表紙
市場調查報告書

中東、北非的通訊市場:趨勢、預測 2016-2021年

Middle East and North Africa Telecoms Market: Trends and Forecasts 2019-2024

出版商 Analysys Mason 商品編碼 256870
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 43 Slides
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
價格
中東、北非的通訊市場:趨勢、預測 2016-2021年 Middle East and North Africa Telecoms Market: Trends and Forecasts 2019-2024
出版日期: 2019年12月19日內容資訊: 英文 43 Slides
簡介

中東、北非的通訊服務市場,預計從2015年到2021年以1.3%的年複合成長率擴大,達到776億美元的規模。2021年的中東、北非的通訊業務收益的93%預計由行動服務帶來。

本報告提供中東、北非的通訊服務市場相關調查,該地區及主要12個國家的100以上行動/固定KPI的5年預測,各行動、固定服務趨勢,促進要素及預測的前提條件的詳細分析,各國的業者策略的概要,及行動、固定業者的主要的建議等彙整資料。

調查對象

  • 地區
    • 中東、北非
  • 國家
    • 阿爾及利亞
    • 埃及
    • 伊朗
    • 伊拉克
    • 以色列
    • 科威特
    • 摩洛哥
    • 阿曼
    • 卡達
    • 沙烏地阿拉伯
    • 突尼西亞
    • UAE

KPI

  • 連接
  • 行動
    • 終端、行動寬頻、M2M
    • 預付、契約
    • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
    • 智慧型手機、非智慧型手機
  • 固定
    • 語音、寬頻、網路電視、撥接上網
    • 窄頻語音、VoBB
    • DSL、FTTH/B、電纜、BFWA、其他
  • 固定、行動語音流量
    • 發信時間,MoU
  • 收益
  • 行動
    • 服務、零售
    • 預付、契約
    • 終端、行動寬頻、M2M
    • 終端語音、通訊、資料
  • 固定
    • 服務、零售
    • 語音、寬頻、網路電視、撥接上網、BNS
    • DSL、FTTH/B、電纜、BFWA、其他
  • 行動ARPU
    • SIM、終端
    • 預付、契約
    • 終端語音、資料

目錄

摘要整理

地區預測、各國家比較

  • 對象地區
  • 市場背景
  • 收益、ARPU
  • 行動普及率
  • 行動連線
  • 智慧型手機、4G/5G
  • 行動ARPU
  • 固定服務
  • 固定寬頻
  • 主要的促進要素:中東、北非市場

各國的預測

  • 阿爾及利亞
  • 埃及
  • 伊朗
  • 伊拉克
  • 科威特
  • 摩洛哥
  • 阿曼
  • 卡達
  • 沙烏地阿拉伯
  • 突尼西亞
  • UAE

關於著者、Analysys Mason

圖表清單

目錄

"Fixed broadband revenue in the Middle East and North Africa will grow at a CAGR of 4.9% between 2018 and 2024, driven by NGA investments."

The total telecoms service revenue in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) will reach USD65.4 billion in 2024, up from USD62.0 billion in 2018. This report provides an analysis of the current and upcoming trends in the telecoms market in MENA.

This report and associated data annex provide:

  • a 5-year forecast of more than 180 mobile and fixed KPIs for the MENA region as a whole and for 12 key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service, and for key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, in order to highlight similarities and differences by means of a cross-country comparison
  • a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for mobile and fixed operators.

COVERAGE

Geographical coverageKey performance indicators

  Region modelled

  • Middle East and North Africa (MENA)

  Countries modelled individually

  • Algeria
  • Egypt
  • Iran
  • Iraq
  • Israel
  • Kuwait
  • Morocco
  • Oman
  • Qatar
  • Saudi Arabia
  • Tunisia
  • United Arab Emirates (UAE)

  Connections

  Mobile

  • Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
  • Prepaid, contract
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
  • Smartphone, non-smartphone

  Fixed

  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
  • Narrowband voice, VoBB
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, 5G, other

  Fixed and mobile voice traffic

  • Outgoing minutes, MoU

  Revenue

  Mobile

  • Service, retail
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset, mobile broadband, IoT
  • Handset voice, messaging, data

  Fixed

  • Service, retail
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, business services
  • DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other

  Mobile ARPU

  • SIMs, handset
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset voice, data

Table of Contents

  • 8. Executive summary and recommendations
  • 9. The total telecoms service revenue in MENA will grow at a CAGR of 1% between 2018 and 2024, and will reach USD69.3 billion in 2024
  • 10. The total telecoms retail revenue will grow at a moderate rate in MENA, driven mainly by fixed and mobile data services
  • 11. Geographical coverage: 4G/5G and NGA penetration will vary widely by country; Israel and countries in the GCC will have the highest levels of penetration
  • 12. Key trends, drivers and assumptions for the mobile and fixed markets
  • 13. Regional forecasts and cross-country comparison
  • 14. Market context: the telecoms revenue share of GDP will decline over the forecast period due to a gradual increase in competition in the market
  • 15. Key mergers, acquisitions and market entries
  • 16. Key drivers at a glance for each Middle East and North Africa market
  • 17. Market overview: the total telecoms revenue in MENA will grow over time, driven by revenue growth from data services in the fixed and the mobile segments
  • 18. Mobile: 5G has been launched in several countries, but the number of 5G connections will only grow slowly during the forecast period
  • 19. Mobile: mobile penetration will fall slightly during the forecast period, mainly because of a decline in the number of prepaid subscribers
  • 20. Mobile: ARPU will be highly dependent on GDP per capita, competition levels and the penetration of data services
  • 21. Mobile: the strong demand for handset data will help to offset the decline in mobile broadband and mobile voice revenue
  • 22. Fixed: the NGA share of fixed broadband connections will grow over time due to investments in VDSL and FTTP/B services
  • 23. Fixed: broadband penetration will increase in all countries in MENA, but the gap in penetration between the most-and least-penetrated countries will grow
  • 24. Fixed: fixed broadband ASPU will decline slightly because operators will lower their prices to drive service adoption
  • 25. Fixed: broadband penetration growth will be the main driver of revenue growth in the fixed segment
  • 26. Specialist business services: revenue growth will be fuelled by increased spending on mobile data and a growing demand for high-bandwidth dedicated connections
  • 27. IoT: the IoT sector is developing in Israel and the countries in the GCC, but it will remain relatively underdeveloped in the rest of the region
  • 28. Pay TV: revenue for traditional pay-TV and operator-delivered OTT services will continue to grow in MENA
  • 29. Individual country forecasts
  • 30. Egypt: telecoms revenue is expected to grow rapidly during the forecast period, though some of this growth will be due to inflation
  • 31. Egypt: VDSL will be the dominant fixed broadband technology in 2024, supported by the growing demand for high-speed connectivity services
  • 32. Egypt: strong investments in fixed and mobile services will lead to considerable telecoms revenue growth
  • 33. Egypt: forecast changes
  • 34. Kuwait: investments in fixed infrastructure and 5G should provide a basis for future growth in broadband take-up and revenue
  • 35. Kuwait: mobile ARPU will fall over time despite a slight increase in the contract share of connections and the introduction of MVNOs in 2020
  • 36. Kuwait: the vast majority of operators' telecoms revenue will continue to come from mobile handsets and mobile broadband services
  • 37. Kuwait: forecast changes
  • 38. Oman: the total telecoms revenue will return to growth in 2020, despite an increase in competition caused by the entrance of a third MNO
  • 39. Oman: operators will increasingly focus on monetising their NGA investments and driving service take-up as network penetration increases
  • 40. Oman: a new entrant will increase the competition in the mobile market, and the fixed broadband segment will benefit from NGA network roll-outs
  • 41. Oman: forecast changes
  • 42. Qatar: the overall revenue outlook remains positive, thanks to fixed broadband and mobile handset data revenue growth
  • 43. Qatar: fibre will account for virtually all fixed broadband connections in the country by 2024
  • 44. Qatar: the demand for high-speed connectivity will drive both fixed broadband and mobile data revenue growth
  • 45. Qatar: forecast changes
  • 46. Saudi Arabia: telecoms revenue is expected to grow thanks to strong demand from the mobile segment
  • 47. Saudi Arabia: the number of mobile 5G and FTTP/B fixed broadband connections will grow rapidly, supported by investments
  • 48. Saudi Arabia: mobile service revenue will be boosted by the launch of 5G technology
  • 49. Saudi Arabia: forecast changes
  • 50. UAE: the SIM registration regulation and slow population growth led to a fall in mobile revenue, but we expect that the total revenue will grow modestly
  • 51. UAE: operators' 5G investments and extensive fibre coverage will help to drive steady demand for fixed and mobile data services
  • 52. UAE: the demand for high-speed broadband services will be the main driver of telecoms revenue growth between 2018 and 2024
  • 53. UAE: forecast changes
  • 54. Methodology
  • 55. Our forecast model is supported by sound market knowledge
  • 56. Examples of forecast input drivers
  • 57. Key drivers at a glance table: methodology [1]
  • 58. Key drivers at a glance table: methodology [2]
  • 59. About the authors and Analysys Mason
  • 60. About the authors
  • 61. Analysys Mason's consulting and research are uniquely positioned
  • 62. Research from Analysys Mason
  • 63. Consulting from Analysys Mason

List of Figures

  • Figure 1: Telecoms and pay-TV retail revenue by type and total service revenue, Middle East and North Africa, 2014--2024
  • Figure 2: Growth in telecoms retail revenue and nominal GDP by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2018--2024
  • Figure 3: 4G/5G share of mobile connections and NGA share of fixed broadband connections by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2018 and 2024
  • Figure 4: Summary of key trends, drivers and assumptions for Middle East and North Africa
  • Figure 5: Metrics for the 12 countries modelled individually in the Middle East and North Africa, 2018
  • Figure 6: Recent and upcoming market structure changes in the Middle East and North Africa
  • Figure 7: Major forecast drivers: current situation (2018) and future trajectory (2019--2024), by country, Middle East and North Africa
  • Figure 8: Total fixed and mobile telecoms service revenue, Middle East and North Africa (USD billion), 2014--2024
  • Figure 9: Mobile connections by type, Middle East and North Africa (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 10: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rate by service type, Middle East and North Africa, 2014--2024
  • Figure 11: Fixed connections by type, Middle East and North Africa (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 12: Mobile connections by generation, Middle East and North Africa (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 13: Mobile ARPU by type, Middle East and North Africa (USD per month), 2014--2024
  • Figure 14: Contract share of mobile connections (excluding IoT), Middle East and North Africa, 2014--2024
  • Figure 15: Mobile data traffic per connection, Middle East and North Africa (GB per month), 2014--2024
  • Figure 16a: Mobile penetration by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2014--2024
  • Figure 16b: Mobile penetration by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2014--2024
  • Figure 17a: Mobile ARPU by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2014--2024
  • Figure 17b: Mobile ARPU by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2014--2024
  • Figure 18: Broadband connections by technology, Middle East and North Africa (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 19: Fixed retail revenue by service, Middle East and North Africa (USD billion), 2014--2024
  • Figure 20: NGA broadband household penetration and NGA share of broadband connections, Middle East and North Africa, 2014--2024
  • Figure 21: Fixed internet traffic per broadband connection, Middle East and North Africa (GB per month), 2014--2024
  • Figure 22a: Fixed broadband household penetration by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2014--2024
  • Figure 22b: Fixed broadband household penetration by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2014--2024
  • Figure 23a: Fixed broadband access ASPU by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2014--2024
  • Figure 23b: Fixed broadband access ASPU by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2014--2024
  • Figure 24: Total market revenue from specialist business services, Middle East and North Africa, 2014--2024
  • Figure 25: Total IoT value chain revenue by sector, Middle East and North Africa, 2014--2024
  • Figure 26: Retail revenue from pay TV, Middle East and North Africa, 2014--2024
  • Figure 27: Total fixed and mobile telecoms service revenue, Egypt (EGP billion), 2014--2024
  • Figure 28: Mobile connections by type, Egypt (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 29: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rate by service type, Egypt, 2014--2024
  • Figure 30: Fixed connections by type, Egypt (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 31: 4G, 5G and contract share of mobile connections, Egypt, 2014--2024
  • Figure 32: Mobile ARPU, fixed voice ASPU and fixed broadband ASPU, Egypt (EGP per month), 2014--2024
  • Figure 33: Mobile data traffic per connection, Egypt (GB per month), 2014--2024
  • Figure 34: Broadband connections by technology, Egypt (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 35: Total telecoms service revenue --current and previous forecasts, Egypt, 2014--2024
  • Figure 36: Total fixed and mobile telecoms service revenue, Kuwait (KWD million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 37: Mobile connections by type, Kuwait (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 38: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rate by service type, Kuwait, 2014--2024
  • Figure 39: Fixed connections by type, Kuwait (thousand), 2014--2024
  • Figure 40: 4G, 5G and contract share of mobile connections, Kuwait, 2014--2024
  • Figure 41: Mobile ARPU, fixed voice ASPU and fixed broadband ASPU, Kuwait (KWD per month), 2014--2024
  • Figure 42: Mobile data traffic per connection, Kuwait (GB per month), 2014--2024
  • Figure 43: Broadband connections by technology, Kuwait (thousand), 2014--2024
  • Figure 44: Total telecoms service revenue --current and previous forecasts, Kuwait, 2014--2024
  • Figure 45: Total fixed and mobile telecoms service revenue, Oman (OMR million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 46: Mobile connections by type, Oman (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 47: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rate by service type, Oman, 2014--2024
  • Figure 48: Fixed connections by type, Oman (thousand), 2014--2024
  • Figure 49: 4G, 5G and contract share of mobile connections, Oman, 2014--2024
  • Figure 50: Mobile ARPU, fixed voice ASPU and fixed broadband ASPU, Oman (OMR per month), 2014--2024
  • Figure 51: Mobile data traffic per connection, Oman (GB per month), 2014--2024
  • Figure 52: Broadband connections by technology, Oman (thousand), 2014--2024
  • Figure 53: Total telecoms service revenue --current and previous forecasts, Oman, 2014--2024
  • Figure 54: Total fixed and mobile telecoms service revenue, Qatar (QAR billion), 2014--2024
  • Figure 55: Mobile connections by type, Qatar (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 56: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rate by service type, Qatar, 2014--2024
  • Figure 57: Fixed connections by type, Qatar (thousand), 2014--2024
  • Figure 58: 4G, 5G and contract share of mobile connections, Qatar, 2014--2024
  • Figure 59: Mobile ARPU, fixed voice ASPU and fixed broadband ASPU, Qatar (QAR per month), 2014--2024
  • Figure 60: Mobile data traffic per connection, Qatar (GB per month), 2014--2024
  • Figure 61: Broadband connections by technology, Qatar (thousand), 2014--2024
  • Figure 62: Total telecoms service revenue --current and previous forecasts, Qatar, 2014--2024
  • Figure 63: Total fixed and mobile telecoms service revenue, Saudi Arabia (SAR billion), 2014--2024
  • Figure 64: Mobile connections by type, Saudi Arabia (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 65: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rate by service type, Saudi Arabia, 2014--2024
  • Figure 66: Fixed connections by type, Saudi Arabia (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 67: 4G, 5G and contract share of mobile connections, Saudi Arabia, 2014--2024
  • Figure 68: Mobile ARPU, fixed voice ASPU and fixed broadband ASPU, Saudi Arabia (SAR per month), 2014--2024
  • Figure 69: Mobile data traffic per connection, Saudi Arabia (GB per month), 2014--2024
  • Figure 70: Broadband connections by technology, Saudi Arabia (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 71: Total telecoms service revenue --current and previous forecasts, Saudi Arabia, 2014--2024
  • Figure 72: Total fixed and mobile telecoms service revenue, UAE (AED billion), 2014--2024
  • Figure 73: Mobile connections by type, UAE (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 74: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rate by service type, UAE, 2014--2024
  • Figure 75: Fixed connections by type, UAE (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 76: 4G, 5G and contract share of mobile connections, UAE, 2014--2024
  • Figure 77: Mobile ARPU, fixed voice ASPU and fixed broadband ASPU, UAE (AED per month), 2014--2024
  • Figure 78: Mobile data traffic per connection, UAE (GB per month), 2014--2024
  • Figure 79: Broadband connections by technology, UAE (million), 2014--2024
  • Figure 80: Total telecoms service revenue --current and previous forecasts, UAE, 2014--2024
  • Figure 81a: Methodology for attributing scores to each element in the key drivers table (current and future) and impact of high scores
  • Figure 81b: Methodology for attributing scores to each element in the key drivers table (current and future) and impact of high scores