Abstract
The Ukrainian telecom market generated $7.0bn in service revenue in 2008. In
2009, we expect it to slide to $5.1bn mainly due to the fact that the
Ukrainian hryvnia lost more than 40% of its value against the US dollar in
2008-2009. We expect that in terms of local currency, Ukraine' s telecom market
will show a slight growth mainly boosted by fixed and mobile broadband
developments. We estimate that the market will fully recover, in terms of US
dollars, in 2014 when it will be worth $7.4bn. Mobile voice is currently the
largest revenue segment and is expected to remain so through 2014. At the same
time, mobile data' s share of total revenue will grow from 8.3% in 2008 to
15.1% in 2014 - from $0.6bn to $1.1bn. Another emerging sector is fixed
broadband - its share will grow from 4.8% in 2008 ($0.3bn) to 13.2% ($1.0bn)
in 2014. Fixed VoIP and IPTV will grow at astonishing rates, but their impact
on total service revenue will be minimal due to their infrastructural
constraints and the small scale of rollout.
Table of Contents
- Executive Summary
- Market and Competitor Overview
- Ukraine in a Regional Context
- Economic, Demographic and Political Context
- Regulatory Environment
- Demand Profile
- Service Evolution
- Competitive Landscape
- Major Market Players
- Segment Analysis
- Mobile Services
- Fixed Services
- Pay-TV
- Identifying Opportunities
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