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市場調查報告書

用於電力電子的GaN技術:業界以及市場的現狀與預測

Power GaN 2011

出版商 Yole Developpement
出版日期 2010年10月 商品編碼 136222
內容資訊 英文 163 Pages
價格
US $ 5390 PDF by E-mail ( Single User License)
US $ 7990 PDF by E-mail (Corporate Use License)


用於電力電子的GaN技術:業界以及市場的現狀與預測 是由出版商Yole Developpement在2010年10月所出版的。 這份英文市場調查報告書包含163 Pages 價格從美金5390起跳。

簡介

比矽具有更多良好特性的氮化鎵(GaN),從之前就被廣泛利用在以LED為主的光電機器中。而在無線領域也是,取代矽晶體管的GaN裝置從大概10年前開始進行開發,近年其用途也持續朝著低周波數的切換器與電力電子領域擴張。

本報告書介紹對應電力電子用途的GaN裝置之市場,包含電力電子市場現狀與市場劃分、GaN業界現狀、GaN裝置的開發與生產動向、各種電力電子產品的市場等詳細分析,概述如下。

用語集

總綱

電力電子市場概要

  • 電力裝置的定義
  • 電力模組與智慧型電力模組(IPM)的定義
  • 2006∼2015年電力電子的市場規模
  • 各裝置類別的電力電子市場規模
  • 電力裝置市場之2009年銷售量明細與2009∼2012年的各地區資料
  • 價值鍊分析:晶圓、裝置、系統
  • 晶圓(Si+SOI)直徑的變化
  • 市場劃分的定義與内容
  • 電力電子的市場劃分
  • 各電壓範圍的裝置銷售量明細
  • 2015年的電力電子市場

GaN電力電子的市場劃分

  • 電力電子領域中的GaN裝置的用途
  • 各種用途的電力等級
  • 利用GaN之電力變換機能的改善
  • 電力電子領域中GaN裝置的定位
  • 有效市場、成長率、產品投入的時期
  • GaN對SiC的SWOT分析
  • GaN對SiC對Si:性能指數

GaN業界動態

  • 採用GaN的主要電力半導體產品
  • 北美之產業用GaN的供應鏈
  • 歐洲的產業用GaN的供應鏈
  • 亞洲的產業用GaN的供應鏈
  • 歐洲的研究開發程序
  • 前進歐洲的G2REC計畫
  • 富士電機與古河電工的合作
  • 古河電工的Powdec的合作
  • 最新的戰略與選項

GaN電力裝置的開發

  • 現在進行中的GaN電力裝置構想
  • GaN的蕭特基設計的用的方法
  • GaN的蕭特基半導體之理論界限
  • 對基板選定的影響
  • 各公司的的GaN裝置
  • GaN產品的開發行程表

GaN裝置的製造成本分析

  • GaN/Si FET的製造成本明細
  • 200V/12A晶體管的製造單價
  • GaN晶體管的規格與市場價格分析
  • 與矽MOS FET的比較

GaN基板開發的現狀

  • 對應GaN磊晶的各種基板
  • 積體GaN:產品化的前景、製造與研究開發現狀、2007∼2015年的市場價格
  • 技術上的可能性與製造成本
  • 與GaN競爭的技術性風險分析

電力供給與力率補正(PFC)機器市場

  • PFC市場的主要指標
  • GaN的主要付加價値
  • PFC效率的比較(Si、SiC、GaN)
  • 15家主要製造商的動向
  • 加入市場的主要條件
  • Si、SiC、GaN二極體的成本比較

電力車(EV)/混合車(HEV)市場

  • 裝置的種類與出貨狀況
  • 原理與機能性
  • EV、HEV、燃料電池車(FCV)、以及内燃機關(ICE)車的2019年市場佔有率預測
  • 2019年的販售預測
  • GaN裝置的優點
  • 現在使用中的裝置技術
  • 2個重要的電力模組
  • GaN裝置導入產生的改善效果
  • GaN產品的付加價値分析
  • HEV用逆變器模組的成本明細
  • 案例研究:使用矽以及GaN的HEV用逆變器成本分析
  • EV/HEV逆變器市場中GaN裝置的販售前景
  • EV/HEV用的6吋GaN晶圓的出貨量

太陽能面板用逆變器市場

  • 太陽能市場的劃分
  • 2019年為止的太陽能面板安裝基礎與年度需求
  • 逆變器模組的主要條件
  • 太陽能面板設置成本與逆變器成本的明細
  • 住宅用逆變器的一般成本明細
  • 太陽能發電的趨勢
  • 太陽能面板用逆變器市場之GaN裝置

不斷電系統(UPS)市場

  • 全球UPS市場:市場規模、主要使用者、全球消費量
  • UPS產品的市場劃分
  • 2015年為止的全球UPS市場預測
  • 2009∼2015年的UPS用矽裝置以及GaN裝置的市場
  • 2009∼2015年的UPS用途6吋晶圓的需求
  • UPS市場中GaN成功的可能性

AC馬達驅動市場

  • 用途
  • 馬達驅動的歷史
  • 市場的普遍性
  • 2009∼2015年的市場前景
  • 有效市場的規模
  • 市場佔有率
  • AC驅動器的電子構造
  • 2009∼2015年的AC驅動氣用矽裝置以及GaN裝置的市場規模
  • AC馬達驅動用6吋基板的市場規模

結論

  • GaN的有效市場

目錄

Abstract

FROM OPTOELECTRONICS TO POWER ELECTRONICS...

GaN is an already well implanted semiconductor technology, widely diffused in the LED optoelectronics industry. For about 10 years, GaN devices have also been developed for RF wireless applications where they can replace Silicon transistors in some selected systems. That incursion in the RF field has open the door to the power switching capability in the lower frequency range and thus to the power electronic applications.

Compared to Silicon, GaN exhibits largely better figures for most of the key specifications: Electric field, energy gap, electron mobility and melting point. Intrinsically, GaN could offer better performance than Silicon in terms of: breakdown voltage, switching frequency and Overall systems efficiency.

A $16.6B 2010 TAM AND SOME KEY PROMISING APPLICATIONS

GaN technology is maturing and now offers transistor, diode and even IC' s compatible with Power Electronic expectations, at least in the 0-600V range. Looking at Total Accessible Market, a $16.6b market size is envisioned, split in:

  • Power IC s
  • Power Discretes
  • Power Modules

Now, considering the GaN current state-of-the-art, we assume the most promising applications for Nitride Semiconductors would be:

  • IT and consumer
  • Automotive
  • Industry: PV inverters, UPS and motor control

THAT VERY COST-DRIVEN TARGET MAKE GAN-ON-SI THE ONLY SOLUTION AT SHORT TERM

About 67 % of Power Electronics market is looking at 0-900V voltage range, mostly made of cost-driven consumer and IT applications. To address these segments require a high-volume manufacturing capability as well as a very aggressive market price positioning. Thus, the technical solution involving expensive bulk-GaN substrates are not compatible with market requirements. GaN-on-Si appears as the most cost-effective setup to reach at least the 0-900V applications. It has been calculated that GaN-on-Si HEMT could be 50% cheaper than the same SiC device. However, as of today state-of-the-art, it remains twice and even 3 times more expensive than the similar silicon device.

The choice to integrate GaN instead of Silicon will be made at system level, while calculating the overall module cost. Implementing GaN will allow reducing:

  • Thermal management costs (fewer fans, smaller heat-sink...)
  • RF filtering costs (higher switching frequency will need small capacitors and inductances)
  • Overall housing cost (30% to 50% overall module size shrinking is expected)

So we assume GaN-on-Si is the preferred solution to enhance GaN market penetration over the power electronics industry.

GAN POWER DEVICES: A 350M MA RKET SIZE IN 2015

GaN power electronics market has just started in 2010 along with the announcements of IR and EPC Corp. about their first products introduction. To now, the maximum commercially available Vb is of 200V that partially covers the IT and consumer segments.

In their roadmap, these 2 companies and the other possible new incomers (MicroGaN, Furukawa, GaN Systems, Panasonic, Sanken, Toshiba and so on...) are announcing 600V and even 900V devices in a very short time. Such an increase in the Vb range, will allow GaN to step by step enter into the industrial and automotive segments.

Taking into account the minimum qualification period needed for new technology implementation, we do forecast that the inflexion point for GaN market ramp-up will occur early 2012, leading to a $50M+ market size by 2013 and ~$350M by 2015.

In 2015, GaN device business should be equally split between IC' s, discretes and modules. Based on the expected price erosion of the GaN-on-Si 6” epiwafers over the time, the GaN substrate market should exceed $100M in 2015.

This report provides a complete analysis of the GaN device and substrate industry in the power electronics field along with key market metrics. It provides company involvement as well as technology state-of-theart. In addition, an extensive review of the possible substrates for GaN is provided, offering the most complete view of the Power GaN industry available to date.

INDEX OF COMPANIES MENTIONED IN THE REPORT:

AmberWave, Ammono Sp, Applied Materials, AZZ URRO Semiconductors, BluGlass, Cermet, Cotopaxi Materials LLC , Covalent Materials, Efficient Power Conversion Corp, EpiGaN, Episil, Freescale, Fuji Electric, Fujitsu Electronics, Furukawa Electric, GaN Systems, Goldeneye Inc., Group4 Lab, Hitachi Cable, HK UST , III -V Lab, IMEC , International Rectifier, IQE, Kyma Technologies, LumiLOG , MicroGaN, Micron Technology, Mitsubishi Chemical, NanoGaN, NEC , Nitronex, NTT , Oxford Instruments / TDI , Panasonic, Picogiga - SOITEC , Powdec, Renesas, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Samsung-Corning, Sanken Electric, Soraa Inc., sp3 Diamond Technology, STM icro, Sumitomo Electric SEI , TopGaN, Toshiba, Toyota, Toyota R&D Lab, Ultratech, UMS , Velox, Vishay

BIO

Philippe ROUSSEL, Ph.D holds a Ph-D in Integrated Electronics Systems from the National Institute of Applied Sciences (INSA) in LYON.

He joined Yole Devéloppement in 1998 and is senior manager of the Compound Semiconductors technology & economical market analysis department.

Table of Contents

Glossary

Executive Summary

  • GaN is looking to a $16.6b power electronics market size
  • Is GaN-on-Si the only enabling solution?
  • GaN power devices: a $350M in 2015
  • 2009-2015 market size for GaN devices in power application, split by device type
  • 2009-2015 market size for GaN devices in power application, split by application
  • 2009-2015 market size and volume for 6” GaN-on-Si epi-wafer, split by application

Overall Power Electronics Market

  • Power Devices definition
  • Definition of power modules and IPM : Monolithic or Hybrid
  • Power Electronics market size 2006-2015, split by device type
  • Power Electronics market size: focus on discrete devices, split by type
  • Power device market 2009 sales Regional breakdown 2009-2012
  • Power Electronics value-chain analysis: wafer, device, system
  • Wafer (Si + SOI ) diameter evolution in Power Electronics
  • Market applicative segment definition and content
  • Market segmentation in Power Electronics
  • Device revenues distributed by Voltage range
  • Power devices market size, split by voltage range
  • A vision of Power Electronics market in 2015...

GaN power electronics market segmentation

  • Possible applications for GaN devices in power electronics
  • Power range of the targeted applications
  • Reasons for GaN added values
  • GaN use, expected improvements in power conversion
  • Positioning of the GaN devices in the power electronics
  • Estimated accessible markets, growth rate, and time to market
  • GaN vs. SiC SWOT analysis
  • GaN vs. SiC vs. Si: Figure-of-merit

GaN industry involvement

  • Top-15 Power Semiconductor involvement in GaN
  • Industrial GaN supply-chain in North America
  • Industrial GaN supply-chain in Europe
  • Industrial GaN supply-chain in Asia
  • European R&D programs:
  • G2REC :LAST -POWER E3Car MORG aN IMEC Industrial Affiliation Program
  • Fuji Electric and Furukawa to partner on GaN power devices
  • Furukawa teams-up with Powdec on GaN power electronics
  • Some recent strategies and choices for power devices technology

GaN power device developments

  • Overview of on-going initiatives in GaN-based power devices
  • Different approaches for GaN Schottky diodes design: Planar or Mesa
  • Theoretical limit of GaN Schottky diode voltage breakdown in function of epi thickness
  • Impact on substrate choice
  • GaN devices description:
    • 1. Furukawa Electric
    • 2. Fujitsu
    • 3. NEC
    • 4. Panasonic
    • 5. Sumitomo Electric SEI
    • 6. Toyota R&D Lab
    • 7. Sanken Electric
    • 8. Hong Kong University of Science & Technology (HK UST )
    • 9. Monolithic integration of GaN & CMOS
    • 10. International Rectifier GaNpowIR "!: iP2010 & iP2011 specs.
    • 11. Reverse engineering of Efficient Power Conversion
    • 12. Corp., EPC 10xx series
    • 13. EPC 10xx series cross sections
    • 14. EPC Corp. GaN transistor die-size as a function of Vb and Id
    • 15. EPC Corp. GaN transistor power and current density
  • GaN product introduction roadmap

GaN devices manufacturing cost analysis

  • GaN/Si FET cost breakdown model projection: From 6” wafer to 200V/12A packaged device
  • Manufacturing price of a 200V/12A transistor: Comparison Si, GaN & SiC
  • GaN transistor specs & market price analysis.
  • Comparison with Silicon MOS FET

GaN substrate current developments

  • Different substrates for GaN epitaxy “Direct growth or buffer approach”
  • Different substrates for GaN epitaxy “Composite substrates: wafer bonding approach”
  • Picogiga - SOITEC (F)
  • AmberWave (US)
  • BluGlass
  • IMEC (B)
  • AZZURRO Semiconductors (GE )
  • Covalent Materials (J)
  • Nitronex (US)
  • Oxford Instruments / TDI (US)
  • Hitachi Cable (J)
  • Cermet (US)
  • SOD : Silicon On Diamond
  • Group4 Lab (US)
  • sp3 Diamond Technology (US)
  • Bulk GaN: Mass-market introduction in various applications
  • Bulk GaN Specifications: production status
  • Bulk GaN Specifications: R&D status
  • Bulk GaN 2” FS & ELO GaN Substrates
  • Bulk GaN 2007-2015 market price
  • GaN/xx epiwafer expected specs
  • GaN/xx epiwafer usage
  • Technical feasibility and manufacturing cost
  • Risk analysis of GaN possible competing technologies

Focus on Power Supply & Power Factor Corrector Market

  • PFC market main metrics
  • GaN main added-value in PFC circuits
  • PFC Efficiency Comparison (Si, SiC and GaN)
  • TOP 15 OEM Power Supply Manufacturers and related involvement in SiC & GaN
  • Main market requirements for PFC applications bio
  • Comparison of Si, SiC and GaN Diode Cost in a PFC Module

Focus on EV/HEV Market

  • Types and Availability: Micro, Mild, Full and plug in Hybrid
  • Principles and Functionalities
  • EV, HEV & FCV: Projection of market shares over ICE to 2019
  • Sales projection to 2019 in million units
  • Why GaN in Cars?
  • Current Device Technologies in Use
  • 2 Key Power Modules: DC -DC boost converter and DC -AC inverter
  • Expected Improvements of GaN Introduction in HE V
  • The TOP 5 Key Requirements for power transistors in HE V
  • Added Value Analysis of GaN Electronics for HE V: Fuel consumption and money savings
  • HEV Inverter Module Cost Breakdown
  • Case study: Silicon vs. GaN HEV inverter cost breakdown
  • Sales Projection for GaN devices in EV/HEV Inverters
  • 6” GaN wafer volume for EV/HE V

Focus on inverters for Solar Panel

  • Solar Market Segmentation
  • Installed Base and Annual Demand of PV in MWto 2019
  • Inverter Modules Key Parameters
  • Cost Breakdown of a Solar Installation and Inverter Cost in $/kW
  • Typical Cost Breakdown of a Single String Inverter For residential application
  • Trends in PV Voltage
  • Electronic Devices in PV Inverters
  • GaN device Market for PV Inverters
  • % of GaN market penetration over Si and related size
  • GaN device Market for PV Inverters
  • 6” equiv. GaN substrate market volume (units)

Focus on UPS market

  • Global UPS market: Market value, main uses and worldwide consumption
  • UPS products segments
  • Projection of world UPS market to 2015, split by power range
  • UPS vendors market shares
  • 2009-2015 Silicon and GaN device market forecasts in UPS applications
  • 2009-2015 GaN 6” wafer demand in UPS applications
  • GaN chances of success in the UPS segment

Focus on Motor AC Drive

  • Applications
  • Motor Drive History
  • Market Generalities
  • Market as a Function of Power Range 2009-2015 projection
  • Total Accessible Market volume
  • Market shares
  • AC Drives electronic architecture
  • Silicon and GaN Device Market Value in AC Drive Applications 2009-2015
  • GaN 6” substrate market volume for Motor AC Drive Applications

Conclusions

  • Total accessible market for GaN in AC drives
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