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Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast, 2018-2022

出版商 IDC 商品編碼 341116
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 23 Pages
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行動電話的全球市場預測:2016年∼2020年 Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast, 2018-2022
出版日期: 2018年03月21日 內容資訊: 英文 23 Pages

全球行動電話市場,2016年的出貨量預計達約19億5080萬台,這從2015年的19億8080萬台減少1.5%左右。從2015年到2020年的全球行動電話的出貨量的年複合成長率 (CAGR)預計為 1%。





  • 成本
  • 新的市場開拓
  • 忍耐現狀,期待未來


  • 行動電話的全球市場預測
  • 行動電話的全球市場預測:各地區
  • 行動電話市場預測:各終端類型
    • 功能型手機
    • 智慧型手機
  • 行動電話市場預測:各無線傳輸介面
    • CDMA
    • GSM
    • 4G
  • 行動電話的全球市場預測:各ASP


  • 成長因素與阻礙成長要素
    • 成長因素
      • 通訊產業
      • 4G網路的擴大
      • 行動電話的價格
    • 阻礙成長要素
      • 經濟
      • 更換率
  • 重大的市場開發
  • 上次預測後的變更點


  • 功能型手機
  • 智慧型手機




Product Code: US43624018
This IDC study presents the five-year forecast for mobile phone shipments worldwide by device vendors. The worldwide mobile phone market will reach a total of 1,958.3 million unit shipments in 2018, down 0.6% from the 1,971.0 million units shipped in 2017. From there, total mobile phone shipments will reach 1,940.4 million units worldwide by 2022, resulting in a CAGR of -0.3% from 2017 to 2022."2018 is set to bring a slight decline to the total mobile phone market as we expect a continuing decrease in feature phone shipments offset by minor 2.1% growth in smartphones," says Anthony Scarsella, research manager for IDC's Mobile Phones team. "Despite the expected decline in 2018, we expect more premium devices to enter the market. New 18:9 bezel-less models with advanced capabilities such as AR/VR and artificial intelligence will be some of the big trends throughout the year, and they won't come cheap. We expect a 9.0% year-over-year increase in the average selling price of a mobile phone in 2018 largely fueled by these new ultra-high-end models. Prices will continue to grow throughout the forecast period as this segment of the market will thrive in many developed markets where consumers can utilize financing and trade-in to offset the higher up-front cost."

IDC Market Forecast Figure

Executive Summary

Advice for Technology Suppliers

  • Preparing for 5G
  • Capturing Feature Phone Owners Remains Essential
  • High-End Continues to Flourish

Market Forecast

  • Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast, 2017-2022
    • Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by Region
    • Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by Device Type
      • Feature Phones
      • Smartphones
    • Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by Air Interface and Air Interface Group
      • CDMA
      • GSM
      • UMTS/WCDMA
      • 4G
      • 5G
    • Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by ASP

Market Context

  • Drivers and Inhibitors
    • Drivers
      • Component Costs
      • 5G Handsets
      • Larger Screen Sizes
    • Inhibitors
      • Exchange Rates
      • Replacement Rates
  • Significant Market Developments
  • Changes from Prior Forecast

Market Definition

  • Feature Phone
  • Smartphone


  • Primary Data Sources
  • Secondary Sources
  • IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker

Related Research

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