表紙
市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1017479

全球動力總成市場的未來展望(2021 年)

Global Powertrain Outlook 2021

出版日期: | 出版商: Frost & Sullivan | 英文 141 Pages | 商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內

價格
  • 全貌
  • 簡介
  • 目錄
簡介

在全球動力總成市場,mHEV(輕度混合動力汽車)、PHEV(插電式混合動力汽車)和 EV(電動汽車)的普及導致了動力總成在過去五年中的快速電氣化。因此,柴油動力系統的份額逐漸下降。同時,ICE(內燃機車),尤其是汽油車,預計至少在未來 20 年將保持較高的市場份額。為了提高燃油效率和減少排放,發動機正變得越來越小。

本報告分析了全球汽車動力總成市場的概況和未來展望,並分析了近期的主要趨勢及其背景,按地區/主要國家的市場趨勢,按技術的發展/擴散趨勢,我們正在調查未來的發展動力總成技術前景、未來市場增長機會等。

目錄

成長環境

世界經濟展望 (2021)

  • COVID-19 對全球 GDP 增長的影響
  • 全球增長情景分析:先決條件
  • 全球 GDP 預測:針對各種情景
  • COVID-19 對主要地區的影響

戰略挑戰

增長環境和範圍:全球汽車動力總成行業

  • 分析範圍
  • 車輛細分
  • 市場細分

歐洲:動力總成市場展望

  • 歐洲-新註冊汽車(2020 年)
  • 歐洲-動力總成銷售(2020 年)
  • 歐洲五國(5EU):乘用車動力總成趨勢
  • 西歐——內燃機車趨勢:同比持續減少
  • 西歐-汽油車趨勢:乘用車
  • 西歐-柴油車趨勢:乘用車
  • 輕度混合動力汽車:2021 年銷量激增
  • 全混合動力:增長機會有限
  • 電動汽車 (EV):2020 年快速增長以實現二氧化碳排放目標
  • 歐洲-動力總成市場概況

美國:動力總成市場展望

  • 美國-新乘用車登記的變化(2020 年)
  • 美國-SUV、卡車和重型車輛的增長
  • 美國——皮卡需求持續增長
  • 美油車繼續佔據主導地位
  • 美國-SUV 和貨運車輛柴油行業的趨勢(2020 年)
  • 持續增長的輕度混合動力汽車
  • 全混合動力汽車:持續增長的第三大 FHEV 市場
  • 電動汽車 (EV):BEV 比 PHEV 高 3.5 倍
  • 美國-動力總成市場概覽

中國:動力總成市場展望

  • Powertrain 中國銷量預測
  • 中國-按動力總成和車型劃分的銷量分佈
  • 中國-技術發展路線圖
  • 中國-排放標準展望
  • 輕度混合動力汽車 (mHEV):2021 年銷量將繼續增長
  • 全混合動力汽車:2021 年的新法規將使混合動力汽車也能在中國上市。
  • 電動汽車 (EV):推出經濟實惠的電動汽車以繼續促進銷售
  • 中國-動力總成市場概況

韓國:動力總成市場展望

  • 韓國-新登記乘用車數量變化(2020年)
  • 韓國-動力總成銷售(2020 年)
  • 輕度混合動力車:短期增長依賴於歐洲原始設備製造商
  • 全混合動力汽車:連續7年保持增長
  • 電動汽車 (EV):通過稅收優惠促進市場推廣
  • 韓國-動力總成市場概況及主要影響因素

日本:動力總成市場展望

  • 日本-新登記乘用車數量變化(2020年)
  • 日本——動力總成概況及影響因素
  • 輕度混合動力車:不到 0.5% 的利基市場
  • 全混合動力汽車:份額達到 23.3%,第四季度有所回升
  • 電動汽車 (EV):市場連續第三年下滑
  • 日本--相關法律法規概述

印度:動力總成市場展望

  • 印度 - 新乘用車註冊的變化(2020 年)
  • 印度-OEM銷售業績和市場份額
  • 印度-按動力總成單獨出售
  • OEM 提供的印度-汽油/柴油方程式
  • 印度-按細分市場銷售/份額
  • 輕度混合動力汽車:12V 系統增長
  • 全混合動力:市場規模仍然很小
  • 電動汽車 (EV):促進電動汽車發展的法規和政策的積極影響
  • CAFE 法規:推動動力總成電氣化的目標(2022 年)
  • 印度汽車市場概況

東盟國家(印度尼西亞、馬來西亞、泰國):動力總成市場展望

  • 印度尼西亞——新登記乘用車數量變化(2020年)
  • 印度尼西亞-按細分市場劃分的汽車銷量(2020 年)
  • 泰國-新登記乘用車數量變化(2020年)
  • 馬來西亞-新乘用車註冊的變化(2020 年)
  • 東盟-動力總成市場概覽
  • 輕度混合動力汽車:低成本、低電壓 mHEV 系統的增長
  • 全混合動力汽車:0.2% 的小眾應用
  • 電動汽車 (EV):泰國電動汽車促銷的稅收優惠

動力總成技術前景

  • 技術路線圖:動力總成發展趨勢
  • 燃油經濟性改進:優先領域
  • 區域檢查程序策略
  • 全球乘用車技術採用指數:總結
  • 技術展望:預燃室式
  • 技術展望:SCR(選擇性還原催化劑) "雙投加"
  • 電動增壓:e-compressor/e-turbo
  • OEM 變速箱調整
  • 車輛段對準分析-傳動技術
  • 當前和未來陰極化學的偏好
  • 案例研究:General Motors - Chevy Volt (Glycol Liquid Cooled BTMS)
  • 案例研究:BMW i3 電池設計

區域市場預測 (2021)

增長機會:全球動力總成市場

  • 增長機會 (1):原始設備製造商和供應商之間的合作夥伴關係,以提高燃油效率和減少排放(2021 年)
  • 增長機會 (2):通過電氣化提高燃油效率和減少排放(2021 年)
  • 增長機遇 (3):發動機升壓和小型化以提高燃油經濟性和減少排放(2021 年)

主要結論

附錄

目錄
Product Code: MG04-45

Powertrain Electrification Offers Future Growth Potential through mHEVs, PHEVs, and BEVs, While Diesel Powertrains are Fast Fading From Organizations' Technology Strategy

The global powertrain industry continues to be dominated by internal combustion engines (ICE), specifically, gasoline engines, while diesel engine's share has been falling since the dieselgate scandal. While the share of IC engines operating on alternate fuels has remained constant, vehicle electrification is on the rise.

Irrespective of the type of powertrain, the primary focus is on driving down emissions and improving fuel economy. To this effect, each region has different priorities and methods on lowering emissions, with engine downsizing, alternate fuels, mild hybrids, full hybrids, Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEVs), and battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs), all finding suitors across the globe and a recent addition to the list being Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles (FCEV).

Even in powertrain electrification, the fastest growing trend in the last 5 years is that of mild hybridization, using 48V, 24V, and 12V, which plays a supporting role to conventional ICE. This will continue to be the fastest-growing trend in the short-to-medium term, ahead of electric vehicles (BEVs, FCEVs, and PHEV).

Increasing electrification, however, is not limited to propulsion and is often applied to optimize powertrain subsystems. Engine downsizing, for example, is a key area that directly brings down fuel consumption and emissions, and even here, electrification is making a mark with electrified turbocharger for instant response and increased energy recovery.

In a bid to reduce the dependency on fossil fuels and increase the use of renewable energy, the challenge is often the variable supply of renewable energy and its storage. While battery electric vehicles offer a solution for storing excess energy from the grid and supplying it back when required, the use of synthetic fuels offers another method of renewable-energy storage. This form of energy storage enables the use of existing production, storage, and distribution methods while ensuring carbon-neutral mobility.

All the above ensure that despite the high media and public interest in powertrain electrification, ICE will continue as the leading prime mover for at least a couple of decades.

Table of Contents

Growth Environment

  • Key Highlights of the Global Automotive Powertrain Industry, 2020
  • Global LV Sales by Region in 2020 and 2021-Snapshot
  • Global Powertrain Mix-Sales Snapshot
  • Western Europe-IC Engines Trend: Continued YoY Reduction
  • US-Growth of SUVs, Trucks, and Large Vehicles
  • China-Sales Forecast by Powertrain
  • ICE Outlook-Transition to Zero Emission Zones
  • Regional Strategy for Testing Procedures
  • Technology Outlook-Pre-chamber Combustion
  • Electric Boosting-eCompressor, eTurbo
  • Challenges Faced by the Global Powertrain Industry Due to COVID-19
  • The 2020 Global Automotive Powertrain Market-Actuals Versus Forecast
  • Global Powertrain Industry Historic Sales
  • Key Predictions for 2021

2021 Global Economic Outlook

  • COVID-19 Impact on World GDP Growth
  • Global Growth Scenario Analysis-Assumptions
  • World GDP Growth Under Differing Scenarios
  • COVID-19 Impact on Key Regions

The Strategic Imperative

  • Why Is It Increasingly Difficult to Grow?
  • The Strategic Imperative 8™
  • The Impact of the Top Three Strategic Imperatives on Powertrain Industry
  • Growth Opportunities Fuel the Growth Pipeline Engine™

Growth Environment and Scope-Global Automotive Powertrain Industry

  • Research Scope
  • Vehicle Segmentation
  • Market Segmentation

Europe-Powertrain Outlook

  • Europe-Change in New Vehicle Registrations, 2020
  • Europe-Sales by Powertrain, 2020
  • Europe Top 5 Countries-Passenger Cars Powertrain Trend
  • Western Europe-IC Engines Trend: Continued YoY Reduction
  • Western Europe-Gasoline Trend: Passenger Cars
  • Western Europe-Diesel Trend: Passenger Cars
  • Western Europe-Diesel Trend: Passenger Cars (continued)
  • Mild Hybrid Vehicles-Sales Surge to Continue in 2021
  • Full Hybrid Vehicles-Limited Growth Opportunity
  • EVs-Rapid Growth in 2020 to Meet CO2 Emission Targets
  • Europe-Powertrain Highlights Summary

US-Powertrain Outlook

  • US-Change in New Passenger Car Registrations, 2020
  • US-Growth of SUVs, Trucks, and Large Vehicles
  • US-Continued Increase in the Demand for Pickup Trucks
  • US-Gasoline's Dominance to Continue
  • US-SUV and Commercial Van Diesel Segment Trending in 2020
  • Mild Hybrid Vehicles to Continue to Grow
  • Full Hybrid Vehicles-Third-largest FHEV Market to Continue to Grow
  • EVs-BEVs Outselling PHEVs by 3.5 times
  • US-Powertrain Summary

China-Powertrain Outlook

  • China-Sales Forecast by Powertrain
  • China-Sales Breakdown by Powertrain and Models
  • China-Technology Development Roadmap
  • China-Emission Standards Outlook
  • Mild Hybrid Vehicles-mHEV Sales to Continue to Increase in 2021
  • Full Hybrid Vehicles-New 2021 Regulations Ensure Chinese OEMs Offer Hybrids
  • EVs-Launch of Affordable EVs to Continue to Drive Sales
  • China-Powertrain Outlook

South Korea-PowertrainOutlook

  • South Korea-Change in New Passenger Car Registrations, 2020
  • South Korea-Sales by Powertrain
  • Mild Hybrid Vehicles-Short-term Growth Dependent on European OEMs
  • Full Hybrid Vehicles-Continue to Grow for the 7th Year in a Row
  • EVs-Market Driven by Government Tax Benefits for Sales Promotion
  • South Korea-Powertrain Summary and Trends Impacting Powertrains

Japan-Powertrain Outlook

  • Japan-Change in New Passenger Car Registrations, 2020
  • Japan-Powertrain Summary and Trends Impacting Powertrains
  • Mild Hybrid Vehicles-Niche Market Accounting for Less Than 0.5%
  • Full Hybrid Vehicles-23.3% Market Share With a Recovery in Q4
  • EVs-Market Decline for the 3rd Straight Year
  • Japan-Legislation Summary

India-Powertrain Outlook

  • India-Change in New Passenger Car Registrations, 2020
  • India-OEM Sales Performance and Market Share
  • India-Sales by Powertrain
  • India-Gasoline-Diesel Equation by OEM
  • India-Segment-wise Sales and Share
  • Mild Hybrid Vehicles-12V Systems to Grow
  • Full Hybrid Vehicles-Continue to be a Scarce Commodity
  • EVs-Regulations and Policies to Promote EVs Having a Positive Impact
  • CAFE Regulations-2022 Target to Promote Powertrain Electrification
  • Indian Automotive Market Summary

ASEAN Countries-Powertrain Outlook Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand

  • Indonesia-Change in New Passenger Car Registrations, 2020
  • Indonesia-2020 Vehicle Sales by Segment
  • Thailand-Change in New Passenger Car Registrations, 2020
  • Malaysia-Change in New Passenger Car Registrations, 2020
  • ASEAN-Powertrain Summary
  • Mild Hybrid Vehicles-Growth From Low-cost, Low-voltage mHEV Systems
  • Full Hybrid Vehicles-Niche Applications Account for 0.2%
  • EVs-Tax Benefits to Promote EV Sales in Thailand

Powertrain Technology Outlook

  • Technology Roadmap: Powertrain Development Trends
  • Fuel Economy Improvement: Focus Areas
  • Regional Strategy for Testing Procedures
  • Global Passenger Car Technology Adoption Indices-Summary
  • Technology Outlook-Pre-chamber Combustion
  • Technology Outlook-SCR Twin Dosing
  • Electric Boosting-eCompressor, eTurbo
  • OEM Transmission Alignment
  • Vehicle Segment Alignment Analysis-Transmission Technologies
  • Current and Future Preferences in Cathode Chemistries
  • Case Study-General Motors: Chevy Volt (Glycol Liquid cooled BTMS)
  • Case Study-BMW i3 Battery Design

Regional Predictions 2021

  • Key Predictions for 2021

Growth Opportunity Universe-Global Powertrain Market

  • Growth Opportunity 1: OEM-Supplier Partnerships for Improving Fuel Economy and Reducing Emissions, 2021
  • Growth Opportunity 1: OEM-Supplier Partnerships for Improving Fuel Economy and Reducing Emissions, 2021 (continued)
  • Growth Opportunity 2: Electrification for Improving Fuel Economy and Reducing Emissions, 2021
  • Growth Opportunity 2: Electrification for Improving Fuel Economy and Reducing Emissions, 2021 (continued)
  • Growth Opportunity 3: Engine Boosting and Downsizing for Improving Fuel Economy and Reducing Emissions, 2021
  • Growth Opportunity 3: Engine Boosting and Downsizing for Improving Fuel Economy and Reducing Emissions, 2021 (continued)

Key Conclusions

  • Key Highlights of the Global Automotive Powertrain Industry, 2020
  • List of Exhibits
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • Legal Disclaimer

Appendix

  • Abbreviations And Acronyms Used
  • Learn More-Next Steps