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市場調查報告書
全球風力發電機市場:第2版
The Global Wind Turbine Market, 2nd Edition
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全球風力發電機市場:第2版 是由出版商Specialist in Business Information在2011年11月所出版的。
這份英文市場調查報告書包含174 Pages 價格從美金4950起跳。
2010年全球風力發電機市場跟過去5年相比開始縮小,減少15.9%達到423億美金的規模。總兆瓦減少5.3%為38,079MW,預計占全球新容量大部分的中國如果要達成目標,必須將這個數值往下調。
本報告提供風力發電機市場現狀與未來趨勢彙整,各不同國家,不同市場區隔趨勢,產品概要,銷售趨勢,為您概述為以下內容。
第1章 執行摘要
第2章 簡介
- 調查範圍
- 調查方法
- 用語
- 風力發電機技術
- 陸上風力發電機和海上風力發電機
- 全球風力發電
第3章 市場
- 全球風力發電機市場
- 主要國家市場
- 風力發電機的進出口
第4章 市場趨勢
- 全球風力發電的使用
- 風力發電機市場促進因素與阻礙
- 全球風力發電必要條件
- 中國的5年計畫和7個風力發電
- 風力發電機的成本和能源價格
- 風力發電機制造成本
- 與其他發電方式比較的風力發電成本
- 擔憂事項
- 供電和連接問題
- 風力系統的使用容量
- 中國的風力發電
- 美國的風力發電
- 海上趨勢
- 風力發電機:大型的比較適合
- 僱用趨勢
- 財務趨勢
- 研究趨勢
- 小型發電機趨勢
第5章 全球風力發電機預測
- 各種方案的相關註解
- 全球的預測
- 中國
- 美國
- 印度
- 德國
- 西班牙
- 其他各國
第6章 競爭企業
- 第一層級企業
- Dongfang Electric Corporation
- Enercon
- Gamesa
- General Electric
- Goldwind
- REpower
- Siemens
- Sinovel
- Suzlon
- Vestas
- 第二層級企業
- Clipper Windpower
- Mingyang
- Nordex
- United Power
附錄
Abstract
The global wind turbine market experienced its first decline in over five
years in 2010, dropping 15.9% to $42.3 billion as the pace of turbine
installations in most countries slowed considerably. Total megawatts (MW)
installed was down by 5.3% to 38,079 MW for 2010 and would have been much less
if China had not taken a commanding lead in the market, installing almost half
of all new global wind capacity during the year. The U.S., on the other hand,
only installed half as much new capacity in 2010 as it did in 2009.
Despite continuing to be the largest wind turbine market for 2011, China's
will no longer maintain its stratospheric growth in the market. China's wind
turbine installations in 2011 will be 19,300 MW, just 2.0% more than in 2010.
From a financial perspective the news is much worse, as still dropping turbine
prices will force the Chinese wind turbine market down by 7.1% in 2011, a drop
that will be only slightly recovered in 2012.
In the short term, curtailment of already installed wind systems because of
inadequate transmission systems are going to be a large prohibitive factor
against new wind developments in China and, to a lesser extent, in the U.S.
And India. SBI Energy sees new wind turbine installations up by 12.0% in 2011
over 2010, but up only another 8.3% in 2012. In fact, it will not be until
2015 or 2016 that transmission issues in China are resolved sufficiently that
the country will again achieve double digit growth in wind installations.
The U.S. continues to be the top import country for wind turbine generating
sets in 2011, but the UK and Germany rose in ranking over Canada from 2010.
Together these four countries account for just over half of all imports.
Exports are typically dominated by Denmark and Germany, which together provide
60% of the world's wind turbine generating set exports. However, total exports
will be up significantly in 2011 to $5.9 billion as manufacturers in soft wind
markets such as Germany and Spain aggressively expand to other regions.
Despite its position as the number one regional market in 2010 and again in
2011, China's wind turbine industry was almost entirely domestic and the
country's wind turbine manufacturers exported very little product.
The wind turbine market is still most heavily influenced by government
subsidies and this will continue through the next decade. The support or
neglect of governments for wind energy is the main driver behind SBI Energy's
three different forecast scenarios in this report. In the median scenario the
world wind turbine market is going to climb to $72.8 billion in 2015, with a
world total of 442 GW installed. With only moderate government help, the world
market is going to reach $138.8 billion in 2020 with a cumulative 876 GW of
wind turbines installed world wide. However, with poor government support the
2020 wind turbine market could be as low as $66.6 billion, and with
exceptional government support the market could reach up to $326.9 billion at
the end of the decade.
The Global Wind Turbine Market, 2nd Edition by SBI Energy provides deep
insight into current and future markets for wind turbine systems sold and
installed worldwide, focusing on key countries for each market segment. The
analysis includes definitions, current product offerings and market detail on
the following segments:
- The overall sales of wind turbine systems, including towers, nacelles and
blades
- An in depth look at the market for wind turbine nacelles, looking
particularly at imports and exports.
The report also puts the wind turbine market into perspective by studying the
world energy market and analyzing the factors that influence the use of wind
over other energy sources.
Report Methodology This report contains primary and secondary data
obtained from government sources, trade associations and publications,
business journals, scientific papers, company literature, investment reports,
and interviews with industry professionals. Statistics on wind installations
comes from a number of sources including the U.S. Department of Energy, the
Global Wind Energy Association (GWEA), The American Wind Energy Association
(AWEA) and the Chinese Renewable Energy Industries Association (CREIA);
production cost indexes are from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; import
and export data come from the U.S. International Trade Commission, The United
Nations ComTrade database, EuroStat and others.
What You'll Get in This Report The Global Wind Turbine Market, 2nd
Edition provides a concise, focused look on the markets for wind turbines as
they exist today, and shows where these markets are moving between 2011 and
2020. The report highlights key players manufacturing wind turbines and
pinpoints ways that current and prospective competitors can capitalize on
recent trends and spearhead new ones. No other market research report provides
both the comprehensive analysis and comprehensive data that The Global Wind
Turbine Market, 2nd Edition offers. You will also benefit from the report's
presentation of its extensive data in easy-to-read and practical charts,
tables and graphs.
How You'll Benefit from this Report If your company is considering
investing in the wind energy market, or is involved with renewable energy or
wind turbine component businesses, you will find this report invaluable as it
provides a comprehensive package of information and insight not offered in any
other single source. You will gain a thorough understanding of the current
market for both onshore and offshore wind turbines, as well as projected
markets and trends for these technologies through 2020. The report also
provides a concise view of the geographic breakdown of the wind turbine
market, outlining key drivers and barriers for each key market country.
This report will help:
- Marketing managers identify market opportunities and develop
targeted promotion plans for businesses looking to develop markets within
renewable energy or wind turbine manufacturing.
- Research and development professionals stay on top of competitor
initiatives and explore demand for new wind turbine technologies as well as
the downstream product market for wind energy.
- Advertising agencies working with clients in a host of market
sectors such as electricity generation, cleantech investing and industrial
manufacturing to develop messages and images that compel businesses and
industries to adopt wind energy for part or all of their energy needs.
- Business development executives understand the dynamics of the
market and identify possible partnerships with raw material providers, key
organizations and wind turbine manufacturers with unique products or
processes. The report also provides crucial information on job creation that
is spurred by wind turbine production.
- Information and research center librarians provide market
researchers, brand and product managers and other colleagues with the vital
information they need to do their jobs more effectively.
Additional Information
Global Wind Turbine Market on Road to Recovery with 5.1% Growth in 2011, SBI Energy
The wind turbine market fell 15.9% in 2010 to $42.3 billion, while new global installations stayed flat at -0.3% for 38,079 megawatts (MW). In sharp contrast, the global wind turbine market nearly tripled in value between 2006 and 2009, climbing to $50.3 billion, according to a new study from SBI Energy. New wind turbine installations grew at a slightly slower pace, rising from 15.1 GW installed to 38.2 GW in just four years.
"The disparity between market value and new installations is due to China," SBI Energy analyst Norman Deschamps says, "which accounted for half of all new installs, but at prices close to 40% lower than the rest of the world. The recession in 2009 cut into new orders, slowed production and depressed pricing."
Unlike last year, wind turbine market growth in 2011 is largely due to a strong showing in U.S. and Indian wind turbine markets. Meanwhile, relatively slight growth will take place in China and Germany while a previously core market in Spain will continue its decline. Despite gains in 2011, profits are anticipated to decline for many manufacturers, particularly in China, as low turbine prices continue to eat away at margins. After the substantial drop in 2010, the wind turbine market is going to recover in 2011, climbing 5.1% to reach $44.5 billion.
SBI Energy's report forecasts China and the U.S. will continue to be the top markets for wind turbine sales through 2020. From just over half the market in 2010, the two countries will still be responsible for 45.4% of the wind turbine market in 2020. During the decade to come the U.S. will expand its overall share of the market while China's will drop significantly, which is not surprising considering how unbelievable China's growth was in 2010.
This report provides expert insight into both the current and future market for wind turbine systems sold and installed worldwide, focusing on key countries in the production, import, export and installation of wind turbines. The analysis includes definitions, current product offerings and market detail on overall sales of utility-scale wind turbine systems, and an in-depth look at the global imports and exports of wind turbines, identifying key countries for both trade types and looking at long term export trends.
Table of Contents
Chapter 1 Executive Summary
- The Global Wind Turbine Market
- Figure 1-1 Wind Turbine Installations by Country by Year, 2006-2010 (in
MW)
- Wind Turbine Competitors
- Figure 1-2 Market by Competitor, 2011 (in percent)
- China
- U.S.
- India
- Figure 1-3 Top Five Global Wind Turbine Market Countries, 2006-2010 (in
billion $)
- Germany
- Spain
- Wind Turbine Generating Set Imports and Exports
- Figure 1-4 Exports of Wind Turbine Generating Sets, 2000-2020 (in
billion $ and percent)
- Wind Turbine Market Forecast
- Figure 1-5 Global Cumulative Installed Wind Forecast, 2011-2020 (in GW)
- China Forecast
- U.S. Forecast
- India Forecast
- Figure 1-6 Global Wind Turbine Market Forecast by Country, Median
Scenario, 2011-2020 (in billion $)
- Germany Forecast
- Spain Forecast
- Wind Turbine Market Trends
- Figure 1-7 Key Drivers & Barriers Affecting the Wind Turbine Market
- Wind Turbine Costs & Energy Prices
- Table 1-1 Estimated Levelized Cost of New U.S. Generation Resources,
2016* (2009 $/megawatt-hour; MWh)
- The Offshore Wind Turbine Market
- Table 1-2 Cumulative Offshore Wind Installations by Geographical Region,
2006-2020 (in MW)
- Curtailment Concerns
- Wind Turbines: Bigger is Better
- Figure 1-8 Average Size of Installed Wind Turbines, 2006-2011 (in kW)
- Employment Trends
- Table 1-3 Wind Industry Jobs by Country, 2010-2020
- Financial Trends: FITs and Investments
- Figure 1-9 Countries with Wind Feed in Tariffs, 2011
- Small Turbine Trends
Chapter 2 Introduction
- Scope
- Methodology
- A Note on Trade Codes and Import and Export Data
- Table 2-1 Wind Turbine Import and Export HS Codes
- Terminology
- Wind Turbine Technology
- Table 2-2 Turbine Component Weights and Costs (in percent)
- Parts of a Nacelle Assembly
- Figure 2-1 The parts of a Wind Turbine
- Direct & Indirect Drives
- Figure 2-2 A Direct Drive Wind Turbine
- Table 2-3 Comparison of Direct and Indirect Wind Turbines
- Onshore versus Offshore Wind Turbines
- Wind Energy Associations Worldwide
- Table 2-4 Wind Associations and Groups
Chapter 3 The Market
- The Global Wind Turbine Market
- Figure 3-1 Global Wind Turbine Capacity and Electricity Generated by
Wind, 2006-2010 (in GW for capacity and billion kWh for generation)
- Figure 3-2 Global Wind Market, 2006-2010 (in billion $ and GW Installed)
- Asia is Chasing Europe for Regional Wind Lead
- Table 3-1 Cumulative Wind Capacity by Geographical Region, 2006-2010 (in
MW)
- China Now Leads Wind Turbine Installations
- Figure 3-3 Wind Turbine Installations by Country by Year, 2006-2010 (in
MW)
- Figure 3-4 Top Five Global Wind Turbine Market Countries, 2006-2010 (in
billion $)
- Offshore Becoming a Competitive Market
- Table 3-2 Cumulative Offshore Wind Installations by Geographical Region,
2006-2010 (in MW)
- Top National Markets
- Figure 3-5 Top 10 Countries for Single Year Wind Installations and
Cumulative Installs, 2010 (in percent)
- China
- Figure 3-6 China's Wind Turbine Import, Export & Domestic Market,
2006-2011 (in million $)
- Table 3-3 Top Chinese Provinces for Yearly & Cumulative Wind
Installations, 2010 (in MW installed)
- Figure 3-7 Total Wind Turbines by Province/Municipality, 2010 (in MW)
- Table 3-4 China's Onshore & Offshore Wind Installations by Year,
2006-2011 (in MW)
- U.S.
- Figure 3-8 U.S. Wind Turbine Import, Export & Domestic Market, 2006-2011
(in million $)
- Table 3-5 Top U.S. Import & Export Countries for Wind Turbine Generator
Sets, 2006-2010 (in million $)
- Figure 3-9 Total Wind Turbine Installations by State, 2010 (in MW)
- Table 3-6 Top U.S. States for Yearly & Cumulative Wind Installations,
2010 (in MW installed)
- India
- Figure 3-10 India's Wind Turbine Import, Export & Domestic Market,
2006-2011 (in million $)
- Table 3-7 Top Indian Export Countries for Wind Turbine Generator Sets,
2006-2010 (in million $)
- Table 3-8 India's Wind Installations by State, March 2007- March 2011
(in MW)
- Germany
- Figure 3-11 Germany's Wind Turbine Import, Export & Domestic Market,
2006-2011 (in million $)
- Table 3-9 Top German Import & Export Countries for Wind Turbine
Generator Sets, 2006-2010 (in million $)
- Table 3-10 Germany's Onshore & Offshore Wind Installations by Year,
2006-2011 (in MW)
- Spain
- Figure 3-12 Spain's Wind Turbine Import, Export & Domestic Market,
2006-2011 (in million $)
- Table 3-11 Top Spanish Import & Export Countries for Wind Turbine
Generator Sets, 2006-2010 (in million $)
- Others
- Table 3-12 Total Offshore Wind Capacity by Country, 2006-2011 (in MW)
- Wind Turbine Generating Set Imports and Exports
- Figure 3-13 Exports of Wind Turbine Generating Sets, 2000-2011 (in
billion $ and percent)
- Figure 3-14 YoY Change in Global Wind Turbine Exports and Wind Capacity
Additions, 1998-2011 (in percent)
- Top Wind Turbine Generating Set Trade Countries
- Table 3-13 Top 10 Export Countries of Wind Turbine Generating Sets,
2006-2010 (in million $)
- Table 3-14 Top 10 Import Countries of Wind Turbine Generating Sets,
2006-2010 (in million $)
Chapter 4 Market Trends
- Global Use of Wind Energy
- Figure 4-1 Global Use of Renewable Energy by Type, 2006-2010 (in billion
kWh & percent)
- Figure 4-2 Total Global Renewable Energy Capacity by Country, 2010 (in
GW)
- Drivers and Barriers for the Wind Turbine Market
- Figure 4-3 Key Drivers & Barriers Affecting the Wind Turbine Market
- Wind Energy Requirements Around the World
- Table 4-1 Countries with Wind-Specific Energy Generation Requirements,
2010
- China's Current Five Year Energy Plan and the Seven Wind Bases
- Table 4-2 China's Wind Base Program, 2010-2020 (in MW)
- Wind Turbine Costs & Energy Prices
- Table 4-3 Wind Turbine Cost Structure (in percent)
- Wind Turbine Manufacturing Costs
- Figure 4-4 Average Wind Turbine Prices, 2000-2011 (in $/kW)
- Figure 4-5 Producer Price Index for Turbines & Generator Sets, and Parts
of Same, 2000-2011 (index)
- Comparing Wind Energy Costs to Other Types of Electricity Generation
- Table 4-4 Levelized Cost of Wind Energy & Financial Gap by Country, 2008
(in $/MWh)
- Table 4-5 Estimated Levelized Cost of New U.S. Generation Resources,
2016* (2009 $/MWh)
- Curtailment Concerns
- Transmission and Connection Issues
- Utilization Capacity of Wind Systems
- Table 4-6 Capacity Factor by Type of Electricity Generation, 2008 (in
percent)
- Wind Energy Curtailment in China
- Wind Energy Curtailment in the U.S.
- Table 4-7 Wind Curtailment by Area, 2007-2010 (in GWh and % of potential
wind generation)
- Offshore Trends
- Table 4-8 Typical Onshore & Offshore Wind Farm Characteristics, 2008
- Figure 4-6 Cumulative Offshore Wind Turbine Foundations by Type, 2010
(in %)
- Wind Turbines: Bigger is Better
- Figure 4-7 Average Size of Installed Wind Turbines, 2006-2011 (in kW)
- Towards the 20 MW Turbine
- Figure 4-8 Largest Capacity Wind Turbine by Year, 1985-2009
- Average Wind Turbines Size Will Continue to Grow
- Employment Trends
- Table 4-10 Wind Industry Jobs by Country, 2010-2020
- Financial Trends
- Wind FITs
- Figure 4-9 Countries with Wind Feed in Tariffs, 2011
- Non-FIT Government funding
- Investments in the Wind Market
- Table 4-11 Renewable and Wind Investments, 2004-2010 (in billion $)
- Figure 4-10 Global Wind Investments, 2004-2011 (in thousand $/MW)
- Research Trends
- Wind Research Funding
- Table 4-12 Government Wind Research Funding in Key Countries, 2006-2010
(in million $)
- Key Research Focus Areas
- Small Turbine Trends
- Figure 4-11 Small Wind Turbine Installations for the U.S., UK & China,
2009-2011 (in cumulative number of systems installed & cumulative MW
installed)
- Hybrid Wind Systems
Chapter 5 Global Wind Turbine Forecast
- A Note on the different Scenarios
- Global Forecast
- Figure 5-1 Global Cumulative Installed Wind Forecast, 2011-2020 (in GW)
- Figure 5-2 Global Wind Turbine Market Forecast, 2011-2020 (in billion $)
- Wind Growth will be moderate in the short term
- Figure 5-3 Cumulative Global Wind Forecast by Country, 2011-2015 (in GW)
- Table 5-1 Global Wind Turbine Market Forecast, 2011-2015 (in billion $)
- The Wind Market's Long Term Forecast
- Figure 5-4 Global Wind Forecast by Country, 2016-2020 (in GW)
- Table 5-2 Global Wind Turbine Market Forecast, 2016-2020 (in billion $)
- Figure 5-5 Key Geographic Wind Turbine Markets (Median Scenario), 2010,
2020 (in percent of market)
- Pricing Forecast
- Figure 5-6 Average Wind Turbine Prices Forecast, 2011-2020 (in $/kW)
- Exports to Decline in Long Term
- Figure 5-7 Export Forecast of Wind Turbine Generating Sets (Median
Scenario), 2011-2020 (in billion $ and percent)
- Offshore Forecast
- Table 5-3 Total Offshore Wind Capacity by Country, 2010-2020 (in MW)
- China Forecast
- Figure 5-8 China Forecast: Wind Turbine Market, 2011-2020 (in billion $)
- Table 5-4 China Forecast: Installed Wind Turbines by Year, 2011-2020 (in
GW)
- U.S. Forecast
- Figure 5-9 U.S. Forecast: Wind Turbine Market, 2011-2020 (in billion $)
- Table 5-5 U.S. Forecast: Installed Wind Turbines by Year, 2011-2020 (in
GW)
- India Forecast
- Figure 5-10 India Forecast: Wind Turbine Market, 2011-2020 (in billion $)
- Table 5-6 India Forecast: Installed Wind Turbines by Year, 2011-2020 (in
GW)
- Germany Forecast
- Figure 5-11 Germany Forecast: Wind Turbine Market, 2011-2020 (in billion
$)
- Table 5-7 Germany Forecast: Installed Wind Turbines by Year, 2011-2020
(in GW)
- Spain Forecast
- Figure 5-12 Spain Forecast: Wind Turbine Market, 2011-2020 (in billion $)
- Table 5-8 Spain Forecast: Installed Wind Turbines by Year, 2011-2020 (in
MW)
- Upcoming Countries
- Table 5-9 Forecast of Other Major Wind Countries, 2010-2020
Chapter 6 Competitors
First Tier Competitors
- Figure 6-1 Market by Competitor, 2011 (in percent)
- Dongfang Electric Corporation
- Overview
- Performance
- Figure 6-2 DEC's Wind Revenue and Wind Turbines Produced, 2007-2011 (in
million yuan & MW)
- Products
- New Developments
- Enercon
- Overview
- Performance
- Table 6-1 Enercon's Cumulative Wind Turbine Installations by Country,
November 2010 (in MW)
- Products
- Table 6-2 Enercon's Wind Turbine Products, 2011
- New Developments
- Gamesa
- Overview
- Performance
- Figure 6-3 Gamesa's Revenue and Wind Turbines Shipped, 2006-2011 (in
million euros & MW)
- Products
- Table 6-3 Gamesa's Wind Turbine Products, 2011
- New Developments
- General Electric
- Overview
- Performance
- Figure 6-4 GE's Energy Infrastructure Segment Revenue and Wind Turbines
Shipped, 2006-2011 (in billion $ & units shipped)
- Products
- Table 6-4 GE's Wind Turbine Products, 2011
- New Developments
- Goldwind
- Overview
- Performance
- Figure 6-5 Goldwind's Revenue and Wind Turbines Installed, 2006-2011 (in
million yuan & MW)
- Products
- Table 6-5 Goldwind's Wind Turbine Products, 2011
- New Developments
- Repower
- Overview
- Performance
- Figure 6-6 Repowers's Revenue and Wind Turbines Installed, 2006-FY2011
(in million euros & MW)
- Products
- Table 6-6 Repower's Wind Turbine Products, 2011
- New Developments
- Siemens
- Performance
- Figure 6-7 Siemens' Renewables Revenue and Wind Turbines Shipped,
2006-2011 (in million euros & MW)
- Products
- Table 6-7 Siemens' Wind Turbine Products, 2011
- New Developments
- Sinovel
- Overview
- Performance
- Figure 6-8 Sinovel's Revenue and Wind Turbines Installed, 2008-2011 (in
million yuan & MW)
- Products
- Table 6-8 Sinovel's Wind Turbine Products, 2011
- New Developments
- Suzlon
- Overview
- Performance
- Figure 6-9 Suzlon's Consolidated Revenue and Wind Turbines Shipped,
2008-2011 (in billion rupees & MW)
- Products
- Table 6-9 Suzlon's Wind Turbine Products, 2011
- New Developments
- Vestas
- Overview
- Performance
- Figure 6-10 Vestas' Revenue and Wind Turbines Shipped, 2006-2011 (in
million euros & MW)
- Products
- Table 6-10 Vestas' Wind Turbine Products, 2011
- New Developments
- Second Tier Competitors
- Clipper Windpower
- Mingyang
- Nordex
- United Power
Appendix: Company Contact Information
全球的風力發電機市場、在2011年以5.1%的成長率回復
2011年11月22日
Global Information, Inc.開始銷售Specialist in Business Information所發行的報告書「The Global Wind Turbine Market, 2nd Edition (全球風力發電機市場:第2版)」。
全球的風力發電機市場、2010年比前年縮小15.9%、為423億美金。總設備容量減少0.3%、為38,079百萬瓦特(MW)。
全球的風力發電機市場、從2006年到2009年間約為3倍、達503億美金的規模。
新的設備容量、與金額基礎比較成長有些許的延後、在這4年間從15.1GW增加為38.2GW。
「市場價值和新容量的差別為、中國的起因。」SBI能源分析家Norman Deschamps所述。
「中國占新容量的半數、中國的風力發電機價格與全球其他市場便宜4成左右。因2009年景氣下滑的關係、新的訂單減少、生產鈍化、價格下落。」
風力發電機市場在2011年的成長、與去年不同、美國、及印度市場為很大的躍進原動力。
一方面、中國及印度比較上停頓在些許的成長、以前為主要市場的西班牙持續下滑中。
不論2011年的市場好轉、很多廠商的收益都有減少的趨勢。尤其是中國、發電機的低價格化持續帶給利益很大的損失。
2010年的實質性下降後、全球的風力發電機市場逐漸的回復、2011年擴大為5.4%的成長率、預計達445億美金的規模。
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