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印度的宏觀經濟增長機會:到2030年的預測

Macroeconomic Growth Opportunities in India, Forecast to 2030

出版商 Frost & Sullivan 商品編碼 943715
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 37 Pages
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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印度的宏觀經濟增長機會:到2030年的預測 Macroeconomic Growth Opportunities in India, Forecast to 2030
出版日期: 2020年06月04日內容資訊: 英文 37 Pages
簡介

與其他國家一樣,印度也受到新型冠狀病毒傳染病(COVID-19)大流行的影響,儘管經濟增長在2020年可能會放緩,但其未來前景是好亮到2020年,印度的GDP增長將降至1%左右,但預計2030年將成為世界GDP的第四大國。隨著大城市已經飽和,未來的重點將轉移到小城市,這將在印度的持續增長和發展中發揮重要作用。在印度,勞動年齡人口正在增加,在這方面也有很大的潛力。

本報告調查了印度的宏觀經濟增長機會,並分析了COVID-19的經濟影響,其長期經濟增長潛力和增長機會。

內容

執行摘要

  • 印度的未來:十大預測

調查範圍

  • 調查範圍

Covid-19的經濟影響

  • Covid-19對印度的影響
  • 印度動盪的影響度以及復甦的方面

印度的長期經濟增長機會

  • 到2030年,成為世界第四大經濟體
  • 馬哈拉施特拉邦的經濟在2028年首次達到印度的1萬億美元
  • 中小城市正在成為快速發展的經濟的更大貢獻者
  • 到2026年印度的工作年齡人口將超過中國
  • 從2015年到2030年,老年人口增長1.5倍
  • Z和Y世代(千禧一代)佔印度人口的50%以上
  • 中等收入家庭的比例從2018年的53.9%增加到2030年的77.7%
  • 越來越多的富人
  • 商業數字化的進展
  • 印度仍然是領先的社交媒體市場
  • 到2025年將創業公司數量增加三倍,促進經濟轉型

增長機會

  • 增長機會

結論

  • 主要結論
  • 免責聲明

附錄

  • 圖表列表

關於Frost & Sullivan

目錄
Product Code: 9AE5/2A

The Likelihood of India Becoming the Fourth-largest Economy, with an 80% Middle-class Household Share, Creates Significant Business Potential

India is, no doubt, reeling from the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic, as is the rest of the world. Beyond the growth slowdown in 2020, India's long-term macroeconomic prospects still remain bright.

This research examines India's long-term macroeconomic outlook and sheds light on growth opportunities that Indian and global businesses could tap into.

While 2020 GDP growth is expected to slip to about 1%, India will nonetheless climb the economic ladder thereafter to become the 4th largest economy globally by 2030 in terms of GDP size. Accelerated structural reforms can also make India the fourth-largest economy. With metros near saturation, Tier II and Tier III Indian cities will play a pivotal role in shaping India's growth and development in the next decade. More economic and business opportunities are expected to emerge from these cities over the next few years. In addition, businesses can also look forward to a booming Indian middle class which will strengthen the economy. The luxury market stands to benefit from the high growth of millionaires in India. Tier II and Tier III cities will see a rise in the demand for wealth-management services.

Companies operating in India can tap into opportunities tied to India's population structure. The size and market share of the Indian working-age population are expected to grow, in contrast to a decline in China. Systematic training and education of India's growing workforce would directly serve the growth of Indian businesses and industries. While the size of India's elderly population is expected to grow by nearly 1.5 times between 2015 and 2030, there are major gaps in senior living real estate and geriatric care that companies could explore.

A large portion of the financial transactions in the Indian economy is expected to be digital in the next five years, enabling India to transition from its status as a cash-based economy to being a digital economy. As India leads social media usage, the rapid uptick in usage and relatively low social media penetration rates offer several business opportunities to social media companies.

Key Issues Addressed:

  • What are some of the key growth opportunities that companies can look forward to beyond Covid-19?
  • What will the Indian economy look like in 2030?
  • How will state-wise GDP evolve in the next ten years?
  • What is the outlook for India's working-age population?
  • How will India's elderly population grow over the next ten years and what are the untapped opportunities?
  • What will India's middle-class market share look like in the next decade?
  • Why should companies focus on Tier II and Tier III cities for growth and expansion?
  • What is the outlook for start-up growth in India?
  • What is the outlook for digital payments in India?

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

  • Future of India: Top 10 Predictions

Research Scope

  • Research Scope

India and Covid-19 Economic Impact

  • Covid-19 Impact on India
  • Length and Depth of India's Disruption and Shape of Recovery

India Long-term Economic Growth Opportunities

  • India to Become the Fourth-largest Economy by 2030
  • Maharashtra to Become India's First Trillion-dollar Economy by 2028
  • Tier II and Tier III Cities to Emerge as Larger Contributors to Booming Economy
  • India's Working-age Population Size to Overshoot China's by 2026
  • Elderly Population to Grow by 1.5 Times between 2015 and 2030
  • Gen Z and Gen Y (Millennials) Together Account for More than 50% of India's Population
  • Share of Middle Income Households to Rise from 53.9% in 2018 to 77.7% by 2030
  • Millionaires to Grow from 343,075 in 2018 to Nearly 750,000 by 2025
  • 4 out 5 Transactions to be Possibly Made Digitally by 2025
  • India to Continue Being a Leading Social Media Market
  • 4X Growth in Start-Up Numbers by 2025 to Help Drive Economic Transformation

Growth Opportunities

  • Growth Opportunities

The Last Word

  • Key Conclusions
  • Legal Disclaimer

Appendix

  • List of Exhibits

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