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IDC FutureScape:全球下一代汽車的預測:2020年

IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Next-Generation Automotive 2020 Predictions

出版商 IDC 商品編碼 915244
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 22 Pages
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IDC FutureScape:全球下一代汽車的預測:2020年 IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Next-Generation Automotive 2020 Predictions
出版日期: 2019年10月31日內容資訊: 英文 22 Pages
簡介

本報告提供全球下一代汽車趨勢調查,並將今後數年重要的展望彙整為10大預測。

第1章 摘要整理

第2章 IDC FutureScape的預測

  • 外性促進要素摘要
  • 預測:對技術買主的影響
    • 預測1:到2021年,50%的汽車OEM將啟用新車的移動邊緣計算作為其互聯車輛平台的一部分,以支持增強的應用程序,服務和運營效率
    • 預測2:到2021年,將有70%的OEM擴大其數據管理和貨幣化合作夥伴關係的範圍,以開闢新的業務機會,並減少外部數據市場壓力的影響
    • 預測3:到2022年,將有75%的OEM採用行業間數位創新平台,通過支持產品開發,與供應商合作以及簡化大數據戰略,將運營成本降低10%。
    • 預測4:到2022年,超過70%的汽車OEM將在新的車輛模型中集成AI和IoT等技術,以更無縫地集成自動化系統和車載信息娛樂系統
    • 預測5:到2022年,獨立開發複雜視音頻系統的成本將推動超過50%的OEM廠商收購和/或與無人駕駛平台供應商合作進入市場
    • 預測6:到2023年,由於需要個性化和增強的客戶體驗,因此65%的汽車OEM廠商將使用實時數據進行設計,以使收入增加40%,召回率提高25%
    • 預測7:到2023年,由於C-V2X和DSRC的成本,技術和生態系統的成熟以及法規要求的提高,將有60%的OEM廠商開始自願生產支持V2X的汽車
    • 預測8:到2024年,G8國家將要求具有SAE 4級和5級功能的AV包括人為操作的備份模式,以提高安全性
    • 預測9:到2025年,全球60%的OEM廠商將與公用事業部門合作,協助EV電池的開發,儲能,分配和充電,使全球EV的預期銷售額進一步增長5%
    • 預測10:到2025年,10%的2級和3級自動駕駛汽車將配備改進的平視顯示器,以使駕駛員的安全性,注意力和生產率提高20%
  • 給技術買主的建議
  • 外性促進要素:詳細內容
  • 參考資料
    • 相關調查
目錄
Product Code: US45576019

This IDC study provides our top 10 predictions for the worldwide next-generation automotive market. These predictions reflect IDC's vision for the 10 most important trends in this market over the next 60 months (through 2025). Technology buyers from automotive manufacturers, tiered suppliers, wireless network operators, and fleet and road operators should use this IDC FutureScape to help inform their purchasing decisions over the next three to five years.According to Matt Arcaro, research manager, Next Generation Automotive research at IDC, "In 2019, the pace of change in the automotive ecosystem only seemed to accelerate. As the industry looks to adopt more and more horizontal IT technologies and platforms with the goal of bringing autonomy and electrification to market sooner, the opportunities for supplier and manufacturer disruption and disintermediation have increased."

IDC FutureScape Figure

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

  • Summary of External Drivers
  • Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers
    • Prediction 1: By 2021, 50% of Automotive OEMs Will Enable Mobile Edge Computing in New Vehicles as Part of Their Connected Vehicle Platform to Support Enhanced Applications, Services, and Operational Efficiency
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 2: By 2021, 70% of OEMs Will Expand the Reach of Their Data Management and Monetization Partnerships to Open New Business Opportunities and Reduce the Impact of External Data Market Pressures
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 3: By 2022, 75% of OEMs Will Employ Cross-Industry Digital Innovation Platforms to Aid Product Development, Supplier Collaboration, and Simplify Big Data Strategies, Resulting in a 10% Opex Improvement
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 4: By 2022, over 70% of Automotive OEMs Will Integrate Technologies Such as AI and IoT in New Vehicle Models to More Seamlessly Integrate Automation Systems and In-Vehicle Infotainment
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 5: By 2022, the Cost of Independently Developing Complex AV Systems Will Drive over 50% of OEMs to Acquire and/or Partner with Autonomous Vehicle Platform Providers to Reach Market
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 6: Due to the Need to Personalize and Enhance the Customer Experience, by 2023, 65% of Automotive OEMs Will Design Using Real-Time Data, Increasing Revenue by 40% and Reducing Recalls by 25%
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 7: By 2023, 60% of OEMs Will Begin Voluntarily Manufacturing V2X-Capable Vehicles Driven by the Cost, Technology, and Ecosystem Maturation of C-V2X and DSRC and Increased Regulatory Clarity
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 8: By 2024, G8 Countries Will Mandate That SAE Level 4- and Level 5-Capable AVs Include a Human-Operated Backup Mode for Added Safety
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 9: By 2025, 60% of Global OEMs Will Partner with Utilities to Aid EV Battery Development, Energy Storage, Distribution, and Charging, Driving a 5% Further Increase to Expected Global EV Sales
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 10: By 2025, 10% of Levels 2 and 3 Autonomous Vehicles Will Incorporate Enhanced Heads-Up Displays to Improve Driver Safety, Awareness, and Productivity by 20%
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

  • The Age of Innovation: Driving the Future Enterprise
  • Crisis of Digital Trust: Escalating Threats Mandate Strategic Responses
  • Economies of Intelligence: AI, Human, and Organizational "Learning" Fuels Asymmetrical Advantage
  • Intelligence Everywhere: AI's Opportunity and Implications
  • Rising Customer Expectations: More Convenience, Customization, and Control
  • Sense, Compute, Act: Maximizing Data Value
  • The Platform Economy: Competing at Hyperscale

Learn More

  • Related Research