市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1191011
燃氣輪機市場——增長、趨勢和預測 (2023-2028)Gas Turbine Market - Growth, Trends, and Forecasts (2023 - 2028) |
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在預測期內,全球燃氣輪機市場的複合年增長率預計為 4%。
市場受到 COVID-19 大流行的負面影響。 但是,它現在處於大流行前的水平。
較低的運營成本、低排放和高功率密度等因素預計將推動市場的增長。 全球電力需求增加、技術進步導致頁巖氣產量增加以及各國選擇通過燃氣發電廠發電,預計將推動全球燃氣輪機市場的增長。
然而,越來越多地採用可再生能源,尤其是在美國、中國、巴西和印度等國家/地區,預計會阻礙燃氣輪機市場的增長。
對天然氣發電廠的需求不斷增加,世界各國都在以全球技術為基礎減少碳排放。 聯合循環預計將提供一個重要的市場機會,整體電效率為 50-60%,而開式循環為 33%。
由於對污染水平上升的擔憂日益加劇,預計亞太地區在預測期內對燃氣輪機的需求將顯著增加。
2021 年,天然氣產生了 6518.5 太瓦時的電力。 考慮到對環境的影響,美國、中國、德國和印度等許多國家都選擇使用天然氣發電廠發電。
安裝核電站需要大量投資,並且存在安全方面的運行風險。 天然氣發電是最安全的選擇,預計將增加全球市場對燃氣輪機的需求。 截至2021年,全球碳足跡將達到389.76億噸,並且每天都在快速增加。 日本、俄羅斯、緬甸和德國等國家對發電廠徵稅以減少排放。 這將推動世界各地採用燃氣發電廠。
預計在預測期內,分佈式發電和逐步淘汰的核電廠和燃煤電廠的替代趨勢不斷增加,將為電力行業的全球燃氣輪機市場擴張提供機會。
印度、中國、日本和緬甸等國家的快速工業化和城市化進程增加了該地區的電力需求,並帶動了眾多發電項目的發展。
印度的電力行業以煤炭為主,佔 2021 年總發電量的 74%。 該國在可再生能源和天然氣發電方面具有巨大潛力,可以實現脫碳和實現《巴黎協定》的目標。 2022年3月,GE燃氣動力和哈爾濱電氣宣布,深圳能源集團有限公司贏得了位於中國廣東省深圳市光明區的光明聯合循環電廠的設備訂單。 通用電氣將提供三台 GE 9HA.01 燃氣輪機。 在中國,燃氣發電裝機容量較近幾年增長迅速,預計到2025年將新增裝機容量40-50GW。
澳大利亞、日本和馬來西亞等國家對核能發電的社會共識正在增強,預計在預測期內將增加燃氣輪機的使用。
The global gas turbine market is expected to record a CAGR of 4% during the forecast period.
The market was negatively impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the market has now reached pre-pandemic levels.
Factors such as lower operating costs, lower emissions, and high-power density are expected to drive the market's growth. Increasing demand for electricity across the world, advancements in the technologies leading to an increase in shale gas production, and various countries opting for the generation of power through gas-fired plants are expected to drive the global gas turbine market's growth.
However, increasing renewable energy deployments, especially in countries like United States, China, Brazil, and India, are expected to hinder the growth of the gas turbine market.
There is a rise in demand for natural gas-fired plants and global initiatives across the countries for the reduction in emission of carbon dioxide, based on the technology. The combined cycle segment would provide significant opportunities to the market due to its overall electrical efficiency, typically ranging from 50-60% compared to open cycle with 33%.
Asia-Pacific is witnessing substantial growth in the demand for gas turbines during the forecast period, primarily due to growing concerns about increasing pollution levels in the region.
In 2021, the electricity generated by natural gas amounted to 6518.5TWh. On the note of environmental impact, many countries such as United States, China, Germany, and India opt for power generation through natural gas-fired power plants.
Setting up nuclear-based power plants requires a lot of investments and includes operational risks associated with safety concerns. Power generation through natural gas-fired will be the safest option, which is expected to increase the demand for gas turbines in the global market. As of 2021, global carbon dioxide emissions accounted for 38976 million tonnes, which is rapidly increasing day-to-day. Countries like Japan, Russia, Myanmar, and Germany are imposing taxes on power plants to reduce emissions. This will improve the adoption of gas-fired power plants across the world.
The increasing trend of distributed power generation and the replacement of phased-out nuclear and coal plants are expected to provide opportunities for the expansion of the global gas turbine market in the power sector during the forecast period.
Rapid industrialization in the countries like India, China, Japan, and Myanmar and increasing urbanization are driving an ever-growing power demand in this region, culminating in the development of numerous power generation projects.
The Indian power sector is dominated by coal-based generation, accounting for 74% of the total electricity generation in 2021. The country has a huge potential for renewable energy and gas-based power generation for decarbonization and to meet the targets according to the Paris Agreement. In March 2022, GE Gas Power and Harbin Electric announced that Shenzhen Energy Group Corporation Co. ordered the equipment for its Guangming combined cycle power plant, located in the Shenzhen Guangming district of Guangdong province in China. General Electric will provide three GE 9HA.01 gas turbines. In China, gas-fired power capacity has been witnessing faster growth compared to recent years, and it is expected to add 40 to 50 GW of new capacity by 2025.
Countries like Australia, Japan, and Malaysia, with a growing social consensus against nuclear power, are expected to propel the utilization of gas turbines during the forecast period.
The global gas turbine market is moderately fragmented. The key players in the market include (in no particular order) Siemens AG, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Ltd, General Electric Company, Kawasaki Heavy Industries Ltd, and Wartsila Oyj Abp, among others.