本報告已在2011年07月19日停止出版。
在 Blu-ray 與 HD-DVD 在爭奪 DVD 標準形式寶座中 ，顧客取向的影音設備市場正逐漸轉型成儲存技術的戰場。Blu-ray 的整合性較佳，深受好萊塢及 PC 產業的青睞；但是HD-DVD 也具有 Blu-ray 所欠缺與現有 DVD 播放器互換的功能，因此可以說是勢均力敵吧！
專門從事各尖端產業策略性調查的美國市調公司 Technical Insights, Inc. (總公司：紐約) ，調查及分析 Blu-ray 與其他資料儲存技術，並歸結未來市場預測結果，出版綜合報告書 “Advances in Bluray and Other Data Storage Technologies”。
此報告書主要焦點在於資料儲存技術中的 Blu-ray ，除了說明 Blu-ray 技術的可能性與全球性技術開發動向；也探討 HD-DVD、快閃記憶體、全像儲存、磁帶裝置與網絡儲存的競爭技術概要與未來展望等。此報告書的概略架構如下所示。
1. 摘要
2. 技術環境分析
- 現有與新資料儲存技術
- Blu-Ray 圓盤技術
- 高畫質 DVD
- HDD
- 磁帶裝置
- 快閃記憶體
- 全像儲存
- MOD 儲存
- 奈米儲存
- 電子紙
- 產業分析
- Blu-ray 的競爭分析
- 光學儲存產業的動向
- 主要技術
- 產業的搭配合作
3. Blu-Ray 資料儲存市場的影響因素與課題
- Blu-Ray 的技術性•商業性課題
- Blu-Ray 的阻礙因素與促進因素
4. Blu-Ray 及其他光學圓盤技術的進步
5. 其他資料儲存技術的進步
- 磁帶儲存技術的進步
- 快閃記憶體與全像儲存技術的進步
- 其他資料儲存技術的進步
6. 技術預測
7. 專利、詢問處、用語
8. FROST ＆ SULLIVAN’S SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY AWARDS
- Technology Leadership
- Technology Innovation
9. 決策輔助資料庫
Research Overview
DVD Formats: The Next Storage Battleground
Consumer video is poised to be the next battleground for storage technologies, as Blu-ray and high definition digital versatile disks (HD-DVD) vie to be chosen as the standard format for DVDs. Blu-ray does offer an edge over HD-DVD since it is a superior convergence format and has greater influence and backing in key industries such as Hollywood and personal computers. HD-DVD is not going down without a fight, though, especially since it is more compatible with current DVD players. When the dust settles, the best storage technology need not be the technologically superior one, as the choice is largely dependent on the controlling interests behind the technology, rather than its users and specifications. In this regard, Blu-ray is poised to emerge as the standard of choice for DVDs. For now, as the battle ensues, competition between Blu-ray and HD-DVD is spurring development efforts on both sides, always a good sign for the storage technology industry as a whole.
This Frost & Sullivan research provides a clear-cut look at the data storage technology terrain of today, with a heavy emphasis on the Blu-ray optical recording format. It examines the prospects of Blu-ray, the working behind the technology, and important technological advances worldwide. Similar analysis is also available for Blu-rays key competitors namely HD-DVD, flash memory, holographic storage, magnetic tape technology, and network storage.
Optical Disks Make their Way into Archival Storage
Magnetic tape and disk drives have to watch out for cut-throat competition as optical disks offering superior quality emerge as the preferred choice for large storage archives. "The increase in area densities in optical disks makes them prime candidates for archival storage on account of their durability and ease of use," explains the analyst. Blu-ray, with its high-density capabilities, leads the optical storage pack and is in pole position to exploit the lucrative archival storage market. However, given the hugely competitive and rapidly evolving nature of the market, Blu-ray must keep a close watch on upcoming technologies such as holographic storage or magneto-optical recording.
Mass Market Appeal for Blu-ray Critical to Ward off New Technology Competition
Blu-ray must establish itself as the format of choice for DVDs before the emergence of alternative technologies intended for large capacity applications. "Although the upcoming technologies are still in embryonic stages of development, Blu-ray needs to establish itself fast in the mass market before the feasibility of a more advanced technology is proven," cautions the analyst. Once consumers have the option to switch over to another storage format, Blu-ray is likely to find it increasingly difficult to carve a niche for itself.
Moreover, better alternatives to Blu-ray as a DVD format increase the bargaining power of consumers. Currently, prices are extremely steep, with the Sony Blu-ray DVD recorder available at $4,000. This is incredibly high compared to generic DVD recorders that sell for a minimum of $100. Once the cost of production is reduced, the pent-up demand for high definition content will ensure that Blu-ray gains access to the mass market.
Frost & Sullivan Growth Partnership Service
Based on extensive and in-depth research, real-world consulting work, and new theories tested in hundreds of companies across many industries, Frost & Sullivan has evolved its Growth Partnership Services (GPS) program that provides established and emerging firms with powerful growth visions. Moving beyond token mission statements, GPS provides an actionable vision to growth consulting partners by illustrating how key intelligence and strategic research based on defined goals can guide day-to-day behavior and overall company direction. The foundation of Frost & Sullivans GPS includes:
- Assisting companies to reach their full potential in the core business
- Providing growth strategies to help companies expand into related businesses
- Preemptively redefining the core business during market turbulence
- Applying the Frost & Sullivan framework to identify and address common mistakes resulting from misaligned corporate strategies
- Recommending growth management strategies through continuous partnership
To maximize the potential for growth within a firms internal and external environment, Frost & Sullivan consultants can facilitate the creation of strategic programs that deliver improved market success. Frost & Sullivans strengths lie in combining strategic understanding with market expertise and applying these with absolute commitment to its clients growth.
Table of Contents
1. Executive Summary
- 1. Executive Summary
- 1. DVD Wars Heat Up...
- 2. ...But Theres Plenty of Excitement Elsewhere Too
- 2. Methodology and Scope
- 1. Methodology
- 2. Scope
2. Technology Climate Analysis
- 1. Primer on Existing and Emerging Data Storage Technologies
- 1. Blu-Ray Disk Technology
- 2. High-Definition DVD
- 3. Hard Disk Drives
- 4. Magnetic Tape Drives
- 5. Flash Memory
- 6. Holographic Storage
- 7. Magneto-Optical Disk (MOD) storage
- 8. Nanostorage
- 9. Electronic Paper
- 2. Industry Analysis
- 1. Blu-ray Competitive Forces Analysis
- 2. Trends in the Optical Storage Industry
- 3. Major Technology Stakeholders
- 3. Industry Activity: Whats Shaping the Storage Terrain
- 1. Activity in the Blu-Ray Arena
- 2. Blu-Ray Format Standardization Endeavors
- 3. Activity in Other Data Storage Arenas
3. Accelerators; Roadblocks and Challenges for Blu-Ray Data Storage
- 1. Blu-Rays Technological and Commercial Challenges
- 1. Blu-Rays Commercial Challenges
- 2. Blu-Rays Technological Challenges
- 2. Adoption Accelerators and Roadblocks for Blu-Ray
- 1. Adoption Accelerators
- 2. Roadblocks in Blu-Rays Way
4. The Innovation Frontier: Breakthroughs in Blu-Ray and Other Optical Disc Technology
- 1. North American and European Breakthroughs
- 1. Doing the Optical Twist
- 2. Cheaper Blu-Ray Devices Using Semiconductor Laser Structures
- 3. Terabyte Storage on an Optical Disk
- 4. Biomolecular Optical Data Storage
- 5. Power Consumption Strategies in Blu-Ray Disks
- 6. Carbon Deposition for Optical Storage
- 7. Gain Controller for DVD Drives
- 8. Molecular Beam Epitaxy for Blue Laser Production
- 9. M-ary Optical Data Storage for Improvement in Data Transfer and Density
- 2. Asian Breakthroughs
- 1. Thin Film on Cover Glass for High-Density Optical Storage
- 2. Paper Disks Pack Storage Power
- 3. Development of a 30 GB Optical Disk
- 4. Robust Track-Following System for Blue Laser
- 5. Focusing Grating Coupler for Blue Laser Light
- 6. 50 GB Dual Layer Blu-Ray Disk
- 7. Micro-Optical Flying Head for Optical Storage
5. The Innovation Frontier: Breakthroughs in Other Data Storage Technologies
- 1. Magnetic Data Storage Technology Breakthroughs
- 1. Speed Limit on Magnetic Media
- 2. MRAM on the Horizon
- 3. Higher Read/Write Capability through Simulation Model
- 4. Slick Hard Drive Material
- 5. Higher Density Recording Improvement at Head-Disk Interface
- 6. Samsung Unveils First Hard Drive in a Mobile
- 2. Flash Memory and Holographic Recording Technology Breakthroughs
- 1. Nonvolatile Flash Memory Device
- 2. Nanocrystal Memories for Flash Appplications
- 3. Carbazole Holographic Storage
- 4. Scaling Flash Memory for Higher Volume Storage Applications
- 5. Holographic Recording Using Photochromic Fulgide
- 3. Other Data Storage Technology Breakthroughs
- 1. Using Nanowire Memory Cells To Create Molecular Devices
- 2. Super-Thin Crystals Promise Faster Memory
- 3. High Density Memory Arrays through MOS Capacitors
- 4. New WORM Memory
- 5. Advanced Magneto-Optical Storage Using Microcoils
6. Forecasting the Future: Verdict on the Technologies
- 1. Data Storage Technology Prospects: How They Stand and Whats in Store
- 1. How Blu-ray Stacks up--a SWOT Analysis
- 2. Whats in Store for Blu-Ray...
- 3. Verdict on Other Technologies
- 2. Whos Splashing the Dough: Venture Capital Activity
- 1. Venture Capital Activity in 2003
- 2. Venture Capital Activity in 2004
7. Patents; Contacts and Glossary
- 1. Patents
- 1. Blu-Ray and Optical Disc Patents
- 2. Patents in Other Storage Technologies
- 2. Key Research Contacts
- 1. Key Research Contacts
- 2. Glossary
8. Frost & Sullivan Science and Technology Awards
- 1. Technology Leadership
- 1. Award Description
- 2. Award Recipient
- 2. Technology Innovation
- 1. Award Description
- 2. Award Recipient
9. Decision Support Database
- 1. Personal Computer Installed Base
- 1. Personal Computer Installed Base
- 2. ICT Spending
- 1. ICT Spending
- 2. ICT Spending as a Percentage
