市場調查報告書

超級電纜:海底電纜系統的新幻想工程

'Super Cables' Re-Imagineering Subsea Systems

出版商 Information Gatekeepers Inc. 商品編碼 914174
出版日期 內容資訊 英文
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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超級電纜:海底電纜系統的新幻想工程 'Super Cables' Re-Imagineering Subsea Systems
出版日期: 2019年10月17日內容資訊: 英文
簡介

本報告提供海底電纜系統的近幾年的發展趨勢與未來展望調查,海底電纜的演進的過程,海底電纜的技術結構、架構和變化預測,「超級電纜」的概念,海底電纜施工相關各種預測,雲端運算的影響,進入供應商的清單等資料彙整。

簡介

背景、演進的過程

海底電纜市場變化

  • 電纜擁有
    • FaceBook
    • Amazon
    • Google
    • Microsoft
  • 卸貨地點的設定的變化

幻想工程的架構

  • DWDM
  • 連貫調變
  • C+L波段
  • SDM
  • ROADM

「超級電纜」

  • DWDM
  • L+C波段
  • SDM
  • 色散補償
  • 超級電纜的設計權衡
    • DWDM流通管道數
    • 流通管道幅度
    • 中繼器的供電
    • 分歧單位
    • 目前主要設計權衡
  • 超級電纜的影響
    • 可用性
    • 成本
    • 現有電纜市場升級
    • 安全等
  • 電纜的漏洞
    • 自然災害、事故
    • 戰爭、恐怖行動攻擊
    • 竊聽

成長預測

  • 美國的流量預測
  • 美國的國際流量預測:各來源
  • 成長區域
    • 太平洋
    • 南美
    • 歐洲
  • 海底電纜市場預測:摘要

電纜尺寸的成長

失敗案例

電纜、設備供應商

  • 電纜供應商清單
  • 設備供應商清單
    • 海底電纜用光學設備企業的目錄

目前海底電纜狀況

  • 計劃中、討論中的電纜
  • 雲端運算企業的進入
  • 雲端運算
    • 網站規模資料中心
    • 雲端運算資料中心
    • 雲端運算模式
  • 雲端運算對海底網路必要條件的影響

附錄

目錄

Subsea Cable technology has developed since its inception in the 1850s through several changes to its current form today. It first morphed from copper to coax and then to fiber, where it has been for several years. Now a new kind of the traditional fiber approach is beginning that replaces the current architecture - a re-imagineered future! The result is a future architecture, based on 'Super Cables' that offer much higher capacity and almost endless flexibility.

This report provides a discussion, explanation, and forecasts for the latest developments in the subsea cable field. It explains how these developments will work together to meet this structural and growth requirement by ushering in the age of Super Cable. Many alterations have already started; some are just beginning; some are only just now anticipated. Taken together, it amounts to a complete "Re-Imagineering of the Subsea Cable Architecture."

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We use traffic forecasts and the known and deduced business interests of the major players as the drivers for cable growth and make appropriate forecasts on those bases. The design and drivers of the coming Super Cables are detailed. The estimates of the impact of cloud computing and the major companies participating in that area are in the report. The report concludes with specific forecasts for submarine cable construction: likely routes, and likely significant participants. It also includes estimates for cable size changes, a timeline for developments of cable technology, traffic forecasts, and much more .

This report details the components of submarine cable systems, including the cables, the landing equipment, the repeaters, the equalizers, and the branching units. More importantly, this report will detail how that equipment is migrating (some wholly eliminated) and how it is going to change more as the whole subjected is re-imagineered. Detailed lists of vendors of both cables and landing equipment are in the report.

A section of the report is devoted to current activities in cable construction and advances in technology. A great deal of the story treats the primary content provider companies Google, Facebook, Microsoft, and Amazon and their current, planned, and forecast business in the submarine cables .

Although it started first (by decades), subsea cable architecture developed mostly independently from terrestrial-based networks and to some extent, somewhat slower. Maybe because, historically, the terrestrial market was much more extensive and growing faster, more was spent on development in that area. Twenty-five years ago, land networks began to go to DWDM and a little more recently to ROADMs and mesh configurations. Subsea systems were much slower to adopt these new and very expansive technologies.

Fairly recently, that developmental separation has begun to change with the adoption of many terrestrial advances by the subsea establishment. Although the virtually same fiber is continuing to be the primary ingredient in subsea cable networks, its manner of use has begun a transformation that is significantly increasing its capacity. Perhaps as importantly, it is becoming much more flexible in application. Changes are coming at a time when they are necessary to meet (and are being driven by) the rapidly expanding and diversifying market of subsea cables. These changes, taken together, will result in the development and deployment of a 'Super Cable ' that will significantly surpass the capabilities of existing cables. The forecast is that such 'Super Cables ' will begin implementation within the next 4-5 years, although they are already starting in early-stage versions.

To begin with, the demand for subsea cable service has never been expanding at such a pace. In the late 1980s, subsea cables carried only 2% of international traffic. The rest was on radio and satellites. Now over 95% of all global traffic is on subsea cables and worldwide is the fastest growing traffic segment. Virtually all estimates put the current and foreseeable future subsea cable growth rate at 40%. A 40% growth rate implies a need to double subsea capacity every two years! That is astonishing growth for a technology that is close to 170 years old !

In addition to the growth, the nature of the subsea cable customer is changing. Traditionally the prime (and for most of history, the only) customer had been the major telecommunications companies (and, of course, the military.) Now the prime customers are becoming the mega data centers, primarily owned and operated by the social media/cloud computing providers - Facebook, Google, Amazon, and Microsoft. These companies are not only customers, but they are so involved that they all are equity owners and active participants in entire subsea cables. No longer is it desirable to bring a subsea cable to a landing station and from there interconnect with the major telecommunications providers. Now the need is to take a significant portion (or the entire cable) directly to a private data center.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Table of Figures

'Super Cables' Re-Imagineering Subsea Systems

Introduction

History and Background

The Changing Subsea Cable Market

  • Cable Ownership
    • FaceBook
    • Amazon
    • Google
    • Microsoft
  • Change in Landing Site Configurations
    • Current Situation
    • Coming Change
    • The Near Future

Re-Imagineered Architecture

  • DWDM
  • Coherent Modulation
  • L Band Added to C Band
  • Space Division Multiplexing
  • ROADMs

The 'Super Cable'

  • DWDM
  • L + C Bands
  • Space Division Multiplexing (SDM)
  • Dispersion Compensation
  • Design Tradeoffs for the Super Cable
    • Number of DWDM Channels
    • Width of Channel
    • Repeater Power Feed
    • Branching Units
    • Current Major Cable Design Tradeoffs
  • Implications and Consequences of Super Cable
    • Availability
    • Cost
    • Growth Addition Intervals
    • Upgrade of Existing Cables Market
    • Security
  • Cable Vulnerabilities
    • Natural Disasters and Accidents
    • War or Terror Attacks
    • Eavesdropping

Forecasts of Growth

  • US Total Traffic Forecast
  • US International Traffic by Source
  • Growth Areas
    • Pacific growth
    • Latin America Growth
    • European Growth
  • Submarine Cable Forecasts Summary

Cable Size Growth

One Sour Note

Cable and Equipment Providers

  • List of Cable Providers
  • List of Equipment Providers
    • Submarine Cable Optical Equipment Company Directory

Current Subsea Cable Situation

  • Cables Planned or Pending
  • Cloud Computing Company Participation
  • Cloud Computing
    • Web-Scaled Datacenter
    • Cloud Computing Data Center
    • Cloud Computing Models
  • Impact of Cloud Computing on Submarine Network Requirements

Appendixes

Appendix I - Traditional Subsea Cable Components

  • Cable
    • Repeaters
    • Branching Unit
    • Gain Equalizers
    • Cable Types
  • Equipment
  • Landing Equipment Detail

Appendix II, Traffic Statistics Relationships

  • SONET/SDH Data Rates

Appendix III Internet Traffic Calculations

  • Internet Traffic Calculations

Appendix IV - The Lightwave Network Series of Reports

The Lightwave Network Series of Reports

  • The Lightwave Network
  • The Lightwave Series of Reports
    • General Reports on the Network
    • General Market Reports
    • Specific Systems Reports

Table of Figures

  • Figure 1, First Submarine Cable
  • Figure 2, Submarine Cables 2018-19 - A Map
  • Figure 3, Subsea Cable Consumption by User Type
  • Figure 4, Forecast Growth of Content Provider's Growth
  • Figure 5, Subsea Cable Ownership by Company
  • Figure 6, Construction through 2021 of Subsea Cables by Content Providers by Region
  • Figure 7, Present Arrangement at Cable Landing Sites
  • Figure 8, Cable Landing Configuration - Soon
  • Figure 9, Landing Site at Customer Data Center
  • Figure 10, Current Largest Cables
  • Figure 11, DWDM Sketch
  • Figure 12, Fiber Cable Loss at Various Wavelengths
  • Figure 13, L and C Wavelengths
  • Figure 14, ROADM General Design
  • Figure 15, ROADM Branching Unit Functionality
  • Figure 16, Super Cable Design - Step 1
  • Figure 17, Super Cable design - Step 2.
  • Figure 18, Super Cable Design - Step 3.
  • Figure 19, Full Super Cable Design
  • Figure 20, Major Cables by Year
  • Figure 21, All forms of US Traffic
  • Figure 22, US International Traffic by Source
  • Figure 23, Pacific Growth Area
  • Figure 24, Subsea Cable Investment Growth Forecast
  • Figure 25, Cables Needed by Year
  • Figure 26, Super Cable Development Forecast
  • Figure 27, Major Submarine Cables by Cloud Computing Companies
  • Figure 28, Google's Submarine Cable Investments
  • Figure 29, Hyperscale Datacenter Growth
  • Figure 30, Global Data Center IP Traffic Growth
  • Figure 31, Submarine Cable System Expanded Main Components
  • Figure 32, Repeater Characteristics
  • Figure 33, Purpose of Branching Units
  • Figure 34, Branching Unit
  • Figure 35, Gain Equalizer
  • Figure 36, Cross Section of Typical Undersea Cable - Shallow Water
  • Figure 37, Submarine Cable Characteristics
  • Figure 38, Deep Water Submarine Cable
  • Figure 39, Types of Submarine Cables
  • Figure 40, Landing Equipment in a Branched System
  • Figure 41, Detail of Typical Landing Equipment
  • Figure 42, Different View of Terminating Equipment
  • Figure 43: Traffic/Speed Relationships
  • Figure 44: Example of Various Traffic Sizes
  • Figure 45, Multiples of Byte
  • Figure 46, Sonet/SDH Conversions
  • Figure 47: New Transfer Rate Forecast
  • Figure 48: Summary of Concepts
  • Figure 49, Lightwave Network
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