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市場調查報告書

輪胎產業上顛覆性技術的未來

The Future of Disruptive Technologies in the Tires Industry to 2035

出版商 Smithers Rapra 商品編碼 317408
出版日期 內容資訊 英文
商品交期: 最快1-2個工作天內
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輪胎產業上顛覆性技術的未來 The Future of Disruptive Technologies in the Tires Industry to 2035
出版日期: 2014年10月01日 內容資訊: 英文
簡介

目前輪胎的年度全球生產量為15億個,以價額來算相當於1900億美金。預測2019年約將達到20億個,並達到2700億美金的狀況,原本印象中不起眼的輪胎產業也將開始急速變化。

本報告以輪胎的全球市場為焦點,預測今後20年的轉變,徹底考察支援其發展的潛力技術,再網羅環境·永續性問題等漸漸浮現的經濟發展關鍵──在擴大的同時漸漸高齡化的人口,以及發展中的都市化──等主題,同時並彙整今後的市場趨勢分析最新的調查資料。

摘要整理

  • 實行技術
    • 永續性
    • 生物科技
    • 運算電力與成本,感測器、以及無線射頻識別系統技術
    • 電池和能源技術
    • 建模與模擬
    • 單體生物的生成
  • 輪胎專門的技術
    • 單體的生物生成
    • 強化天然橡膠的張力
    • Self-sealing tires
    • 薄內襯
    • 生物性丁二烯
    • 生成聚異戊二烯用的生物性異戊二烯
    • 智慧輪胎
    • 生質油
    • 高長寬比輪胎
    • 非空氣式輪胎
    • 生物性異乙烯
    • 環氧樹脂化天然橡膠
    • 脫硫
    • 替代天然橡膠植物種
    • 生物填充物
    • 生產異丁橡膠用的生物性異戊二烯
    • 連續混合·擠壓成型
    • 生物性碳黑
    • 漸進式或低水準的技術成功概率

簡介及調查方法

  • 目的
  • 範圍
  • 方法
  • 定義
    • 顛覆性技術
    • 漸進的(持久技術)
    • 影響
    • 永續的發展
    • 頁岩天然氣
    • 金磚四國
    • 滾轉阻力
    • 二氧化矽
    • 綠色能源輪胎
    • 智慧,智慧型,電腦網路,順應型輪胎
    • 自動駕駛車輛
    • 生物材料,生物性材料
    • 簡稱

重要推動要素及趨勢

  • 簡介
  • 全球經濟
  • 全球人口動態
  • 資源的可用性和穩定供給度
  • 環境問題
  • 車輛設計及利用法的趨勢

輪胎產業結構與趨勢

  • 輪胎—廠商
  • 原料與供應鏈
    • 合成橡膠
    • 強化填充物
    • 碳黑
    • 沉澱二氧化矽
    • 輪胎簾布
    • 塑化劑·加工用油
    • 藥品
  • 輪胎結構和生產

今後20年的趨勢

  • 『 Tire Technology International』雜誌
  • 2014年Reifen獎
  • 2012年IQPC調查報告
  • Michelin
  • Pirelli
  • Firestone(卡車用)
  • 普利斯通
  • Goodyear
  • Continental
  • Hankook
  • Cooper tire

顛覆性技術預測

  • 實行技術
  • 輪胎產業專門的話題
  • 摘要與評分數表
  • 質量良好化的替代天然橡膠
  • 輪胎安裝型感應技術
  • 智慧,智慧型,電腦網路,順應型輪胎
  • 高長寬比輪胎
  • 降低滾轉阻力技術
  • 熱回收(降低滾轉阻力)
  • 輪胎的回收
  • Self-sealing tires
  • 薄內襯
  • 碳黑的改善
  • 新素材填充物
  • 二氧化矽輪胎100%
  • 強化二氧化矽·白及結構
  • 加工用油
  • 輪胎製造工程及工廠
  • 報告對象期間內由成功機會過度逐漸性實現性低而撤消的潛在性需求技術

2035年前的技術預測

  • 影響輪胎產業的長期趨勢
  • 輪胎的全球市場
  • 專家對今後20年輪胎趨勢的觀點
  • 可能方案
目錄

This major new report identifies and profiles the top technologies affecting the global tire industry over the next 20 years. Over 1.5 billion tires are currently produced each year, valued at $190 billion. By 2019 this will reach over 2 billion units at $270 billion and move a slowplaced industry closer to rapid change. The Future of Disruptive Technologies in the Tires Industry to 2035 provides an in-depth insight into the technologies that will drive this growth. It focuses on environmental issues and sustainability, the rise of new economic powerhouses, burgeoning but ageing populations and increasing urbanisation. This essential report provides exclusive analysis of key trends and technology forecasts that will shape the future of the industry.

FIND OUT ABOUT

  • Thorough definitions and descriptions of the disruptive technologies that could impact the global tire industry
  • An assessment of the potential impact of the top 26 disruptive technologies in the industry over the next 20 years
  • Exclusive technology forecasts clearly illustrated with tables and scorecards

HOW WILL THIS MARKET INTELLIGENCE REPORT BENEFIT YOU

  • Identify and the understand the impact of the top 26 disruptive technologies on the industry over the next 20 years
  • Gain insight into the key trends affecting the tire industry
  • Get the latest market data and analysis based on primary and secondary research to plug straight into your business plan and plan your future strategy with confidence

Table of Contents

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

KEY TECHNOLOGIES

  • Enabling technologies
    • Sustainability
    • Biotechnologies
    • Computing power and cost, sensors and RFID
    • Battery and energy technologies
    • Modelling and simulation
    • Bio-sourcing of monomers
  • Tire-specific technologies
    • Bio-sourcing of monomers
    • Improved natural rubber strains
    • Self-sealing tires
    • Thinner inner liners
    • Bio-sourced butadiene
    • Bio-sourced isoprene for polyisoprene
    • Smart tires
    • Bio-oils
    • High aspect ratio tires
    • Non-pneumatic tires
    • Bio-sourced iso-butylene
    • Epoxidised natural rubber
    • Devulcanisation
    • Alternative natural rubber plants
    • Bio-fillers
    • Bio-sourced isoprene for butyl rubber
    • Continuous mixing and extrusion
    • Bio-sourced carbon blacks
    • Evolutionary or low probability of success technologies

INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY

  • Objectives
  • Scope
  • Methodology
  • Definitions
    • Disruptive technologies
    • Evolutionary (sustaining technology)
    • Impact
    • Sustainable development
    • Shale gas
    • BRIC nations
    • Rolling resistance
    • Silica
    • Green and energy tires
    • Smart, intelligent, cyber and adaptive tires
    • Autonomous vehicles
    • Bio-materials and bio-sourced materials
    • Abbreviations

KEY DRIVERS AND TRENDS

  • Introduction
  • World economies
  • World demographics
  • Resource availability and security
  • Environmental issues
  • Trends in vehicle design and use

TIRE INDUSTRY STRUCTURE AND TRENDS

  • Tire companies
  • Raw materials and the supply chain
    • Elastomers
    • Reinforcing fillers
    • Carbon black
    • Precipitated silica
    • Tire cords
    • Plasticisers/processing oils
    • Chemicals
  • Tire construction and manufacture

TIRE TRENDS OVER THE NEXT 20 YEARS

  • The journal Tire Technology International
  • Reifen awards 2014
  • IQPC survey results 2012
  • Michelin
    • Statements
    • Patents
  • Pirelli
    • Statements
    • Patents
  • Firestone (trucks)
    • Statements
  • Bridgestone
    • Patents
  • Goodyear
    • Patents
  • Continental
    • Patents
  • Hankook
    • Patents
  • Cooper tire
    • Patents

DISRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGY FORECASTS

  • Enabling technologies
    • Biotechnologies
    • Sensor and RFID technology
    • Computing power and cost
    • Computing power, sensors and autonomous vehicles
    • Battery technologies, energy capture and harvesting
    • Modelling and simulation
    • Alternative fuels and electric vehicles
    • Shale gas and fracking
  • Specific tire industry topics
    • Bio-sourced monomers
    • Algal sources
      • Bio alcohols
      • Bioethanol
      • Biobutanol
      • Bio 2,3 butanediol
      • Butadiene
      • Bio-styrene
      • Bio-iso-butylene
      • Bio-isoprene
      • Bio polyamides (nylons)
  • Summary and scorecards
    • Scorecards for disruptive tire technologies related to biosourcing of monomers
  • Improved and alternative natural rubbers
    • Improved strains of natural rubber
    • Alternative natural rubber plants
    • Modified natural rubbers
  • Tire-mounted sensor technologies
    • Tire pressure monitoring systems (TPMS)
    • Tire-mounted systems (TMS)
    • Tire pressure maintenance systems
  • Smart, intelligent, cyber and adaptive tires
  • High aspect ration tires
    • Non-pneumatic tires (NPTs)
  • Reduced rolling resistance technologies (RR)
    • Low rolling resistance technology
    • Applicability to different tire parts
    • Applicability to different tire types
    • Silane coupling agent
    • Further developments
  • Heat recovery (instead of reducing rolling resistance)
  • Tire recycling
    • Material loss due to tire wear
    • Recycling of end of life tires (ELTs)
    • Re-usable fine rubber powder from granulation
    • Devulcanisation
    • Ultrasonic devulcanisation
    • Thermal processes
    • Thermo-mechanical process without chemical agents
    • Thermo-mechanical process with added chemicals
    • Microwave technology
    • Biological agents
    • Pyrolysis
  • Self-sealing tires
  • Thinner inner liners
  • Carbon black improvements
    • Summary and scoring
  • New fillers
  • All silica tire
  • Improved silica/silane systems
  • Processing oils
  • Tire making process and factories
  • Potentially important technologies that are rejected as too evolutionary or very low chance of success within the time scale of the report

TIRE TECHNOLOGY FORECASTS TO 2035

  • Long-term trends impacting on the tire industry
    • Demographics
    • Infrastructure and urbanisation Urbanisation
    • Regulations and legislation
    • Emission reduction and alternative fuels (e.g. electricity)
    • Sustainability of raw materials
    • Shale gas and fracking
    • Vehicle technology
    • Computer technologies, information technologies and smart and autonomous vehicles
    • Long-term trends in the tire industry
      • Increasing scarcity and cost of presently used raw materials
      • Environmental pressures
      • Increasing world population
      • A change in the journeys undertaken
  • World tire market
    • Growth of China as producer and market
  • Expert's views on tire trends over the next 20 years
    • Tire manufacturing methods
      • Elastomers
      • Processing oils
      • Reinforcing fillers
      • Tire cords
    • Sustainability and recycling
    • Noise reduction
    • Durability
    • Rolling resistance
    • Sensor, RFID embedded smart tires
    • Intelligent and adaptive tires
  • Possible scenarios
    • Continued evolutionary changes (automotives)
    • Futuristic extreme revolutionary changes (automotives)
    • Most likely

TABLES & FIGURES

  • Middle class populations in BRIC, 2000, 2010 and 2020 (million)
  • Comparison of naphthenic black oil, TDAE and RAE
  • Middle class populations in BRIC, 2000, 2010 and 2020 (million)
  • Tire production in China, 2001-- 2011 (million units)
  • Key enabling technologies
  • Key tire specific technologies
  • Technologies that are expected to have a significant impact but are considered evolutionary rather than disruptive
  • Potentially highly disruptive emerging technologies that have a low probability of success within the timescale of the report
  • Estimated global consumption of materials by the tire industry, (2012)
  • The main sectors of the tire market
  • Top 10 tire companies in the world by sales value, 2011
  • Typical composition of a tire (%)
  • Key enabling technologies
  • Scorecard computing power and cost
  • Scorecard for biotechnologies as an enabling technology
  • Scorecard sensor and RFID technologies
  • Scorecard battery and energy supply technologies
  • Scorecard modelling and simulation technologies
  • Scorecard alternative fuels
  • Scorecard shale gas
  • Smithers estimates for global rubber monomer requirements (million tonnes) for tire production 2014--2024
  • Advantages and limitations of syngas fermentation
  • Bio-sourced monomers (sugar feedstock option) scorecard
  • Bio-sourced monomers (residual biomass) scorecard
  • Bio-sourced butadiene scorecard template
  • Bio-sourced isoprene (for butyl rubber) scorecard
  • Bio-sourced isoprene (for polyisoprene) scorecard
  • Bio- isobutylene scorecard
  • Improvements to natural rubber strains scorecard
  • Alternative natural rubber scorecard
  • Modified natural rubber scorecard
  • Smart tires (basic) scorecard
  • Smart tires (advanced) scorecard
  • High aspect ratio tires scorecard
  • Non-pneumatic tire scorecard
  • Devulcanisation scorecard
  • Self-sealing tires scorecard
  • Thinner liner scorecard
  • Bio-sourced carbon blacks scorecard
  • Bio-fillers scorecard (starch, MCC)
  • All silica tire scorecard
  • Bio-oils scorecard
  • Continuous mixing scorecard
  • Technologies that are expected to have a significant impact but are considered evolutionary rather than disruptive
  • Potentially highly disruptive emerging technologies that have a low probability of success within the timescale of the report
  • Forecast population changes for the period 2015--2035
  • Tire labelling schemes coverage
  • Selected countries' targets for reducing CO2 emissions
  • Those countries with the largest proven technically recoverable shale gas reserves
  • Growth of the world car parc
  • Growth of the world commercial vehicle parc
  • Present status of fuel economy regulations
  • Automotive and tire market in 2035 with no disruptive changes
  • Automotive and tire market in 2035 with highly disruptive changes
  • Automotive and tire market in 2035 most likely scenario
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