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市場調查報告書

全球風險分析(季度):2020年第四季度

Global Risk Report Quarterly Update - Q4 2020

出版商 MarketLine 商品編碼 997932
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 63 Pages
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全球風險分析(季度):2020年第四季度 Global Risk Report Quarterly Update - Q4 2020
出版日期: 2021年03月24日內容資訊: 英文 63 Pages
簡介

根據MarketLine發佈的最新版本的國家風險指數(MLCRI),截至2020年第四季度,瑞士排名最高,其次是新加坡和丹麥。根據該報告,有28個國家被劃為超低風險區,有22個國家被劃為低風險區,有36個國家被劃為可控風險,有39個國家被劃為高風險區,有11個國家被劃為超高風險區。是。

在本報告中,根據MLCRI(MarketLine國家風險指數)的分析內容,利用了最新的宏觀經濟方法和國內外統計數據,以及世界各國的政治,社會和技術方面。我們使用定性和定量方法衡量環境和法律風險,並考慮全球經濟面臨的挑戰和潛在風險。

目錄

目錄

世界概覽:主要亮點

世界概覽:摘要

閃回(2020年3月至2021年2月)

即將發生的重大事件(2022年3月2021年2月)

MLCRI(國家風險指數):國家排名

  • MLCRI:熱圖(2020年第4季度)
  • MLCRI:世界形勢(2021)

冠狀病毒感染(COVID-19):主要風險和恢復過程

  • 感染率:緩慢但持續增加
  • 增長預測(2020/2021):主要宏觀經濟指標
  • 商業情緒/消費者情緒趨勢
  • 隨著美國生產復甦放緩,原油價格正在上漲
  • 主要國家的預算赤字和債務水平擴大,經濟刺激措施支出巨大
  • COVID-19對勞動力市場的影響

市場線經濟復甦記分卡

區域分析

  • 區域分析:亞太地區
  • 區域分析:歐洲
  • 區域分析:美洲
  • 區域分析:中東/非洲

分析方法和來源

目錄
Product Code: MLER0012GLBRSK

Summary

Global Risk Report is based on MarketLine Country Risk Index (MLCRI) which is a unique country risk-rating model that determines the existing and future level of country risk by assessing various qualitative and quantitative factors. The index is formulated to help firms prepare their global business strategies on the basis of historical developments in an economy and also their future expectations.

The Country Risk Index incorporates the latest available macroeconomics, political, social, technological, environmental and legal data from a range of recognized national and international statistical sources, and incorporates proprietary data from MarketLine Economics Research. The model also features expert analytical judgment from in-house economists and takes into account their insights and opinions. By applying a robust approach to assessing risk, MarketLine analysts ensure that strategists have an effective tool to assess current trends and risks facing the economies across the globe.

The twelfth update version of MarketLine Country Risk Index (MLCRI) Q4 2020 ranks Switzerland at the top followed by Singapore and Denmark. 28 countries were identified in the very low risk zone, 22 countries in the low-risk zone, 36 countries under manageable risk, 39 countries under high risk and 11 countries in the very high-risk zone in MLCRI Q4 2020.

Scope

  • In Asia-Pacific, the risk score stood at 42.2 in Q4 2020, compared to 51.4 in Q2 2020, making it the second lowest risk region. A recovery in the purchasing managers' index (PMI) for manufacturing has been witnessed in most APAC nations, along with a gradual recovery in global demand. An uptick in retail trade and growing demand for e-commerce helped the APAC economies recover in H2 2020.
  • The European region remained the lowest risk region in the Q4 2020 update of the global risk index, owing to its strong macroeconomic fundamentals. When the coronavirus pandemic was at its peak, the European nations were able to control its spread and the risks associated with the pandemic through sufficient control measures enforced in a timely manner.
  • The Americas is the second highest risk region, according to the MLCRI Q4 2020 update, with a regional risk score of 47.6 out of 100. The whole region was battered by the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. Out of the top 15 worst affected countries, five are part of the Americas. The health crisis has led to a precipitous rise in poverty and social instability in the region, led by high unemployment.
  • The Middle East and Africa (MEA) is the highest risk region according to the MLCRI 2020 Q4 update, with a regional risk score of 51.4 out of 100, down compared to 55.6 in the MLCRI 2020 Q2 update and up compared to 48.8 in the MLCRI 2019 Q4 update. The region continues to be plagued by social conflict and geopolitical turmoil.

Reasons to Buy

  • Global Risk Report is based on MarketLine Country Risk Index (MLCRI) which is a unique country risk-rating model that determines the existing and future level of country risk by assessing various qualitative and quantitative factors. The index is formulated to help firms prepare their global business strategies on the basis of historical developments in an economy and also their future expectations.
  • The Country Risk Index incorporates the latest available macroeconomics, political, social, technological, environmental and legal data from a range of recognized national and international statistical sources, and incorporates proprietary data from MarketLine Economics Research. The model also features expert analytical judgment from in-house economists and takes into account their insights and opinions. By applying a robust approach to assessing risk, MarketLine analysts ensure that strategists have an effective tool to assess current trends and risks facing the economies across the globe.

Table of Contents

Global Overview - Key Highlights

Global Overview - Summary

Flashback - March 2020 to February 2021

Key Events - March 2021 to February 2022

MLCRI - Country Ranking

MLCRI Q4 2020 Heat Map

MLCRI - Global Landscape 2021

COVID-19 - Major Risks and Recovery

Infection rates continue to rise albeit at a slower pace

Growth forecast for 2020 and 2021: Key Macroeconomic Indicators

Business and consumer sentiments trends

Oil prices rise amid slow US output recovery

Increasing deficit and debt levels in major economies with huge spending on stimulus

COVID-19 impact on the labor market

MarketLine's economic recovery scorecard

Regional Analysis

Regional Analysis - Asia-Pacific

Regional Analysis - Europe

Regional Analysis - Americas

Regional Analysis - Middle East and Africa

Methodology and Sources