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市場調查報告書

IDC FutureScape:全球開發人員和DevOp的預測 (2018年)

IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Developer and DevOps 2018 Predictions

出版商 IDC 商品編碼 574553
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 19 Pages
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IDC FutureScape:全球開發人員和DevOp的預測 (2018年) IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Developer and DevOps 2018 Predictions
出版日期: 2017年10月31日 內容資訊: 英文 19 Pages
簡介

數位轉型對開發人員和DevOps的專業人士帶來深刻而直接的影響,迫使他們做出艱難的決定,去探取活用仍然處於發展階段的新興技術

本報告涵括開發人員和DevOp趨勢的10大預測等資訊。

IDC FutureScape的見解

摘要整理

IDC FutureScape的預測

  • 外性促進要素的摘要
  • 預測:對技術買家的影響
    • 預測1:到2021年,情境應用需求將推動低碼/無碼開發人數增長三位數,這些非傳統開發人員在2021年將建立20%的業務應用程序和30%的新應用程序功能
    • 預測2:使用容器作為應用程序部署工具將繼續快速增長; 到2021年,超過95%的新型微服務將被部署在集裝箱中,但是20%以下為企業集裝箱微型服務
    • 預測3:到2018年底,認知運算,人工智慧和機器學習將成為軟體開發增長最快的領域; 到2021年,90%的組織將把認知/人工智慧和機器學習融入到新的企業應用程序中
    • 預測4:到2019年,透過敏捷的DevOps管道驅動和活化生命週期和應用程序開發智慧,在現有數據流的人工智慧聯邦支持下,70%以上的日常開發生命週期任務將被自動化
    • 預測5:2021年,基於OSS和多語種環境和支援多平台的開發工具將關係到語言不可知論的擴大,以及三至五個最佳組合語言包,但OSS開發環境的商業支援性是關鍵
    • 預測6:亞馬遜,谷歌,IBM,微軟,和Salesforce(Megaplatforms)將贏得開發者智慧到2020年。屆時50%的開發者將不再僅限於初期引進平台,而利用提供企業的雲端型服務,
    • 預測七:雲端功能慢慢成為主流,在這個過程中將不再獨佔,到2021年,財富前1000強公司中有80%將使用雲端功能進行至少一項日常任務
    • 預測8:市場競爭與第三方的選擇將主導2021年前引進雲端的決策,高達70%的大企業將拒絕提供自家企業專用PaaS的供應商來設置或重新建立雲端上的重要解決方案
    • 預測9:到2021年,超過50%的CIO會被委任為CEO; 以合併開發,PMO,Op群組,削減筒倉,擴大DevOp活動,推進改革的實驗
    • 預測10:沒有整合安全性和合規性的開發將失敗; 漸進式組織由於正常運行時間和遵從性問題而優先考慮安全性,加速敏捷性需求和策劃的OSS-Dev組合; 到2020年,安全為主的發展將成為90%以上的優先事項

技術買主的主要建議

外性促進要素:詳細內容

參考資料

目錄
Product Code: US42652317

This IDC study presents IDC's developer-related top 10 predictions for 2018."Digital transformation has a profound and direct impact on developers and DevOps professionals, forcing them to make hard decisions and embrace still-emerging technologies," said Al Gillen, group vice president, Software Development and Open Source, at IDC. "Applications will be split into legacy applications needing dramatic enhancements and new, cloud-native, mobile, IoT and other applications that will be developed, deployed, and life cycled in radically different ways, forcing organizations to somehow support these multiple classes of applications without incurring massive internal costs."

IDC FutureScape Figure

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

  • Summary of External Drivers
  • Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers
    • Prediction 1: Situational Application Needs Will Drive Growth in the Numbers of Low-Code/No Code Developers by Triple Digits Through 2021, with These Nontraditional Developers Building 20% of Business Applications and 30% of New Application Features in 2021
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 2: The Use of Containers as a Deployment Vehicle for Applications Will Continue to Grow Quickly; by 2021, Over 95% of New MicroservicesWill be Deployed in Containers, But Under 20% of Enterprise ContainersWill House Microservices
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 3: Cognitive Computing, Artificial Intelligence, and Machine Learning Will Become the Fastest-Growing Segments of Software Development by the End of 2018; by 2021, 90% of Organizations Will be Incorporating Cognitive/AI and Machine Learning into New Enterprise Apps
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 4: By 2019, Over 70% of Routine Development Life-Cycle Tasks Will Be Automated, Supported by AI Fed from Existing Datastreams, with an Agile DevOps Pipeline Driving and Incubating Life-Cycle and Application Development Intelligence
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 5: Through 2021, Dev Tools Based on OSS and Polyglot Environments and Multiplatform Support Will Lead to an Increase in Language Agnosticism and Gravitation to a Core Set of Three to Five Best-of-Breed Languages, Although Commercial Support for OSS Dev Environments Will Remain Key
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 6: Amazon, Google, IBM, Microsoft, and Salesforce (Megaplatforms) Will Win the Minds of Developers Through 2020, When 50% of Developers Will Be Consuming Cloud-Hosted Services from Them, Regardless of Where the Primary Deployment Location Is for These Applications
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 7: Cloud Functions Will Gradually Transition to Mainstream, Becoming Less Proprietary in the Process, Which Must Happen to Sustain Growth; by 2021, 80% of Fortune 1000 Companies Will Conduct at Least One Routine Task Using Cloud Functions
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 8: Market Competition and Third-Party Choice Will Dominate Bespoke Cloud Adoption Decisions Through 2021, with up to 70% of Large Enterprises Refusing to Build or Replatform Custom Mission-Critical Solutions on Clouds from Providers That Offer Only Their Own Proprietary PaaS Extensions
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 9: By 2021, Over 50% of CIOs Will Have Appointed Heads of Delivery; Integrated Their Dev, PMO, and Ops Groups; Reduced Silos; Expanded Their DevOps Practices; and Implemented Shift Left Testing to Accelerate Innovation
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 10: Development Without Integrated Security and Compliance Will Fail; Progressive Orgs Have Prioritized Security Due to Uptime and Compliance Concerns, Accelerating the Need for Agility and a Curated OSS-Dev Portfolio; Security-Led Development Will Be a Priority for 90% of Orgs by 2020
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

  • Accelerating DX: Technology-Centric Transformation Altering Business and Society
  • Pace of Change: Technology Capabilities Enable Sustainable Change at the Speed of Digital Business
  • DX Delta: Leaders and Disruptors Widen Performance Gap
  • Human Versus Machine: The Impact of AI and Automation
  • Platform Disruption: Unleashing Digital Innovation's Power for Scale
  • The Future Workforce: Global Demand for Digital Talent

Learn More

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