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市場調查報告書

全球經濟預測

Global Economic Outlook, 2019

出版商 Frost & Sullivan 商品編碼 489312
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 77 Pages
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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全球經濟預測 Global Economic Outlook, 2019
出版日期: 2019年01月18日內容資訊: 英文 77 Pages
簡介

全球GDP成長率,由國際貿易的活躍和投資擴大,強力的國內需求支撐,以一定速度持續成長。2017年的成長率3.6%,2018年預計達到3.7%。帶給全球經濟負面影響的主要事件,有英國脫離EU(Brexit) ,及海灣國家的增值稅 (VAT) 引進等,不過,其影響預計停留在很有限的規模。

本報告提供全球各地的景氣趨勢的現況與展望的相關調查,全球整體的GDP、通貨膨脹率、石油生產量等趨勢預測,及各地區、主要國家詳細趨勢,近來的全球的事件、災害的影響度,自由貿易協定 (FTA:北美自由貿易組織(NAFTA),TPP等) 帶給各國經濟的影響等分析。

第1章 摘要整理

  • 主要的經濟趨勢 (2017年)
  • 主要的經濟預測 (2018年)
  • 經濟預測 -已開發國家 (2018年)
  • 經濟預測 -新興國家 (2018年)
  • 全球GDP成長率:概要
  • (2017∼2018年)全球經濟成長率前20名國家

第2章 分析範圍

第3章 全球經濟的未來展望 (2018年)

  • GDP成長率預測
  • 通貨膨脹率預測
  • 貿易趨勢預測
  • 投資趨勢預測
  • 石油生產量預測:OPEC加盟國/其他

第4章 地域經濟的未來展望 (2018年):北美

  • GDP成長率預測 (2018年):美國、加拿大
  • 主要的經濟趨勢
  • 北美經濟的未來展望 (2018年)第:5項主要的預測

第5章 地域經濟的未來展望 (2018年):南美

  • GDP成長率預測 (2018年):巴西、墨西哥
  • GDP成長率預測 (2018年):哥倫比亞、巴拿馬
  • 主要的經濟趨勢
  • 南美經濟的未來展望 (2018年)第:5項主要的預測

第6章 地域經濟的未來展望 (2018年):非洲

  • GDP成長率預測 (2018年):坦尚尼亞、肯亞
  • GDP成長率預測 (2018年):南非、辛巴威
  • 主要的經濟趨勢
  • 非洲經濟的未來展望 (2018年)第:5項主要的預測

第7章 地域經濟的未來展望 (2018年):歐洲

  • GDP成長率預測 (2018年):德國、義大利
  • GDP成長率預測 (2018年):英國、法國
  • Brexit (英國脫歐)的影響度分析
  • 主要的經濟趨勢
  • 非洲經濟的未來展望 (2018年)第:5項主要的預測

第8章 地域經濟的未來展望 (2018年):中東

  • GDP成長率預測 (2018年):UAE、沙烏地阿拉伯
  • GDP成長率預測 (2018年):卡達、伊朗
  • 波灣合作理事會 (GCC) 各國的財政重建與經濟多樣化
  • 主要的經濟趨勢
  • 非洲經濟的未來展望 (2018年)第:5項主要的預測

第9章 地域經濟的未來展望 (2018年):亞太地區

  • GDP成長率預測 (2018年):中國、印度
  • GDP成長率預測 (2018年):日本、東南亞國協
  • 主要的經濟趨勢
  • 亞太地區經濟的未來展望 (2018年)第:5項主要的預測

第10章 成長機會及值得注意的企業

  • 成長機會

第11章 主要結論

第12章 附錄

本網頁內容可能與最新版本有所差異。詳細情況請與我們聯繫。

目錄
Product Code: PA4A

World GDP Growth to Weaken from 3.7% in 2018 to 3.5% to 2019, With Intensified Trade Wars to Pull Down 2019 Growth Further to 3.3%

What is the outlook for the world economy in 2019? How will events such as Brexit and trade wars influence the global economic outlook? This analysis has been designed to answer these questions and more by providing a concise summary of key global and regional economic developments and forecasts. Regions covered as part of the study include North America, Latin America, Africa, Europe, the Middle East, and Asia-Pacific. Each regional economic outlook section focuses on the GDP growth outlook for key economies, impact analysis of key economic developments, and top economic predictions.

Although global GDP growth was steady in 2018, the growth is expected to dip in 2019 in the light of factors such as trade tensions, interest rate hikes, and emerging market capital outflows. A major risk to the global economic growth is the intensification of trade wars in 2019, with trade war escalation to pull down GDP growth further than projected. Apart from the United States and China that are experiencing the direct negative effects of the trade wars, major economies such as Germany and Japan are also at risk owing to indirect effects from the US-China trade wars. This study factors in three likely trade war scenarios for 2019, namely the continuation scenario, the intensification scenario, and the conclusion scenario, with the continuation scenario (continuation of tariffs imposed in 2018) carrying the highest probability of occurrence at present. Consequently, 2019 projections have been developed based on the continuation scenario (unless otherwise mentioned).

The last few weeks of 2018 saw several major developments that will have important ratifications on the 2019 economic outlook, such as the finalization of the Brexit withdrawal agreement and the decision of the OPEC to pursue production cuts in 2019. This report factors the implications of these and other events on the global economy as well as on specific concerned countries. Business can leverage this study to understand growth trajectories and the implications of economic developments, and thereby better plan and strategize for 2019. The base year for the report is 2017, with estimates for 2018, and forecasts for 2019.

Key Issues Addressed:

  • What are the top 2019 global economic predictions?
  • What were the top 2018 global economic trends?
  • What are the top 2019 predictions for key advanced and emerging economies?
  • What is the world GDP growth snapshot for 2017-2019?
  • What is the economic outlook for North America, Latin America, Africa, Europe, the Middle East, and Asia-Pacific?
  • What are the key global economic risks for 2019?
  • How will major events such as Brexit and trade wars influence the world economy?
  • What is the trade war scenario-based outlook for world GDP growth and trade growth?
  • What is the 2019 outlook for oil supply, demand, and prices?
  • What major economic policy changes could businesses expect in 2019?

Table of Contents

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  • Top 2018 Global Economic Trends
  • Top 2019 Global Economic Predictions
  • Top 2019 Global Economic Predictions (continued)
  • Top 2019 Predictions-Advanced Economies
  • Top 2019 Predictions-Emerging Economies
  • World GDP Growth Snapshot
  • Top 2019 Predictions-Regional Economic Outlook
  • World's 20 Fastest Growing Economies in 2018 and 2019

2. RESEARCH SCOPE

  • Research Scope

3. 2019 GLOBAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

  • GDP Growth Outlook
  • Trade Outlook
  • Global Trade Developments
  • Inflation Outlook
  • Oil Supply, Demand, and Price Outlook

4. 2019 REGIONAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK-NORTH AMERICA

  • 2019 Economic Outlook-The United States and Canada
  • Key Economic Developments
  • Key Economic Developments (continued)
  • 2019 North America Economic Outlook-Top Predictions

5. 2019 REGIONAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK-LATIN AMERICA

  • 2019 GDP Growth Outlook-Brazil and Mexico
  • 2019 GDP Growth Outlook-Colombia and Argentina
  • 2019 GDP Growth Outlook-Venezuela
  • Key Economic Developments
  • 2019 Latin America Economic Outlook-Top Predictions

6. 2019 REGIONAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK-AFRICA

  • 2019 GDP Growth Outlook-Tanzania and Kenya
  • 2019 GDP Growth Outlook-South Africa and Nigeria
  • Key Economic Developments
  • 2019 Africa Economic Outlook-Top Predictions

7. 2019 REGIONAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK-EUROPE

  • 2019 Economic Outlook-Germany and the United Kingdom
  • 2019 Economic Outlook-Italy and France
  • 2019 Economic Outlook-Russia
  • Key Economic Developments
  • 2019 Europe Economic Outlook-Top Predictions

8. 2019 REGIONAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK-MIDDLE EAST

  • 2019 Economic Outlook-Saudi Arabia and Qatar
  • 2019 Economic Outlook-Qatar and Turkey
  • Key Economic Developments
  • 2019 Middle East Economic Outlook-Top Predictions

9. 2019 REGIONAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK-ASIA-PACIFIC

  • 2019 Economic Outlook-China and India
  • 2019 Economic Outlook-Japan and Indonesia
  • 2019 Economic Outlook-Australia
  • Key Economic Developments
  • 2019 Asia-Pacific Economic Outlook-Top Predictions

10. GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES AND COMPANIES TO ACTION

  • Growth Opportunities
  • Growth Opportunities (continued)

11. KEY CONCLUSIONS

  • Key Conclusions
  • Legal Disclaimer

12. APPENDIX

  • Data Tables-World
  • Data Tables-Advanced Economies and Emerging Market & Developing Economies
  • Data Tables-North America
  • Data Tables-Latin America
  • Data Tables-Africa
  • Data Tables-Europe
  • Data Tables-Middle East
  • Data Tables-Asia-Pacific
  • Abbreviations and Acronyms Used
  • Additional Sources of Information on the 2019 Global Economic Outlook
  • Market Engineering Methodology
  • List of Exhibits
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
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