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表紙
年間契約型資訊服務

世界能源市場預測

Global Energy Forecasts: EnerFuture

出版商 ENERDATA 商品編碼 204521
出版日期 年間契約型資訊服務 內容資訊 英文
價格
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世界能源市場預測 Global Energy Forecasts: EnerFuture
出版日期: 年間契約型資訊服務內容資訊: 英文
簡介

此在線數據庫使用 Enerdata 的獨特專業知識和世界聞名的POLES模型來提供到2050年的全球能源預測。該服務提供了有關國家和地區各級能源需求,電力生產,價格,能源和行業溫室氣體排放的未來的清晰見解。

為什麼要訂閱此服務

  • 到2050年的年度能源需求,價格和排放預測
  • 截至2018年的歷史數據-最新可用數據
  • 所有能源的詳細預測
  • 石油,天然氣和煤炭國際價格演變的洞察力分析
  • 按行業劃分的市場前景
  • 按全球規模,地區和國家進行的能源市場評估
  • 三種截然不同的能源與氣候變化情景
  • 考慮區域平衡的一致的全球市場預測
  • 交互式且用戶友好的界面

此服務的主要特徵和功能

  • 覆蓋全球超過65個國家和地區
  • 截至2018年的年度數據
  • 到2050年全球能源市場的年度預測
  • 石油,天然氣和煤炭國際價格的演變分析
  • 按行業和能源分類的需求/價格預測
  • 最終能源需求中電氣化進度的指標
  • 按行業預測的溫室氣體排放量
  • 每個國家的概況和排名
  • 每5年預測一次電力混合(發電量/技術發電量)
  • 三個詳細的方案顯示了對技術發展,低碳能源和化石燃料供應的不同看法
  • 需求,CO2,REN指標
  • 促進宏觀經濟的因素分析
  • .csv格式的數據導出功能,用於與您自己的數據庫或模型集成

輸出數據

  • 能源/溫室氣體排放趨勢:石油,天然氣,煤炭,電力,生物質,溫室氣體排放
  • 需求趨勢:總需求,部門需求和最終能源需求中電氣化進度的指標
  • 發電狀態:按能源類型劃分的發電和發電能力:化石能源,核能,自然能(風能,太陽能等)
  • 部門數據:發電,工業,運輸,住房/服務/農業
  • 價格信息:國際能源價格

POLES模型

長期能源系統的觀點

POLES 模型是國際認可的技術和經濟模型。每年進行一次模擬,對能源□□價格進行內生預測。它提供了大量能源矢量,相關技術和溫室氣體排放的能源供應/需求的完整統計信息,從而可以對可能的碳約束水平,能源或技術假設進行自定義和建模。我會。

目錄

Global, Regional & Country-level Energy and Emissions

Forecasts through 2050 - Including Non-OECD Countries

Based on the globally recognised POLES Model, EnerFuture is used by energy companies, consultancies & governments for strategic planning and policy evaluation.

EnerFuture provides annual projections through 2050, offering clear insight into future energy demand, prices and GHG emissions by energy source or by sector, at the country and regional levels.

EnerFuture brings a consistent set of data on the factors that will impact and shape the future of energy, including energy markets, macro-economy, and long-term climate policies.

Use EnerFuture to anticipate evolutions in your environment and build the appropriate business strategies.

Why Subscribe?

  • Annual energy demand, prices & emissions projections through 2050
  • Historical data through 2018 - the latest available figures
  • Detailed projections for all energy sources
  • Insightful analyses of the evolution of international oil, gas and coal prices
  • Forecasts categorized by sector
  • Global, regional or country views
  • Three contrasted energy and climate scenarios
  • Consistency in global forecasts by means of regional balances
  • Interactive, user-friendly interface
  • Annual data and scenario updates

Features Overview:

  • Global coverage (65+ countries/aggregates)
  • Annual historical data through 2018
  • Annual projections of the global energy market through 2050
  • Analysis of the evolution of international oil, gas and coal prices
  • Demand and price forecasts by sector and energy source
  • Indicator on the degree of electrification of the final energy demand
  • GHG emissions forecasts by sector
  • Country snapshots and ranking
  • Power mix forecasts (capacities and production by technology) in five-year steps
  • Three detailed scenarios offering contrasting views on technology development, low-carbon energy sources and fossil fuel supply
  • Demand, CO2 and REN indicators
  • Macroeconomic drivers
  • Data export in .csv format to integrate with your own databases and models

EnerFuture Scenarios

Updated annually to take into account recent events.

Ener-Base

  • Lack of support for GHG emission mitigation, affecting the entire energy system over a long period.
  • Energy demand increases globally, driven by economic and population growth.
  • Technological advances and fuel diversification (namely a moderate renewable expansion) slightly curtail the impact on emissions.
  • +5°C to +6°C temp. increase

Ener-Blue

  • Based on the successful achievement of the 2030 NDCs announced in the 2015 Paris agreement and since revised.
  • Sustained growth in emerging countries is a powerful driver of global energy demand, but NDCs play a key role in controlling the pace of growth.
  • +3°C to +4°C temp. increase

Ener-Green

  • More stringent climate policies than currently in place
  • Countries fulfil NDCs and regularly revise emissions goals
  • Ambitious climate trajectories specific to each region, built using a new methodology incorporate effort-sharing regulations.
  • Significant improvements in energy efficiency & renewables
  • +2°C temp. increase

Outputs:

  • Energies/Emissions: oil, gas, coal, electricity, biomass and GHG emissions (6 Kyoto gases)
  • Demand: Total demand and demand by sector. Indicator on the degree of electrification of the final energy demand
  • Power: Production and capacities by energy type: fossil energies, nuclear, renewables (wind, solar, etc.)
  • Sector: Power production, industry, transport and residential/services/ agriculture
  • Prices: International energy price

The POLES Model

Prospective Outlook on Long-term Energy Systems

The POLES Model is an internationally recognized techno-economic model. The simulation occurs on a year-to-year basis, with endogenous projection of energy prices. It provides a complete accounting of energy demand/supply of numerous energy vectors, associated technologies and greenhouse gases emissions, and enables the customization and modeling of possible carbon constraints levels, energy resources or technological assumptions.

The POLES Model

Prospective Outlook on Long-term Energy Systems

The POLES Model is an internationally recognized techno-economic model. The simulation occurs on a year-to-year basis, with endogenous projection of energy prices. It provides a complete accounting of energy demand/supply of numerous energy vectors, associated technologies and greenhouse gases emissions, and enables the customization and modeling of possible carbon constraints levels, energy resources or technological assumptions.

Features of POLES

  • Disaggregation into 15 energy demand sectors
  • Energy supply: Identification of key market suppliers for oil and gas
  • Oil and gas sectors: Discoveries and reserves for 87 producers
  • International trade: Flows of energy products for oil and natural gas
  • About 40 energy generation technologies:
    • Nearly 30 power generation technologies (incl. conventional, new and renewable)
    • More than 10 hydrogen production technologies
  • GHG Emissions and Abatement Costs (by region, country & sector; sub-sector decomposition for CO2)
  • Assessment of the impacts of climate change policies on energy systems
  • Endogenous international energy prices and markets

Optional Module: Marginal Abatement Cost Curves (MACCs)

Our supplementary module, GHG Marginal Abatement Cost Curves (MACCs) , reveals the potential for emissions reductions across economic sectors, and respective costs to reach targets.

Geographic Coverage:

65+ countries and aggregates.

EUROPE

  • Austria
  • Belgium
  • Bulgaria
  • Croatia
  • Czech Republic
  • Denmark
  • Finland
  • France
  • Germany
  • Greece
  • Hungary
  • Ireland
  • Italy
  • The Netherlands
  • Norway
  • Poland
  • Portugal
  • Romania
  • Slovakia
  • Slovenia
  • Spain
  • Sweden
  • Switzerland
  • Turkey
  • United Kingdom
  • Baltic States*

Europe aggregates

  • Europe
  • European Union*
  • Baltic States(Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania)

AMERICAS

  • Canada
  • United States
  • Mexico
  • Brazil
  • Argentina
  • Chile

Amecias aggregates

    North America
  • Latin America
  • Central America*, Mexico* and the Caribbean*
  • Central America* and Caribbean*
  • South America excluding Brazil, Argentina, and Chile(Includes Colombia, Venezuela, Ecuador, Peru, Bolibia, Suriname, Guyana, Paraguay, Uruguay)*

ASIA

  • India
  • China
  • Indonesia
  • Japan
  • South Korea
  • Malaysia
  • Thailand
  • Vietnam

Asia aggregates*

  • Aia
  • South Asia(excluding India)
  • Rest of Southeast Asia

PACIFIC

  • Australia
  • Pacific (aggregate)
  • OECD Asia and Pacific(aggregate)

CIS

  • Russia
  • Ukraine

CIS aggregates *

  • CIS
  • Other CIS (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan)

AFRICA

  • Algeria-Libya*
  • Egypt*
  • Morocco-Tunisia*
  • South Africa

Africa aggregates

  • Africa
  • Northern Africa
  • Sub-Saharan Africa (excluding South Africa)*

MIDDLE EAST AGGREGATES

  • Middle-East*
  • Gulf Countries*
  • Mediterranean (excl. Gulf countries)*

*Note: Price Forecast unavailable.