LED Lighting Forecast Service
|LED照明市場預測:年度訂閱服務 LED Lighting Forecast Service|
Annual Subscription Plan This annual subscription plan is for clients that want all of the LED related ElectroniCast multiple-client reports for 2015
About ElectroniCast ElectroniCast, founded in 1981, specializes in forecasting technology and global market trends in light emitting diodes (LEDs) used in lighting, as well providing market data on fiber optics communication components and devices.
As an independent consultancy ElectroniCast offers multi-client and custom market research studies to the world's leading companies based on comprehensive, in- depth analysis of quantitative and qualitative factors. This includes technology forecasting, markets and applications forecasting, strategic planning, competitive analysis, customer-satisfaction surveys and marketing/sales consultation. ElectroniCast, founded as a technology-based independent consulting firm, meets the information needs of the investment community, industry planners and related suppliers.
Annual Subscription Plan Description This annual subscription plan is for clients that want all of the ElectroniCast multiple-client reports for 2015. The LED Lighting Forecast Service (LLFS) provides our clients with over 25 reports (sent electronically) over the course of the year. Every month, ElectroniCast releases complete and detailed market forecasts and analysis of selected LED-based lighting products.
ElectroniCast LED Lighting market forecast reports used by leading established and start-up manufacturers, R&D institutes and universities, associations, investment banks & venture capital firms, and other concerns worldwide as an important strategic planning tool for future sales, marketing and manufacturing efforts.
Analyst Inquiry Service: Subscribers are invited to discuss the findings of the market forecasts with the principal analyst of the LED Lighting group at ElectroniCast, via telephone, video web or e-mail Q&A throughout the year.
Monthly Journal: The LLFS includes detailed review and forecast of various LED-based lighting activity around the world. It also provides features of technology developments or new market trends, and sensitivities and key drivers to watch in the near term. The subscription service also includes the LED Lighting Industry Monthly Review, exclusively for LLFS subscribers, which provides overviews and analyst briefs of industry news items of interest.
Information Base for the Market Forecasts
Primary Research The market forecasts studies are based on analysis of information obtained continually over the past several years, but updated to the study release date. During this period, ElectroniCast analysts performed interviews with authoritative and representative individuals in the LED manufacturing (materials, chips, packaging, devices, associated parts/pieces, lamps and fittings/fixtures) and building/facility management, local/provincial and national government policy and management, LEDs, LED Lamps, LED luminaries/fixtures, LED driver IC and micro-controllers, product distributors, retail store management, import/export, and other. The interviews are conducted principally with:
The interviews cover issues of technology, R&D support, pricing, contract size, reliability, documentation, installation/maintenance crafts, standards, supplier competition and other topics. Customers and distributors also are interviewed, to obtain their estimates of quantities received and average prices paid. Customer estimates of historical and expected near term future growth of their application are obtained. Their views of use of new technology products are obtained.
Analysis The analyst then considers customer expectations of near term growth in their application, plus forecasted economic payback of investment, technology trends and changes in government regulations, to derive estimated growth rates of quantity and price of each product subset in each application. These forecasted growth rates are combined with the estimated baseline data to obtain the long-range forecasts at the lowest detailed level of each product and application.
Secondary Research A full review of published information is performed to supplement information obtained through interviews. The following sources are reviewed:
It is essential that the market research team have a good and a deep understanding of the technology and of the industry. ElectroniCast members who participated in this report were qualified.
Bottom-up Methodology ElectroniCast forecasts are developed initially at the lowest detail level and then summed to successively higher levels. The background market research focuses on the amount of each type of product for the particular studied product and used in each application in the previous calendar year, as well as the prices paid at the first transaction from the manufacturer. This forms the base year data. ElectroniCast analysts then forecast the growth rates in component quantity use in each application, along with price trends, based on competitive, economic and technology forecast trends, and apply these to derive long term forecasts at the lowest application levels. The usage growth rate forecasts depend heavily on analysis of overall end user trends toward equipment usage and economic payback.
Cross-Correlation Increases Accuracy The quantities of packaged LEDs, LED Driver ICs, LED materials/wafer/die/chips, LED Lamps and LED fixtures (luminaries) and other LED-based components, manufacturing processes/quality control/yields, and end-use products used in a particular application are interrelated. Since ElectroniCast conducts annual analysis and forecast updates various LED component and devices in the field, accurate current quantity estimates are part of the ElectroniCast Consultants' database. These quantities are cross-correlated as a "sanity check".
ElectroniCast, each year since 2002, has conducted extensive research and updated their forecasts of several LED lighting categories. As technology and applications have advanced, the number of component and device subsets covered by the forecasts has expanded impressively.
The calculation and analysis data spreadsheet technique is based upon input/output analysis, leveraging the quantitative consumption quantity, price and value of each item in each application at all levels to achieve reasonable quantitative conclusions; this interactive analysis concept, first applied on a major scale by Leonteff, of the US Department of Commerce, in the mid 1950s, was then adopted successfully by analyst/forecasting firms Quantum Science, Gnostic Concepts and (in 1981) by ElectroniCast.
All data and other information contained in this data base are proprietary to ElectroniCast and may not be distributed or provided in either original or reproduced form to anyone outside the client's internal employee organization, without prior written permission of ElectroniCast.
ElectroniCast, in addition to multiple-client programs, conducts proprietary custom studies for single clients in all areas of management planning and interest. Other independent consultants, therefore, are considered directly competitive. ElectroniCast proprietary information may not be provided to such consultants without written permission from ElectroniCast Consultants.