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市場調查報告書

美國的兒童出版市場:市場預測(∼2011年)

Children's Publishing Market Forecast 2011

出版商 SIMBA Information, Inc.
出版日期 2010年09月 商品編碼 117156
內容資訊 英文  
價格
本報告書已不再販售

本報告已在2011年10月07日停止出版。

更改為出版

Children's Publishing Market Forecast 2012
出版日期 : 2011年09月
商品編碼: 217044

簡介

本報告,調查分析美國的兒童出版市場的現狀與展望,並彙整美國的書籍購買人口的資料、兒童書出版的動向、暢銷書與其作者以及出版資訊、種類別的動向、主要出版社的策略・財務資料、收益成長的展望等,由下列摘要形式闡述。

報告摘要

第1章 美國的兒童書市場・購買客人的人口統計:概要

第2章 兒童書出版的動向

  • 簡介
  • 兒童&年輕人書籍的讀書量減少
  • 網路的角色・電子元件的進化
  • 系列書籍的價值
  • 系列作者的個案研究:Stephenie Meyer
  • 系列作者的個案研究:J.K.Rowling
  • 平裝本受到歡迎
  • 與TV・電影的搭配變得更重要
  • 零售業者・出版社的關係・影響的變化
  • 青少年世代的書籍市場:成長超越低學年兒童,等

第3章 主要作者・書籍・出版資訊(品牌)

  • 簡介
  • New York Times系列暢銷書
  • USA Today暢銷書
  • 暢銷書籍・作者・出版資訊・種類
  • USA Today以及New York Times的一覽表:複合分析
  • 暢銷書籍
  • 暢銷書作者
  • 主要的出版資訊,等

第4章 市場規模・預測

  • 簡介
  • 主要兒童書出版社
  • Candlewick
  • Disney Publishing Worldwide
  • Hachette/Little, Brown Books for Young Readers
  • HarperCollins
  • Houghton Mifflin Harcourt
  • Macmillan
  • Penguin Group (美國)
  • Random House
  • Scholastic
  • Simon & Schuster
  • 收益動向
  • 動向評估
  • 兒童出版市場的市場規模
  • 主要的兒童書出版社:收益別
  • 上半年比較:2010 vs. 2008年
  • 平衡預測:2010年以後,等

第5章 種類別動向

  • 簡介
  • 暢銷種類
  • USA Today的暢銷書資料
  • 兒童導向主題與所有主題的出版
  • 兒童/年輕人導向:種類分析,等

第6章 批發・零售銷售

  • 簡介
  • 購買地點
  • 量販店的兒童書零售
  • 3家主要公司的表現與展望・利潤率
    • Barnes & Noble・Borders Group・Books-A-Million
  • 超市・小型店舖的關閉
  • 網路書籍銷售,等

第7章 預測・結論

  • 結論
  • 其他建議

主要出版社的檔案資料

目錄

Abstract

Now in its fifth edition, Children' s Publishing Market Forecast 2011 offers an accurate and objective perspective on where the market for children' s books is headed in 2011, as well as analysis of market opportunities and pitfalls. How are publishers battling challenges such as an overall decline in reading, returns of unsold stock from retailers, and the intensifying battle for shelf space?

The overwhelming successes of children' s book series in recent years such as Harry Potter, Captain Underpants and Stephenie Meyer' s Twilight have sent publishers scrambling to uncover the next multi-title blockbuster craze. In addition, bestselling individual titles of rapidly growing genres like graphic novels have illuminated the children' s book market as a lucrative space for publishers, editors, marketers, distributors and retailers in the trade book industry. What' s more, the nuances of children' s books compared to “young adult” titles needs to be better understood by everyone in the industry value chain.

Armed with an archive of trade book data that goes back more than 30 years, Simba' s team of seasoned trade book analysts examines the market for children' s books segment by segment, from youngsters to tweens to teens. In addition, Children' s Publishing Market Forecast 2011 provides high-quality, unbiased market intelligence on the publishing houses, and the entire retail landscape, from independent bookstores to online outlets to big box stores.

Gain access to exclusive statistics and analysis such as:

  • An in-depth look at bestselling children' s books drawn from the USA Today, Publishers Weekly and New York Times lists, with breakdowns of top-performing titles, authors, imprints and a comprehensive category ranking of which books are selling and which are not.
  • Expanded analysis of the most vital facet of children' s publishing: series books.
  • Results from Simba' s surveys of independent retailers across the country rating different books and genres; as well as info on buyer profiles and behaviors.
  • Exclusive five-year category trends for 15 major juvenile categories.

Children' s Publishing Market Forecast 2011 includes detailed strategic and financial profiles of companies such as Candlewick Press, Disney Publishing Worldwide, Hachette Book Group, HarperCollins, Holtzbrinck, Houghton Mifflin, Penguin Group, Random House, Scholastic and Simon & Schuster.

This report is a critical tool in evaluating growth potential, understanding trends affecting the industry, sizing up the competition, reviewing potential partner or acquisition profiles, examining market share rankings of leading publishers, benchmarking performance, and planning short- and long-term growth strategies.

Children' s Publishing Market Forecast 2011 is essential for publishing executives, M&A advisors, market analysts, and industry consultants who need to understand the business strategies driving the children' s trade book publishing industry today.

Simba senior trade book analyst Michael Norris has been tapped by the New York Times, TIME and USA Today to discuss industry trends and bestseller data for the adult and children' s publishing markets. Have this firsthand intelligence at your fingertips to understand buyer habits, the significance of series, and where the strengths and weaknesses lie for the top imprints in trade book publishing today.

Table of Contents

Methodology

Executive Summary

Chapter 1: Overview of the U.S. Children' s Book Market and Buyer Demographics

  • Introduction
  • Who Are the Buyers?
  • Who' s Reading the Books?
  • Table 1.1: Cell Phone Content Allocation for Children
  • Table 1.2: Who is Buying the Most of the Children' s/YA Titles in Your Store?
  • Table 1.3: When Parent(s) or Adults are buying a Children' s/YA book, who is it usually?
  • Table 1.4: Who is the second most likely adult buying Children' s/YA books at your store?
  • Table 1.5: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults) Adults Who Have Purchased Children' s Books
  • Table 1.6: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults) Adults with Children in Household Who Have Purchased Children' s Books
  • Table 1.7: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults), Women with Children in Household Who Have Purchased Children' s Books
  • Table 1.8: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults) Men with Children in Household Who Have Purchased Children' s Books
  • Table 1.9: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults) Grandparents Who Have Purchased Children' s Books
  • Table 1.10: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults) Grandmothers Who Have Purchased Children' s Books
  • Table 1.11: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults) Grandfathers Who Have Purchased Children' s Books
  • Table 1.12: Describe the Gender Mix of Children' s/YA Book Buyers at Your Store
  • Table 1.13: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Buyers of Books by Gender
  • Table 1.14: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Buyers of Books by Race
  • Table 1.15: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Buyers of Books by Age Bracket
  • Table 1.16: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Buyers of Books by Education Level
  • Table 1.17: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Buyers of Books by Household Income
  • Table 1.18: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Buyers of Books by Employment Status
  • Table 1.19: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Buyers of Books by Occupation
  • Table 1.20: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Buyers of Books by Adults, Parents and Grandparents
  • Table 1.21: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Buyers of Books by Marital Status
  • Table 1.22: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults): Book Consumers by Age of Children in Household

Chapter 2: Trends in Children' s Book Publishing

  • Introduction
    • Children' s/YA Business vs. Adult Trade Estimated Net Sales
  • Children and Young Adults Are Reading Less
  • The Role of the Internet, Electronic Components Still Evolving
  • The Value of Series
  • Series Author Case Study: Stephenie Meyer
  • Series Author Case Study: J.K.Rowling
  • Fewer Authors Responsible for More Books
  • Trade Paperback Still Gaining Favor
  • TV and Movie Tie-Ins Becoming More Important
  • Retailers and Publishers Relationships and Influence Changing
  • Teen Book Market Growth Outpacing Young Children' s
  • Table 2.1: Growth of Juvenile Trade vs. Adult Trade
  • Table 2.2: Bookstores Compare the First-Half Performances of Adult Trade and Juvenile, 2010 vs. 2009
  • Table 2.3: Percentage of Children Who Read Almost Every Day for Fun
  • Table 2.4: Average Amount of Time Spent Reading Print Media (Books)
  • Table 2.5: A Day in the Life of an 8-18 Year Old Media Consumer
  • Table 2.6: Class Share of E-Book Bestsellers, 2008-2009
  • Table 2.7: Class Share of E-Book Bestsellers, 2009-2010
  • Table 2.8: NYT/USA Today Children' s Bestsellers, July 2008-June 2009
  • Table 2.9: NYT/USA Today Children' s Bestsellers, July 2009-June 2010
  • Table 2.10: Stephenie Meyer' s Twilight Series by Consolidated Rating, July 2008-December 2009
  • Table 2.11: Scholastic Revenue, FY2000-2008
  • Table 2.12: Average Bestselling Titles per Author
  • Table 2.13: What Format of Children' s/YA Has Been a Particularly Strong Performer in the First Half of 2008-2009-2010?
  • Table 2.14: What Format of Children' s/YA Has Been a Particularly Weak Performer in the First Half of 2008-2009-2010?
  • Table 2.15: Top Ten Trade Categories (2005-2009)
  • Table 2.16: How Would You Rate the Following Formats of Children' s Books in Terms of How They Sell?
  • Table 2.17: Children' s Titles on Weekly Bestseller Lists (NYT, USA Today)
  • Table 2.18: When Looking at Children' s and Young Adult Titles Separately, How Would You Say Your Business Is Trending?
  • Table 2.19: What Age Range Are Your Most Successful Children' s/YA Titles Found?

Chapter 3: Leading Authors, Books and Imprints

  • Introduction
  • New York Times Series Bestsellers
  • USA Today Bestsellers
    • Bestselling Books, Authors, Imprints and Categories
  • Composite Analysis of USA Today and New York Times Lists
    • Bestselling Books
    • Bestselling Authors
    • Leading Imprints
  • Comparing Parent Publishers: Total Bestsellers and Weeks per Title
  • Table 3.1: No. of New Children' s/YA Titles Appearing on NYT & USA Today Bestseller Lists, July 2006-June 2010
  • Table 3.2: Top 20 New York Times Series, July 2009-June 2010
  • Table 3.3: Top 20 New York Times Series Authors, July 2009-June 2010
  • Table 3.4: Top New York Times Series Imprints, July 2010-June 2011
  • Table 3.5: Top 20 USA Today Bestsellers, July 2009-June 2010
  • Table 3.6: Top 20 USA Today Authors, July 2009-June 2010
  • Table 3.7: Top 20 USA Today Imprints, July 2009-June 2010
  • Table 3.8: Top 20 Authors, July 2008-June 2009
  • Table 3.9: Top 20 Authors, July 2009-June 2010
  • Table 3.10: Top 20 Imprints, July 2009-June 2010
  • Table 3.11: Leading Children' s Book Publishers, Two-Year Comparison, July 2008-June 2010
  • Table 3.12: Comparison of Publishers, July 2009-June 2010

Chapter 4: Market Sizing and Forecasts

  • Introduction
  • Leading Children' s Publishers
    • Candlewick
    • Disney Publishing Worldwide
    • Hachette/Little, Brown Books for Young Readers
    • HarperCollins
    • Houghton Mifflin Harcourt
    • Macmillan
    • Penguin Group (USA)
    • Random House
    • Scholastic
    • Simon & Schuster
  • Revenue Trends
  • Valuation Trends
  • Size of the Children' s Publishing Market
  • Leading Children' s Publishers by Revenue
  • First-Half Comparisons, 2010 vs. 2008
  • Forecast for Balance of 2010 and Beyond
  • Table 4.1: Harry Potter-Only Revenue, Scholastic
  • Table 4.2: Revenue Growth, Children' s Trade Book Market, 2006-2011P
  • Table 4.3: Leading Children' s Publishers, 2008-2012P
  • Table 4.4: AAP Results: Children' s/YA Category Net Sales
  • Table 4.5: AAP Results: Children' s/YA Category Returns

Chapter 5: Category Trends

  • Introduction
  • The Top Categories
  • USA Today Bestseller Data
  • Children' s Titles vs. All Titles Released
  • Children' s/YA Category Analysis
  • Action & Adventure
  • Animals
  • Family & Relationships
  • Fantasy
  • Graphic Novel
  • History
  • Horror
  • Horror & Ghost
  • Humor
  • People & Places
  • Religion
  • Schools & Education
  • Science Fiction
  • Social Issues
  • Social Science
  • Table 5.1: Leading Children' s Book Categories by No. of Bestselling Titles, July 2007-June 2008
  • Table 5.2: Leading Children' s Book Categories by No. of Bestselling Titles, July 2008-June 2009
  • Table 5.3: Leading Children' s Book Categories by No. of Bestselling Titles, July 2009-June 2010
  • Table 5.4: Leading USA Today Children' s book Categories by No. of Bestselling Titles, July 2008-June 2009
  • Table 5.5: Leading USA Today Children' s book Categories by No. of Bestselling Titles, July 2009-June 2010
  • Table 5.6: New Children' s/YA Titles vs. All New Titles Released, 2004-2008
  • Table 5.7: Select Category Ratings, Six-Year Overview
  • Table 5.8: Action & Adventure Bestseller Performance
  • Table 5.9: Vital Statistics - Action & Adventure
  • Table 5.10: Animals Bestseller Performance
  • Table 5.11: Vital Statistics - Animals
  • Table 5.12: Family & Relationships Bestseller Performance
  • Table 5.13: Vital Statistics - Family & Relationships
  • Table 5.14: Fantasy Bestseller Performance
  • Table 5.15: Vital Statistics - Fantasy
  • Table 5.16: Graphic Novel Bestseller Performance
  • Table 5.17: Vital Statistics - Graphic Novel
  • Table 5.18: History Bestseller Performance
  • Table 5.19: Vital Statistics - History
  • Table 5.20: Horror Bestseller Performance
  • Table 5.21: Vital Statistics - Horror
  • Table 5.22: Horror & Ghost Bestseller Performance
  • Table 5.23: Vital Statistics - Horror & Ghost
  • Table 5.24: Humor Bestseller Performance
  • Table 5.25: Vital Statistics - Humor
  • Table 5.26: People & Places Bestseller Performance
  • Table 5.27: Vital Statistics - People & Places
  • Table 5.28: Religion Bestseller Performance
  • Table 5.29: Vital Statistics - Religion
  • Table 5.30: Schools & Education Bestseller Performance
  • Table 5.31: Vital Statistics - Schools & Education
  • Table 5.32: Science Fiction Bestseller Performance
  • Table 5.33: Vital Statistics - Science Fiction
  • Table 5.34: Social Issues Bestseller Performance
  • Table 5.35: Vital Statistics - Social Issues
  • Table 5.36: Social Science Bestseller Performance
  • Table 5.37: Vital Statistics - Social Science

Chapter 6: Distribution and Retail Sales

  • Introduction
  • Where Books Are Being Purchased
  • Mass Merchandisers and Children' s Book Retailing
  • Performance and Outlook of the Big Three Chains
    • Barnes & Noble
    • Borders Group
    • Books-A-Million
  • Profit Margins at the Big Three Chains
  • Superstores and Small Format Store Closings
  • Online Bookselling
  • Amazon.com
  • The Big Three
  • Channel Breakdown for All Book Buyers vs. Children' s Book Buyers
  • Table 6.1: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults), Sales Channel Trends
  • Table 6.2: Number of Physical Stores, Big Three vs. Big Box
  • Table 6.3: Bestselling Children' s Books at Select Retail Store Web Sites, 2009
  • Table 6.4: Revenue Growth, Leading Bookstore Chains, Fiscal 2004-2008
  • Table 6.5: Growth in Superstore Sales, Major Retail Chains, 2005-2009
  • Table 6.6: Big Three Bookstore Chains Operating Performance, 2004-2008
  • Table 6.7: Number of Superstore Outlets, 2003-2008
  • Table 6.8: Amazon' s North American Media Sales as a Percentage of Total Sales, 2002-2009
  • Table 6.9: Revenue of Leading Online Booksellers, 2004-2008
  • Table 6.10: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults), Channel by Type of Book Buyer
  • Table 6.11: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults), Channel Exclusivity by Type of Book Buyer

Chapter 7: Forecasts and Conclusions

  • Conclusions
  • Other Recommendations
  • Table 7.1: Things Parents Have Done in Relation to Child' s Reading Habits
  • Table 7.2: Revenue Growth, Children' s Trade Book Market, 2006-2011P

Profiles of Leading Children' s Book Publishers

  • Candlewick Press
  • Disney Publishing Worldwide
  • Hachette Book Group
  • HarperCollins Publishers
  • Houghton Mifflin Harcourt
  • Macmillan
  • Penguin Group (USA)
  • Random House Inc.
  • Scholastic Corp.
  • Simon & Schuster
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