市場調查報告書

IDC FutureScape:全球區塊鏈的預測:2020年

IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Blockchain 2020 Predictions

出版商 IDC 商品編碼 915236
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 21 Pages
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IDC FutureScape:全球區塊鏈的預測:2020年 IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Blockchain 2020 Predictions
出版日期: 2019年10月31日內容資訊: 英文 21 Pages
簡介

本報告提供全球區塊鏈趨勢調查,並將今後數年重要的展望彙整為10大預測。

第1章 摘要整理

第2章 IDC FutureScape的預測

  • 外性促進要素摘要
  • 預測:對技術買主的影響
    • 預測1:到2024年,40%的一級金融機構將使用區塊鍊網絡繞過SWIFT,代理行或中央銀行基礎設施,來處理點對點跨境支付
    • 預測2:儘管訴訟和延誤減慢了電子投票的進度,但區塊鏈電子投票已成為最佳選擇。考試投票也取得了成功,到2022年將進行12%的系統測試
    • 預測3:到2021年,供應商和付款人將以具有憑據的區塊鏈標准為中心進行合併,而20%的供應商將在共同服務中使用該標準,避免使用自己的私有流程和競爭衝動
    • 預測4:到2023年,企業將在區塊鏈服務上投資近110億美元-例如,諮詢,實施,維護,支持-將超過三分之一的投資花費在託管服務上
    • 預測5:到2024年,超過75%的受監管公司將採用區塊鏈來支持可解釋的人工智能
    • 預測6:到2022年,全球10%的成年人口將註冊基於區塊鏈的自我主權ID,從而創建一個擁有4.85億尋求擁有並控制其數位身份的人的擴展市場
    • 預測7:到2023年,區塊鏈將追踪全球集裝箱運輸的85%,其中一半將使用啟用區塊鏈的跨境支付
    • 預測8:到2022年,將在發行公司和內容製作公司管理的區塊鏈上處理25%的數位版權,以防止未經授權的使用和未經授權的P2P共享,並調解信任和透明度
    • 預測9:到2020年,超過80%的公司將在實施區塊鏈計劃時將區塊鏈即服務作為區塊鏈基礎設施的首選
    • 預測10:到2023年,將有超過12個國家(主要是新興經濟體)開始使用區塊鏈技術發行數位貨幣,以促進經濟穩定並鼓勵電子商務
  • 給技術買主的建議
  • 外性促進要素:詳細內容
  • 參考資料
    • 相關調查
目錄
Product Code: US44538119

This IDC study discusses the worldwide blockchain top 10 predictions for 2020."Blockchain has been attracting all types of attention in the past few years," said James Wester, research director, Worldwide Blockchain Strategies at IDC, and lead author of this document. "Not all of that attention has been positive or focused on the areas where blockchain has already been showing great promise. But the technologies that are bundled under the label blockchain - including distributed ledgers, digital assets, and even cryptocurrencies - represent a very disruptive trend that will have a significant impact on industries as varied as healthcare, financial services, supply chain, and more."

IDC FutureScape Figure

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

  • Summary of External Drivers
  • Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers
    • Prediction 1: By 2024, 40% of Tier 1 Financial Institutions Will Use Blockchain Networks to Process Point-to-Point Cross-Border Payments, Bypassing SWIFT and the Correspondent or Central Banking Infrastructure
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Business Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 2: Lawsuits and Delays Will Slow eVoting Progress, But Blockchain-Enabled Electronic Voting Will Emerge as a Prime Solution, and Successful Pilots Will Lead to 12% of Jurisdictions Testing Systems by 2022
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 3: By 2021, Providers and Payers Will Coalesce Around a Credentialing Blockchain Standard, and 20% Will Use This Standard in a Common Service, Eschewing Their Own Private Processes and Competitive Impulses
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 4: By 2023, Enterprises Will Invest Nearly $11 Billion in Blockchain Services - for Example, Consulting, Implementation, Maintenance, Support - Spending over One-Third of That Investment on Managed Services
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 5: By 2024, More than 75% of Regulated Companies Will Adopt Blockchain in Support of Explainable Artificial Intelligence
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 6: By 2022, 10% of the World's Adult Population Will Register for a Blockchain-Based Self-Sovereign ID, Creating an Expanding Market of 485 Million People Who Seek to Own and Control Their Digital Identity
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Business Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 7: By 2023, 85% of Global Container Shipping Will Be Tracked by Blockchain, with Half of This Using Blockchain-Enabled Cross-Border Payments
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 8: By 2022, 25% of Digital Rights Will Be Processed on Blockchains Managed by Distributors and Content Creators, Brokering Trust and Transparency to Prevent Free Consumption and Illegal P2P Sharing
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Business Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 9: By 2020, More than 80% of Organizations Will Use Blockchain as a Service as the First Priority for Blockchain Infrastructure When Implementing Blockchain Initiatives
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 10: By 2023, More than 12 Countries, Mostly Emerging Economies, Will Begin Issuing a Digital Currency Using Blockchain Technologies to Promote Economic Stability and Encourage Electronic Commerce
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

  • The Age of Innovation: Driving the Future Enterprise
    • Description
    • Context
  • Accelerated Disruption: Navigating Business Challenges as Volatility Intensifies
    • Description
    • Context
  • Crisis of Digital Trust: Escalating Threats Mandate Strategic Responses
    • Description
    • Context
  • The Platform Economy: Competing at Hyperscale
    • Description
    • Context
  • Sense, Compute, Act: Maximizing Data Value
    • Description
    • Context
  • Geopolitical Risk: Societal and Economic Tensions Rise
    • Description
    • Context
  • Intelligence Everywhere: AI's Opportunity and Implications
    • Description
    • Context

Learn More

  • Related Research
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