooperate on sales and marketing activities in Malaysia, the broader ASEAN region, Europe, and United States.
  • BYD, the world's leading e-bus manufacturer, secured another high-volume order for its zero-emission electric buses from Nobina in Finland. Nobina, the largest public transport operator in the Nordic region, ordered a further 70 latest generation BYD e-buses in a strategic move to expand its fast-evolving 'green fleet.' This latest order from Nobina Finland spans two of BYD's best-selling electric bus models, comprising 42 units of the 42-foot bus model and 28 units of BYD's 50-foot model. They were scheduled for delivery in the summer of 2022, and will primarily operate on city routes in the Helsinki Metropolitan area.​

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4 MARKET DYNAMICS

  • 4.1 Market Drivers
  • 4.2 Market Restraints
  • 4.3 Industry Attractiveness - Porter's Five Forces Analysis
    • 4.3.1 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.3.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers/Consumers
    • 4.3.3 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.3.4 Threat of Substitute Products
    • 4.3.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 MARKET SEGMENTATION (Market Size by Value - USD billion)

  • 5.1 By Type
    • 5.1.1 Single Deck
    • 5.1.2 Double Deck
  • 5.2 By Application
    • 5.2.1 Transit Bus
    • 5.2.2 Intercity/Coaches
    • 5.2.3 Other Applications (School Bus, Etc.)
  • 5.3 By Fuel Type
    • 5.3.1 Diesel
    • 5.3.2 Electric and Hybrid
    • 5.3.3 Other Fuel Types (CNG, Biofuel, Etc.)
  • 5.4 By Seat Capacity
    • 5.4.1 15 - 30 Seats
    • 5.4.2 31 - 50 Seats
    • 5.4.3 More than 50 Seats
  • 5.5 By Geography
    • 5.5.1 North America
      • 5.5.1.1 United States
      • 5.5.1.2 Canada
      • 5.5.1.3 Rest of North America
    • 5.5.2 Europe
      • 5.5.2.1 United Kingdom
      • 5.5.2.2 Germany
      • 5.5.2.3 France
      • 5.5.2.4 Spain
      • 5.5.2.5 Italy
      • 5.5.2.6 Rest of Europe
    • 5.5.3 Asia-Pacific
      • 5.5.3.1 China
      • 5.5.3.2 Japan
      • 5.5.3.3 India
      • 5.5.3.4 South Korea
      • 5.5.3.5 Rest of Asia-Pacific
    • 5.5.4 Rest of the World
      • 5.5.4.1 South America
      • 5.5.4.2 Middle-East and Africa

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Vendor Market Share
  • 6.2 Company Profiles
    • 6.2.1 Anhui Ankai Automobile Company
    • 6.2.2 Daimler AG
    • 6.2.3 NFI Group Inc.
    • 6.2.4 Volvo Group
    • 6.2.5 Solaris Bus & Coach SA
    • 6.2.6 Tata Motors Limited
    • 6.2.7 Ashok Leyland
    • 6.2.8 Traton Group (Scania, MAN, Etc.)
    • 6.2.9 Zhengzhou Yutong Bus Co. Ltd
    • 6.2.10 XIAMEN KING LONG MOTOR GROUP CO. LTD
    • 6.2.11 BYD Co. Ltd
    • 6.2.12 Suzhou Eagle Electric Vehicle Manufacturing Co. Ltd
    • 6.2.13 Iveco SpA

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS