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市場調查報告書

全球石油、天然氣開採及生產市場預測

World Drilling & Production Market Forecast 2018-2024 Q2

出版商 Douglas-Westwood 商品編碼 296687
出版日期 內容資訊 英文
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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全球石油、天然氣開採及生產市場預測 World Drilling & Production Market Forecast 2018-2024 Q2
出版日期: 2018年05月03日 內容資訊: 英文
簡介

本報告以全球各地區的主要國家陸上及海上石油和天然氣的開採和生產活動為焦點,提供過去,現在,未來的動向,各國的詳細的情形和明確全球市場整體動向的,以及未來預測,每季更新的年度契約型資訊服務的選項。

第1章 與全球開採生產

  • 主要題目
  • 主要15油田
  • 不穩定的原油供給
  • 調查手法
  • 全球生產與開採
  • 全球石油、天然氣的生產
  • 在陸上的生產與開採
  • 在陸上的生產與開採:石油
  • 在陸上的生產與開採:天然氣
  • 在海上的生產與開採
  • 在海上的生產與開採:淺海
  • 在海上的生產與開採:深海

第2章 非洲

  • 非洲概況
  • 阿爾及利亞
  • 查德
  • 埃及
  • 赤道幾內亞
  • 加彭
  • 迦納
  • 利比亞
  • 茅利塔尼亞
  • 莫三比克
  • 奈及利亞
  • 剛果共和國
  • 蘇丹、南蘇丹
  • 坦尚尼亞
  • 烏干達

第3章 亞洲

  • 亞洲概況
  • 孟加拉
  • 汶萊
  • 柬埔寨
  • 中國
  • 印度
  • 印尼
  • 馬來西亞
  • 緬甸
  • 巴基斯坦
  • 泰國
  • 越南

第4章 澳大拉西亞

  • 澳大拉西亞概況
  • 澳洲
  • 紐西蘭
  • 巴布亞紐幾內亞

第5章 東歐和舊蘇聯各國

  • 東歐和舊蘇聯各國概況
  • 亞塞拜然
  • 哈薩克
  • 波蘭
  • 羅馬尼亞
  • 俄羅斯
  • 土庫曼
  • 烏克蘭
  • 烏茲別克

第6章 南美

  • 南美概況
  • 阿根廷
  • 玻利維亞
  • 巴西
  • 哥倫比亞
  • 厄瓜多
  • 福克蘭群島
  • 蓋亞那共和國
  • 墨西哥
  • 秘魯
  • 千里達及托巴哥共和國
  • 委內瑞拉

第7章 中東

  • 中東概況
  • 巴林
  • 伊朗
  • 伊拉克
  • 以色列
  • 科威特
  • 阿曼
  • 卡達
  • 沙烏地阿拉伯
  • 敘利亞
  • 土耳其
  • 阿拉伯聯合大公國 (UAE)
  • 葉門

第8章 北美

  • 北美概況
  • 加拿大
  • 美國

第9章 西歐

  • 西歐概況
  • 阿爾巴尼亞
  • 丹麥
  • 德國
  • 愛爾蘭
  • 義大利
  • 荷蘭
  • 挪威
  • 英國

第10章 附錄

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目錄

Based on detailed models, the report examines each country in turn and includes a summary of hydrocarbon potential and sensitised production outlook, with associated development drilling requirements segmented into oil & gas for the onshore sector and shallow vs. deep water depths for the offshore sector. Country-by-country exploration and appraisal (E&A) drilling forecasts for both the onshore and offshore sectors are also detailed.

World Drilling and Production Market Forecast - Strong OPEC compliance and Venezuelan Outages Offsetting Resurgent US Production

OPECs output reduction plan, extended to the end of 2018, has had the desired effect on the market, with oil prices rising strongly from 2016 lows. However, two key supply side questions remain: what happens when the OPEC cuts end, and how will a sharp uptick in US production impact the market? The latest edition of Westwood's World Drilling & Production Market Forecast, built by Westwood's OFS analysts based on detailed project data and proprietary models, seeks to answer these questions, among others.

Key Conclusions Include:

  • Westwood expects global development drilling activity to increase 6% in 2018 and continue growing at a 3% CAGR to 2024. Higher levels of activity this year will be driven by US onshore recovery whilst weaker drilling activity in Russia and China towards the end of the forecast period drives the lower global growth rate overall.
  • OPEC compliance is expected to remain high through 2018 - leading to a global net undersupply of 1.3 mmbbl/d.
  • The economic and political crisis in Venezuela has led to a drastic reduction in oil production, which fell 26% (519 kbbl/d) in 15 months. Decline is expected to continue without a significant shift in political and economic conditions.
  • Onshore production in the USA has ramped up with rising oil prices, increasing by 430 kbbl/d in 2017. Based on current visibility of activity levels and initial production (‘IP') data from new well completion activity, further growth of circa 950kbbl/d is expected in 2018. This is a conservative outlook when compared to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) outlook, however, we recognise that there is potential for upside on these volumes if IP rates improve further.
  • Gas production will grow at a rate of 10% over the forecast, compared to 6% growth for oil, as E&P companies continue to develop major conventional and unconventional resources worldwide. Substantial volumes of associated gas production is expected in North America which will support world-class LNG export projects.
  • Over the forecast, oil production in Brazil is expected to increase 18% (0.5 mmbbl/d) as pre-salt developments, such as Libra, continue to come onstream.
  • Deepwater oil & gas will grow and diversify, with production from outside the traditional ‘Golden Triangle' increasing from 19% of deepwater production in 2018 to 36% by 2024.

This quarter's edition of the World Drilling & Production Market Forecast has found that almost half of the impacts of a co-ordinated OPEC and Non-OPEC production cut will be negated by sharp increases in US onshore production this year - the result of rising IP rates and continued high levels of completion activity across key basins. A key driver in lower OPEC oil production - far beyond the mandated amount - is the collapse in production from OPEC member Venezuela which since the beginning of 2017 has helped reduce oil supply beyond what was expected. Longer-term, however, the return of uncapped OPEC production, as well as continued growth in the US onshore sector, could see oversupply return in the early 2020s, with a possible 0.3 mmbbl/d net additions to global storage in 2020 and 2021 (based on current visible development plans).

This report, includes data and analysis for 70 of the most important energy producing countries, including detailed drilling and production data for each country covering the period 2008-2024.

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