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市場調查報告書

北美8級卡車的生命週期、TCO分析:2018-2032年

Life Cycle and TCO Analysis of Class-8 Trucks in North America, 2018-2032

出版商 Frost & Sullivan 商品編碼 910109
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 60 Pages
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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北美8級卡車的生命週期、TCO分析:2018-2032年 Life Cycle and TCO Analysis of Class-8 Trucks in North America, 2018-2032
出版日期: 2019年08月23日內容資訊: 英文 60 Pages
簡介

本報告提供北美8級卡車的生命週期及15年的TCO (總持有成本) 的相關調查,TCO分析、預測,貸款和租賃的TCO比較,各選擇的優點及缺點,電力和天然氣等替代燃料的TCO比較,TCO的未來展望等彙整資料。

摘要整理

調查範圍、目的

卡車的生命週期分析

  • 半卡車的平均生命週期,殘餘金額
  • 卡車的生命週期整體的燃料的平均成本
  • 主要的維修 & 維修間隔
  • 卡車的生命週期整體的維修 & 維修的平均成本
  • 保險,許可取得,通行費金,及輪胎的平均成本
  • 駕駛者工資 & 供給的平均成本
  • 客戶付款的基準:租賃、融資
  • 貸款卡車的平均TCO:1人所有者
  • 卡車生命週期的平均TCO:複數所有者
  • 租賃卡車的平均TCO:15年

TCO (總成本營運)的展望

  • TCO比較
  • 柴油卡車的取得成本
  • 半卡車的平均燃料成本:各模式年度
  • 維修 & 維修的平均成本:卡車的各模式年度

替代燃料的TCO比較

  • 電力、天然氣卡車的主的應用程式市場區隔
  • 柴油,天然氣,及電力卡車的分量基準
  • 天然氣卡車的價格,燃料,及R&M分析
  • 電力卡車的價格分析
  • 電力卡車主要的維修 & 維修感覺
  • 柴油,天然氣,及電力卡車的TCO比較
  • 電力卡車:Frost & Sullivan的展望

競爭基準

  • 卡車購買:主要相關利益者的關心領域
  • OEM市場定位製圖
  • 比較基準:OEM專屬式服務
  • OEM競爭基準:TCO

成長機會、CTA

  • 成長機會1:OEM的TCO解決方案
  • 成長機會2:連接性解決方案
  • 成長機會3:綠色技術
  • 成功、成長的策略性要務

結論

附錄

目錄
Product Code: K384-18

TCO Over a 15-year Diesel Truck Life Cycle is Estimated to be ~$2.28 Million

Frost & Sullivan's research service on the Life Cycle and Total Cost of Ownership analysis of class-8 trucks in North America forecasts a class-8 truck's total cost of ownership over a 15-year period. It analyzes the key total cost of ownership through measures, such as driver wages and benefits, fuel, truck payments, repair and maintenance, insurance, tolls and permits, and tire replacement. Each measure of the total cost of ownership is derived from a miles-driven perspective in addition to the vehicle's cost over the life cycle period. The study also compares the total cost of ownership model between financing and leasing a class-8 truck over a 15-year period, providing a breakdown of the pros and cons of each option. Furthermore, the study offers a future outlook toward the total cost of ownership, comparing model year 2018 trucks to model year 2027 trucks. Finally, the study provides an in-depth look into the viability of alternative fueled class 8 trucks, including electric and natural gas to diesel trucks. It will provide an understanding of payload differences, fuel economy, and repair and maintenance intervals between the three different truck types. It concludes with a breakeven-scenario forecast that will help the readership understand the viability of an electric truck and natural gas truck to a competing diesel truck in long-haul applications.

A semi-truck commonly goes through 3 phases in its life cycle. The 1st owner is typically a fleet that drives an average of ~480,000 miles. The 2nd life owner is the owner-operator or small-sized fleet that drives an average of ~640,000 miles. Finally, the 3rd life owner is the owner-operator that drives ~ 400,000 miles. ‘Driver wages and benefits' is the highest operating expense for truckers in 2018, accounting for ~44% of the total cost of ownership. This expense is expected to continue rising due to the worsening driver shortage issue. The TCO for a 15-year life cycle financed truck is ~$2.28 million and a cost per mile of ~$1.50. Comparatively, the TCO of a consumer who leases a truck in 4-year intervals over a 15-year period is ~$2.30 million and a CPM of ~$1.53 CPM. Financing remains the primary choice of ownership, accounting for ~68% of purchases. Leasing is gaining traction in the market with 32% as consumers who lease and want to take advantage of factors such as shorter equipment life cycles, lower maintenance costs (under warranty), and funding stability Frost & Sullivan research indicates that leasing can be a realistic alternative to financing under the right circumstances, including fleet operations and capital.

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

  • Total Cost of Operation Summary
  • Average Semi-truck Total Cost of Operation Fleet Breakdown
  • Average Financed Truck TCO-One Owner
  • Average Truck Life Cycle Total Cost of Operation-Multiple Owners
  • Diesel, Natural Gas, and Electric Truck TCO Comparison
  • Total Cost of Ownership Comparison-2018 and 2027
  • Summary of Key Findings
  • Future Outlook on Trends Affecting TCO

Research Scope and Objectives

  • Research Scope
  • Research Aims and Objectives
  • Key Questions This Study Will Answer

Truck Life Cycle Analysis

  • Average Semi-truck Life Cycle and Residual Value
  • Average Fuel Cost Over the Life Cycle of a Truck
  • Key Repair & Maintenance Intervals
  • Average Repair & Maintenance Cost Over the Life Cycle of a Truck
  • Average Insurance, Permit, Tolls, and Tire Cost
  • Average Driver Wages & Benefits Cost
  • Customer Payment Benchmark-Leasing and Financing
  • Customer Payment Benchmark-Leasing and Financing (continued)
  • Average Financed Truck TCO-One Owner
  • Average Truck Life Cycle Total Cost of Operation-Multiple Owners
  • Average Leased Truck TCO-15 Year Period

Total Cost of Operation Outlook

  • Total Cost of Ownership Comparison-2018 and 2027
  • Acquisition Cost of Diesel Trucks
  • Average Semi-truck Fuel Cost by Model Year
  • Average Repair & Maintenance Cost by Truck Model Year

Alternative Fuel TCO Comparison

  • Key Application Segments for Electric and Natural Gas Trucks
  • Diesel, Natural Gas, and Electric Truck Weight Benchmark
  • Natural Gas Truck Price, Fuel, and R&M Breakdown
  • Electric Truck Price Breakdown
  • Key Repair & Maintenance Intervals for Electric Trucks
  • Diesel, Natural Gas, and Electric Truck TCO Comparison
  • Electric Truck-Frost & Sullivan Perspective

Competitive Benchmark

  • Truck Purchase-Focus Area of Key Stakeholders
  • OEM Market Position Mapping
  • Comparative Benchmarking-OEM Captive Services
  • OEM Competitive Benchmarking-Total Cost of Ownership

Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action

  • Growth Opportunity 1-OEM Total Cost of Ownership Solutions
  • Growth Opportunity 2-Connectivity Solutions
  • Growth Opportunity 3-Green Technologies
  • Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth

Conclusions

  • Key Conclusions
  • Legal Disclaimer

Appendix

  • Market Engineering Methodology
  • List of Exhibits
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
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