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市場調查報告書

5G無線的生態系統的展望:技術·用途·最終用途產業·策略·預測

The 5G Wireless Ecosystem: 2016 - 2030 - Technologies, Applications, Verticals, Strategies & Forecasts

出版商 Signals and Systems Telecom 商品編碼 322413
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 145 Pages
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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5G無線的生態系統的展望:技術·用途·最終用途產業·策略·預測 The 5G Wireless Ecosystem: 2016 - 2030 - Technologies, Applications, Verticals, Strategies & Forecasts
出版日期: 2016年02月29日 內容資訊: 英文 145 Pages
簡介

在LTE及LTE-Advanced依然持續引進中,無線通訊經營者及供應商,已經把2020年的商業化做為目標,開始著手5G技術的R&D計劃。雖然5G尚未標準化,但各家供應商已開始以Massive MIMO和電子束形成那般新無線接口傳送方案高頻帶,及先進的天線技術為焦點積極投資。由於2020年開始大規模商業配置,預測5G無線市場在2025年之前將達到2,500億美元的規模。

本報告提供5G無線的今後發展相關調查、提供您5G的概要與必要條件、5G市場推進因素及障礙、課題、5G的用途和使用案例、各種實行技術種類與概要、彙整各投資額及地區別用戶數的預測、頻寬預測、相關組織、地區、各國政府等計劃、主要經營者的配合措施等資料。

第1章 簡介

第2章 5G生態系統的演進

  • 所謂5G
  • 5G的必要條件
    • 資料量
    • 容許量
    • 反應時間&latency
    • 設備密度
    • 可用性&覆蓋範圍
    • 電池壽命
    • 節能性&降低成本性
  • 5G市場推進因素
    • 5G規格的必要性
    • 頻寬利用的改善
    • 無線接口傳送方案的演進
    • Gigabit無線連接:未來服務的支援
    • IoT (Internet of Things)的轉變:設備密度的增加
    • 轉向更平的網路架構
  • 5G的課題與阻礙成長要素
    • 懷疑論
    • 標準化的課題:太多的相關利益者
    • 頻寬的法律規章和複雜性等
  • 5G的用途和使用案例
    • 需要寬寬的用途:影像·網際網路遊戲·AR
    • MTC/M2M·IoT·普遍存在通訊
    • 終端用戶產業·安全性嚴重的領域
      • 汽車
      • 能源&智慧電網
      • 運輸&物流
      • 醫療
      • 智慧城市
      • 公共安全
      • 健身&運動

第3章 5G的實行技術

  • 主要技術·概念
    • 無線接口:波浪形選擇
    • 毫米波無線存取(點閱)
    • Massive MIMO
    • 相位陣列天線
    • 電子束成型
    • D2D通訊
    • 自我回程傳輸處理&網狀網絡
    • 感知無線電&頻譜感測
    • 使用未取得許可的頻譜
    • LSA (Licensed Shared Access)
    • 頻譜聚合
    • VLC (Visible Light Communication)的整合
  • 補充技術
    • NFV & SDN
    • HetNet & C-RAN架構
    • 雲端 RAN
    • MEC(行動·邊·運算)
    • 無人機&衛星

第4章 5G的投資與未來的預測

  • 對5G研究開發(R&D)的目前投資規模
  • 各技術R&D投資
  • 全球5G用戶:未來的預測
  • 亞太地區
  • 東歐
  • 中南美
  • 中東·非洲
  • 北美
  • 西歐

第5章 行動電話公司配合措施和5G的頻寬評估

  • 行動電話公司配合措施
    • 日本,韓國及亞洲各國
    • 歐洲
    • 北美
    • 其他地區
    • 經營者的案例研究
      • NTT DoCoMo
      • SK Telecom
  • 5G的頻寬選擇
    • Sub-1 GHz
    • 1-6 GHz
    • 6 GHz以上
  • 高頻帶

第6章 5G的標準化·研究倡議

  • ITU (International Telecommunication Union)
  • 3GPP (Third Generation Partnership Project)
  • ETSI (European Telecommunications Standards Institute)
  • GSMA
  • NGMN (Next Generation Mobile Networks) Alliance
  • 5G Americas
  • WWRF (World Wireless Research Forum)
  • IEEE (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers)
  • Small Cell Forum
  • CableLabs
  • 由於EC的倡議
    • 5G PPP (5G Infrastructure Public Private Partnership)
    • FP7 Projects
  • 各國政府的倡議
    • 韓國
    • 日本
    • 中國
    • 台灣
    • 美國
    • 英國
    • 俄羅斯
    • 德國
    • 西班牙
    • 芬蘭
  • 學術機構的倡議
    • 5GIC (5G Innovation Center, University of Surrey)
    • NYU WIRELESS (New York University)
    • 5G Lab (TU Dresden)
    • Viterbi School of Engineering (University of Southern California)
    • 廣島大學
    • 東京工業大學

第7章 由於供應商的示範·配合措施·策略

  • Alcatel-Lucent
  • Ericsson
  • 富士通
  • Google
  • Huawei
  • Intel Corporation
  • InterDigital
  • Keysight Technologies
  • 三菱電機
  • NEC
  • NI (National Instruments)
  • Nokia
  • Qualcomm
  • Rohde & Schwarz
  • Samsung
  • SiBEAM
  • ZTE
    • 5G策略
    • 示範&試用

圖表

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目錄

While LTE and LTE-Advanced deployments are still underway, mobile operators and vendors have already embarked on R&D initiatives to develop so-called “5G” technology, with a vision of commercialization by 2020. 5G is essentially a revolutionary paradigm shift in wireless networking to support the throughput, latency and scalability requirements of future use cases such as extreme bandwidth augmented reality applications and connectivity management for Billions of M2M (Machine to Machine) devices.

Although 5G is yet to be standardized, vendors are aggressively investing in 5G development efforts with a principal focus on new air interface transmission schemes, higher frequency bands and advanced antenna technologies such as Massive MIMO and beamforming. With large scale commercial deployments expected to begin in 2020, we estimate that 5G networks will generate nearly $250 Billion in annual service revenue by 2025.

The “5G Wireless Ecosystem: 2016 - 2030 - Technologies, Applications, Verticals, Strategies & Forecasts” report presents an in-depth assessment of the emerging 5G ecosystem including key market drivers, challenges, enabling technologies, use cases, vertical market applications, spectrum assessment, mobile operator deployment commitments, case studies, standardization, research initiatives and vendor strategies. The report also presents forecasts for 5G investments and operator services.

The report comes with an associated Excel datasheet suite covering quantitative data from all numeric forecasts presented in the report.

Table of Contents

Chapter 1: Introduction

  • 1.1. Executive Summary
  • 1.2. Topics Covered
  • 1.3. Forecast Segmentation
  • 1.4. Key Questions Answered
  • 1.5. Key Findings
  • 1.6. Methodology
  • 1.7. Target Audience
  • 1.8. Companies & Organizations Mentioned

Chapter 2: The Evolving 5G Ecosystem

  • 2.1. What is 5G?
  • 2.2. 5G Requirements
    • 2.2.1. Data Volume
    • 2.2.2. Throughput
    • 2.2.3. Response Time & Latency
    • 2.2.4. Device Density
    • 2.2.5. Availability & Coverage
    • 2.2.6. Battery Life
    • 2.2.7. Energy Saving & Cost Reduction
  • 2.3. 5G Market Drivers
    • 2.3.1. Why the Need for a 5G Standard?
    • 2.3.2. Improving Spectrum Utilization
    • 2.3.3. Advances in Air Interface Transmission Schemes
    • 2.3.4. Gigabit Wireless Connectivity: Supporting Future Services
    • 2.3.5. Moving Towards the IoT (Internet of Things): Increasing Device Density
    • 2.3.6. Towards a Flatter Network Architecture
  • 2.4. Challenges & Inhibitors to 5G
    • 2.4.1. Skepticism
    • 2.4.2. Standardization Challenges: Too Many Stakeholders
    • 2.4.3. Spectrum Regulation & Complexities
    • 2.4.4. Massive MIMO, Beamforming & Antenna Technology Issues
    • 2.4.5. Higher Frequencies Mean New Infrastructure
    • 2.4.6. Complex Performance Requirements
    • 2.4.7. Energy Efficiency & Technology Scaling
  • 2.5. 5G Applications & Use Cases
    • 2.5.1. Extreme Bandwidth Applications: Video, Internet Gaming & Augmented Reality
    • 2.5.2. MTC/M2M, IoT & Ubiquitous Communications
      • 2.5.2.1. Short-burst Traffic
    • 2.5.3. Vertical Industries & Safety Critical Domains
      • 2.5.3.1. Automotive
      • 2.5.3.2. Energy & Smart Grids
      • 2.5.3.3. Transport & Logistics
      • 2.5.3.4. Healthcare
      • 2.5.3.5. Smart Cities
      • 2.5.3.6. Public Safety
      • 2.5.3.7. Fitness & Sports

Chapter 3: Enabling Technologies for 5G

  • 3.1. Key Technologies & Concepts
    • 3.1.1. Air Interface: Waveform Options
    • 3.1.2. Millimeter Wave Radio Access
    • 3.1.3. Massive MIMO
    • 3.1.4. Phased Array Antennas
    • 3.1.5. Beamforming
    • 3.1.6. D2D (Device to Device) Communications
    • 3.1.7. Self-Backhauling & Mesh Networking
    • 3.1.8. Cognitive Radio & Spectrum Sensing
    • 3.1.9. Unlicensed Spectrum Usage
    • 3.1.10. LSA (Licensed Shared Access)
    • 3.1.11. Spectrum Aggregation
    • 3.1.12. Integration of VLC (Visible Light Communication)
  • 3.2. Complimentary Technologies
    • 3.2.1. NFV & SDN
    • 3.2.2. HetNet & C-RAN Architecture
    • 3.2.3. Cloud RAN
    • 3.2.4. MEC (Mobile Edge Computing)
    • 3.2.5. Drones & Satellites
      • 3.2.5.1. Satellite Integration in 5G Networks
      • 3.2.5.2. Google and Facebook's Drone Ambitions
      • 3.2.5.3. Interest from Mobile Operators

Chapter 4: 5G Investments & Future Forecast

  • 4.1. How Much is Being Invested in 5G R&D?
  • 4.2. R&D Investments by Technology
    • 4.2.1. New Waveforms & Millimeter Wave Radio Access
    • 4.2.2. MIMO, Beamforming & Antenna Technologies
    • 4.2.3. Interference & Spectrum Management
    • 4.2.4. C-RAN, Virtualization & Other Technologies
  • 4.3. Global Outlook for 5G Infrastructure
    • 4.3.1. Segmentation by Submarket
    • 4.3.2. Distributed Macrocell Base Stations
    • 4.3.3. Small Cells
    • 4.3.4. RRHs (Remote Radio Heads)
    • 4.3.5. C-RAN BBUs (Baseband Units)
    • 4.3.6. Mobile Core
    • 4.3.7. Fronthaul & Backhaul Networking
    • 4.3.8. Segmentation by Region
  • 4.4. Global Outlook for 5G Operator Services
    • 4.4.1. Subscriptions
    • 4.4.2. Service Revenue
    • 4.4.3. Regional Segmentation
  • 4.5. Asia Pacific
    • 4.5.1. Infrastructure
    • 4.5.2. Subscriptions
    • 4.5.3. Service Revenue
  • 4.6. Eastern Europe
    • 4.6.1. Infrastructure
    • 4.6.2. Subscriptions
    • 4.6.3. Service Revenue
  • 4.7. Latin & Central America
    • 4.7.1. Infrastructure
    • 4.7.2. Subscriptions
    • 4.7.3. Service Revenue
  • 4.8. Middle East & Africa
    • 4.8.1. Infrastructure
    • 4.8.2. Subscriptions
    • 4.8.3. Service Revenue
  • 4.9. North America
    • 4.9.1. Infrastructure
    • 4.9.2. Subscriptions
    • 4.9.3. Service Revenue
  • 4.10. Western Europe
    • 4.10.1. Infrastructure
    • 4.10.2. Subscriptions
    • 4.10.3. Service Revenue

Chapter 5: Mobile Operator Commitments & 5G Spectrum Assessment

  • 5.1. Mobile Operator Commitments
    • 5.1.1. Japan, South Korea & Asia
    • 5.1.2. Europe
    • 5.1.3. North America
    • 5.1.4. Rest of the World
    • 5.1.5. Operator Case Studies
      • 5.1.5.1. NTT DoCoMo
      • 5.1.5.2. SK Telecom
  • 5.2. Spectrum Options for 5G
    • 5.2.1. Sub-1 GHz
    • 5.2.2. 1-6 GHz
      • 5.2.2.1. 3-4 GHz
      • 5.2.2.2. 5 GHz
    • 5.2.3. Above 6 GHz
      • 5.2.3.1. 15 GHz
      • 5.2.3.2. 24-30 GHz
      • 5.2.3.3. 30-60 GHz
      • 5.2.3.4. 60, 70 & 80 GHz
    • 5.2.4. Higher Bands

Chapter 6: 5G Standardization & Research Initiatives

  • 6.1. ITU (International Telecommunication Union)
    • 6.1.1. IMT-2020
    • 6.1.2. Spectrum Allocation
  • 6.2. 3GPP (Third Generation Partnership Project)
    • 6.2.1. Phased Standardization Approach
    • 6.2.2. R&D Efforts
  • 6.3. ETSI (European Telecommunications Standards Institute)
    • 6.3.1. ISGs (Industry Specification Groups) for Enabling Technologies
  • 6.4. GSMA
    • 6.4.1. Defining 5G
    • 6.4.2. Spectrum Policy Position
  • 6.5. NGMN (Next Generation Mobile Networks) Alliance
    • 6.5.1. 5G Work Program
  • 6.6. 5G Americas
    • 6.6.1. 5G Advocacy Efforts
  • 6.7. WWRF (World Wireless Research Forum)
    • 6.7.1. New Working Groups for 5G
  • 6.8. IEEE (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers)
    • 6.8.1. 5G Advocacy Efforts
  • 6.9. Small Cell Forum
    • 6.9.1. Mapping 5G Requirements for Small Cells
  • 6.10. CableLabs
    • 6.10.1. Research on High Capacity Millimeter Wave Small Cells
  • 6.11. European Commission Initiatives
    • 6.11.1. 5G PPP (5G Infrastructure Public Private Partnership)
      • 6.11.1.1. 5G NORMA
      • 6.11.1.2. METIS-II
      • 6.11.1.3. mmMAGIC
      • 6.11.1.4. FANTASTIC-5G
      • 6.11.1.5. Flex5Gware
      • 6.11.1.6. 5G-XHaul
      • 6.11.1.7. 5G-Crosshaul
      • 6.11.1.8. Other Projects
    • 6.11.2. FP7 Projects
      • 6.11.2.1. METIS
      • 6.11.2.2. 5GNOW
      • 6.11.2.3. MiWEBA
      • 6.11.2.4. MiWaveS
      • 6.11.2.5. Other Projects
  • 6.12. National Initiatives
    • 6.12.1. South Korea
      • 6.12.1.1. 5G Forum
      • 6.12.1.2. ETRI (Electronics and Telecommunications Research)
    • 6.12.2. Japan
      • 6.12.2.1. ARIB 20B AH (2020 and Beyond AdHoc)
      • 6.12.2.2. 5GMF (Fifth Generation Mobile Communications Promotion Forum)
    • 6.12.3. China
      • 6.12.3.1. IMT-2020 (5G) Promotion Group
      • 6.12.3.2. 863 Research Program
      • 6.12.3.3. Future Forum
    • 6.12.4. Taiwan
      • 6.12.4.1. TAICS (Taiwan Association of Information and Communication Standards)
    • 6.12.5. USA
      • 6.12.5.1. NSF (National Science Foundation)
      • 6.12.5.2. NIST (National Institute of Standards and Technology)
      • 6.12.5.3. FCC (Federal Communications Commission)
      • 6.12.5.4. ATIS (Alliance for Telecommunications Industry Solutions)
      • 6.12.5.5. TIA (Telecommunications Industry Association)
    • 6.12.6. UK
      • 6.12.6.1. Ofcom
    • 6.12.7. Russia
      • 6.12.7.1. 5GRUS
    • 6.12.8. Germany
      • 6.12.8.1. 5G:Haus
    • 6.12.9. Spain
      • 6.12.9.1. 5TONIC
    • 6.12.10. Finland
      • 6.12.10.1. 5GTNF (5G Test Network Finland)
  • 6.13. Academic Initiatives
    • 6.13.1. 5GIC (5G Innovation Center, University of Surrey)
    • 6.13.2. NYU WIRELESS (New York University)
    • 6.13.3. 5G Lab (TU Dresden)
    • 6.13.4. Viterbi School of Engineering (University of Southern California)
    • 6.13.5. Hiroshima University
    • 6.13.6. Tokyo Institute of Technology

Chapter 7: Vendor Demonstrations, Commitments & Strategies

  • 7.1. Cohere Technologies
    • 7.1.1. 5G Strategy
    • 7.1.2. Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
  • 7.2. Cisco Systems
    • 7.2.1. 5G Strategy
    • 7.2.2. Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
  • 7.3. Ericsson
    • 7.3.1. 5G Strategy
    • 7.3.2. Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
  • 7.4. Fujitsu
    • 7.4.1. 5G Strategy
    • 7.4.2. Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
  • 7.5. Google
    • 7.5.1. 5G Strategy
    • 7.5.2. Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
  • 7.6. Huawei
    • 7.6.1. 5G Strategy
    • 7.6.2. Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
  • 7.7. Intel Corporation
    • 7.7.1. 5G Strategy
    • 7.7.2. Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
  • 7.8. InterDigital
    • 7.8.1. 5G Strategy
    • 7.8.2. Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
  • 7.9. Keysight Technologies
    • 7.9.1. 5G Strategy
    • 7.9.2. Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
  • 7.10. Kumu Networks
    • 7.10.1. 5G Strategy
    • 7.10.2. Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
  • 7.11. Mitsubishi Electric
    • 7.11.1. 5G Strategy
    • 7.11.2. Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
  • 7.12. NEC Corporation
    • 7.12.1. 5G Strategy
    • 7.12.2. Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
  • 7.13. NI (National Instruments)
    • 7.13.1. 5G Strategy
    • 7.13.2. Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
  • 7.14. Nokia
    • 7.14.1. 5G Strategy
    • 7.14.2. Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
  • 7.15. Panasonic
    • 7.15.1. 5G Strategy
    • 7.15.2. Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
  • 7.16. Qualcomm
    • 7.16.1. 5G Strategy
    • 7.16.2. Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
  • 7.17. Rohde & Schwarz
    • 7.17.1. 5G Strategy
    • 7.17.2. Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
  • 7.18. Samsung
    • 7.18.1. 5G Strategy
    • 7.18.2. Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
  • 7.19. SiBEAM
    • 7.19.1. 5G Strategy
    • 7.19.2. Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
  • 7.20. ZTE
    • 7.20.1. 5G Strategy
    • 7.20.2. Demonstrations & Trial Commitments

List of Figures

  • Figure 1: 5G Requirements
  • Figure 2: Potential Waveform Options for 5G
  • Figure 3: D2D Communication Scenarios
  • Figure 4: LSA Concept
  • Figure 5: NFV Concept
  • Figure 6: C-RAN Architecture
  • Figure 7: Cloud RAN Concept
  • Figure 8: Global 5G R&D Investments: 2016 - 2020 ($ Million)
  • Figure 9: Global 5G R&D Investments by Technology: 2016 - 2020 ($ Million)
  • Figure 10: Global 5G R&D Investments on New Waveforms & Millimeter Wave Radio Access: 2016 - 2020 ($ Million)
  • Figure 11: Global 5G R&D Investments on MIMO, Beamforming & Antenna Technologies: 2016 - 2020 ($ Million)
  • Figure 12: Global 5G R&D Investments on Interference & Spectrum Management: 2016 - 2020 ($ Million)
  • Figure 13: Global 5G R&D Investments on C-RAN, Virtualization & Other Technologies: 2016 - 2020 ($ Million)
  • Figure 14: Global 5G Infrastructure Investments: 2020 - 2030 ($ Million)
  • Figure 15: Global 5G Infrastructure Investments by Submarket: 2020 - 2030 ($ Million)
  • Figure 16: Global 5G Distributed Macrocell Base Station Shipments: 2020 - 2030 (Thousands of Units)
  • Figure 17: Global 5G Distributed Macrocell Base Station Shipment Revenue: 2020 - 2030 ($ Million)
  • Figure 18: Global 5G Small Cell Shipments: 2020 - 2030 (Thousands of Units)
  • Figure 19: Global 5G Small Cell Shipment Revenue: 2020 - 2030 ($ Million)
  • Figure 20: Global 5G RRH Shipments: 2020 - 2030 (Thousands of Units)
  • Figure 21: Global 5G RRH Shipment Revenue: 2020 - 2030 ($ Million)
  • Figure 22: Global 5G C-RAN BBU Shipments: 2020 - 2030 (Thousands of Units)
  • Figure 23: Global 5G C-RAN BBU Shipment Revenue: 2020 - 2030 ($ Million)
  • Figure 24: Global 5G Mobile Core Investments: 2020 - 2030 ($ Million)
  • Figure 25: Global 5G Fronthaul & Backhaul Investments: 2020 - 2030 ($ Million)
  • Figure 26: 5G Infrastructure Investments by Region: 2020 - 2030 ($ Million)
  • Figure 27: Global 5G Subscriptions: 2020 - 2030 (Millions)
  • Figure 28: Global 5G Service Revenue: 2020 - 2030 ($ Billion)
  • Figure 29: 5G Subscriptions by Region: 2020 - 2030 (Millions)
  • Figure 30: 5G Service Revenue by Region: 2020 - 2030 ($ Billion)
  • Figure 31: Asia Pacific 5G Infrastructure Investments: 2020 - 2030 ($ Million)
  • Figure 32: Asia Pacific 5G Subscriptions: 2020 - 2030 (Millions)
  • Figure 33: Asia Pacific 5G Service Revenue: 2020 - 2030 ($ Billion)
  • Figure 34: Eastern Europe 5G Infrastructure Investments: 2020 - 2030 ($ Million)
  • Figure 35: Eastern Europe 5G Subscriptions: 2020 - 2030 (Millions)
  • Figure 36: Eastern Europe 5G Service Revenue: 2020 - 2030 ($ Billion)
  • Figure 37: Latin & Central America 5G Infrastructure Investments: 2020 - 2030 ($ Million)
  • Figure 38: Latin & Central America 5G Subscriptions: 2020 - 2030 (Millions)
  • Figure 39: Latin & Central America 5G Service Revenue: 2020 - 2030 ($ Billion)
  • Figure 40: Middle East & Africa 5G Infrastructure Investments: 2020 - 2030 ($ Million)
  • Figure 41: Middle East & Africa 5G Subscriptions: 2020 - 2030 (Millions)
  • Figure 42: Middle East & Africa 5G Service Revenue: 2020 - 2030 ($ Billion)
  • Figure 43: North America 5G Infrastructure Investments: 2020 - 2030 ($ Million)
  • Figure 44: North America 5G Subscriptions: 2020 - 2030 (Millions)
  • Figure 45: North America 5G Service Revenue: 2020 - 2030 ($ Billion)
  • Figure 46: Western Europe 5G Infrastructure Investments: 2020 - 2030 ($ Million)
  • Figure 47: Western Europe 5G Subscriptions: 2020 - 2030 (Millions)
  • Figure 48: Western Europe 5G Service Revenue: 2020 - 2030 ($ Billion)
  • Figure 49: NTT DoCoMo's 5G Roadmap
  • Figure 50: SK Telecom's Phased 5G Approach
  • Figure 51: BBU-RRH Functional Split Options for 5G C-RAN
  • Figure 52: Spectrum Bands for 5G
  • Figure 53: IMT-2020 Development Roadmap
  • Figure 54: 3GPP 5G Standardization Roadmap
  • Figure 55: NGMN 5G Work Program
  • Figure 56: 5G Networks & Service Vision
  • Figure 57: 5G PPP's Development Roadmap
  • Figure 58: ARIB's Vision of Radio Access Technologies for 5G
  • Figure 59: Japan 5G Implementation Roadmap
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