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市場調查報告書

中歐、東歐的固定服務:2018年∼2023年的趨勢與預測

Fixed Services in Central and Eastern Europe: Trends and Forecasts 2018-2023

出版商 Analysys Mason 商品編碼 346268
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 11 Slides
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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中歐、東歐的固定服務:2018年∼2023年的趨勢與預測 Fixed Services in Central and Eastern Europe: Trends and Forecasts 2018-2023
出版日期: 2018年11月27日 內容資訊: 英文 11 Slides
簡介

本報告提供中歐、東歐的固定通訊服務市場相關調查分析,5年預測,加上趨勢,促進因素,預測的前提條件,業者策略概要,各國專題等系統性資訊。

摘要整理

全球趨勢

  • 世界:固定業務收益持續增加

地區趨勢

  • 固定寬頻用戶普及率比較低,不過存在連線數和收益成長可能性
  • 固定服務:由於纖維的引進,次世代接取 (NGA)的採用增加
  • 寬頻:多虧經濟的穩定發展和NGA的增資,全部國家的家庭寬頻連線數增多
  • 寬頻:大部分的國家競爭激烈,不過,由於商品搭售的增加,ASPU長期性穩定
  • 固定服務:由於固定行動的一體型配套和速度的高速化,業者能維持收益成長

各國的趨勢

  • 捷克:固定寬頻的基本設備的投資,促進固定收益
  • 波蘭:業者開始NGA網路和關注涵蓋範圍
  • 俄羅斯:由於業者的M&A,固定市場競爭激烈
  • 土耳其:即使通貨膨脹影響收益趨勢,業者透過對固定、行動、收費電視服務的增資促進收益成長

預測手法與前提條件

關於著者和Analysys Mason

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目錄

"Investments in next-generation infrastructure in Central and Eastern Europe, as well as the expansion of network coverage in the region, will drive fixed broadband revenue during the forecast period."

We estimate that fixed broadband and IPTV revenue will increase by EUR1.1 billion in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) by 2023, driven by large-scale next-generation access (NGA) roll-outs. In this report, we examine key trends and drivers and provide comprehensive fixed telecoms market forecast for the CEE region and for 14 individually modelled countries.

This report provides:

  • a 5-year forecast of 110 fixed KPIs for the Central and Eastern European region and for 14 key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of fixed service, and for key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, which highlights similarities and differences between countries
  • a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for fixed operators.

GEOGRAPHICAL COVERAGE

Countries modelled individuallyDetailed country commentary
  • Bulgaria
  • Croatia
  • Czech Republic
  • Estonia
  • Hungary
  • Latvia
  • Lithuania
  • Poland
  • Romania
  • Russia
  • Slovakia
  • Slovenia
  • Turkey
  • Ukraine
  • Czech Republic
  • Poland
  • Russia
  • Turkey

DATA COVERAGE

Fixed connections
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
  • Narrowband voice, VoBB
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other
Fixed revenue
  • Service, retail
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other
Fixed voice traffic
  • Outgoing minutes, MoU

Table of Contents

  • 5.Executive summary
  • 6.Telecoms fixed revenue will continue to grow during the next few years, driven by revenue growth from fixed network investments
  • 7.Worldwide trends
  • 8.Worldwide: fixed service revenue will continue to increase in the forecast period, reaching USD582 billion in 2023
  • 9.Regional trends
  • 10.The relatively low rate of fixed broadband household penetration means that there is potential for an increased number of connections and revenue growth
  • 11.Fixed services: next generation access (NGA) adoption will increase strongly over the forecast period, led by the roll-out of fibre
  • 12.Broadband: the number of household broadband connections will increase in all countries in CEE thanks to a better economic outlook and more NGA investments
  • 13.Broadband: the broadband segment is highly competitive in most CEE countries, but increased bundling will help to stabilise long-term ASPU
  • 14.Fixed services: fixed-mobile converged bundles and speed upgrades will help operators to maintain revenue growth
  • 15.Country-level trends
  • 16.Czech Republic: investments in fixed broadband infrastructure will drive fixed revenue
  • 17.Poland: operators' key focus will be on NGA network roll-outs and coverage upgrades
  • 18.Russia: operators' mergers and acquisitions of regional players has led to greater fixed market competition
  • 19.Turkey: inflation will distort revenue trends, but strong operator investments in fixed, mobile and pay-TV services will drive revenue growth
  • 20.Forecast methodology and assumptions
  • 21.Our forecast model is supported by sound market knowledge22.Examples of forecast input drivers
  • 23.About the authors and Analysys Mason
  • 24.About the authors
  • 25.About Analysys Mason
  • 26.Research from Analysys Mason
  • 27.Consulting from Analysys Mason

List of figures

  • Figure 1: Telecoms and pay-TV retail revenue by type and total service revenue, Central and Eastern Europe, 2013--2023
  • Figure 2: Fixed service revenue in CEE and worldwide, USD (2017) billion
  • Figure 3: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed broadband ASPU, Central and Eastern Europe, 2013--2023
  • Figure 4: Total fixed and mobile telecoms service revenue, Central and Eastern Europe (EUR billion), 2013--2023
  • Figure 5: Fixed connections by type, Central and Eastern Europe (million), --2023
  • Figure 6: Broadband connections by technology, Central and Eastern Europe (million), 2013--2023
  • Figure 7: Fixed retail revenue by service, Central and Eastern Europe (EUR billion), 2013--2023
  • Figure 8: NGA broadband household penetration and NGA share of broadband connections, Central and Eastern Europe, 2013--2023
  • Figure 9: Fixed Internet traffic per broadband connection, Central and Eastern Europe (GB per month), 2013--2023
  • Figure 10: Fixed broadband household penetration by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2013--2023
  • Figure 11: Fixed broadband household penetration by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2013--2023
  • Figure 12: Fixed broadband access ASPU by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2013--2023
  • Figure 13: Fixed broadband access ASPU by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2013--2023
  • Figure 14: Fixed voice and broadband ASPU, Czech Republic (CZK per month), 2013--2023
  • Figure 15: Broadband connections by technology, Czech Republic (million), 2013--2023
  • Figure 16: Fixed voice and broadband ASPU, Poland (PLN per month), 2013--2023
  • Figure 17: Broadband connections by technology, Poland (million), 2013--2023
  • Figure 18: Fixed voice and broadband ASPU, Russia (RUB per month), 2013--2023
  • Figure 19: Broadband connections by technology, Russia (million), 2013--2023
  • Figure 20: Fixed voice and broadband ASPU, Turkey (TRY per month), 2013--2023
  • Figure 21: Broadband connections by technology, Turkey (million), 2013--2023
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