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市場調查報告書

EV·PHEV對歐洲的汽車維修市場的影響:∼2025年

The Impact of EVs and PHEVs on the European Automotive Aftermarket, Forecast to 2025

出版商 Frost & Sullivan 商品編碼 731226
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 87 Pages
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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EV·PHEV對歐洲的汽車維修市場的影響:∼2025年 The Impact of EVs and PHEVs on the European Automotive Aftermarket, Forecast to 2025
出版日期: 2018年10月16日內容資訊: 英文 87 Pages
簡介

預測電動車 (EV) 及插入式混合動力車 (PHEV)的運行台數在2025年前將佔汽車行車台數整體的3.6%,售後市場部門有損失5億歐元業務收益的可能性。

本報告提供歐洲汽車維修市場上EV·PHEV的影響調查,彙整EV及PHEV的製造·銷售趨勢,售後市場收益的影響 (替換零件別),服務生態系統的影響,OEM的EV/PHEV維修市場計劃&服務範例,其他EV/PHEV支援的配合措施,推薦行動·新的成長機會分析等資訊。

第1章 摘要整理

  • 主要調查結果
  • 零件概要·趨勢預測:EV·ICV比較
  • 替換零件的需求·收益的展望
  • 零件替換比較:EV vs ICV

第2章 調查範圍·調查目的·背景·調查手法

第3章 定義·市場區隔

第4章 需求推進因素

  • EV/PHEV製造·銷售趨勢
  • EV/PHEV推動法
  • EV/PHEV的獎勵
  • 技術:近幾年·目前改良點
  • 技術:電池相關的未來改良點
  • 歐洲的EV充電基礎設施
  • 消費者意識
  • EV/PHEV生態系統上新的經營模式

第5章 EV/PHEV的需求基礎

  • EV
    • VIO (行車車輛台數)·新車銷售台數:歐洲
    • 各使用年數的VIO明細:歐洲
  • PHEV
    • VIO·新車銷售台數:歐洲
    • 各使用年數的VIO明細:歐洲
  • EV/PHEV 在VIO全體所佔的比例

第6章 EV/PHEV的替換零件&服務需求的影響

  • 主要調查結果:零件替換需求
  • 供應商的貢獻度和車輛的結構:EV·ICV比較
  • 售後市場收益的影響
    • 煞車皮替換
    • 起動裝置替換
    • 火星塞替換
    • 燃油泵替換
    • 油替換
    • 圍巾替換
    • 換輪胎
    • 客艙空氣過濾器替換
  • 電池替換的市場機會
    • 日產Leaf
    • Renault Zoe
    • Tesla Model S

第7章 EV/PHEV的事業結構

  • EV/PHEV:流通管道參與者展望
  • EV車隊(編隊)採購對服務收入的影響
  • OEM的EV/PHEV售後市場計劃&服務
  • OEM策略
  • 歐洲的領導者BMW的EV服務特徵
  • 零件製造商的EV/PHEV的適應性

第8章 EV/PHEV對服務生態系統的影響

  • 零件零售業者的影響
  • 服務人力資源
  • 供應商專注於售後市場培訓
  • IAM服務:新的進入經營者

第9章 成長機會·推薦行動

  • 成長機會:通過新的業務模式和更快的交付連接最終用戶
  • 成功·促使成長的策略性要件

第10章 總論

  • EV/PHEV售後市場:現在·未來趨勢
  • EV / PHEV引起的OES和IAM流通管道的市場機會
  • EV售後市場:未來的可能性
  • 總論:三大預測
  • 免責聲明

第11章 附錄A:主要EV/PHEV的維修比較

第12章 附錄B:EV/PHEV車隊所有權概要

目錄
Product Code: ME01-18

With EV/PHEVs Expected to Account for 3.6% of the Total VIO by 2025, the Automotive Aftermarket Could Suffer a Service Revenue Loss of €0.5 Billion

This study focuses on the ramifications for the European aftermarket because of EVs and PHEVs in the vehicle parc. Analysis is done on how replacement parts demand and aftermarket revenue will be altered due to EVs and PHEVs. The geographic scope of the study is Europe and the base year is 2017. The deliverable explains the impact of the latest service offerings and technological advancements of OEMs like outdoor charging and battery ownership to improve the ownership experience. It sheds light on the changing focus of parts suppliers in the age of EVs/PHEVs and investments in R&D to adapt to this development. At the same time, it also highlights emerging participants in the IAM channel who have created products like battery diagnostics and charging, particularly for the EV market. Another key focus of this study is to give a detailed account of the competencies of IAM service technicians and their skill requirements in the future to prevent losing out to the OES channel.

The goal of the study is to forecast the possible revenue changes to the aftermarket due to multiple parts missing from EVs. Focus is on ignition and exhaust parts which are the most impacted. The study provides details on EV fleet procurement and charging infrastructure development initiatives by city councils and transportation departments in multiple European cities and how they affect service volume.

Research Highlights:

The objective of this study is to research, analyze and predict the effect of EVs/PHEVs on parts and services in the European automotive aftermarket. It also seeks to:

  • Understand the key demand drivers of policies, tax rebates, technology developments, charging infrastructure and consumer demand for the adoption of EVs in Europe.
  • Understand the maintenance schedule of EVs and how it impacts the total cost of ownership and compare it with ICVs. It also details service packages of multiple OEMs.
  • Highlight market leaders and first movers in the EV ecosystem and analyze parts and service trends and revenues in the era of EVs/PHEVs.
  • Understand and compare training programs introduced by aftermarket leaders and OEMs to create a large talent pool for EV technicians capable of handling high-voltage equipment and well versed in data interpretation. The study also talks about how the demand for service technicians will change in the years to come and how remuneration will increase for specialists.
  • Understand the impact of EVs and PHEVs on vehicle servicing by analyzing service volumes, service types, service personnel and service technology. It also aims to understand who would benefit the most from EVs/PHEVs - the OES or the IAM channel.

Table of Contents

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  • Key Findings
  • Parts Overview and Expected Trend-Comparison between EV and ICV
  • Replacement Parts Demand and Revenue Outlook-2025
  • Replacement Comparison EV vs. ICV-100,000 Miles Driven

2. RESEARCH SCOPE, OBJECTIVES, BACKGROUND, AND METHODOLOGY

  • Research Scope
  • Research Aims and Objectives
  • Key Questions this Study will Answer
  • Research Methodology

3. DEFINITIONS AND SEGMENTATION

  • Market Definitions
  • Vehicle Segmentation

4. DEMAND ENABLERS

  • Trends in EV/PHEV Production and Sales
  • Legislations Promoting EVs/PHEVs
  • Incentives for EVs/PHEVs
  • Incentives for EVs/PHEVs (continued)
  • Incentives for EVs/PHEVs (continued)
  • Incentives for EVs/PHEVs (continued)
  • Technology-Recent and Current Improvements
  • Technology-Future Battery Improvements
  • Europe EV Charging Infrastructure
  • Consumer Perception
  • Emerging Business Models in the EV/PHEV Ecosystem

5. EV/PHEV DEMAND BASE

  • EV VIO/New Vehicle Sales-Europe
  • EV Age-wise VIO Split-Europe
  • PHEV VIO/New Vehicle Sales-Europe
  • PHEV VIO Age-wise Split-Europe
  • EV/PHEV VIO as a Percentage of the Total

6. IMPACT OF EV/PHEVS ON REPLACEMENT PART & SERVICE DEMAND

  • Key Findings-Part Replacement Demand
  • Supplier Contribution and Vehicle Composition-Comparison between EV and ICV
  • Aftermarket Revenue Impact-Brake Pads Replacement
  • Aftermarket Revenue Impact-Starters Replacement
  • Aftermarket Revenue Impact-Spark Plugs Replacement
  • Aftermarket Revenue Impact-Fuel Pumps Replacement
  • Aftermarket Revenue Impact-Oil Changes
  • Aftermarket Revenue Impact-Mufflers Replacement
  • Aftermarket Revenue Impact-Tires Replacement
  • Aftermarket Revenue Impact-Cabin Air Filters Replacement
  • Battery Replacement Opportunity (Nissan Leaf)
  • Battery Replacement Opportunity (Renault Zoe)
  • Battery Replacement Opportunity (Tesla Model S)

7. EV/PHEV BUSINESS STRUCTURE

  • EV/PHEVs-Channel Participant Outlook
  • Service Revenue Impact from EV Fleet Procurement
  • OEM EV/PHEV Aftermarket Plans and Services
  • OEM Strategies
  • EV Services Features of European Leader BMW
  • Adaptation of Parts Manufacturers to EV/PHEVs
  • Adaptation of Parts Manufacturers to EV/PHEVs (continued)

8. IMPACT OF EV/PHEVS ON THE SERVICE ECOSYSTEM

  • Impact on Parts Retailers
  • Service Personnel
  • Suppliers focusing on Aftermarket Training
  • IAM Service-Emerging Participants

9. GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES AND COMPANIES TO ACTION

  • Growth Opportunity-Connecting End Users through New Business Models and Faster Delivery
  • Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth

10. CONCLUSIONS

  • EV/PHEV Aftermarket-Current and Future Trends
  • Opportunities for the OES and IAM Channels arising from EV/PHEVs
  • EV Aftermarket-Future Possibilities
  • The Last Word-3 Big Predictions
  • Legal Disclaimer

11. APPENDIX A-VEHICLE MAINTENANCE COMPARISON OF KEY EV/PHEV MODELS

  • Halfords UK Service Offerings
  • Tesla Models UK Maintenance Plans
  • Model S and Model X
  • Renault Periodic Maintenance Service

12. APPENDIX B-EV/PHEV FLEET OWNERSHIP OVERVIEW

  • Factors Influencing Transition of Fleets to Evs
  • Corporate Fleet Usage-High Aftermarket Potential
  • Abbreviations
  • List of Exhibits
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
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