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新型冠狀病毒感染症 (COVID-19):疾病學分析、預測(2020年5月)

Epidemiology Analysis and Forecast: Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) - May 2020

出版商 GlobalData 商品編碼 940510
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 36 Pages
新型冠狀病毒感染症 (COVID-19):疾病學分析、預測(2020年5月) Epidemiology Analysis and Forecast: Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) - May 2020
出版日期: 2020年05月30日內容資訊: 英文 36 Pages


本報告針對新型冠狀病毒感染症 (COVID-19) 疾病學調查、感染者數變化預測、地區、國別狀況、特定人口層相關考察。


第1章 現在疾病學的狀況

  • 現在疾病學狀況
  • 感染者最多的主要10國新病例

第2章 主要市場預測

  • 主要國家感染頂峰與減少預測
  • 主要國家流行曲線、預測

第3章 特定人口層

  • 幼兒:非常嚴重可能引發全身性多系統症候群
  • 兒童定期預防接種率很低
  • 對孕婦的影響不明
  • PTSD患病率增加的可能性
  • 鴉片類中毒合併症:疾病管理課題

第4章 受矚目地區

  • 英國:7月中尚未完全恢復
  • 伊朗:第2波感染者增加被認為解除限制還過早
  • 中國:發生其他感染群體、北部再度封城
  • 日本:控制避免急速增加但今後可能有第2波傳染
  • 美國、歐洲:第2波傳染與亞洲不同難以檢驗

第5章 數據限制

第6章 附錄


Product Code: GDHCHT116

The report provide forecast for peak-week and return-to-normal week that will help the reader plan in this uncertain time, and highlights important populations and regions most affected by the outbreak.

The report covers current epidemiology situation, forecast, and analysis of COVID-19 in May 2020, including forecast for key markets.The report will be updated on a monthly basis.

First reported in Wuhan, China, in December 2019, now more than 846,200 confirmed cases of COVID-19 are spread across 187 countries worldwide. The US and several countries in Europe such as Italy, Spain, and Belgium have continued to see a decrease in daily cases. Russia, Brazil, and Latin American countries are seeing increasing trends. India has also seen an increase in the number of new cases reported despite strict distancing measures taken early on.

Special populations analysis covered in the report include the following -

  • COVID-19 in children may result in systemic multisystem syndrome with severe outcomes.
  • Childhood routine vaccination rates drop during pandemic.
  • COVID-19's impact in pregnant women unclear, though most cases are asymptomatic.
  • The COVID-19 pandemic could cause an increase in the prevalence of post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD).
  • Complications of opioid addiction will be challenging for the management of disease during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Region focus analysis covered in the report include the following -

  • The UK is not expected to reach full recovery until mid-July at earliest.
  • A second surge in daily confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Iran is likely due to lifting restrictions too early.
  • Mainland China experienced another cluster, government response is swift.
  • Japan quickly stamped out the recent COVID-19 surge, but more surges are likely in the future.
  • US and EU markets recovery will be longer than Asian markets, and it will be difficult to detect surges

Data limitations -

  • Testing availability and criteria differ significantly among countries.*
  • All countries' reported confirmed cases underestimate the number of actual infected people.
  • Mortality reporting is not standardized.
  • Antibody testing has limitations in accuracy and usefulness.


  • The epidemiology report covers the following areas: current epidemiology situation and forecast, special populations most impacted by COVID-19, regional focus and analysis of COVID-19 impact, and data limitations.

Reasons to Buy

  • Obtain in-depth understanding of epidemiology data for COVID-19 and analysis of up-to-date new research and insights.

Table of Contents

  • Executive Summary
  • Contents

1 Current Epidemiology Situation

  • 1.1 Current Epidemiology Situation
  • 1.2 New Cases Trend in Top 10 Infected Countries

2 Forecast for Key Markets

  • 2.1 Infection Peak and Decline Forecasts for Select Countries
  • 2.2 Epidemic Curves and Projections for Select Countries

3 Special Populations

  • 3.1 COVID-19 in Children May Result in Systemic Multisystem Syndrome with Severe Outcomes
  • 3.2 Childhood Routine Vaccination Rates Drop During Pandemic
  • 3.3 COVID-19 Impact on Pregnant Women Unclear
  • 3.4 COVID-19 Pandemic Could Cause an Increase in Prevalence of Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder
  • 3.5 Complications of Opioid Addiction Will Be Challenging for Management of Disease During COVID-19 Pandemic

4 Region Focus

  • 4.1 UK Not Expected to Reach Full Recovery Until Mid-July at Earliest
  • 4.2 Second Surge in Daily Confirmed Cases of COVID-19 in Iran Is Likely Due to Lifting Restrictions Too Early
  • 4.3 Mainland China Experienced Another Cluster, Northern China in Lockdown Again
  • 4.4 Japan Quickly Stamped Out the Recent COVID-19 Surge, but More Surges Are Likely in the Future
  • 4.5 Resurgences in US and Europe Will Look Different from Asian Markets and Will Be Harder to Detect

5. Data limitations

  • 5.1 Drawbacks to Available Data

6 Appendix

  • 6.1 Methodology
  • 6.2 Abbreviations
  • 6.3 Related Reports
  • 6.4 Sources
  • 6.5 About the Authors
  • 6.6 About GlobalData
  • 6.7 Contact Us

List of Tables

  • Table 1. Current Epidemiology Situation
  • Table 2. Top 10 Infected Countries
  • Table 3. Estimated Peak Weeks and Decline to Zero New Cases Weeks for Top Infected Countries (Excluding China)​

List of Figures

  • Figure 1. Projections of Daily New Confirmed Cases for Select Countries, Since 100th Confirmed Case​
  • Figure 2. US Age-Specific Confirmed Cases of COVID-19 (N), All Ages, Men and Women, May 2020
  • Figure 3. Michigan, US*Childhood Vaccination Rates (%), Ages 5 Months, Boys and Girls, 2016-2020
  • Figure 4. 16MM, Women in Third Trimester Pregnancies (N), Ages 15-44 Years, 2020
  • Figure 5. 7MM, PTSD 12-Month Total Prevalence (Pre-Pandemic) (%), Ages ≥18 Years, Men and Women, 2018
  • Figure 6. US, Australia, Germany, 12-Month Total Prevalence of OUD (Pre-Pandemic) (%), Ages ≥18 Years, Men and Women, 2018
  • Figure 7. UK, Modeled Forecast of COVID-19 Trajectory of New Cases
  • Figure 8. Iran, New Cases of COVID-19 Feb 27, 2020 - May 27, 2020
  • Figure 9. Mainland China, New Cases of COVID-19 Apr 25, 2020 - May 27, 2020
  • Figure 10. Japan, Modeled Forecast of COVID-19 Trajectory of New Cases*
  • Figure 11. Mainland China and Japan, COVID-19 Daily New Cases (N) in Past Month
  • Figure 12. US and UK, COVID-19 Daily New Cases (N) in Past Month