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市場調查報告書

加拿大通信服務預測(2021-2025):通信行業仍被 COVID-19 弄糊塗

Canadian Communications Services Forecast, 2021-2025: Telecom Still Inside Out from COVID-19

出版商 IDC 商品編碼 1005709
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 95 Pages
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價格
加拿大通信服務預測(2021-2025):通信行業仍被 COVID-19 弄糊塗 Canadian Communications Services Forecast, 2021-2025: Telecom Still Inside Out from COVID-19
出版日期: 2021年05月11日內容資訊: 英文 95 Pages
簡介

本報告調查了加拿大的電信服務,並按市場和客戶群、企業規模、行業部門和地區提供了有關電信服務支出的五年趨勢、預測、增長和限制的信息。

IDC 市場預測

執行摘要

對技術供應商的建議

市場預測

  • 2020年加拿大電信服務市場
    • 年終結果與之前 IDC 預測的比較
    • 通信服務細分市場的趨勢
      • 無線是競爭力的關鍵
      • 視頻片段減少
        • 企業電視收入並非萬能藥
    • 通信服務客戶細分趨勢
    • 企業部門的趨勢
    • 區域趨勢
  • 通信服務行業預測(2021-2025)
    • COVID-19 大流行的影響
      • 由關注的突變體引起的不確定性
    • 2021-2025 年通信收入預測
    • 本地有線線路
      • 電路切換減少
      • VoIP、有線電話和 SIP 中繼
        • SIP 中繼和 UCCaaS
    • 長途
    • 數據
      • 頂級企業:雲計算和數據中心
      • 多接入邊緣計算
    • 互聯網
    • 無線
      • 無線服務收入受到 COVID-19 限制的影響
    • 視頻
    • 客戶細分預測
      • 消費者(家庭)細分市場
      • 批發
      • 企業市場
    • 按行業預測
    • 區域預報

市場狀況

  • 成長因素和約束因素
    • 有線語音服務
      • 增長因素
        • 增加免費長途電話和會議
      • 抑製器
        • 人口統計和移動工作人員
        • 移動替代品
        • SIP 中繼
    • 互聯網和視頻
      • 增長因素
        • 光纖部署正在加速
        • 千兆互聯網和不斷增長的數據需求
        • 國家寬帶戰略
      • 抑製器
        • 無線互聯網替代方案和 5G 無線
        • 置頂視頻
    • 無線服務
      • 增長因素
        • 另類獲得牽引力
        • 具有 SDN 和 NFV 的下一代 5G 無線寬帶
      • 抑製器
        • 無線音頻的退化繼續影響 ARPU
        • 5G 無線頻譜分配滯後
        • 聯邦無線定價政策
    • 數據 (WAN) 服務
      • 增長因素
        • 光纖波長網絡的廣泛使用
      • 抑製器
        • 頂級企業:MPLS IP VPN 收入竊取 SD-WAN 威脅
        • 互操作性
  • 重要的市場開發
  • 與之前預測的變化

市場定義

  • 通信分類和服務定義
    • 本地 TDM 和有線
    • VoIP、有線電話和 SIP 中繼
      • SIP 中繼
    • 長途
    • 無線
      • 無線訂閱和訂閱者
      • 無線數據分段
      • 無線批發
    • 互聯網
    • 數據
    • 視頻服務
  • 工業部門的定義
    • 金融業務
    • 製造業
    • 零售批發
    • 公共機構
    • 公用事業
    • 傳播和媒體
    • 服務
    • 其他行業
    • 消費者
    • 電信批發
  • 公司規模的定義
  • 區域定義
  • 詞彙表

調查方法

  • SIP 中繼預測
    • SIP 術語說明
  • 難以調整 CRTC 市場數據和預測

相關調查

  • 進一步調查
目錄
Product Code: CA46290621

This IDC study presents IDC Canada's five-year forecasts for communications services spending by market and customer segments, company size, industry sector, and region for 2021-2025 based on the annual update of IDC Canada's custom Communications Market Model and replaces our previous comprehensive spring and fall 2020 forecasts (see Lawrence Surtees, Meng Cong, and Manish Nargas, Canadian Communications Services Forecast, 2020-2024: COVID-19 Turns Telecom Inside Out, IDC #CA45063520, May 2020). This five-year forecast document is based on our current assumptions of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2021.However, the course of the COVID-19 pandemic is still uncertain and continues to produce economic impacts on a scale not seen since the Great Depression as well as introducing many uncertainties and factors that change almost weekly. Clients are cautioned that this forecast document, unlike previous years, is based on a temporary snapshot of macroeconomic forecasts and conditionsthat existed in mid-to-late April. Readers are urged to visit IDC's COVID-19 micro-website (at www.idc.com/misc/covid19) for frequent updates on the impact of COVID-19 on the global and Canadian ICT sectors.Readers should note the adjustments made in this study and rely on this current forecast for initial 2021 planning purposes. This study addresses the following questions:How does current and projected spending on Canadian communication services differ by: market segment, customer segment, company size, region, and industry vertical sector?Which customer segments, company size, industry, and regional segments of the Canadian communications services market are poised for growth, and which are the best opportunities for communication service providers (SPs) over the new five-year forecast period?"The duration of the COVID-19 pandemic remains unknown, but experience in 2020 shows the communications service sector remains better insulated than most to weather the uncertainty," says study coauthor Lawrence Surtees, vice president of Communications Research and principal analyst at IDC Canada Ltd. "Continued investment and deployment of next-generation network technologies are key to coping with the triple challenges in 2021 of mitigating COVID-related revenue loss, meeting unparalleled network demand, and pursuing potential new revenue streams in a forthcoming 'new normal.'"

IDC Market Forecast Figure

Executive Summary

Advice for Technology Suppliers

Market Forecast

  • Canadian Communications Services Market in 2020
    • Comparison of Year-End Results with Previous IDC Forecast
    • Communications Service Market Segment Trends
      • Wireless Remains Key to Competitive Position
      • Video Segment Declining
        • Enterprise TV Revenue Not a Panacea
    • Telecom Service Customer Segment Trends
    • Enterprise Sector Trends
    • Regional Trends
  • Communications Service Sector Forecast, 2021-2025
    • Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic
      • Mutated Variants of Concern Add to Uncertainty
    • Communications Revenue Forecast, 2021-2025
    • Local Wireline
      • Circuit Switch Decline
      • VoIP, Cable Telephony, and SIP Trunk
        • SIP Trunk and UCCaaS
    • Long Distance
    • Data
      • Enterprise Over the Top: Cloud Computing and Datacenters
      • Multi-Access Edge Computing
    • Internet
    • Wireless
      • Wireless Service Revenue Hit by COVID-19 Restrictions
    • Video
    • Customer Segment Forecast
      • Consumer (Home) Segment
      • Wholesale
      • Enterprise Market
    • Industry Verticals Forecast
    • Regional Forecast

Market Context

  • Drivers and Inhibitors
    • Wireline Voice Service
      • Drivers
        • Increased Toll-Free Long Distance Use and Conferencing
      • Inhibitors
        • Demographics and Mobile Workforce
        • Mobile Substitution
        • SIP Trunks
    • Internet and Video
      • Drivers
        • Fibre-Optic Rollouts Accelerate
        • Gigabit Internet and Increasing Data Needs
        • National Broadband Strategy
      • Inhibitors
        • Wireless Internet Substitution and 5G Wireless
        • Over-the-Top Video
    • Wireless Service
      • Drivers
        • Substitution Gains Traction
        • Next-Generation 5G Wireless Broadband with SDN and NFV
      • Inhibitors
        • Wireless Voice Declines Continue to Pressure ARPU
        • 5G Wireless Spectrum Allocation Lags
        • Federal Wireless Price Policy
    • Data (WAN) Services
      • Drivers
        • Fibre-Optic Wavelength Network Proliferation
      • Inhibitors
        • Enterprise Over the Top: SD-WAN Looms to Cannibalize MPLS IP VPN Revenue
        • Interoperability
  • Significant Market Developments
  • Changes from Prior Forecast

Market Definition

  • Communications Taxonomy and Service Definitions
    • Local TDM and Wireline
    • VoIP, Cable Telephony, and SIP Trunk
      • SIP Trunk
    • Long Distance
    • Wireless
      • Wireless Subscriptions and Subscribers
      • Wireless Data Segmentation
      • Wireless Wholesale
    • Internet
    • Data
    • Video Services
  • Industry Sector Definitions
    • Financial Services
    • Manufacturing
    • Retail/Wholesale
    • Public Sector
    • Utilities
    • Communications and Media
    • Services
    • Other Industries
    • Consumer
    • Telecommunications Wholesale
  • Company Size Definitions
  • Region Definitions
  • Glossary

Methodology

  • SIP Trunk Forecast
    • Note on SIP Terms
  • Difficulty Reconciling Forecasts with CRTC Market Data

Related Research

  • Further Research