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市場調查報告書

全球風險分析 (以季度為基礎):2020年第2季

Global Risk Report Quarterly Update - Q2 2020

出版商 GlobalData 商品編碼 961655
出版日期 內容資訊 英文
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全球風險分析 (以季度為基礎):2020年第2季 Global Risk Report Quarterly Update - Q2 2020
出版日期: 2020年09月15日內容資訊: 英文
簡介

根據GlobalData製作的GCRI (國家風險指標) ,2020年第2季時,瑞士排名最高,其次是新加坡和丹麥。根據該報告分類,21個國家是超低風險地帶,22個國家是低風險地帶,28個國家可控風險,36個國家高風險,29個國家超高風險地帶。

本報告以GCRI (GlobalData Country Risk Index)的分析內容為基礎,提供活用最新的宏觀經濟技術和國內/國際統計資料,以定性及定量的手法測量世界各國有的政治、社會、技術性、環境、法律上的風險,提供世界經濟所面對的課題和潛在的風險考察。

目錄

目錄

  • 全球概要:主要亮點
  • 全球概要:摘要
  • 閃回(2020年1月∼8月)
  • 今後主要的活動:2020年9月∼2021年8月
  • MLCRI (國家風險指標):各國排行榜
  • MLCRI:熱圖 (2020年第2季)
  • MLCRI:全球形勢 (2020年)
  • 新型冠狀病毒感染疾病 (COVID-19)的影響
    • COVID-19在世界各地擴大
    • 感染擴大前/後的預測 (2020年):主要宏觀經濟指標
    • COVID-19對景氣、消費者信心指數的影響
    • COVID-19對勞動市場的影響
  • 地區分析
    • 地區分析-亞太地區
    • 地區分析-歐洲
    • 地區分析-南北美洲
    • 地區分析-中東和非洲

分析方法,附錄

目錄
Product Code: ER0011GLBRSK

Global Risk Report is based on GlobalData Country Risk Index (GCRI) which is a unique country risk-rating model that determines the existing and future level of country risk by assessing various qualitative and quantitative factors. The index is formulated to help firms prepare their global business strategies on the basis of historical developments in an economy and also their future expectations.

The Country Risk Index incorporates the latest available macroeconomics, political, social, technological, environmental and legal data from a range of recognized national and international statistical sources, and incorporates proprietary data from GlobalData Economics Research. The model also features expert analytical judgment from in-house economists and takes into account their insights and opinions. By applying a robust approach to assessing risk, GlobalData analysts ensure that strategists have an effective tool to assess current trends and risks facing the economies across the globe.

Scope

  • Asia-Pacific has the third highest risk score after the Americas in the Q2 2020 update of the GCRI. The region's risk score increased from 39.4 in Q4 2019 to 46.3 in Q2 2020. The outbreak of COVID-19, along with other risks such as geopolitical tensions, the controversial policies of the Indian and Chinese governments, spillover effects of the recession in Japan, and the increasing occurrence of environmental catastrophes, affected most of the countries in this region.
  • The European region remained the lowest risk region in the Q2 2020 update of the global risk index owing to its strong macroeconomic fundamentals. When the coronavirus pandemic was at its peak, the European nations were able to control the spread of disease and risks associated with the pandemic by sufficient control measures enforced in a timely manner. However, the region still faces high unemployment due to temporary furloughs and permanent job losses due the economic fallout of the coronavirus pandemic.
  • The Americas is the second highest risk region, according to the GCRI Q2 2020 update, with a regional risk score of 51.5 out of 100. The whole region has been battered by the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. Out of the top 10 worst affected countries, six are part of the Americas. The health crisis has led to a precipitous rise in poverty and social instability in the region, led by high unemployment.
  • The Middle East and Africa (MEA) is the highest risk region according to the GCRI 2020 Q2 update, with a regional risk score of 55.6 out of 100, up compared to 48.8 in the GCRI 2019 Q4 update and up compared to 47.6 in the GCRI 2018 Q4 update. The region continues to be plagued by social conflict and geopolitical turmoil.

Reasons to Buy

  • The eleventh update version of GlobalData Country Risk Index (GCRI) Q2 2020 ranks Switzerland at the top followed by Singapore and Denmark.
  • 21 countries were identified in the very low risk zone, 22 countries in the low risk zone, 28 countries under manageable risk, 36 countries under high risk and 29 countries in the very high-risk zone in GCRI Q2 2020.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

  • Global Overview - Key Highlights
  • Global Overview - Summary
  • Flashback (January to August 2020)
  • Key Events: September 2020 - August 2021
  • MLCRI - Country Ranking
  • MLCRI Q2 2020 Heat Map
  • MLCRI: Global Landscape 2020
  • Impact of COVID-19
  • COVID-19 Spreads Globally
  • Pre Pandemic and Post Pandemic Forecast for 2020: Key Macroeconomic Indicators
  • Impact of COVID-19 on business and consumer sentiments
  • COVID-19 Impact on the Labour Market
  • Regional Analysis
  • Regional Analysis - Asia-Pacific
  • Regional Analysis - Europe
  • Regional Analysis - Americas
  • Regional Analysis - Middle East and Africa

Methodology and Appendix