First of all, the report examines those trends which we have seen to date and which will inexorably continue into the future. The report then looks at the energy system, how it has evolved to date and the elements which may play a part in the evolution of the future. The report goes on to examine two alternative pathways to 2050.
FEATURES AND BENEFITS
Insight into world energy supply and demand - which is invaluable in appraising future investments or commercial activities in this sector.
An expansion of the portfolio of opportunity to be considered when contemplating investments in the energy sector.
Policy instrument rationale needed to secure a affordable sustainable future which offers maximum security of supply for energy importing nations.
A challenge to investment plans based on unsustainable "business as usual" assumptions.
An excellent strategic planning process facilitation tool.
HIGHLIGHTS
Review of global population trends and wealth impacts.
A conceptual model of the energy system highlighting the issues which have, and will impact on energy outcome in 2050.
An overview of energy supply and demand development to date by regions and industry sector.
YOUR KEY QUESTIONS ANSWERED
Is it possible to have both the energy needed to underpin economic development and an emissions outcome that can sustain the planet?
What are the future energy threats and opportunities facing the various regions of the world?
What are the issues which need to be considered when looking at long term investments in the energy world?
How should governments frame policies to protect affordability and security of supply and their climate change mitigation?
Are current policies (be they governmental or commercial) sustainable in the long term?
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
Introduction to Future Energy Scenarios
Pre-determined elements
The energy system
The Citadel scenario
The Patchwork scenario
Issues raised
Future outlook
Peter Franklin
Disclaimer
Introduction to Future Energy Scenarios
Summary
Introduction
The aim of this report
The structure of the report
Pre-determined elements
Summary
Introduction
Demographics
Population growth over the last 50 years
Looking forward to 2100
The urbanization of the world
Social networking
Managing the trilemma
The energy system
Summary
Introduction
The energy system
The economy
Energy demand
Fuel and electricity demand
Community generation and central electricity production
Hydrocarbon demand, energy prices and electricity production capacity
