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市場調查報告書

分佈式能源全球市場:到2030年的成長機會預測

Growth Opportunities in Distributed Energy, Forecast to 2030

出版商 Frost & Sullivan 商品編碼 936675
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 113 Pages
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
價格
分佈式能源全球市場:到2030年的成長機會預測 Growth Opportunities in Distributed Energy, Forecast to 2030
出版日期: 2020年05月05日內容資訊: 英文 113 Pages
簡介

對分佈式能源(DER)技術的投資額度到2019年時已到達531.4億美元,2020年到2030年為止的10年內預計將有8,461.2億美元的投資。

此報告研究全球的分佈式能源市場,提供全球趨勢,推動成長因素及阻礙因素,技術分析,各地區分析,市場生態系統分析,成長機會,企業的案例分析等資訊。

目次

重點摘要

  • 主要研究結果
  • 未來10年預測
  • COVID-19的影響
  • 能源網路中DER扮演的角色
  • 參與市場企業的主要成長機會
  • 各地區的主要成長機會
  • 全球分佈式能源的年度設備設置預測
  • 全球分佈式能源的年度投資預測
  • 全球分佈式能源預測

研究範圍與市場區分

  • 研究範圍
  • 市場定義
  • 地區市場區分

全球分佈式能源的主要趨勢

  • 主要DER市場趨勢
  • 存儲是可再生DER的關鍵實踐技術
  • DER應用:擴展網格服務衍生出新的收益流
  • 區塊鏈將為DER交易帶來靈活性
  • XaaS推動DER的擴展
  • 微電網的成長
  • 能源供需服務

推動成長因素及阻礙因素

  • 推動市場成長因素
  • 推動成長因素的說明
  • 阻礙市場成長的因素
  • 阻礙成長因素的說明

技術分析

  • 技術分析-概述
  • 技術分析-分佈式太陽能發電
  • 分佈式太陽能發電能力預測
  • 分佈式太陽能發電投資預測
  • 技術分析-柴油發電
  • 柴油發電能力預測
  • 柴油發電的投資預測
  • 技術分析-天然氣發電
  • 天然氣發電能力預測
  • 天然氣發電的投資預測
  • 技術分析-工業用渦輪(不到30MW)
  • 工業用渦輪發電能力預測
  • 工業用渦輪的投資預測
  • 技術分析-分佈式風力
  • 分佈式風力發電能力預測
  • 分佈式風力發電投資預測
  • 技術分析-小型水力發電
  • 小型水力發電能力預測
  • 小型水力發電投資預測

地區分析

  • 地區分析-DER投資的成長
  • 北美概述
  • 北美-各技術的設備投資
  • 北美-各技術一年內發電能力的成長
  • 北美-各國重點
  • 歐洲概述
  • 歐洲-各技術的設備投資
  • 歐洲-各技術一年內發電能力的成長
  • 歐洲-各國重點
  • 亞洲概述
  • 亞洲概述
  • 亞洲-各技術的設備投資
  • 亞洲-各技術一年內發電能力的成長
  • 亞洲-各國重點
  • 拉丁美洲概述
  • 拉丁美洲概述
  • 拉丁美洲-各技術的設備投資
  • 拉丁美洲-各技術一年內發電能力的成長
  • 拉丁美洲-各國重點
  • 中東/非洲地區概述
  • 中東/非洲-各技術的設備投資
  • 中東/非洲-各技術一年內發電能力的成長
  • 中東/非洲-各國重點

市場生態系統分析

  • DER市場生態系統
  • DER市場參與企業及戰略性焦點:傳統型能源參與企業
  • DER市場參與企業與戰略性焦點:新參與企業

含意、成長機會及建議

  • 市場參與企業的主要成長機會
  • 成長機會1-風險分享模型及併購:技術OEM的新機會
  • 案例分析
  • 成長機會2-擴大目前的解決方案:系統整合商和安裝人員的機會
  • 案例分析
  • 成長機會3-從消費者到生產型消費者:對末端使用者是新機會
  • 案例分析
  • 成長機會4-進入DER的市場:公益事業新商機
  • 案例分析
  • 成長機會5-提供擴展解決方案:ESCO的新機會
  • 案例分析
  • 分佈式能源的策略要務

結論

  • 結論
  • 免責聲明事項

附錄

  • 展品清單

Frost & Sullivan

目錄
Product Code: MF1A-14

Nearly $1 Trillion is Expected to be Invested Over the Course of the Decade as the Power Sector Continues to Transition to a More Decarbonised and Flexible System

Investments into distributed energy resources (DER) technologies reached $53.14 billion in 2019. Total capacity commissioned was 51.04 GW, meaning the total global installed capacity for DER increased by 10% in the year to 528.93 GW. Strong growth is expected for the global market across the decade as a whole. About $846.12 billion is forecast to be invested in new DER capacity over the next decade (2020-2030). The investment will be driven by a combination of favourable regulations, declining project and technology costs, high electricity and demand charges, availability of funding, and new financing models that offset initial investment barriers. Solar PV will dominate global investment throughout the decade, accounting for 88.2% of the funding. Of this, residential solar PV will account for 49.3% of the total investments, and commercial and industrial (C&I) solar PV the remaining 38.9%. By the end of the next decade, Asia will account for approximately 48% of the total investment, followed by North America (approximately 17.5% share) and Europe (approximately 16%). Total distributed generation (DG) installed capacity is projected to reach 1182.00 GW by 2030, accounting for 10% of the global installed power generation in the year.

The DER model will play an increasingly pivotal role in the global power mix, as part of a wider drive to decarbonise the sector. Frost & Sullivan firmly believes that participants in the power generation market must consider the impact of DER and should adapt accordingly.

Behind-the-meter energy storage is set to become a game changer for DER as it enhances its value proposition and enables revenue stacking. The cost of the energy storage system is forecast to decline by 35% over the course of the decade, making it an increasingly attractive proposition. New solar PV customers will opt for a solar + storage system as standard and existing customers will increasingly look to add a storage system to their existing solar PV DER units.

Prosumers will continue to invest in DER projects to mitigate energy cost uncertainty, and avoid increases in demand charges. They will also increasingly benefit from selling electricity back to the grid and from participating in the wholesale electricity, capacity and ancillary service markets.

The transition from a pure pay-and-purchase model to operation and output based OPEX contracts that include maintenance, performance guarantees, and availability of the installed equipment will increasingly be preferred by residential and C&I consumers.

Security of supply will become a key factor for investing in DERs, as major climate incidents increase. DERs that can operate in microgrid mode will bring increased resiliency to local grids.

RESEARCH: INFOGRAPHIC

This infographic presents a brief overview of the research, and highlights the key topics discussed in it.

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

  • Key Findings
  • Top Predictions for the Decade Ahead
  • Impact of COVID-19
  • DER and its Role in the Internet of Energy
  • Key Growth Opportunities for Market Participants
  • Key Regional Growth Opportunities
  • Global Distributed Energy-Annual Capacity Installation Forecast
  • Global Distributed Energy-Annual Investment Forecast
  • Global Distributed Energy Forecast

Research Scope and Segmentation

  • Research Scope
  • Market Definitions
  • Geographic Segmentation

Key Global Distributed Energy Trends

  • Key DER Market Trends
  • Storage as a Key Enabler for Renewable DERs
  • DER Aggregation-New Revenue Streams from the Provision of Grid Services
  • Blockchain will Bring Flexibility to DER Transactions
  • XaaS is Shaping and Driving the Deployment of DERs
  • Growth in Microgrids
  • Energy Supply and Demand Services

Drivers and Restraints

  • Market Drivers
  • Drivers Explained
  • Drivers Explained (continued)
  • Market Restraints
  • Restraints Explained
  • Restraints Explained (continued)

Technology Analysis

  • Technology Analysis-Overview
  • Technology Analysis-Distributed Solar PV
  • Distributed Solar PV Installed Capacity Forecast-The Decade Ahead
  • Distributed Solar PV Investment Forecast-The Decade Ahead
  • Technology Analysis-Diesel Gensets
  • Diesel Gensets Installed Capacity Forecast-The Decade Ahead
  • Diesel Gensets Investment Forecast-The Decade Ahead
  • Technology Analysis-Gas Gensets
  • Gas Gensets Installed Capacity Forecast-The Decade Ahead
  • Gas Gensets Investment Forecast-The Decade Ahead
  • Technology Analysis-Industrial Turbines (<30MW)
  • Industrial Turbines Installed Capacity Forecast-The Decade Ahead
  • Industrial Turbines Investment Forecast-The Decade Ahead
  • Technology Analysis-Distributed Wind
  • Distributed Wind Installed Capacity Forecast-The Decade Ahead
  • Distributed Wind Investment Forecast-The Decade Ahead
  • Technology Analysis-Small Hydro Power
  • Small Hydro Installed Capacity Forecast-The Decade Ahead
  • Small Hydro Investment Forecast-The Decade Ahead

Regional Analysis

  • Regional Analysis-DER Investment Growth
  • North America-Regional Overview
  • North America-Capex by Technology
  • North America-Annual Capacity Additions by Technology
  • North America-Country Highlights
  • Europe-Regional Overview
  • Europe-Capex by Technology
  • Europe-Annual Capacity Additions by Technology
  • Europe-Country Highlights
  • Asia-Regional Overview
  • Asia-Capex by Technology
  • Asia-Annual Capacity Additions by Technology
  • Asia-Country Highlights
  • Latin America-Regional Overview
  • Latin America-Capex by Technology
  • Latin America-Annual Capacity Additions by Technology
  • Latin America-Country Highlights
  • Africa and Middle East-Regional Overview
  • Africa and Middle East-Capex by Technology
  • Africa and Middle East-Annual Capacity Additions by Technology
  • Africa and Middle East-Country Highlights

Market Ecosystem Analysis

  • DER Market Ecosystem
  • DER Market Participants and Strategic Focus-Traditional Energy Participants
  • DER Market Participants and Strategic Focus-Newer Participants

Implications, Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action

  • Key Growth Opportunities for Market Participants
  • Growth Opportunity 1-Risk-Gain Share Models and M&A: New Opportunities for Technology OEMs
  • Companies to Action-Case Study
  • Companies to Action-Case Study (continued)
  • Growth Opportunity 2-Expanding Current Solution Offering: New Opportunities for System Integrators & Installers
  • Companies to Action-Case Study
  • Companies to Action-Case Study (continued)
  • Growth Opportunity 3-Consumer to Prosumer: New Opportunities for End Users
  • Companies to Action-Case Study
  • Growth Opportunity 4-Market Entry to DER: New Opportunities for Utilities
  • Companies to Action-Case Study
  • Growth Opportunity 5-Expanding Solution Offering: New Opportunities for ESCOs
  • Companies to Action-Case Study
  • Strategic Imperatives for Distributed Energy

Key Conclusions

  • Key Conclusions
  • Legal Disclaimer

Appendix

  • List of Exhibits
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)

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