市場調查報告書

全球手機市場:最新預測(2020-2024)

Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast Update, 2020-2024: June 2020

出版商 IDC 商品編碼 947146
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 25 Pages
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全球手機市場:最新預測(2020-2024) Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast Update, 2020-2024: June 2020
出版日期: 2020年06月30日內容資訊: 英文 25 Pages
簡介

在全球手機市場中,由於發生了COVID-19,到2020年底,手機出貨量比先前預測的2019年的17.9470億部減少了15.5%,總計15.1720億。此後,到2024年,全球手機出貨量預計將下降至16.923億,複合年增長率為-1.2%。預計到2020年,由於對COVID-19的不確定性將繼續削弱大多數主要市場的需求,全球智能手機市場將繼續受到負面影響。此外,5G到2021年將以8.4%的速度增長,並可能繼續成為主要的市場增長因素。

該報告是對全球手機市場的調查,並提供諸如對技術供應商的建議,市場預測和市場趨勢之類的信息。

IDC市場預測

執行摘要

給技術供應商的建議

  • 多元化供應鏈
  • 平衡設備組合

市場預測

  • 按地區分列的全球手機預測
  • 全球手機設備類型預測
    • 功能電話
    • 智能手機
  • 空中接口和空中接口部門對全球手機的預測
    • CDMA
    • GSM
    • UMTS/WCDMA
    • 4G
    • 5G
  • 手機的ASP世界預測

市場情況

  • 增長因素和障礙
    • 生長因子
      • 大屏幕尺寸
      • 5G手機
    • 抑制因素
      • 供應鏈
      • COVID-19(新的冠狀病毒感染)
      • 經濟
  • 主要市場趨勢
    • 供應鏈改革
  • 與之前的預測相比發生的變化
    • 北美
    • 亞太地區
    • 拉丁美洲
    • CEMA
    • 西歐

市場定義

  • 功能電話
  • 智能手機

調查方法

  • 主要數據源
  • 次要來源
  • IDC全球手機市場(每季度)

相關調查

目錄
Product Code: US46551220

This IDC study presents the five-year forecast for mobile phone shipments worldwide by device type. The worldwide mobile phone market will reach a total of 1,517.2 million unit shipments in 2020, down 15.5% from the 1,794.7 million units shipped in 2019. From there, total mobile phone shipments will dip to 1,692.3 million units worldwide by 2024, resulting in a CAGR of -1.2% from 2019 to 2024. "The global smartphone will continue to be negatively impacted in 2020 as uncertainties around COVID-19 continue to weaken demand in most major markets," said Anthony Scarsella, research manager with IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker. "The COVID-19 outbreak is expected to further decrease mobile phone shipments than previously forecast declining 15.5% year over year by the end of 2020. We expect 5G to be the prime catalyst of growth in 2021 (8.4%) and beyond as the market is expected to grow throughout the remainder of the forecast period."

IDC Market Forecast Figure

Executive Summary

Advice for Technology Suppliers

  • Diversify Your Supply Chain
  • Balance the Portfolio of Devices

Market Forecast

  • Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by Region
  • Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by Device Type
    • Feature Phones
    • Smartphones
  • Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by Air Interface and Air Interface Group
    • CDMA
    • GSM
    • UMTS/WCDMA
    • 4G
    • 5G
  • Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by ASP

Market Context

  • Drivers and Inhibitors
    • Drivers
      • Larger Screen Sizes
      • 5G Handsets
    • Inhibitors
      • Supply Chain
      • COVID-19
      • Economy
  • Significant Market Developments
    • Supply Chain Shake-Up
  • Changes from Prior Forecast
    • North America
    • Asia/Pacific
    • Latin America
    • CEMA
    • Western Europe

Market Definition

  • Feature Phone
  • Smartphone

Methodology

  • Primary Data Sources
  • Secondary Sources
  • IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker

Related Research