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市場調查報告書

輕型商用車:全球市場展望(2020年)

Global Light Commercial Vehicle Market Outlook, 2020

出版商 Frost & Sullivan 商品編碼 945594
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 100 Pages
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
價格
輕型商用車:全球市場展望(2020年) Global Light Commercial Vehicle Market Outlook, 2020
出版日期: 2020年06月12日內容資訊: 英文 100 Pages
簡介

受COVID-19爆發引起的全球衰退的影響,預計到2020年,全球輕型商用車(LCV)的銷售量將下降19%。另一方面,大多數地區都在進行封鎖,人們希望待在室內並保持社交距離,以增加最後一英里必需品的運送量。預計這將提高LCV在最後一英里應用中的採用率。

該報告調查了全球輕型商用車市場,並提供了有關市場趨勢和機遇,前景和影響,策略以及按區域進行的市場分析的信息。

內容

執行摘要

  • 2019年亮點
  • 全球LCV市場預測:概述
  • 全球LCV市場:2019年快照
  • 輕型商用車市場:2020年的主要趨勢
  • 2020年的5大預測

範圍,目的,背景和調查方法

《 2020年世界經濟展望:執行摘要》

  • Covid-19世界經濟影響遠景方案
  • 2020年世界經濟展望:前5位預測
  • 2020年全球GDP增長快照
  • 主要經濟體:2020年主要預測

世界LCV市場展望

  • 全球LCV市場預測:概述
  • 全球LCV市場重量預測
  • 按重量細分的全球皮卡市場預測
  • 前20名:OEM集團全球LCV銷售量
  • 前10名:OEM集團全球皮卡銷售
  • 主要區域市場:北美/歐洲
  • 主要區域市場:中國和印度
  • 主要區域市場:拉丁美洲,俄羅斯和獨聯體國家
  • 主要區域市場:亞太地區和海灣合作委員會國家

COVID-19對主要LCV市場的影響

  • 美國,中國,印度,巴西
  • 歐盟國家
  • 德國,意大利,西班牙
  • 美國/中國/英國
  • 印度/巴西
  • 案例研究:對美國LCV使用的影響

動力總成策略

  • 檢驗方法的區域策略
  • 摘要:2020年將要注意到的技術
  • 重要問題:法律法規
  • 主要地區的廢氣和燃料效率目標
  • 中國LCV第六階段排放標準
  • 中國LDV燃油經濟性標準
  • 輕型車市場:動力總成分部預測
  • 車段對齊分析:引擎技術
  • 車段對齊分析:傳輸技術
  • 動力總成技術:傳動趨勢

主要進展

  • 輕型車市場電氣化拆分預測
  • 電氣化用例分析
  • 主要eLCV模型的定位
  • 2020年後主要OEM推出eLCV
  • 世界激勵概述
  • 安裝充電站:歐洲
  • 安裝充電站:美洲
  • 世界6大電池製造商
  • 採購策略:與供應商的關係
  • 2027年世界鋰離子電池生產情景

聯網的LCV遠程信息處理:重大發展

  • OEM遠程信息處理
  • 推動全球聯網卡車遠程信息處理市場的主要趨勢
  • 區域趨勢
  • FMS包裝:單個服務集成的角度
  • 該地區LCV遠程信息處理的滲透率

自動駕駛汽車的主要趨勢

  • 按自治級別:主要趨勢
  • 2020年市場和技術趨勢
  • OEM業務戰略:比較分析
  • OEM商業策略/案例研究:大眾和福特

最後一英里和自動運輸

  • 按需運輸:2019年亮點
  • 按需運輸:2020年市場
  • 自動班車:2019年亮點
  • 自動班車:2020年市場
  • 最後一公里交付創新

增長機會和建議

  • 增長機會
  • 戰略命令

主要結論和未來前景

  • 2020年主要結論和展望
  • 免責聲明

附錄

  • 市場工程研究方法
  • 使用的縮寫/擴展名的部分列表
  • 展覽清單
目錄
Product Code: K4C5-18

LCV Sales to Decline by 19.0% in 2020 Impacted by Global Recession Caused by the COVID-19 Outbreak at the Start of the Year

Global sales of light commercial vehicle (LCV) are expected to reach 9.49 million units in 2020, with pickups contributing to 4.62 million units. The share of North America (NA) in the overall LCV market stood at 35%, while China held a 25% share, in 2019. Impending disruptions due to Coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) are expected to impact sales across all regions, with Europe taking the biggest hit due to the severity of the virus. The Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi (RNM) group retained its global leadership in the light-duty (LD) trucks and vans segment, while Ford continued to lead the pickups segment globally in 2019. Electric LCVs (eLCVs) will continue to gain importance going forward with a slew of launches expected until 2023, with quite a few of them, especially in medium-sized vans, expected in 2020. Renault-Nissan, Volkswagen, Daimler, Ford, and Fiat have plans to come out with new eLCV models this year.

COVID-19 has brought the global economy to its knees with business activities severely impacted everywhere. This has only exacerbated an already weak outlook for LCV sales in 2020, which is now expected to decline by 19% across major regions combined. Governments of all major economies have come up with a rescue plan in form of providing substantial fiscal stimulus, to the tune of 5%-10% of GDP on average, to their respective countries. However, most regions are expected to make any decent recovery only by late Q3/Q4 2020, with emerging nations on average recovering quicker than their counterparts in NA and Europe. With the lockdown in force in most regions and people staying indoors and maintaining social distancing, last-mile delivery of essentials is expected to rise. This will result in greater utilization and reallocation of LCVs in the last-mile application to deliver essentials. The current situation could open up the potential for a range of innovations and disruptions leading to increasing adoption of autonomous features on vehicles, such as the use of drones for deliveries in the medium to long terms.

With the increase in supply chain complexity and service requirements, last-mile delivery is evolving dynamically to meet customer demands. Electric and autonomous LCVs will play a crucial role in this regard. A large portion of the dynamic shuttles which are a part of on-demand passenger transportation will be based on LCV platforms. Apart from the impact of eCommerce and last-mile applications, connectivity is expected to slowly grow in significance. Greater integration of various telematics features in the developed markets such as NA and Europe as well as increasing penetration in China, India and Latin America (LATAM) can potentially bring connected features in LCVs to the forefront in 2020.

LCV OEMs will leverage their technological knowhow in the passenger vehicle segment in terms of powertrain, and also their lightweighting strategies. Most of them such as Renault-Nissan, Volkswagen, and Daimler are working on building common platforms for some LCVs and passenger vehicles to reduce lead times and save on development costs. The slowdown due to the pandemic should also expedite some of the M&A activity in the automotive industry as companies look for collaboration to cut costs and mitigate risks. More joint work from OEMs and suppliers in the areas of electrification, connectivity, and developing autonomous capabilities should make these features affordable and increase their adoption going forward.

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

  • 2019-Key Highlights
  • Global LCV Market Forecast-Overview
  • Snapshot of the Global LCV Market-2019
  • Top Trends in the LCV Market-2020
  • Top 5 Predictions of 2020

Research Scope, Objectives, Background, and Methodology

  • Research Scope
  • Research Aims and Objectives
  • Key Questions this Study will Answer
  • Research Background
  • Research Methodology
  • Key OEMs Compared in this Study

2020 Global Economic Outlook-Executive Summary

  • Covid-19 Global Economic Impact-Visioning Scenarios
  • Global Economic Outlook 2020-Top 5 Predictions
  • Global Economic Outlook 2020-Top 5 Predictions (continued)
  • 2020 World GDP Growth Snapshot
  • Major Economies-Key Predictions for 2020

Global LCV Market Outlook

  • Global LCV Market Forecast-Overview
  • Global LCV Market Forecast-By Weight Segment
  • Global Pickup Market Forecast-By Weight Segment
  • Global LCV Sales of Top 20 OEM Groups
  • Global Pickup Sales of Top 10 OEM Groups
  • Key Regional Markets-NA and Europe
  • Key Regional Markets-China and India
  • Key Regional Markets-LATAM and Russia + CIS
  • Key Regional Markets-APAC and GCC

COVID-19 Impact on Key LCV Markets

  • COVID-19 Impact on LCV Sales in United States, China, India and Brazil
  • COVID-19 Impact on LCV Sales in EU Countries
  • COVID-19 Impact-Germany, Italy, and Spain Perspective
  • COVID-19 Impact-US, China, and UK Perspective
  • COVID-19 Impact-India and Brazil Perspective
  • Case Study-COVID-19 Impact on US LCV Utilization

Powertrain Strategies

  • Regional Strategy for Testing Procedures
  • Executive Summary-Key Technologies to Watch in 2020
  • Overriding Challenge-Legislation
  • Emission and Fuel Efficiency Targets in Key Regions
  • China Stage VI Emission Standard for LCV
  • China LDV Fuel Efficiency Standards
  • LCV Market Powertrain Split Forecast
  • Vehicle Segment Alignment Analysis-Engine Technologies
  • Vehicle Segment Alignment Analysis-Transmission Technologies
  • Powertrain Technologies-Transmission Trend

Electric LCV Market-Key Developments

  • LCV Market Electrification Split Forecast
  • Use Case Analysis for Electrification
  • Key eLCV Models Positioning
  • Anticipated eLCV Launches by Key OEMs in 2020 and Beyond
  • Overview of Incentives-Global
  • Overview of Incentives-Global (continued)
  • Overview of Incentives-Global (continued)
  • Overview of Incentives-Global (continued)
  • Charging Station Installations-Europe
  • Charging Station Installations-Americas
  • Top 6 Battery Manufacturers-Global
  • Sourcing Strategy-Supplier Relationships
  • Global Li-ion Battery Production Scenario-2027

Connected LCV Telematics-Key Developments

  • OEM Telematics
  • Top Trends Driving the Global Connected Truck Telematics Market
  • Trends Across Regions
  • FMS Packaging-Outlook of Individual Services' Integration
  • Regional LCV Telematics Penetration

Key Autonomous Vehicle Trends

  • Key Trends by Level of Autonomy
  • Market and Technology Trends for 2020
  • OEM Business Strategies-Comparative Analysis
  • OEM Business Strategies-Case Study: Volkswagen and Ford

Last Mile and Autonomous Transportation

  • Demand-Responsive Transit-Key 2019 Highlights
  • Demand-Responsive Transit-How the Market will Shape Up in 2020?
  • Autonomous Shuttle-Key 2019 Highlights
  • Autonomous Shuttle-How will the Market Shape Up in 2020?
  • Last-mile Delivery Innovations

Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action

  • Growth Opportunity
  • Strategic Imperatives

Key Conclusions and Future Outlook

  • Key Conclusions and 2020 Outlook
  • Legal Disclaimer

Appendix

  • Market Engineering Methodology
  • Partial List of Abbreviations/Expansions Used
  • Partial List of Abbreviations/Expansions Used (continued)
  • List of Exhibits
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)