2020年之前全球汽車材料的需求

2020年之前全球汽車材料的需求 是由出版商Automotive World在2008年11月所出版的。 這份英文市場調查報告書包含85 Pages 價格從美金595起跳。

簡介

目錄

Abstract

This report endeavours to predict the future of automotive materials consumption to 2020. It concludes that, while steel will remain the dominant material, aluminium and plastics are expected to win more vehicle body exterior applications. It also concludes that alternatives to the steel intensive vehicle and conventional powertrain are unlikely to make a significant impact until 2020, but if they do emerge then they will demonstrate substantially different material composition.

All steps and assumptions in the calculation methodology are shown clearly, making the figures reached fully transparent and easy to adjust should different assumptions be made.

Chapters are as follows:

• Executive summary
• Introduction and report outline
• Drivers for change
• Technologies and materials
• Supply chains
• Forecasts to 2020
• Conclusions

Table of Contents

• Table of contents
• List of Figures

• Executive Summary
• Introduction and report outline
• The future of automotive materials consumption

• Drivers for change
• What makes change happen?
• Climate change, carbon emissions, and fuel economy
• Climate change at an international level
• Climate change at a national level
• Sub-national measures

• Economic conditions and changes in market structure
• The limits to growth
• Conclusions

• Technologies and materials
• Introduction
• Materials use and the contemporary car
• Materials use and car technologies
• Long term perspectives

• Supply chains
• Introduction
• Sourcing strategies and the automotive industry
• Commodity prices and the automotive industry
• The steel industry
• The aluminium industry
• The plastic industry
• Rubber

• Forecasts to 2020
• Introduction
• Calculating the 2005 base year materials consumption
• The forecast assumptions: business as usual scenario
• The forecast outcomes: business as usual scenario
• The alternative scenarios: eco-austerity and technopia

• Conclusions
• The overall material demand forecast
• Materials demand and the supply industry
• The key outcomes

List of Figures

• Table 1.1: Total material demand in the automotive sector by main region, 2005 base (million tonnes per annum - mtpa)
• Table 1.2: A comparison of the relative materials content of three types of car: steel; aluminium; and plastic (%)
• Table 1.3: A comparison of the relative materials content of three types of powertrain: conventional; hybrid and pure battery electric (%)
• Table 1.4: Material choice criteria
• Table 2.1: Three future scenarios for the automotive industry
• Table 2.2: Prices for crude petroleum, US$ per barrel (unadjusted), selected years
• Table 2.3: Coverage of global warming themes in the New Scientist, 2004 and 2005
• Figure 2.1: The proportion of New Scientist coverage
• Figure 2.2: Likely proportion of the 140g/km target to be reached by the top 20 brands by 2008/09, if current trends continue
• Table 2.4: Fuel economy and greenhouse gas emissions regimes around the world
• Table 2.5: Actual and projected greenhouse gas emissions for new passenger vehicles by country, 2002, 2008 and 2014 (CO2 equivalent converted to EU NEDC test cycle; g/km)
• Table 2.6: Japanese fuel economy targets for 2015: light duty passenger cars
• Table 2.7: The proposed changes to the London congestion charging scheme
• Table 2.8: Market share of the top ten models, selected markets, 1996 and 2006
• Table 2.9 Segment market share in the UK: 1992 and 2007
• Table 2.10 Brands, models, body styles and variants on the UK market, 1994 to 2008
• Table 2.11: Passenger transport in Hong Kong
• Table 2.12: Road deaths in 2003: absolute number and per 100,000 of population; selected countries
• Table 2.13: Death rates and car ownership rates in selected countries
• Table 3.1: Material proportions, ELVs in the UK in 2006
• Table 3.2: Materials use in the average US family car, 1978, 1995 and 2003 (%)
• Table 3.3: The proportion of vehicle mass attributable to different systems
• Table 3.4: Inter-generational weight gain: the example of the VW Golf
• Figure 3.1: Weight gain for European mid-range cars, 1970 onwards
• Table 3.5: Logan production by assembly plant, H1 2007 and H1 2008
• Table 3.6 Worldwide Logan sales, H1 2006, H1 2007 and H1 2008
• Table 3.7: Mass-market and super-luxury cars: a simple comparison
• Table 3.8: The constituent technologies of the e-Terrain Technology Concept
• Table 3.9: Technical specification of the 2000 Toyota Prius II
• Table 3.10: The Toyota Prius battery pack: technical specifications
• Figure 3.2: The Toyota Prius battery pack
• Table 3.11: Specification of the G-Wiz electric car
• Table 3.12 Aluminium penetration in vehicle body applications, 2007 (%)
• Table 3.13: A comparison of the relative materials content of three types of car: steel; aluminium; and plastic (%)
• Table 3.14: A comparison of the relative materials content of three types of powertrain: conventional; hybrid; and pure battery electric (%)
• Table 4.1: Transitions in vehicle manufacturers' sourcing strategies
• Table 4.2: Material choice criteria
• Table 4.3: Regional share of copper production
• Table 4.4: Industrial consumption, copper
• Diagram 4.1 Copper prices 2000 to 2008
• Table 4.5: Regional share of aluminium production
• Table 4.6: Industrial consumption, aluminium
• Diagram 4.2 Aluminium prices 2000 to 2008
• Table 4.7: Regional share of lead production
• Table 4.8: Industrial consumption, lead
• Diagram 4.3 Lead prices 2000 to 2008
• Table 4.9: Regional share of zinc production
• Table 4.10: Industrial consumption, zinc
• Diagram 4.4: Zinc prices 2000 to 2008
• Table 4.11: Regional share of nickel production
• Table 4.12: Industrial consumption, nickel
• Diagram 4.5 Nickel prices 2000 to 2008
• Table 4.13: Regional share of tin production
• Table 4.14: Industrial consumption, tin
• Diagram 4.6 Tin prices 2000 to 2008
• Table 4.15: The leading steel producing countries, 2006 and 2007
• Figure 4.1: Share of world crude steel production: 2001, 2006, 2007
• Table 4.16: The top 20 steel companies, 1996 (crude steel output, mtpa)
• Table 4.17: The top 20 steel companies, 2006 (crude steel output, mtpa)
• Table 4.18: Consumption of aluminium worldwide, 2005-2008 (mtpa)
• Table 4.19: World rubber supply and demand, 2006 and 2007 (000 tonnes)
• Table 5.1: Assumptions of average materials content per car, 2005 base (%)
• Table 5.2: Assumptions of average materials content per car, 2005 base (kg)
• Table 5.3: Material yield assumptions, 2005 base year calculation
• Table 5.4: Material consumed per car, adjusted for material yield, 2005 base (kg)
• Table 5.5: Total material demand by main region, 2005 base (mtpa)
• Table 5.6: Three future scenarios for the automotive industry
• Table 5.7: Market growth forecasts to 2020 (m units): business as usual scenario
• Table 5.8: Average steel intensive vehicle weight forecasts, business as usual scenario (kg)
• Table 5.9: Europe business as usual scenario mix of vehicle forecasts (% share)
• Table 5.10: North America cars business as usual scenario mix of vehicle forecasts (% share)
• Table 5.11: North America trucks business as usual scenario mix of vehicle forecasts (% share)
• Table 5.12: Asia business as usual scenario mix of vehicle forecasts (% share)
• Table 5.13: Other markets business as usual scenario mix of vehicle forecasts (% share)
• Table 5.14: Forecast material yield assumptions for 2015 and 2020
• Table 5.15: Steel intensive cars forecast to 2020, business as usual scenario (m units)
• Table 5.16: Aluminium intensive cars forecast to 2020, business as usual scenario (m units)
• Table 5.17: Plastic intensive cars forecast to 2020, business as usual scenario (m units)
• Table 5.18: Hybrid cars forecast to 2020, business as usual scenario (m units)
• Table 5.19: Battery electric cars forecast to 2020, business as usual scenario (m units)
• Table 5.20: Assumptions of average materials content per steel intensive car, 2010 (%)
• Table 5.21: Assumptions of average materials content per steel intensive car, 2015 (%)
• Table 5.22: Assumptions of average materials content per steel intensive car, 2020 (%)
• Table 5.23: Forecast average materials content per steel intensive car, 2010 (kg)
• Table 5.24: Forecast average materials content per steel intensive car, 2015 (kg)
• Table 5.25: Forecast average materials content per steel intensive car, 2020 (kg)
• Table 5.26: Forecast total materials consumption per steel intensive car adjusted for material yield, 2010 (kg)
• Table 5.27: Forecast total materials consumption per steel intensive car adjusted for material yield, 2015 (kg)
• Table 5.28: Forecast total materials consumption per steel intensive car adjusted for material yield, 2020 (kg)
• Table 5.29: Forecast total materials consumption for all steel intensive cars adjusted for material yield, 2010 (mtpa)
• Table 5.30: Forecast total materials consumption for all steel intensive cars adjusted for material yield, 2015 (mtpa)
• Table 5.31: Forecast total materials consumption for all steel intensive cars adjusted for material yield, 2020 (mtpa)
• Table 5.32: World materials consumption for all steel intensive cars adjusted for material yield (mtpa)
• Table 5.33: Materials content of different types of car: aluminium; plastic; hybrid; and battery electric, adjusted for materials yield (kg)
• Table 5.34: World materials consumption for aluminium intensive cars adjusted for material yield (mtpa)
• Table 5.35: World materials consumption for plastic intensive cars adjusted for material yield (mtpa)
• Table 5.36: World materials consumption for hybrid cars adjusted for material yield (mtpa)
• Table 5.37: World materials consumption for battery electric cars adjusted for material yield (mtpa)
• Table 5.38: World materials consumption for all non-steel intensive cars adjusted for material yield (mtpa)
• Table 5.39: Total world materials consumption for all cars adjusted for material yield (mtpa)
• Table 6.1: Total world materials consumption for all cars adjusted for material yield (mtpa)

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