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汽車自動變速器市場 - 增長、趨勢、COVID-19 影響和預測 (2023-2028)
市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1189909

汽車自動變速器市場 - 增長、趨勢、COVID-19 影響和預測 (2023-2028)

Automotive Automatic Transmission Market - Growth, Trends, and Forecasts (2023 - 2028)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 90 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

2021年汽車自動變速器市場規模將達到1016.5億美元。

預計到 2027 年價值將達到 1551.5 億美元，預測期內的複合年增長率為 7%。

COVID-19 大流行影響了汽車行業，由於汽車銷售放緩和幾乎為零的新要求，變速器市場失去了市場份額。 美國大約 90% 的汽車配備自動變速器，但像印度這樣對裡程數敏感的巨大市場尚未轉換為自動變速器系統。 隨著世界各地的司機越來越多地選擇自動變速器，該行業將能夠更好地應對大流行以及 COVID-19 之後及以後的情況。

汽車傳動系統除了將發動機動力傳遞到車輪這一簡單目的之外，還有許多優點。 過去三年，汽車自動變速器車輛的需求一直在上升，尤其是在印度和中國等新興國家，由於交通擁堵、擁堵和道路擁堵。

汽車上安裝的自動變速器的主要類型是手自一體變速器、無級變速器和雙離合變速器。

根據通用汽車公司的說法，日益增長的環境問題和嚴格的燃油經濟性法規可能會減少配備手動變速箱系統的車輛數量，從而導致對自動變速箱系統的需求增加。顯然該地區各國政府還試圖通過激勵措施和稅收抵免來促進替代燃料和節能汽車的銷售，預計這將推動該地區對汽車自動變速器的需求。

主要市場趨勢

OEM專注於開發先進的自動變速箱

德國自動變速器供應商 ZF 開發了一款新型 8 速自動變速器。 該公司主要致力於通過輕量化技術提高燃油效率。

*新齒輪組由 4 個行星齒輪組和 5 個換檔元件組成，可最大程度地減少阻力並提高傳動效率。 可選的液壓脈衝儲油器 (HIS) 提供啟動/停止功能以提高燃油經濟性。

*這款新型自動變速箱兼容混合動力，可用於所有 AWD 潛水概念，包括集成 AWD 中央差速器、集成 AWD 系統和懸掛式 AWD。

採埃孚平均每年為阿斯頓馬丁、FCA、捷豹路虎和大眾汽車集團生產 350 萬台 8 速自動變速器。 2019年，我們從寶馬獲得了價值10億日元的合同。 採埃孚預計將為 2022 年上市的寶馬系列車型提供這款八速自動變速器的最新版本。

此外，隨著物流業的發展步伐加快，預計商業領域對變速箱的需求也會增加。 2021年2月，採埃孚宣布投資2億美元用於商用車變速器製造，以滿足北美日益增長的需求。 從 2023 年開始，採埃孚將在南卡羅來納州格雷科特製造 PowerLine 8 速自動變速器，為美國創造 500 個工作崗位。

此外，採埃孚正在研究在中國和美國開始生產這項技術的可能性，這兩個國家在自動乘用車中所佔比例很高。

亞太地區有望創下最快的增長速度

亞太地區有望在預測期內實現最快的增長。 在亞太地區，中國、印度和東盟國家等國家對汽車的需求預計將很高，尤其是印度，汽車保有量持續增長。

在過去三年中，印度對自動駕駛汽車和 SUV 的需求顯著增加。

自動駕駛汽車銷量從 2011 年的僅 1.4% 上升到 2019 年的 17.3%。 儘管這一增長主要是由於大都市地區交通量增加和駕駛條件疲憊，但手動變速器仍然是印度農村首選的交通方式。 Maruti SuzUnited Kingdomi 是印度最大的自動駕駛汽車生產商，2020 年銷量超過 132,000 輛。

在印度銷售的汽車中，近 80% 的價格在 1.2 億日元或以下。 在這個價位區間，Maruti SuzUnited Kingdomi的Vitara Brezza、Dzire、Baleno、Hyundai Verna和Honda City是國內最暢銷的自動檔車型。

許多印度買家更喜歡手動 SUV，但過去兩年對配備自動變速箱的 SUV 的需求有所增加。 斯柯達柯迪亞克、大眾途觀、奧迪Q系列、寶馬X系列等印度市場上銷售的高端SUV車型，大多標配自動變速箱系統。

鑑於路況的惡化、技術的進步、經濟性和便利性的日益偏好以及對節油車輛的需求增加，預測期內印度對AT車輛的需求將快速增長。預計

雖然市場發展緩慢，但雙離合自動變速箱越來越受歡迎，因為它們的快速換檔速度非常有用，並且被用於大多數性能和超級跑車。 因此，現代、斯柯達、大眾、塔塔等眾多汽車廠商紛紛開始採用DCT技術。

2022 年 3 月，塔塔汽車公司在印度推出了一款配備名為 DCA 的雙離合變速器的高級掀背車。

競爭格局

汽車自動變速箱市場被 ZF Friedrichshafen AG、Schaeffler AG、Hyundai Transys Inc.、Magna International Inc. 和 JATCO Ltd. 等參與者嚴重分割。 傳動系統製造商致力於在不犧牲車輛性能的情況下提供具有成本效益的解決方案。 經銷商專注於全球化並創新產品以符合排放法規。 出於這個原因，經銷商與本地合作夥伴和原始設備製造商合作，專注於開發新技術，以將有效的技術推向市場，同時節省製造成本。

例如，2022 年 5 月，Magn 將為寶馬集團開始生產新型 7 速輕度混合動力雙離合水平變速器。 Magn 是 BMW Group 平台上所有前橫置應用的唯一輕度混合動力變速箱供應商。 這種輕度混合動力變速箱技術顯著減少了內燃機的二氧化碳排放量。

其他好處

  • Excel 格式的市場預測 (ME) 表
  • 三個月的分析師支持

內容

第1章介紹

  • 調查先決條件
  • 調查範圍

第2章研究方法論

第 3 章執行摘要

第4章市場動態

  • 市場驅動力
  • 市場製約因素
  • 產業吸引力 - 波特五力分析
    • 新進入者的威脅
    • 買方/消費者議價能力
    • 供應商的議價能力
    • 替代品的威脅
    • 競爭公司之間的敵對關係

第 5 章市場細分

  • 類型
    • 自動變速器 (AT)/變矩器 (TC)
    • 手自一體變速箱 (AMT)
    • 無級變速器 (CVT)
    • 雙離合變速器 (DCT)
  • 燃料類型
    • 汽油
    • 柴油機
    • 混合型
  • 汽車模型
    • 乘用車
    • 輕型商用車 (LCV)
    • 重型商用車 (HCV)
  • 按地區
    • 北美
      • 美國
      • 加拿大
      • 其他北美地區
    • 歐洲
      • 德國
      • 英國
      • 法國
      • 意大利
      • 其他歐洲地區
    • 亞太地區
      • 中國
      • 日本
      • 印度
      • 韓國
      • 其他亞太地區
    • 南美洲地區
      • 巴西
      • 阿根廷
      • 其他南美洲
    • 中東和非洲
      • 阿拉伯聯合酋長國
      • 沙特阿拉伯
      • 其他中東和非洲地區

第6章競爭格局

  • 供應商市場份額
  • 公司簡介
    • Aisin Seiki Co Ltd
    • Allison Transmission Holdings
    • BorgWarner Inc.
    • Continental AG
    • Daimler AG
    • Delphi Automotive
    • Eaton Corporation PLC
    • Fiat Powertrain Technologies
    • Jatco Ltd.
    • Magna International Inc.
    • NSK Ltd.
    • Valeo
    • ZF Friedrichshafen AG

第7章 市場機會與今後動向

簡介目錄
Product Code: 49251

The automotive automatic transmission market studied was valued at USD 101.65 billion in 2021. It is expected to reach a value of USD 155.15 billion by 2027 while registering a CAGR of 7% during the forecast period.

With the COVID-19 pandemic affecting the automotive industry, the Transmission Market saw a dip in market share due to low or almost zero automotive sales or new requirements. Although United States has around 90% of the vehicles running with automatic transmission, mileage-sensitive and huge-scale markets like India are yet to gradually transform into automatic transmission systems. The growing trend towards opting the automatic transmission by drivers worldwide is set to help the industry service the pandemic and come out with good numbers post Covid-19.

The automotive transmission system has many advantages, apart from performing the simple purpose of transferring an engine's power to the wheels. The demand for automotive automatic transmission vehicles has been growing over the past three years, especially in developing countries, such as India and China, due to heavy traffic, congestion, and overcrowded streets.

The major types of automatic transmission systems used in the vehicles are automated manual, continuously variable transmission, and dual-clutch transmission, among others.

According to General Motors, with the growing environmental concerns and strict fuel economy norms, the available manual transmission system cars may decline, in turn, resulting in the rise in demand for automatic transmission systems. Governments in the region are also trying to promote the sales of alternative fuel vehicles through incentives and tax deductions, and fuel-efficient vehicles, which is expected to propel the demand for automotive automatic transmission in the region.

Key Market Trends

OEMs Focusing on Developing Advanced Automatic Transmission

The German automatic transmission supplier ZF developed a new 8-speed automatic transmission. The company mainly focused on improving fuel efficiency by using lightweight technology.

* The new gear set design consists of four planetary gear sets and five shift elements that help minimize drag and improve transmission efficiency. The optional hydraulic impulse oil storage (HIS) offers a start/stop function, which can increase fuel savings.

* This new automatic transmission is hybrid compatible and can be used across all AWD dive concepts, which include AWD center differential integrated, integrated AWD system, and hang-on AWD.

On average, ZF manufactures 3.5 million units of its 8-speed automatic transmission for Aston Martin, FCA, JLR, and the Volkswagen group yearly. In 2019, the company received a billion-dollar contract from BMW. ZF is expected to supply its latest version of this 8-speed automatic transmission for a BMW series of models that may be launched in 2022.

Additionally, as the logistics industry is gaining back its pace, the demand for transmission in the commercial sector is expected to increase. Hence, in February 2021, ZF announced a USD 200 million investment in commercial vehicle transmission manufacturing to cater to the increased demand in North America. Beginning in 2023, ZF will manufacture its PowerLine 8-speed automatic transmission in Gray Court, South Carolina, creating 500 jobs in United States.

Furthermore, ZF is also testing the possibilities of starting the production of this technology for China and United States, where the shares of automatic passenger cars are high.

Asia-Pacific is Expected to Witness the Fastest Growth Rate

Asia-Pacific is expected to witness the fastest growth rate during the forecast period. In the Asia-Pacific region, countries such as China, India, and the ASEAN countries, are anticipated to witness high demand for automatic cars, especially in India, with the continually growing vehicle population.

In India, the demand for automatic transmission cars and SUVs has significantly increased over the past three years.

Automatic vehicle sales have risen from a meager 1.4% in 2011 to 17.3% in 2019. This increase is primarily due to increased traffic and exhausting driving conditions in metropolitan regions, but manual transmissions are still the preferred mode of transportation in rural India. Maruti Suzuki was India's largest producer of automatic cars, with sales accounting for over 132,000 units in 2020.

Almost 80% of the cars sold in India are under the price range of 12 lakhs. Within this price range, Maruti Suzuki's Vitara Brezza, Dzire, Baleno, Hyundai Verna, and Honda City are the top-selling automatic transmission cars in the country.

Although most Indian buyers prefer a manual SUV, the demand for automatic transmission SUVs has increased over the past two years. Most of the premium SUV models available in the Indian market, such as Skoda Kodiaq, Volkswagen Tiguan, Audi Q-Series, BMW X-Series, etc., have an automatic transmission as a standard system.

In the light of the worsening road conditions, advancements in technology, growing preference toward economy and convenience, and rising demand for fuel-efficient cars, the demand for automatic transmission vehicles in India are expected to grow rapidly during the forecast period.

Although the market is running slow, the Dual Clutch Automatic Gearbox is gaining popularity because of its high-speed gearshift rate, which is very useful and is employed in most performance cars and supercars. Hence, many car makers like Hyundai, Skoda, Volkswagen, Tata, and others have started incorporating DCT technology.

In March 2022, Tata Motors launched its premium hatchback with a dual-clutch transmission called the DCA in India.

Competitive Landscape

The automotive automatic transmission market is fairly fragmented, with players, like ZF Friedrichshafen AG, Schaeffler AG, Hyundai Transys Inc., Magna International Inc., JATCO Ltd, and others. Transmission system manufacturers are motivated to provide cost-effective solutions without compromising the vehicle's performance. Dealers are focusing on globalization and innovating products to obey the emission norms. For this reason, dealers are working with native partners, and OEMs are focusing on developing new technologies to save manufacturing costs while offering effective technologies in the market.

For instance, in May 2022, Magna commences production of a new 7-speed, mild hybrid dual-clutch transverse transmission for BMW Group. Magna is the only mild hybrid transmission supplier for the BMW Group platform for all front-transverse applications. This mild hybrid gearbox tech cuts CO2 emissions from an internal combustion engine by a significant amount.

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4 MARKET DYNAMICS

  • 4.1 Market Driver
  • 4.2 Market Restraints
  • 4.3 Industry Attractiveness - Porter's Five Forces Analysis
    • 4.3.1 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.3.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers/Consumers
    • 4.3.3 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.3.4 Threat of Substitute Products
    • 4.3.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 MARKET SEGMENTATION

  • 5.1 Type
    • 5.1.1 Automatic Transmission (AT)/Torque Converter (TC)
    • 5.1.2 Automatic Manual Transmission (AMT)
    • 5.1.3 Continuous Variable Transmission (CVT)
    • 5.1.4 Dual Clutch Transmission (DCT)
  • 5.2 Fuel Type
    • 5.2.1 Gasoline (Petrol)
    • 5.2.2 Diesel
    • 5.2.3 Hybrid
  • 5.3 Vehicle Type
    • 5.3.1 Passenger Cars
    • 5.3.2 Light Commercial Vehicles (LCVs)
    • 5.3.3 Heavy Commercial Vehicles (HCVs)
  • 5.4 Geography
    • 5.4.1 North America
      • 5.4.1.1 United States
      • 5.4.1.2 Canada
      • 5.4.1.3 Rest of North America
    • 5.4.2 Europe
      • 5.4.2.1 Germany
      • 5.4.2.2 United Kingdom
      • 5.4.2.3 France
      • 5.4.2.4 Italy
      • 5.4.2.5 Rest of Europe
    • 5.4.3 Asia-Pacific
      • 5.4.3.1 China
      • 5.4.3.2 Japan
      • 5.4.3.3 India
      • 5.4.3.4 South Korea
      • 5.4.3.5 Rest of Asia-Pacific
    • 5.4.4 South America
      • 5.4.4.1 Brazil
      • 5.4.4.2 Argentina
      • 5.4.4.3 Rest of South America
    • 5.4.5 Middle-East and Africa
      • 5.4.5.1 United Arab Emirates
      • 5.4.5.2 Saudi Arabia
      • 5.4.5.3 Rest of the Middle-East and Africa

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Vendor Market Share
  • 6.2 Company Profiles*
    • 6.2.1 Aisin Seiki Co Ltd
    • 6.2.2 Allison Transmission Holdings
    • 6.2.3 BorgWarner Inc.
    • 6.2.4 Continental AG
    • 6.2.5 Daimler AG
    • 6.2.6 Delphi Automotive
    • 6.2.7 Eaton Corporation PLC
    • 6.2.8 Fiat Powertrain Technologies
    • 6.2.9 Jatco Ltd.
    • 6.2.10 Magna International Inc.
    • 6.2.11 NSK Ltd.
    • 6.2.12 Valeo
    • 6.2.13 ZF Friedrichshafen AG

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS