市場調查報告書

IDC FutureScape:智慧城市/地方自治團體的全球市場的未來預測 (2020年)

IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Smart Cities and Communities 2020 Predictions

出版商 IDC 商品編碼 738776
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 21 Pages
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IDC FutureScape:智慧城市/地方自治團體的全球市場的未來預測 (2020年) IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Smart Cities and Communities 2020 Predictions
出版日期: 2019年10月31日內容資訊: 英文 21 Pages
簡介

世界各地的地方組織和地方政府都在通過掌握最新技術發展趨勢,並同時通過引進和利用新技術來滿足風險管理,公民期望和財務限制等條件。尤其是在智慧城市/社區中,需要策略性導入擴充性高,隨時皆可引進的解決方案,以因應未來的風險和機遇。

本報告提供全球智慧城市/智慧社區的領域未來可能發生的技術面·運用面的變化 (總共10項) 考察,彙整相關企業·組織的負責人今後所應採取的對策等資訊,為您概述為以下內容。

IDC 由於FutureScape的市場趨勢預測 (圖表)

摘要整理

IDC FutureScape的預測

  • 外在市場推動市場要素:概要
    • 預測1:由於KPI(關鍵績效指標)不佳,對供應商產品的了解不足,缺乏資金,利益相關者之間缺乏合作,到2020年智慧城市物聯網項目將達到10-30個無法啟動的百分比
    • 預測2:到2021年,智慧城市中的20%將由歐洲公司領導,並將使用綜合指標評估各種計劃的價值,包括犯罪預測,MaaS,個性化醫療等。
    • 預測3:到2021年,來自公民和利益集團的壓力將對75%的下一代公共安全技術施加嚴格而詳細的操作規則
    • 預測4:由於政府不當使用個人數據,到2022年,將在50%的大城市中建立數據道德標準,並定義數據收集,使用和共享方法
    • 預測5:到2023年,25%的智慧城市數位孿生平台將用於復雜資產和產品系統的自動化處理
    • 預測6:到2023年,實施IoT設備時將發生25%的網絡安全故障,並且網絡安全軟體的銷售和人員培訓預算將大大增加
    • 預測7:到2024年,將有90%的智慧城市新項目和20%的改造項目受益於共享經濟帶來的數位空間規劃和新分區規則
    • 預測8:到2024年,對RPA / AI本機系統的一系列投資將導致數據爆炸而無需招募,而70%的數據科學家職位仍將不滿足
    • 預測9:到2024年,所有智慧城市的用例中有三分之一將受到5G的影響,而75%的大型城市將使用5G擴展關鍵服務,例如實時犯罪中心,V2X連接性和智能體育場
    • 預測10:為響應新通信技術的統一,到2025年,將在25%的世界主要城市中引入使用5G(C-V2X)和DSRC的互聯汽車基礎設施

給技術買主建議

外在市場推動市場要素:詳細內容

  • 數位技術信譽危機:隨著威脅的增加,需要採取戰略對策
  • 地緣政治學風險:社會·經濟壓力的增加
  • 平台經濟:大規模競爭
  • 感測·計算·行動 - 資料價值的最大化
  • “隨處可見的信息”:人工智能市場機遇和影響
  • 客戶體驗的增加:提高便利性·客制化·控制性
  • 氣候變化和復原力:自然災害和資源短缺的影響

參考資料

  • 相關調查

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目錄
Product Code: US44970019

This IDC study provides IDC's top 10 Smart City and Communities predictions for 2020."Regional and municipal governments are working hard to keep pace with technology advances and take advantage of new opportunities in the context of risk management, public expectations, and funding needs to scale initiatives," says Ruthbea Clarke, vice president, IDC Government Insights and Smart Cities and Communities. "Smart Cities and Communities need to think strategically so that scalable, future-ready solutions are implemented. These predictions help define future trends that should be taken into account."

IDC FutureScape Figure

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

  • Summary of External Drivers
  • Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers
    • Prediction 1: In 2020, 10-30% of Smart City IoT Projects Will Fail to Launch or Scale Due to Ill-Defined Outcomes or KPIs, Poor Understanding of Vendor Offerings, and/or Inadequate Funding and Stakeholder Engagement
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 2: By 2021, 20% of Cities, Led by European Innovators, Will Use Composite Indexes to Assess the Value of Initiatives, Such as Predictive Policing, Mobility as a Service, and Personalized Care
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 3: By 2021, in Response to Pressure from Citizens and Advocacy Groups, 75% of Next-Gen Public Safety Technology Procurements Will Have Specifications Preemptively Scoped by Strict Policy Frameworks
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 4: Owing to Rising Public Mistrust of Government's Use of Personal Data, by 2022, 50% of Large Cities Will Develop Data Ethics Policies That Define How and What Data Can Be Collected, Used, and Shared
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 5: By 2023, 25% of Successful Smart Cities Digital Twin Platforms Will Be Used to Automate Processes for Increasingly Complex, Interconnected Ecosystems of Assets and Products
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 6: By 2023, 20% of Cybersecurity Incidents Will Stem from Smart City IoT Device Deployments, Forcing Double-Digit Increases in Cybersecurity Software and Staff Training Budgets
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 7: By 2024, 90% of Greenfield Cities and 20% of Existing Cities Globally Will Adopt Digital Space Planning Capabilities and New Zoning Regulations to Realize the Benefits of the Growing Sharing Economy
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 8: By 2024, 70% of City Data Scientist Jobs Will Be Unfilled, Resulting in Increased Investment in RPA/AI-Native Systems, Which Will Exponentially Grow Data Capabilities Without Adding Head Count
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 9: By 2024, One-Third of All Smart Cities Use Cases Will Be Impacted by 5G, and 75% of Large Cities Will Use 5G to Scale Key Services Such as Real-Time Crime Centers, V2X Connectivity, and Smart Stadiums
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 10: By 2025, 25% of Major Cities Worldwide Will Have Installed Connected Vehicle Infrastructure Using Either 5G (C-V2X) or DSRC as Countries and Regions Settle on One Standard or the Other
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

  • Crisis of Digital Trust: Escalating Threats Mandate Strategic Responses
  • Geopolitical Risk: Societal and Economic Tensions Rise
  • The Platform Economy: Competing at Hyperscale
  • Sense, Compute, Act: Maximizing Data Value
  • Intelligence Everywhere: AI's Opportunity and Implications
  • Rising Customer Expectations: More Convenience, Customization, and Control
  • Climate Change and Resilience: The Impact of Weather Events and Scarcity of Resources

Learn More

  • Related Research
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