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市場調查報告書

緬甸國防工業的未來:市場魅力、競爭環境、市場預測

Future of the Myanmarese Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

出版商 Strategic Defence Intelligence 商品編碼 308601
出版日期 內容資訊 英文 76 Pages
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緬甸國防工業的未來:市場魅力、競爭環境、市場預測 Future of the Myanmarese Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020
出版日期: 2015年06月23日 內容資訊: 英文 76 Pages
簡介

2015年緬甸的國防市場推算為28億美元。預計今後以5.64%的年複合成長率發展,2020年達到37億美元的規模。國內軍事支出的增加,反映了替換老化軍事相關硬體設備努力實現現代化,想確立國內國防工業基礎這樣的願望。內戰的持續和轉移至半民主政府,與孟加拉國的敵對關係等,推進了戰鬥機和海軍艦艇等軍事設備的升級。在預測期間中,預計將對多用途飛機、直升機、飛彈、潛水艇和護衛艦等艦艇、邊防安全、雷達系統等進行投資,這些成為對CAPEX的成長推進因素。

本報告提供緬甸的國防工業相關調查、緬甸的國防費用的變化與預測、支出擴大的影響因素分析、國防預算的分配、與其他的主要國家的比較、市場機會的領域刺激因素分析、採購及進出口的趨勢、打入市場策略、競爭環境與主要的國內企業概要等彙整。

第1章 簡介

第2章 摘要整理

第3章 市場魅力與新的市場機會

  • 國防市場規模的轉變與預測
  • 國防預算的分配
  • 和全球主要市場的比較基準
  • 市場機會:主要趨勢、刺激成長因素

第4章 國防採購市場

  • 進口市場力學
  • 出口市場力學

第5章 產業動態

  • 波特的五力分析

第6章 打入市場策略

  • 市場相關法規
  • 打入市場途徑
  • 主要課題

第7章 競爭環境與策略性考察

  • 競爭環境:概要
  • 主要的國內企業

第8章 商業環境、國家風險

  • 人口統計、社會統計
    • 人口、家庭數
  • 經濟趨勢
    • 平均每個人的GDP
    • 實質GDP
    • 國民整體可支配所得
    • 製造業產量
    • 消費者物價指數等
  • 能源、公共事業
  • 基礎設施的品質與可用性
  • 礦物
  • 通訊

第9章 附錄

圖表

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目錄
Product Code: DF0319MR

Summary

The Future of the Myanmarese Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Key Findings

  • Over the historic period, Myanmar's defense expenditure registered growth of 9.61%, increasing from US$2 billion in 2011 to US$2.8 billion in 2015
  • Myanmar's military expenditure, valued at US$2.8 billion in 2015, is expected to increase to US$3.7 billion by 2020, registering a CAGR of 5.64% over the forecast period
  • Myanmarese military expenditure will be driven by the country's need to ensure a smooth political transition, the civil war prevailing in the country, and a dispute with Bangladesh over the control of oil and gas reserves along its maritime boundaries
  • The Defense Ministry is expected to procure multi-role aircraft, military infrastructure and border security, and naval vessels

This report offers detailed analysis of the Myanmarese defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

  • Myanmarese defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Myanmarese defense industry during 2016-2020, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country's expenditure and modernization patterns
  • Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country
  • Porter's Five Force analysis of the Myanmarese defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry
  • Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country's imports and exports over the last five years
  • Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years
  • Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Myanmarese defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy

  • This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Myanmarese defense industry market trends for the coming five years
  • The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period
  • Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector
  • A deep qualitative analysis of the Myanmarese defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter's Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts

Table of Contents

1. Introduction

  • 1.1. What is this Report About?
  • 1.2. Definitions
  • 1.3. Summary Methodology
  • 1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
  • 1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence

2. Executive Summary

3. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities

  • 3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
    • 3.1.1. Myanmarese defense expenditure is expected to register a CAGR of 5.64% over the forecast period
    • 3.1.2. The need to ensure a smooth political transition, an ongoing civil war, and a threat posed by Bangladesh expected to drive defense expenditure over the forecast period
    • 3.1.3. Myanmar's defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP expected to decrease
  • 3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
    • 3.2.1. Share of capital expenditure to average 41.7% over forecast period
    • 3.2.2. Capital expenditure expected to increase at a CAGR of 5.65% over the forecast period
    • 3.2.3. Myanmarese MoD to spend US$9.6 billion cumulatively on revenue expenditure over the forecast period 28
    • 3.2.4. Per capita defense expenditure set to increase over the forecast period
    • 3.2.5. Myanmar falls under "some risk" of terrorism
  • 3.3. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
    • 3.3.1. Myanmarese defense budget expected to increase at a slower rate than its neighbors over the forecast period
    • 3.3.2. Myanmarese defense expenditure is low compared to other Asian countries
    • 3.3.3. Myanmar allocates a higher share of GDP for defense
    • 3.3.4. Myanmar faces a low threat from foreign terrorist organizations
  • 3.4. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
    • 3.4.1. Submarines
    • 3.4.2. Multi-role Aircraft
    • 3.4.4. Attack Helicopters

4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics

  • 4.1. Import Market Dynamics
    • 4.1.1. Defense imports are expected to recover over the forecast period
    • 4.1.2. China and Russia emerged as the largest suppliers of arms
    • 4.1.3. Aircraft, ships, and armored vehicles dominate military hardware imports
  • 4.2. Export Market Dynamics
    • 4.2.1. Myanmar's domestic defense manufacturing is still in a nascent stage

5. Industry Dynamics

  • 5.1. Five Forces Analysis
    • 5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: high
    • 5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: low
    • 5.1.3. Barrier to entry: high
    • 5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: low to medium
    • 5.1.5. Threat of substitution: low to medium

6. Market Entry Strategy

  • 6.1. Market Regulation
    • 6.1.1. Myanmar currently does not permit investment in the defense industry
  • 6.2. Market Entry Route
    • 6.2.1. Direct government sales
    • 6.2.2. Military co-operations
  • 6.3. Key Challenges
    • 6.3.1. A closed economy discourages related investment and market growth
    • 6.3.2. Limited defense budget discourages investors from market entry

7. Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights

  • 7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
  • 7.2. Key Domestic Company
    • 7.2.1. Myanmar Defense Industries (KaPaSa Industries): overview
    • 7.2.2. Myanmar Defense Industries: products and services
    • 7.2.3. Myanmar Defense Industries: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

8. Business Environment and Country Risk

  • 8.1. Demographics and Social Statistics
    • 8.1.1. Population - Number of Households
  • 8.2. Economic Performance
    • 8.2.1. Gross Domestic per Capita
    • 8.2.2. Gross Domestic Product, current US$
    • 8.2.3. Gross National Disposable Income
    • 8.2.4. Manufacturing Output
    • 8.2.5. Consumer Price Index
    • 8.2.6. Local Currency Unit per US$
    • 8.2.7. Local Currency Unit per EUR
    • 8.2.8. Lending Rate
    • 8.2.9. Deposit Rate
    • 8.2.10. Net Foreign Direct Investment
    • 8.2.11. International reserves, including Gold
  • 8.3. Energy and Utilities
    • 8.3.1. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation
    • 8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation
    • 8.3.3. Total Petroleum Consumption
  • 8.4. Infrastructure Quality and Availability
    • 8.4.1. Air transport, freight
    • 8.4.2. Overall Construction
  • 8.5. Minerals
    • 8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output
  • 8.6. Telecommunication
    • 8.6.1. Telephone lines
    • 8.6.2. Telephone lines Penetration Rate

9. Appendix

  • 9.1. About SDI
  • 9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables

  • Table 1: Myanmarese Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
  • Table 2: Myanmarese Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
  • Table 3: Myanmarese Defense Expenditure (in MMK Billion), 2011-2015
  • Table 4: Myanmarese Defense Expenditure (in MMK Billion), 2016-2020
  • Table 5: Myanmarese GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP Growth, 2011-2015 . 20
  • Table 6: Myanmarese GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2016-2020
  • Table 7: Myanmarese Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2011-2015
  • Table 8: Myanmarese Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020
  • Table 9: Myanmarese Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2011-2015
  • Table 10: Myanmarese Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2016-2020
  • Table 11: Myanmarese Defense Capital Expenditure (in MMK Billion), 2011-2015
  • Table 12: Myanmarese Defense Capital Expenditure (in MMK Billion), 2016-2020
  • Table 13: Myanmarese Defense Revenue Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
  • Table 14: Myanmarese Defense Revenue Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
  • Table 15: Myanmarese Defense Revenue Expenditure (in MMK Billion), 2011-2015
  • Table 16: Myanmarese Defense Revenue Expenditure (in MMK Billion), 2016-2020
  • Table 17: Myanmarese per capita defense expenditure (US$), 2011-2015
  • Table 18: Myanmarese per capita defense expenditure (US$), 2016-2020
  • Table 19: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020
  • Table 20: SDI Terrorism Index
  • Table 21: Myanmar Defense Industries - Product focus

List of Figures

  • Figure 1: Myanmarese Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
  • Figure 2: Myanmarese Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
  • Figure 3: Myanmarese Defense Expenditure (in MMK Billion), 2011-2015
  • Figure 4: Myanmarese Defense Expenditure (in MMK Billion), 2016-2020
  • Figure 5: Myanmarese GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditures Percentage of GDP Growth, 2011-2015
  • Figure 6: Myanmarese GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2016-2020
  • Figure 7:Myanmarese Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2011-2015
  • Figure 8: Myanmarese Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020
  • Figure 9: Myanmarese Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2011-2015
  • Figure 10: Myanmarese Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2016-2020
  • Figure 11: Myanmarese Defense Capital Expenditure (in MMK Billion), 2011-2015
  • Figure 12: Myanmarese Defense Capital Expenditure (in MMK Billion), 2016-2020
  • Figure 13:Myanmarese Defense Revenue Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
  • Figure 14: Myanmarese Defense Revenue Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
  • Figure 15: Myanmarese Defense Revenue Expenditure (in MMK Billion), 2011-2015
  • Figure 16: Myanmarese Defense Revenue Expenditure (in MMK Billion), 2016-2020
  • Figure 17: Myanmarese per capita defense expenditure (US$), 2011-2015
  • Figure 18: Myanmarese per capita defense expenditure (US$), 2016-2020
  • Figure 19: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2015
  • Figure 20: SDI Terrorism Index, 2015
  • Figure 21: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020
  • Figure 22: Defense Expenditure of the World's Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2015 and 2020
  • Figure 23: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2015
  • Figure 24: Submarines Market Size (US$ Million), 2015-2025
  • Figure 25: Multi-role Aircraft Market Size (US$ Million), 2015-2025
  • Figure 26: Attack Helicopter Market Size (US$ Million), 2015-2025
  • Figure 27: Myanmarese Defense Import Trend, 2010-2014 (TIV values)
  • Figure 28: Myanmarese Defense Imports by Country (%), 2010-2014
  • Figure 29: Myanmarese Defense Imports by Category (%), 2010-2014
  • Figure 30: Industry Dynamics Porter's Five Forces Analysis
  • Figure 31: Myanmar Population - Number of Households (In Millions), 2008-2017
  • Figure 32: Myanmar GDP per capita, 2015-2024
  • Figure 33: Myanmar Gross Domestic Product (current US$ Bn), 2015-2024
  • Figure 34: Myanmar gross national disposable income (US$ Bn), 2002-2011
  • Figure 35: Myanmar Manufacturing Output (US$ Bn), 2003-2012
  • Figure 36: Myanmar Consumer Price Index, 2015-2024
  • Figure 37: Myanmar LCU per US$, 2015-2024
  • Figure 38: Myanmar LCU per EUR, 2015-2024
  • Figure 39: Myanmar Lending Rate, 2003-2012
  • Figure 40: Myanmar Deposit Rate, 2003-2012
  • Figure 41: Myanmar Net Foreign Direct Investment (current US$ BN), 2001-2010
  • Figure 42: Myanmar International reserves, including Gold (US$ Bn), 2002-2011
  • Figure 43: Myanmar Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Bn KWH), 2001-2010
  • Figure 44: Myanmar Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Bn KWH), 2001-2010
  • Figure 45: Myanmar Total Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels per Day), 2003-2012
  • Figure 46: Myanmar Air transport, freight (Million ton-Km), 2002-2011
  • Figure 47: Myanmar Overall Construction (US$ Bn), 2007-2016
  • Figure 48: Myanmar Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output(US$ Bn), 2003-2012
  • Figure 49: Myanmar Telephone lines, 2003-2012
  • Figure 50: Myanmar Telephone lines Penetration Rate (per 100 people), 2003-2012
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