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市場調查報告書

天然氣卡車和公共汽車的全球市場:2020-2030

RNG Powering the Global Natural Gas Truck and Bus Market, 2020-2030

出版商 Frost & Sullivan 商品編碼 951784
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 111 Pages
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
價格
天然氣卡車和公共汽車的全球市場:2020-2030 RNG Powering the Global Natural Gas Truck and Bus Market, 2020-2030
出版日期: 2020年07月20日內容資訊: 英文 111 Pages
簡介

預計到2030年,世界天然氣(NG)中型和重型卡車市場將增長到490,000輛,並且複合年增長率預計將增長11.6%。印度和南美在2019年至2030年之間的增長率最高,複合年增長率分別為30.2%和31.8%。

本報告調查和分析了全球天然氣(NG)卡車和公共汽車市場,並提供了有關市場環境,市場動態,全球/區域市場預測以及增長機會的系統信息。我會。

目錄

執行摘要

研究範圍,目的,背景,方法

定義和細分

市場環境和市場動態

  • 影響NG簡歷市場的主要因素
  • 法律因素分析
  • 經濟因素分析
  • 用例分析-NG卡車
  • 用例分析-NG總線

世界中型/重型卡車/公共汽車市場預測

  • 按地區分列的全球中型和重型卡車市場出貨量預測
  • 全球中型和重型卡車市場-區域細分
  • 按地區分列的全球中/大型巴士市場出貨量預測
  • 全球中型和大型巴士市場-區域細分

全球天然氣卡車和公共汽車市場預測

  • 頁岩儲量和生產快照
  • 對頁岩氣和天然氣利用的影響
  • 按地區劃分的天然氣貿易
  • 世界天然氣激勵形勢
  • RNG的顯著增長
  • RNG
  • RNG作為世界各地的運輸燃料
  • 天然氣價格趨勢
  • NG價格明細
  • 柴油-NG價格差異
  • 全球天然氣CV市場概況
  • 全球監管前景
  • 全球天然氣卡車/客車市場:主要驅動力
  • COVID-19對北美,歐洲和中國的中型和重型卡車銷售的影響
  • 全球天然氣卡車市場單位出貨量預測
  • NG中型/重型卡車市場-按地區分列的運輸中斷:按燃料類型
  • 全球天然氣公交市場出貨量預測
  • 按地區劃分的中/大型NG CV技術圖
  • 中重型卡車主要應用技術圖譜
  • 按地區劃分的NG OEM和發動機供應商活動

按地區劃分的天然氣卡車/公共汽車市場分析

  • 主要趨勢影響
  • 天然氣儲量
  • NG站概述
  • 中型和重型天然氣卡車市場-出貨情況分析
  • 中重型卡車市場-動力總成滲透率
  • 中大型天然氣卡車市場-天然氣燃料類型和點火技術
  • 中型和重型天然氣卡車市場-OEM產品組合
  • 中大型天然氣公交市場-出貨情景分析
  • 中型和重型客車市場-NG燃料類型和點火技術

按地區劃分的NG卡車/公共汽車市場分析

  • 主要趨勢影響
  • CARB超低NOx調節
  • 中型和重型天然氣卡車市場-出貨情況分析
  • 中重型卡車市場-動力總成滲透率
  • 中大型天然氣卡車市場-天然氣燃料類型和點火技術
  • 中型和重型天然氣卡車市場-OEM產品組合
  • 中大型天然氣公交市場-出貨情景分析
  • 中型和重型客車市場-NG燃料類型和點火技術

按地區分歐洲的天然氣卡車/公共汽車市場分析

  • 主要趨勢影響
  • 頁岩氣儲量
  • 天然氣燃料基礎設施概況
  • 中型和重型天然氣卡車市場-出貨情況分析
  • 中重型卡車市場-動力總成滲透率
  • 中大型天然氣卡車市場-天然氣燃料類型和點火技術
  • 中型和重型天然氣卡車市場-OEM產品組合
  • 主要國家的比較分析
  • 中大型天然氣公交市場-出貨情景分析
  • 中型和重型客車市場-NG燃料類型和點火技術

其他主要國家的天然氣履帶市場

  • 印度尼西亞
  • 日本
  • 澳大利亞
  • 俄羅斯

天然氣卡車每英里的運營成本

增長機會和建議的行動(C2A)

  • 增長機會1-需要擴展產品組合
  • 戰略要點

主要結論和未來前景

附錄

目錄
Product Code: K3A1-18

Governments to Develop/Expand the Fueling Infrastructure Presents Growth Opportunities

The medium duty (MD) and heavy duty (HD) truck and bus market will show strong recovery globally after a major dip in 2020 due to the COVID-19 crisis which will affect production as well as sales across regions. The crisis will also have a profound effect on the adoption of natural gas (NG) powered truck and buses, with China and Europe witnessing almost a 60% and 50% decline in MD-HD truck sales respectively in 2020. North America (NA) which posted historic high MD-HD truck sales in 2018 and 2019 will also be hit considerably. With China already recovering from the crisis and the push by governments in Europe and NA to revive the economies, it is expected that a positive impact will be felt on the NG market after 2021.

The global NG MD and HD truck market is expected to grow to ~490,000 units in 2030 with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.6%. India and South America will be the highest growing markets between 2019 and 2030 with a CAGR of 30.2% and 31.8% respectively.

Stringent emission regulations, volatility in crude oil prices, and technology development which effectively reduce the total cost of ownership (TCO) of NG commercial vehicles (CVs) are some of the key factors driving the adoption of NG as a fuel for these vehicles. Abundance of NG reserves and LNG trade will lead to low prices of NG in Europe and North America. Asia will also benefit as there will be an oversupply of the fuel. In China, NG pricing is transforming from a cost plus pricing approach to market pricing, with the creation of gas spot trade exchanges at Chongqing and Shanghai. Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) produced from a number of sources will be the key to increasing the adoption of NG vehicles. Some countries in Europe are already on the way with more than 90% of the NG vehicles running on RNG. Use of RNG in NG vehicles is expected to increase to almost 50% by 2030.

Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) will be the most preferred type of NG fuel; however, most NG trucks in China run on Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG), which is most profitable for long-haul applications. Spark ignition (SI) technology will boost its market position due to its low cost and wide installation base, thus facilitating future development. High Pressure Direct Ignition (HPDI) technology will also increase its penetration into LNG CI trucks in the long-haul segment.

The NG MD and HD truck & bus market also faces stiff competition from the electric equivalents. MD and HD truck OEMs are making giant strides towards electrification after being slow and reticent in adopting the technology earlier. The adoption of NG powertrains is expected to show high growth rates till 2025, after which it is expected to drop. The global MD and HD bus market faces stiff competition from electric buses, especially in China. With many European and US bus OEMs looking at the electrification route, these regions will also witness slower growth rates during the forecast period.

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

  • Executive Summary-Key Findings
  • Global NG CV Market-2030 Outlook for Key Regions
  • OEM New Dedicated Platforms-Powertrain Flexibility Comparison
  • Global NG CV Market Snapshot

Research Scope, Objectives, Background, and Methodology

  • Research Scope
  • Research Aims and Objectives
  • Key Questions this Study will Answer
  • Research Background
  • Research Methodology
  • Key OEMs and Suppliers Compared in this Study

Definitions and Segmentation

  • Vehicle Segmentation
  • Definitions
  • CV Industry Ecosystem-Focal Range of This Research Deliverable

Market Environment and Dynamics

  • Key Factors Impacting the NG CV Market
  • Legislative Factors-Analysis
  • Economic Factors-Analysis
  • Use Case Analysis-NG Truck
  • Use Case Analysis-NG Bus

Global MD and HD Truck & Bus Market-Forecast

  • Global MD & HD Truck Market-Unit Shipment Forecast by Region
  • Global MD & HD Truck Market-Regional Split
  • Global MD & HD Bus Market-Unit Shipment Forecast by Region
  • Global MD & HD Bus Market-Regional Split

Global NG Truck & Bus Market-Forecast

  • Shale Reserves and Production Snapshot
  • Shale Gas and its Impact on NG Adoption
  • NG Trade by Region
  • Global NG Incentives Landscape
  • Growing Prominence of RNG
  • RNG-Considerable Reductions in Well-to-Wheel Emissions Even Compared to Electric Alternatives
  • RNG as a Transportation Fuel across the Globe
  • NG Price Dynamics
  • NG Price Breakup
  • Diesel-NG Price Differential
  • Global NG CV Market Snapshot
  • Global Regulatory Outlook
  • Global NG Truck & Bus Market-Key Driving Factors
  • COVID Impact on MD- HD Truck Sales in NA, Europe & China
  • Global NG Truck Market-Unit Shipment Forecast
  • NG MD-HD Truck Market-Regional Unit Shipment Split by Fuel Type
  • Global NG Bus Market-Unit Shipment Forecast
  • MD-HD NG CV Technology Mapping by Region
  • MD-HD Truck Primary Application Technology Mapping
  • NG OEMs and Engine Supplier Activity by Region

Regional NG Truck & Bus Market Analysis-China

  • China-Key Influencing Trends
  • China-NG Reserves
  • China-NG Station Overview
  • China MD-HD NG Truck Market-Unit Shipment Scenario Analysis
  • China MD-HD Truck Market-Powertrain Penetration
  • China MD-HD NG Truck Market-NG Fuel Type and Ignition Technology
  • China MD-HD NG Truck Market-OEM Product Portfolio
  • China MD-HD NG Bus Market-Unit Shipment Scenario Analysis
  • China MD-HD Bus Market-NG Fuel Type and Ignition Technology

Regional NG Truck & Bus Market Analysis-North America

  • NA-Key Influencing Trends
  • CARB Ultra-low NOx Regulations-Impact on Powertrains
  • NA MD-HD NG Truck Market-Unit Shipment Scenario Analysis
  • NA MD-HD Truck Market-Powertrain Penetration
  • NA MD-HD Truck Market-NG Fuel Type and Ignition Technology
  • NA MD-HD NG Truck Market-OEM Product Portfolio
  • NA MD-HD NG Bus Market-Unit Shipment Scenario Analysis
  • NA MD-HD Bus Market-NG Fuel Type and Ignition Technology

Regional NG Truck & Bus Market Analysis-Europe

  • Europe-Key Influencing Trends
  • Europe-Shale Gas Reserves
  • Europe-NG Fueling Infrastructure Overview
  • Europe MD-HD NG Truck Market-Unit Shipment Scenario Analysis
  • Europe MD-HD Truck Market-Powertrain Penetration
  • Europe MD-HD Truck Market-NG Fuel Type and Ignition Technology
  • Europe MD-HD NG Truck Market-OEM Product Portfolio
  • Comparative Analysis of Major European Countries
  • Europe MD-HD NG Bus Market-Unit Shipment Scenario Analysis
  • Europe MD-HD Bus Market-NG Fuel Type and Ignition Technology

NG CV Market in Other Select Countries

  • Indonesia-Key Influencing Trends
  • Japan-Key Influencing Trends
  • Australia-Key Influencing Trends
  • Russia-Key Influencing Trends

Natural Gas Truck Operational Cost per Mile

  • Operational Cost/Mile Comparison-Assumptions
  • Diesel, NG, and Electric Truck Weight Benchmark
  • NG Truck-Price, Fuel, and R&M Breakdown
  • Diesel, NG, and Electric Truck Operational CPM Comparison
  • Operational Cost/ Mile ($/Mile)- Diesel vs. Electric vs. NG

Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action

  • Growth Opportunity 1-Need to Expand Product Portfolio
  • Strategic Imperatives

Key Conclusions and Future Outlook

  • Future Outlook-2030
  • Legal Disclaimer

Appendix

  • Abbreviations and Acronyms Used
  • Learn More-Next Steps
  • Market Engineering Methodology
  • List of Exhibits
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)