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拉丁美洲和加勒比地區的宏觀經濟增長機會:到2026年的預測

Macroeconomic Growth Opportunities in Latin American and the Caribbean Countries, Forecast to 2026

出版商 Frost & Sullivan 商品編碼 950650
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 65 Pages
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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拉丁美洲和加勒比地區的宏觀經濟增長機會:到2026年的預測 Macroeconomic Growth Opportunities in Latin American and the Caribbean Countries, Forecast to 2026
出版日期: 2020年06月30日內容資訊: 英文 65 Pages
簡介

由於新型冠狀病毒感染(COVID-19)的大流行,造成了前所未有的經濟損失,世界經濟陷入了困境。拉丁美洲和加勒比的情況與此類似,增長前景仍然充滿挑戰,一些國家嚴重衰退。

本報告探討了宏觀經濟增長機會,重點關註七個國家:波多黎各,巴拿馬,牙買加,特立尼達和多巴哥,哥斯達黎加,多米尼加共和國和危地馬拉。

此報告的主題

  • 拉丁美洲和加勒比地區的GDP增長前景
  • 恢復增長之路
  • 每個國家的政治前景
  • COVID-19的影響
  • 通貨膨脹率波動預測
  • 各國的貨幣政策立場
  • 2020年世界經濟展望
  • 美國的增長及其對拉丁美洲的影響
  • 現有貿易協議
  • 貿易協定的影響
  • 公司的增長機會

內容

執行摘要

  • 宏觀經濟點-波多黎各
  • 宏觀經濟點-巴拿馬
  • 宏觀經濟點-牙買加
  • 宏觀經濟點-特立尼達和多巴哥
  • 宏觀經濟點-哥斯達黎加
  • 宏觀經濟點-多米尼加共和國
  • 宏觀經濟點-危地馬拉
  • 調查範圍

波多黎各

  • 政治分析
  • GDP增長率
  • 通貨膨脹率和利率

巴拿馬

  • 政治分析
  • GDP增長率
  • 通貨膨脹率和利率

牙買加

  • 政治分析
  • GDP增長率
  • 通貨膨脹率和利率

特立尼達和多巴哥

  • 政治分析
  • GDP增長率
  • 通貨膨脹率和利率

哥斯達黎加

  • 政治分析
  • GDP增長率
  • 通貨膨脹率和利率

多米尼加共和國

  • 政治分析
  • GDP增長率
  • 通貨膨脹率和利率

危地馬拉

  • 政治分析
  • GDP增長率
  • 通貨膨脹率和利率

美國和全球經濟趨勢對拉丁美洲和加勒比(LAC)的影響

  • 2020年全球經濟前景
  • 美國2020年經濟前景
  • 對美國政策影響的分析
  • 貿易協定影響分析

增長機會和建議

  • 增長機會

主要結論

  • 主要結論
  • 免責聲明

附錄

  • 圖表列表

關於Frost & Sullivan

目錄
Product Code: 9AE5/2C

Weak Economic Growth Expected in 2020, with Panama and the Dominican Republic as Bright Spots

The global economy is struggling to stay afloat, on account of the unprecedented economic damages triggered by the COVID-19 outbreak. Without exception, similar economic struggles are being felt in the Latin American and Caribbean regions. Frost and Sullivan has analyzed the scale of impact on their GDP growth and other macroeconomic elements, factoring in the constantly evolving elements of this crisis.

The research presents an integrated macroeconomic outlook for 7 countries in the region to determine their growth trajectory until 2026. The countries covered in the research are: Puerto Rico, Panama, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Costa Rica, the Dominican Republic, and Guatemala.

2020 growth outlook for the regions remain grim, with a few economies expected to avert severe downturn. To provide a comprehensive picture of all the 7 economies, the research includes an analysis of the expected direction of the monetary policy. The regions are likely to experience a historically low cost of borrowing in 2020, in tandem with the low global interest rate. Economies that are trade-, tourism-, and oil-dependent stand to be disproportionately affected by the crisis.

The research also puts in perspective the implications of the disruptions on global and the US' GDP growth for comparison. In addition, it delineates the consequent impact on the LAC region. US policy changes on several fronts such as trade wars, foreign aid, and migration will alter policy decisions for LAC as well. A ceasefire of trade wars should re-orient the global supply chain, with LAC expected to gain in exports. Lastly, the research provides insights into trade agreements pertinent to the regions, such as the Dominican Republic-Central America-United States Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA-DR) and the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA).

Based on a complete assessment of the macroeconomic situation, Frost & Sullivan determines growth opportunities for businesses in these regions that could be leveraged to drive growth for companies.

Key Issues Addressed:

  • What is the outlook for Latin American and the Caribbean countries' GDP growth?
  • What trajectory will growth rates and recovery take?
  • What is the political outlook for these economies?
  • How do these economies stand to get affected by the COVID-19 outbreak?
  • How much is inflation expected to fluctuate?
  • What is the monetary policy stance of these countries?
  • What is the global economic outlook for 2020?
  • What is the outlook for the US growth and its impact on the LAC region?
  • What are the existing trade agreements in the region?
  • How do these trade agreements stand to impact the region?
  • What are some of the regional growth opportunities that businesses can leverage?

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

  • Macroeconomic Key Takeaways-Puerto Rico
  • Macroeconomic Key Takeaways-Panama
  • Macroeconomic Key Takeaways-Jamaica
  • Macroeconomic Key Takeaways-Trinidad and Tobago
  • Macroeconomic Key Takeaways-Costa Rica
  • Macroeconomic Key Takeaways-The Dominican Republic
  • Macroeconomic Key Takeaways-Guatemala
  • Research Scope

Puerto Rico

  • Political Analysis
  • GDP Growth
  • Inflation and Interest Rate

Panama

  • Political Analysis
  • GDP Growth
  • Inflation and Interest Rate

Jamaica

  • Political Analysis
  • GDP Growth
  • Inflation and Interest Rate

Trinidad and Tobago

  • Political Analysis
  • GDP Growth
  • Inflation and Interest Rate

Costa Rica

  • Political Analysis
  • GDP Growth
  • Inflation and Interest Rate

The Dominican Republic

  • Political Analysis
  • GDP Growth
  • Inflation and Interest Rate

Guatemala

  • Political Analysis
  • GDP Growth
  • Inflation and Interest Rate

Impact of US and Global Economic Trends on Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC)

  • 2020 Global Economic Outlook
  • 2020 US Economic Outlook
  • US Policy Impact Analysis
  • Trade Agreements Impact Analysis

Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action

  • Growth Opportunities
  • Growth Opportunities (continued)

Key Conclusions

  • Key Conclusions
  • Legal Disclaimer

Appendix

  • List of Exhibits
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)

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