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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1108022
生物塑料 2023-2033年:技術、市場、參與者和預測Bioplastics 2023-2033: Technology, Market, Players, and Forecasts |
標題:
生物塑料 2023-2033年:技術、市場、參與者和預測
生物基 PLA、PET、PEF、聚酯、聚烯烴、聚□胺、聚氨酯、PHA 和多醣,用於包裝、汽車、紡織、農業、消費品和循環經濟中的其他應用。
生物塑料製造商正在迅速擴大生產規模,預計該行業未來十年的複合年增長率將達到 10.1%。製造商受到品牌所有者的推動,以滿足脫碳承諾、消費者對可持續性的需求以及一次性使用化石塑料禁令。在本報告中,IDTechEx 探討了生物塑料市場增長的驅動因素,分析了關鍵技術和新興技術,檢查了報廢選項,討論了應用,並預測了市場的機遇和增長。
儘管我們越來越意識到塑料對我們的環境構成的威脅,但塑料需求仍在繼續增長。到 2050 年,全球塑料消費量將翻一番。為了應對塑料對環境和氣候變化的影響,該行業正在向循環經濟轉型。然而,即使每年生產的所有塑料都 100% 回收利用,仍然需要原始原料來滿足不斷增長的消費。生物塑料——由生物基原料合成的塑料——可以在這裡取代現有的化石塑料。鑑於它們的生物基來源,這些塑料是現有化石基塑料的低碳足跡和可持續選擇。
生物塑料行業始於幾十年前,但在 2010 年代,該行業深陷死亡谷,一系列破產和業務重新定位遠離該領域表明了這一點。這種下滑是由對該領域看漲的初始投資的反衝驅動的,並且是將生產規模擴大到商業水平時的一個重大瓶頸。此外,與布倫特原油價格大幅下跌相比,生物塑料的相對成本較高,使得生物塑料與傳統塑料的競爭不力,從而加劇了下降趨勢。
然而,最近的變化已經扭轉了生物塑料行業的潮流,重振了其增長方式。最重要的是,品牌所有者本身已經轉向可持續發展的需求。這是由兩方面推動的:消費者拉動持續增強,立法變化(加上對未來變化的預期)朝著可持續性發展——例如一次性使用化石塑料禁令。由 IPCC 報告支持的 COP26 基石會議也推動了品牌所有者對脫碳的承諾。這種過剩的需求正在推動製造商更快地擴大產能,許多品牌所有者建立了合作夥伴關係以加速擴大規模。
來源:IDTechEx
許多公司開始克服商業規模瓶頸,隨著技術的發展,生物塑料的生產成本越來越低。此外,消費者現在更願意為可持續生物塑料支付溢價。總體而言,這些因素正在推動生物塑料朝著更實惠和比傳統塑料更具競爭力的方向發展。這得益於最近布倫特原油價格的飆升,這使得生物塑料成為更具吸引力的替代品。
採用生物塑料顛覆塑料行業的一個主要因素是嵌入式材料。這些是生物基原料或構建塊,可以直接替代現有原料。通過替換插件,製造商可以輕鬆地促進從化石到生物基的過渡。可以使用相同的工藝,而不是建立全新的工廠,並且最終產品的特性不會改變。這也意味著可以使用現有塑料產品的成熟的報廢選擇,特別是可以大大提高塑料產品可持續性的回收流。使用插件,可以使用質量平衡等監管鏈模型對生物基材料進行追蹤,從而在整個價值鏈中就可持續材料的來源和流程創造透明度和信任。總體而言,塑料市場將更容易採用與其他生物塑料相比具有強大優勢的即插即用生物塑料。
然而,幾種生物塑料類型仍有許多挑戰需要克服。為了真正實現可持續發展並成為循環經濟的一部分,生物塑料必須設計用於報廢處理。例如,最廣泛生產的 100% 生物基塑料材料 PLA 可以進行工業堆肥,但這對堆肥沒有任何價值,因此該行業的承購商很少。同時,與直接使用的生物基 PET 不同,回收 PLA 需要專用的基礎設施,這種基礎設施不常見且採用起來非常昂貴。相反,大多數 PLA 管理不善或進入垃圾填埋場。
全球最大的塑料組 PP 和 PE 仍然沒有主要的生物塑料解決方案。生物石腦油用於製造生物基 PP 和 PPE,但從生物醇和含氧化合物合成生物石腦油效率低下(因為過程中會產生廢氧)。此外,這使化學製造商與生物燃料和生物能源競爭原料。另一方面,生物石腦油可以由植物油製成,但由於地緣政治不穩定,這些原材料會受到價格波動的影響。
仍處於示範或中試規模的較年輕的生物塑料類型顯示出有前景的特性。然而,他們尚未開發出大量應用,這對於開發對材料的需求至關重要。處於這些利基市場的公司需要與品牌所有者和配方設計師建立合作夥伴關係,以擴大他們的應用組合。
該報告按生物塑料類型對市場進行細分和討論,著眼於每個細分市場的驅動因素和製約因素。這些細分市場是在10 年預測中推斷出來的,以探索這些細分市場的技術準備情況、市場顛覆的潛力以及計劃中的產能擴張前景。
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Title:
Bioplastics 2023-2033: Technology, Market, Players, and Forecasts
Biobased PLA, PET, PEF, polyesters, polyolefins, polyamides, polyurethanes, PHA and polysaccharides, for packaging, automotive, textiles, agriculture, consumer goods, and other applications in the circular economy.
Bioplastics manufacturers are scaling production rapidly and the industry is expected to grow by 10.1% CAGR in the next ten years. Manufacturers are driven by brand-owner pull to meet decarbonization commitments, consumer demand for sustainability, and single-use fossil-based plastic ban laws. In this report, IDTechEx explores the drivers of the bioplastic market's growth, analyses key and emerging technologies, examines end-of-life options, discusses applications, and forecasts the opportunities and growth of the market.
Plastic demand continues to grow even as we become increasingly aware of the threat that plastics pose to our environment. Global consumption of plastics will double by 2050. To combat the impact of plastic on environment and climate change, the industry is transitioning towards a circular economy. Yet, even if all the plastic produced every year was 100% recycled, there would still be a need for virgin feedstock to meet growing consumption. Bioplastics - plastics which are synthesised from biobased feedstocks - can replace incumbent fossil-based plastics here. Given their biobased origin, these plastics are a lower carbon footprint and sustainable option to incumbent fossil-based plastics.
The bioplastics industry began decades ago, but during the 2010s the industry fell deep into the valley of death, indicated by a string of bankruptcies and business repositioning away from the space. This slump was driven by recoil from bullish initial investment in the space, and a significant bottleneck when it came to scaling production to commercial level. Furthermore, the high relative cost of bioplastics compared with a substantial drop in the price of Brent crude made bioplastics poor competition against conventional plastics, reinforcing the decline.
Yet, recent changes have turned the tide in the bioplastics industry, revitalizing its growth mode. Foremost, there has been a shift towards sustainability demand from brand-owners themselves. This is driven from both sides: by consumer pull that continues to strengthen, and by legislation changes (plus anticipation for future changes) towards sustainability- such as single use fossil-based plastics bans. The cornerstone COP26 conference, supported by the IPCC report, fuelled brand-owner commitments to decarbonization, too. This surplus demand is pushing manufacturers to expand their capacities faster, with many brand-owners forming partnerships to accelerate the scaling-up process.
Source: IDTechEx
Many companies are beginning to overcome the commercial scale bottleneck and as technology develops bioplastics are being produced for lower costs. Additionally, consumers are more willing now to pay the premium for sustainable bioplastics. Overall, these factors are driving bioplastics towards being more affordable and competitive against conventional plastics. This is supported by a spike in Brent crude prices recently, which make bioplastics a more attractive alternative.
A major factor for bioplastic adoption to disrupt the plastics industry is the drop-in materials. These are biobased feedstocks or building blocks that can be a direct substitute for incumbent feedstocks. By substituting with drop-ins, manufacturers can easily facilitate the transition from fossil to biobased. The same processes can be used, rather than establishing entirely new plants, and end-product properties are unchanged. This also means that the well-established end-of-life options of incumbent plastic products can be used, particularly recycling streams which massively improve the sustainability of a plastic product. Using drop-ins, the biobased material can be traced with chain-of-custody models like mass balance, which create transparency and trust throughout the value chain regarding sustainable material origins and processes. Overall, the plastics market will more readily adopt drop-in bioplastics which have a strong advantage over other bioplastics.
Yet, there are still many challenges for several bioplastic types to overcome. To be truly sustainable and become part of the circular economy, bioplastics must be designed for end-of-life processing. For example, PLA, the most widely produced 100% biobased plastic material can be industrially composted, however this provides no value to the compost so there are few off-takers in the industry. Meanwhile, recycling PLA, unlike drop-in biobased PET, requires dedicated infrastructure that is uncommon and very expensive to adopt. Instead, most PLA is mismanaged or goes to landfill.
The largest groups of plastics worldwide, PP and PE, remain without a major bioplastic solution. Bio-naphtha is used to make biobased PP and PPE, but synthesis of bio-naphtha from bio-alcohols and oxygenates is inefficient (because of waste oxygen in the process). Furthermore, this puts chemical manufacturers into competition for feedstock with biofuel and bioenergy. On the other hand, bio-naphtha can be made from plant oils, however these raw materials suffer from price fluctuations resulting from geopolitical instability.
Younger bioplastic types that are still in demonstration or pilot scale show promising properties. However, they have yet to develop a significant range of applications, critical to developing demand for the materials. Companies in these niches need to form partnerships with brand-owners and formulators to expand their application portfolios.
The report segments and discusses the market by bioplastic types, looking at the drivers and constraints of each segment. These segments are extrapolated in the 10-year forecast, to explore the segments' technology readiness, potential for market disruption, and the landscape for planned capacity expansions.
All report purchases include up to 30 minutes telephone time with an expert analyst who will help you link key findings in the report to the business issues you're addressing. This needs to be used within three months of purchasing the report.