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市場調查報告書

FTTx代碼覆蓋率與Capex全球市場:2018年∼2025年動態與預測

FTTx Coverage and Capex: Worldwide Trends and Forecasts 2018-2025

出版商 Analysys Mason 商品編碼 339715
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 17 Slides
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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FTTx代碼覆蓋率與Capex全球市場:2018年∼2025年動態與預測 FTTx Coverage and Capex: Worldwide Trends and Forecasts 2018-2025
出版日期: 2019年01月23日內容資訊: 英文 17 Slides
簡介

本報告調查分析了世界FTTx情勢,針對8個地區、64個市場的FTTx與Cable(DOCSIS3.0/3.1)的5年預測、FTTx的Network Rollout的主要動態、促進因素、阻礙因素、Capex的level評價提供系統化資訊。

世界的趨勢

  • 世界的新一代存取(NGA)代碼覆蓋率依然有成長可能
  • FTTx Capex有減少的趨勢
  • 在一部分的新興市場,NGA代碼覆蓋率低於預想
  • NGA代碼覆蓋率的擴大,使印度、印尼、巴西成為領導
  • 新加入FTTP的可能性因地區不同
  • 在許多先進市場,正推動FTTC往FTTP的轉型
  • FTTP的開通成本因市場而有巨大差異
  • 建築種類、法規、影片服務條件等,會影響所有的FTTP開通成本

西歐

  • 西歐:對FTTP投資的高度關心,反映在持續性的高支出

中歐和東歐

  • 中歐和東歐:對NGA基礎設施的投資

中東及非洲

  • 中東及非洲:灣岸地區市場持續對FTTP投資,由埃及領先

在撒哈拉以南非洲

  • 撒哈拉以南非洲:合算感與基礎設施可用性相關課題,限制了FTTP的設立數

亞太地區新興國家

  • 在中國,升級至新一代PON FTTP網路成為常態,固網寬頻速度急速增加
  • 亞太地區新興國家:重要NGA代碼覆蓋率的成長機會

亞太地區先進國家

  • 亞太地區先進國家:對既有光纖裝設的升級益發重要

北美

  • 北美:FTTP只是美國供應商投資的多數技術之一

拉丁美洲

  • 拉丁美洲:巴西大幅增加對FTTP的投資

預測方法和前提條件

關於作者和Analysys Mason

本網頁內容可能與最新版本有所差異。詳細情況請與我們聯繫。

目錄

"There is significant investment occurring in non-incumbent FTTP networks in Western Europe, but this is not mirrored in all developed markets."

The overall wireline next-generation access (NGA) coverage growth will slow in some markets, but there are still significant opportunities for new infrastructure players to spend on FTTx. There is also considerable potential for further investment in fibre in many emerging markets.

This report provides:

  • 7-year forecasts for flavours of FTTx and cable (DOCSIS3.0/3.1) coverage in 8 regions and 64 individual markets
  • analysis of the key trends, drivers and inhibitors of network roll-out of FTTx
  • an assessment of the level of capital expenditure out to 2025.

KEY METRICS:

  • Coverage (premises passed)
  • Capex (split into network and connection)
  • Split by architecture/technology:
    • FTTC/VDSL or G.fast
    • FTTB/VDSL or G.fast
    • FTTB/LAN
    • FTTP (split into incumbent and alternative operator)
    • cable DOCSIS3.0 or 3.1 (note: capex is not provided for cable DOCSIS3.0 or 3.1).

GEOGRAPHICAL COVERAGE:

The report and accompanying data annex provide forecasts for 8 regions and 64 individual countries.

RegionCountries
Western EuropeAustria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, UK.
Central and Eastern EuropeBulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Turkey, Ukraine.
Middle East and North AfricaIsrael, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE.
Sub-Saharan AfricaGhana, Kenya, Nigeria, South Africa.
Emerging Asia-PacificChina, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, Vietnam.
Developed Asia-PacificAustralia, Hong Kong, Japan, New Zealand, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan.
North AmericaCanada, USA.
Latin AmericaArgentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Peru, Uruguay.

Table of Contents

  • 5.Worldwide trends
  • 6.There is still potential for growth in the global NGA coverage; this will be driven by NGA expansion in some emerging markets
  • 7.FTTx capex will follow a downward trend over the forecast period driven by changing regional splits
  • 8.Some emerging markets have lower-than-expected NGA coverage given the average income levels
  • 9.India, Indonesia and Brazil will be leaders in terms of NGA coverage growth over the forecast period
  • 10.The potential for new FTTP entrants differs according to the region
  • 11.There is growing momentum behind FTTC-to-FTTP migration in many developed markets
  • 12.There is a significant variation in FTTP connection costs depending on the market
  • 13.Building types, regulation and video service requirements will all influence FTTP connection costs
  • 14.Western Europe
  • 15.There is strong interest in FTTP investment across Western Europe and this is reflected in continued high spending
  • 16.Central and Eastern Europe
  • 17.Investment in NGA infrastructure in CEE is focused on rural coverage expansion and the win-back strategies of incumbents in urban areas
  • 18.Middle East and North Africa
  • 19.Investment in FTTP will continue in markets in the Gulf region, and Egypt is leading the way for fibre roll-outs in the North African region
  • 20.Sub-Saharan Africa
  • 21.Challenges related to affordability and infrastructure availability will limit the number of FTTP deployments in Sub-Saharan Africa
  • 22.Emerging Asia-Pacific
  • 23.Upgrades to next-generation PON FTTP networks are becoming more commonplace in China and fixed broadband speeds are rapidly increasing
  • 24.There are still opportunities for significant NGA coverage growth in EMAP, particularly in India
  • 25.Developed Asia-Pacific
  • 26.Upgrades to existing fibre deployments are becoming more important in DVAP
  • 27.North America
  • 28.FTTP is merely one of a number of technologies in which US operators are investing
  • 29.LatinAmerica
  • 30.There is significant growth in FTTP investments from incumbents, MNOs and smaller players in Brazil
  • 31.Forecast methodology and assumptions
  • 32.Geographical scope: forecasts are provided for 64 countries in 8 regions
  • 33.Definitions
  • 34.We take baseline costs for each technology and then apply several context-specific variables to determine total capex
  • 35.Top-level breakdown of the relative costs of FTTx technologies: basic topologies
  • 36.About the author and Analysys Mason
  • 37.About the author
  • 38.Analysys Mason's consulting and research are uniquely positioned
  • 39.Research from Analysys Mason
  • 40.Consulting from Analysys Mason

List of figures

  • Figure 1: NGA coverage by technology, worldwide, 2014--2025
  • Figure 2: FTTx capex, by worldwide region, 2014--2025
  • Figure 3: NGA coverage at the end of 2018 and GDP per capita (PPP), emerging markets
  • Figure 4: NGA coverage, selected emerging markets, 2018 and 2025
  • Figure 5: Non-incumbent FTTP coverage, selected Western European countries, 2018 and 2025
  • Figure 6: FTTC premises passed coverage by selected market, 2017--2025
  • Figure 7: FTTx connection capex total and as a proportion of total FTTx capex, worldwide, 2018--2025
  • Figure 8: FTTP connection costs by selected operator
  • Figure 9: NGA coverage by technology, Western Europe, 2016--2025
  • Figure 10: FTTx capex by technology, Western Europe, 2016--2025
  • Figure 11: NGA coverage by technology, Central and Eastern Europe, 2016--2025
  • Figure 12: FTTx capex by technology, Central and Eastern Europe, 2016--2025
  • Figure 13: NGA coverage by technology, Middle East and North Africa, 2016--2025
  • Figure 14: FTTx capex by technology, Middle East and North Africa, 2016--2025
  • Figure 15: NGA coverage by technology, Sub-Saharan Africa, 2016--2025
  • Figure 16: FTTx capex by technology, Sub-Saharan Africa, 2016--2025
  • Figure 17: NGA coverage by technology, China, 2016--2025
  • Figure 18: FTTx capex by technology, China, 2016--2025
  • Figure 19: NGA coverage by technology, emerging Asia--Pacific excluding China, 2016--2025
  • Figure 20: FTTx capex by technology, emerging Asia--Pacific excluding China, 2016--2025
  • Figure 21: NGA coverage by technology, developed Asia--Pacific, 2016--2025
  • Figure 22: FTTx capex by technology, developed Asia--Pacific, 2016--2025
  • Figure 23: NGA coverage by technology, North America, 2016--2025
  • Figure 24: FTTx capex by technology, North America, 2016--2025
  • Figure 25: NGA coverage by technology, Latin America, 2016--2025
  • Figure 26: FTTx capex by technology, Latin America, 2016--2025
  • Figure 27: Countries covered in this report, by region
  • Figure 28: Definitions used in this report
  • Figure 29: Capex model outline
  • Figure 30: Basic overview of FTTx network topologies and elements
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